Updated
14 October 2026
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Top pick today
Manchester City
vs
Paris Saint Germain
Largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
Southampton to win
Birmingham Legion to win
Maghreb Fès to win
63 fixtures today, 37 already played — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich vs SouthamptonEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | SouthamptonOur prob 41%Best odds 2.73 | +22% | 58% | 36% | C | 2.73 |
| QPR vs DerbyEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | QPROur prob 54%Best odds 1.72 | -8% | 48% | 56% | C | 1.72 |
| Portsmouth vs Sheffield UtdEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | PortsmouthOur prob 39%Best odds 2.40 | -8% | 33% | 41% | C | 2.40 |
| Lincoln vs West HamEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | West HamOur prob 56%Best odds 1.75 | +1% | 56% | 56% | C | 1.75 |
| Manchester City vs Paris Saint GermainUEFA Champions LeagueA | UEFA Champions League | Manchester CityOur prob 50%Best odds 2.21 | +11% | 58% | 47% | A | 2.21 |
| Aston Villa vs FenerbahçeUEFA Champions LeagueB | UEFA Champions League | Aston VillaOur prob 49%Best odds 1.75 | -29% | 27% | 56% | B | 1.75 |
| Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia DortmundUEFA Champions LeagueB | UEFA Champions League | Borussia DortmundOur prob 41%Best odds 2.23 | -11% | 32% | 43% | B | 2.23 |
| Roma vs Real MadridUEFA Champions LeagueA | UEFA Champions League | Real MadridOur prob 43%Best odds 1.99 | -26% | 23% | 50% | A | 1.99 |
| Real Betis vs FC PortoUEFA Champions LeagueB | UEFA Champions League | Real BetisOur prob 43%Best odds 2.15 | -14% | 33% | 47% | B | 2.15 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions LeagueC | UEFA Champions League | AEK Athens FCOur prob 36%Best odds 2.72 | -3% | 33% | 36% | C | 2.72 |
| Slovan Bratislava vs VfB StuttgartUEFA Champions LeagueB | UEFA Champions League | VfB StuttgartOur prob 59%Best odds 1.39 | -47% | 24% | 71% | B | 1.39 |
| Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb FèsBotola ProC | Botola Pro | Maghreb FèsOur prob 38%Best odds 2.61 | +6% | 43% | 37% | C | 2.61 |
| Junior vs Deportivo PereiraPrimera AC | Primera A | JuniorOur prob 70%Best odds 1.35 | -7% | 64% | 71% | C | 1.35 |
| Sarmiento Junin vs River PlateLiga Profesional ArgentinaC | Liga Profesional Argentina | River PlateOur prob 53%Best odds 1.64 | -23% | 35% | 59% | C | 1.64 |
| Atletico-MG vs Atletico TorqueCONMEBOL SudamericanaC | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Atletico-MGOur prob 64%Best odds 1.44 | -19% | 50% | 68% | C | 1.44 |
| Perez Zeledon vs Escorpiones BelénCosta Rica Primera DivisiónC | Costa Rica Primera División | Perez ZeledonOur prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — |
| Comunicaciones vs AuroraGuatemala Liga NacionalC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | ComunicacionesOur prob 62%Best odds 1.50 | +3% | 64% | 61% | C | 1.50 |
| Hartford Athletic vs Charleston BatteryUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Charleston BatteryOur prob 38%Best odds 2.48 | -1% | 37% | 38% | C | 2.48 |
| Toronto FC vs Orlando City SCMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Toronto FCOur prob 40%Best odds 2.37 | -4% | 37% | 41% | C | 2.37 |
| Columbus Crew vs CharlotteMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Columbus CrewOur prob 44%Best odds 2.00 | -17% | 31% | 48% | C | 2.00 |
| CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FCMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | CF MontrealOur prob 40%Best odds 2.45 | -3% | 38% | 41% | C | 2.45 |
