Updated

5 November 2026

Football predictions today

Today's featured match is Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise in the UEFA Europa League, where we publish Union St. Gilloise at 40% compared to the market's 32%, giving an edge of +7.8 percentage points. This analysis is based on xG-based team ratings blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds. However, unexpected player injuries or changes in team form could impact these predictions.

Top pick today

Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise

UEFA Europa League ·

Our pick
Union St. Gilloise to win
Our prob.
40%
Market prob.
32%
Edge
+8%
Best odds
3.11
Matches today 50 across 11 competitions
Competitions 11 with fixtures today
Value picks 5 edge ≥ 2% over the market
High confidence 2 both teams xG-backed
Average edge +5.5% across value picks

Top opportunities

Largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live

All value bets
High edgeC

Riga to win

Riga vs FK Jablonec · UEFA Europa Conference League ·

Edge+7% Our prob47% Best odds2.45
Full prediction
High edgeC

Trabzonspor to win

Trabzonspor vs Freiburg · UEFA Europa Conference League ·

Edge+7% Our prob48% Best odds2.37
Full prediction
ValueC

CS Cartagines to win

Inter San Carlos vs CS Cartagines · Costa Rica Primera División ·

Edge+3% Our prob44% Best odds2.34
Full prediction

Match explorer

68 fixtures today, 18 already played — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures today with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej SaihatPostponedSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC Saudi Arabia Pro League Al KholoodOur prob 40%Best odds 2.65 -3% 40% 43% C 2.65
Chindia Targoviste vs Popești-LeordeniLiga IIC Liga II Chindia TargovisteOur prob 59%Best odds 1.56 -1% 59% 60% C 1.56
Abha vs Al ShababPostponedSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC Saudi Arabia Pro League Al ShababOur prob 58%Best odds 2.03 +1% 58% 57% C 2.03
Express vs Blacks PowerUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League ExpressOur prob 45% — 45% — C —
Vipers vs LugaziUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League VipersOur prob 77%Best odds 1.17 -2% 77% 79% C 1.17
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-FayhaPostponedSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC Saudi Arabia Pro League Al-Qadisiyah FCOur prob 80%Best odds 1.47 -2% 80% 82% C 1.47
Crystal Palace vs HoffenheimUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League Crystal PalaceOur prob 45%Best odds 1.91 -6% 45% 51% B 1.91
Lillestrom vs PlzenUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League PlzenOur prob 40%Best odds 2.32 -2% 40% 42% C 2.32
NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League NEC NijmegenOur prob 47%Best odds 1.82 -7% 47% 54% C 1.82
AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TCUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League AC MilanOur prob 59%Best odds 1.35 -13% 59% 72% B 1.35
Real Sociedad vs LyonUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League Real SociedadOur prob 56%Best odds 1.85 -3% 56% 59% B 1.85
Anderlecht vs Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League AnderlechtOur prob 44%Best odds 2.03 -5% 44% 48% C 2.03
Sparta Praha vs BournemouthUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League BournemouthOur prob 59%Best odds 1.47 -7% 59% 67% B 1.47
Levski Sofia vs JagielloniaUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League Levski SofiaOur prob 47%Best odds 2.08 0% 47% 47% C 2.08
FC Midtjylland vs AjaxUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League AjaxOur prob 39%Best odds 2.29 -3% 39% 43% C 2.29
Aarhus vs SC BragaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League SC BragaOur prob 44%Best odds 1.92 -6% 44% 50% C 1.92
Atalanta vs Kairat AlmatyUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB UEFA Europa Conference League AtalantaOur prob 74%Best odds 1.12 -12% 74% 85% B 1.12
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'EscaldesUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League FK Crvena ZvezdaOur prob 86%Best odds 1.08 -4% 86% 90% C 1.08
