Platense vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction & Betting Tips 02/10/2026

Platense vs Estudiantes L.P.: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Platense	Draw	Estudiantes L.P.
Model	31%	35%	34%
Market	23%	33%	44%
Published	25%	33%	42%
Edge	+7%	+2%	-9%

Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Platense vs Estudiantes L.P. odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Estudiantes L.P., 54 snapshots since 2026-09-05.

Opened 2.08Now 2.11 +0.03

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Platense	3.84	4.00	+0.16
Draw	3.04	2.82	-0.22
Estudiantes L.P.	2.08	2.11	+0.03

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Platense and Estudiantes L.P. expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.89Platense

0.96Estudiantes L.P.

Total expected goals: 1.85
Attack rating (Platense / Estudiantes L.P.): 0.69 / 1.01
Defence rating (Platense / Estudiantes L.P.): 1.10 / 0.83

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Platense vs Estudiantes L.P. score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 17.1% 13.8% 7.3% 2.3% 0.7% 1 12.6% 14.8% 6.5% 2.1% 0.6% 2 6.2% 6.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.3% 3 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 4+ 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Platense goals. Columns: Estudiantes L.P. goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Platense vs Estudiantes L.P. goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 83%

Over 1.5 57%

Over 2.5 28%

Over 3.5 12%

Both teams to score: 38%
No goals (0–0): 17%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Platense vs Estudiantes L.P.

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Platense	25%	4.00
	Draw	33%	2.99
	Estudiantes L.P.	42%	2.41
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	28%	3.53
	Under 2.5	72%	1.39
Both teams to score	Yes	38%	2.65
	No	62%	1.61
Double chance	1X (Platense or draw)	58%	1.71
	12 (either side)	67%	1.50
	X2 (draw or Estudiantes L.P.)	75%	1.33
Handicap -1	Estudiantes L.P. win by 2+	13%	7.54
	Push (exactly one goal)	21%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Platense and Estudiantes L.P. recent form

Platense 0W 1D 5L

Estudiantes L.P. 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Platense at home

Record (W-D-L): 1-2-0
Win rate: 33%
Goals for / match: 0.67
Goals against / match: 0.33
Clean sheets: 2 of 3

League matches this season before kick-off: Platense at home only, Estudiantes L.P. away only.

Platense vs Estudiantes L.P. head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Platense 2 · draws 3 · Estudiantes L.P. 5.

20% 30% 50%

PlatenseDrawsEstudiantes L.P.

Previous meetings
Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
2026-09-12	Estudiantes L.P.	2-1	Platense	Liga Profesional Argentina
2026-05-03	Platense	0-2	Estudiantes L.P.	Liga Profesional Argentina
2025-12-20	Estudiantes L.P.	2-1	Platense	Trofeo de Campeones de la Superliga
2024-09-15	Estudiantes L.P.	1-1	Platense	Liga Profesional Argentina
2024-03-06	Estudiantes L.P.	1-2	Platense	Copa de la Liga Profesional
2023-10-18	Platense	2-1	Estudiantes L.P.	Copa de la Liga Profesional
2023-04-27	Platense	1-2	Estudiantes L.P.	Liga Profesional Argentina
2022-09-04	Platense	0-0	Estudiantes L.P.	Liga Profesional Argentina
2021-09-25	Estudiantes L.P.	1-1	Platense	Liga Profesional Argentina
2021-05-03	Estudiantes L.P.	2-0	Platense	Liga Profesional Argentina