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League HNK Hajduk SplitOur prob 68%Best odds 1.39 -2% 68% 70% C 1.39
Trabzonspor vs FreiburgUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League TrabzonsporOur prob 48%Best odds 2.37 +7% 48% 41% C 2.37
FC Thun vs Heart Of MidlothianUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League FC ThunOur prob 43%Best odds 2.33 0% 43% 43% C 2.33
KuPS vs GentUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League GentOur prob 55%Best odds 1.67 -3% 55% 58% C 1.67
Mjallby AIF vs Borac Banja LukaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League Mjallby AIFOur prob 36%Best odds 2.28 -7% 36% 43% C 2.28
Aldosivi vs River PlateLiga Profesional ArgentinaC Liga Profesional Argentina River PlateOur prob 62%Best odds 1.47 -4% 62% 66% C 1.47
Tarancón vs LevantePostponedCopa del ReyB Copa del Rey LevanteOur prob 73%Best odds 1.17 -8% 73% 81% B 1.17
Bayer Leverkusen vs MarseilleUEFA Europa LeagueA UEFA Europa League Bayer LeverkusenOur prob 73%Best odds 1.37 0% 73% 73% A 1.37
AZ Alkmaar vs JuventusUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League JuventusOur prob 47%Best odds 2.04 -2% 47% 49% B 2.04
Benfica vs Lech PoznanUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League BenficaOur prob 80%Best odds 1.16 -4% 80% 84% C 1.16
Celtic vs BeşiktaşUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League BeşiktaşOur prob 42%Best odds 2.27 -1% 42% 43% C 2.27
Celta Vigo vs Union St. GilloiseUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League Union St. GilloiseOur prob 40%Best odds 3.11 +8% 40% 32% B 3.11
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFIUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League Hapoel Beer ShevaOur prob 47%Best odds 2.21 +3% 47% 44% C 2.21
Sturm Graz vs CeljeUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League Sturm GrazOur prob 59%Best odds 1.55 -4% 59% 63% C 1.55
Sunderland vs Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League SunderlandOur prob 61%Best odds 1.47 -6% 61% 67% B 1.47
Torreense vs Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League TorreenseOur prob 49%Best odds 1.75 -6% 49% 56% C 1.75
Monaco vs FC NordsjaellandUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB UEFA Europa Conference League MonacoOur prob 63%Best odds 1.44 -4% 63% 67% B 1.44
FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999UEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League FC CopenhagenOur prob 82%Best odds 1.19 0% 82% 82% C 1.19
Twente vs PafosUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League TwenteOur prob 74%Best odds 1.30 0% 74% 74% C 1.30
Getafe vs BrightonUEFA Europa Conference LeagueA UEFA Europa Conference League BrightonOur prob 58%Best odds 1.60 -4% 58% 62% A 1.60
FC Lugano vs Kauno ŽalgirisUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League FC LuganoOur prob 80%Best odds 1.19 -1% 80% 82% C 1.19
Panathinaikos vs CSKA SofiaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League PanathinaikosOur prob 68%Best odds 1.44 0% 68% 68% C 1.44
Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia RrogozhinëUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League Universitatea CraiovaOur prob 67%Best odds 1.42 -1% 67% 68% C 1.42
St. Truiden vs BrannUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League St. TruidenOur prob 55%Best odds 1.66 -3% 55% 58% C 1.66
Riga vs FK JablonecUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League RigaOur prob 47%Best odds 2.45 +7% 47% 40% C 2.45
Alcoyano vs MallorcaPostponedCopa del ReyC Copa del Rey MallorcaOur prob 60%Best odds 1.57 0% 60% 60% C 1.57
Génesis vs Real EspanaHonduras Liga NacionalC Honduras Liga Nacional Real EspanaOur prob 46%Best odds 2.06 +1% 46% 45% C 2.06
Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional ArgentinaC Liga Profesional Argentina Gimnasia L.P.Our prob 53%Best odds 2.33 — 53% — C 2.33
Palmeiras vs RemoBrazil Serie AC Brazil Serie A PalmeirasOur prob 74%Best odds 1.24 -4% 74% 78% C 1.24
Botafogo SP vs LondrinaBrazil Serie BC Brazil Serie B Botafogo SPOur prob 58%Best odds 1.65 -1% 58% 59% C 1.65
Inter San Carlos vs CS CartaginesCosta Rica Primera DivisiónC Costa Rica Primera División CS CartaginesOur prob 44%Best odds 2.34 +3% 44% 41% C 2.34
Atlético Choloma vs Atletico IndependienteHonduras Liga NacionalC Honduras Liga Nacional Atlético CholomaOur prob 47%Best odds 2.03 +2% 47% 46% C 2.03
0-1 FTPuntarenas FC vs San CarlosCosta Rica Primera DivisiónC Costa Rica Primera División Puntarenas FCOur prob 44%Best odds 2.22 +1% 44% 43% C 2.22
0-1 FTSporting Baie-Mahault vs Siroco Les AbymesCoupe de FranceC Coupe de France Siroco Les AbymesOur prob 53% — 53% — C —
1-0 FTBotafogo vs Atletico-MGBrazil Serie AC Brazil Serie A BotafogoOur prob 51%Best odds 1.70 -6% 51% 57% C 1.70
0-0 FTSao Paulo vs CorinthiansBrazil Serie AC Brazil Serie A Sao PauloOur prob 44%Best odds 2.49 +4% 44% 40% C 2.49
2-0 FTFirpo vs AlianzaPrimera DivisionC Primera Division FirpoOur prob 53%Best odds 1.73 -1% 53% 54% C 1.73
1-1 FTMunicipal Limeño vs Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera DivisionC Primera Division Municipal LimeñoOur prob 56%Best odds 1.65 -1% 56% 57% C 1.65
0-1 FTTlaxcala vs CA La PazLiga de Expansión MXC Liga de Expansión MX CA La PazOur prob 38%Best odds 2.47 -1% 38% 39% C 2.47
0-0 FTMillonarios vs America de CaliPrimera AC Primera A MillonariosOur prob 49%Best odds 1.92 -1% 49% 50% C 1.92
2-2 FTUniversitario vs Sport BoysPeru Primera DivisiónC Peru Primera División UniversitarioOur prob 62%Best odds 1.53 0% 62% 62% C 1.53
8-0 FTCD Olimpia vs JuticalpaHonduras Liga NacionalC Honduras Liga Nacional CD OlimpiaOur prob 80%Best odds 1.22 +1% 80% 78% C 1.22
1-4 FTEscorpiones Belén vs LD AlajuelenseCosta Rica Primera DivisiónC Costa Rica Primera División LD AlajuelenseOur prob 46% — 46% — C —
1-3 FTNtugasaze vs Entebbe UPPCUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League Entebbe UPPCOur prob 66%Best odds 1.38 -1% 66% 67% C 1.38
0-1 FTNAPSA Stars vs Power DynamosZambia Super LeagueC Zambia Super League Power DynamosOur prob 40%Best odds 2.45 -4% 40% 44% C 2.45
2-1 FTKonkola Blades vs TridentZambia Super LeagueC Zambia Super League Konkola BladesOur prob 58% — 58% — C —
0-0 FTGreen Buffaloes vs ZESCO UnitedZambia Super LeagueC Zambia Super League ZESCO UnitedOur prob 38%Best odds 2.38 -1% 38% 39% C 2.38
3-1 FTNchanga Rangers vs Makeni All StarsZambia Super LeagueC Zambia Super League Nchanga RangersOur prob 54% — 54% — C —
1-1 FTMutondo Stars vs Mufulira WanderersZambia Super LeagueC Zambia Super League Mufulira WanderersOur prob 35%Best odds 2.26 -5% 35% 40% C 2.26
0-2 FTChirundu Utd vs Green EaglesZambia Super LeagueC Zambia Super League DrawOur prob 44% — 44% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Betting sites compared

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them in Kenya — the full comparison and how we read it is on its own page

Compare in full
# Betting site Welcome offer Why it is here Visit
1 Mozzartbet 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.
  • M-PESA Paybill 290059
  • Daily Jackpot
  • Live betting
Get offer
2 Betwinner First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • Live betting around the clock
  • 30+ markets on live events
Get offer
3 22Bet 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.
  • M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits
  • Live in-play betting
  • Android and iOS app
Get offer
4 Melbet 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • 30+ markets on live events
  • 24/7 customer support
Get offer

Competitions in our window

50 upcoming fixtures across 11 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page

All competitions
  • Saudi Arabia Pro League Saudi Arabia 3 fixtures
  • Liga II Romania 1 fixture
  • Uganda Premier League Uganda 2 fixtures
  • UEFA Europa League World 17 fixtures
  • UEFA Europa Conference League World 18 fixtures
  • Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina 2 fixtures
  • Copa del Rey Spain 2 fixtures
  • Honduras Liga Nacional Honduras 2 fixtures
  • Brazil Serie A Brazil 1 fixture
  • Brazil Serie B Brazil 1 fixture
  • Costa Rica Primera División Costa Rica 1 fixture

Recent results

What happened next to what we predicted