| DC United vs New York Red BullsMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | DC UnitedOur prob 44%Best odds 2.10 | -13% | 34% | 47% | C | 2.10 |
| FC Cincinnati vs New England RevolutionMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | FC CincinnatiOur prob 53%Best odds 1.73 | -12% | 44% | 56% | C | 1.73 |
| Inter Miami vs New York City FCMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Inter MiamiOur prob 61%Best odds 1.57 | -5% | 58% | 62% | C | 1.57 |
| Rhode Island vs Loudoun UnitedUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Rhode IslandOur prob 56%Best odds 1.57 | -16% | 44% | 60% | C | 1.57 |
| 3-1 FTCS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FCCosta Rica Primera DivisiónC | Costa Rica Primera División | CS CartaginesOur prob 62%Best odds 1.50 | -1% | 61% | 62% | C | 1.50 |
| 0-1 FTBoca Juniors vs Vasco DA GamaCONMEBOL SudamericanaC | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Boca JuniorsOur prob 49%Best odds 1.93 | -6% | 45% | 50% | C | 1.93 |
| 1-2 FTSan Carlos vs Inter San CarlosCosta Rica Primera DivisiónC | Costa Rica Primera División | San CarlosOur prob 44%Best odds 2.32 | +12% | 53% | 41% | C | 2.32 |
| 0-1 FTIrtysh vs FC AstanaKazakhstan Premier LeagueC | Kazakhstan Premier League | FC AstanaOur prob 48%Best odds 1.91 | -4% | 45% | 49% | C | 1.91 |
| 4-2 FTBatman Petrolspor vs İstanbulspor1. LigC | 1. Lig | Batman PetrolsporOur prob 56%Best odds 1.67 | -1% | 55% | 56% | C | 1.67 |
| 0-1 FTOlympiakos Piraeus II vs KallitheaSuper League 2C | Super League 2 | KallitheaOur prob 50%Best odds 1.96 | +7% | 55% | 48% | C | 1.96 |
| 0-0 FTFeronikeli vs LlapiKosovo SuperligaC | Kosovo Superliga | FeronikeliOur prob 44%Best odds 2.22 | +2% | 45% | 44% | C | 2.22 |
| 0-1 FTMombasa Elite vs HomeboyzKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | HomeboyzOur prob 35%Best odds 2.50 | -9% | 28% | 38% | C | 2.50 |
| 0-1 FTTrans Narva vs KuressaareMeistriliigaC | Meistriliiga | Trans NarvaOur prob 43%Best odds 2.00 | -14% | 33% | 46% | C | 2.00 |
| 6-1 FTStrommen vs AsaneNorway 1. DivisionC | Norway 1. Division | StrommenOur prob 50%Best odds 1.86 | -2% | 48% | 50% | C | 1.86 |
| 0-0 FTAFC Leopards vs BandariKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | AFC LeopardsOur prob 47%Best odds 1.99 | -4% | 44% | 48% | C | 1.99 |
| 1-6 FTPolice vs SC VillaUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | SC VillaOur prob 46%Best odds 2.01 | +5% | 50% | 45% | C | 2.01 |
| 0-2 FTKigezi HomeBoyz vs NECUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | NECOur prob 48% | — | 48% | — | C | — |
| 1-2 FTAtyrau vs Yelimay SemeyKazakhstan Premier LeagueC | Kazakhstan Premier League | Yelimay SemeyOur prob 43%Best odds 2.06 | -11% | 35% | 45% | C | 2.06 |
| 1-0 FTBohemians 1905 vs Mlada BoleslavCzech LigaC | Czech Liga | Bohemians 1905Our prob 42%Best odds 2.32 | -9% | 35% | 44% | C | 2.32 |
| 2-1 FTPaide vs TammekaMeistriliigaC | Meistriliiga | PaideOur prob 55%Best odds 1.66 | -4% | 52% | 55% | C | 1.66 |
| 1-0 FTDukagjini vs VushtrriaKosovo SuperligaC | Kosovo Superliga | DukagjiniOur prob 73%Best odds 1.17 | -27% | 53% | 80% | C | 1.17 |
| 3-2 FTFeyenoord vs ComoUEFA Champions LeagueB | UEFA Champions League | FeyenoordOur prob 39%Best odds 3.27 | +35% | 65% | 30% | B | 3.27 |
| 3-6 FTLask Linz vs LiverpoolUEFA Champions LeagueB | UEFA Champions League | LiverpoolOur prob 55%Best odds 1.43 | -54% | 15% | 69% | B | 1.43 |
| 1-1 FTMosta vs Gzira UnitedMalta Premier LeagueC | Malta Premier League | MostaOur prob 45%Best odds 2.60 | +33% | 69% | 36% | C | 2.60 |
| 1-2 FTPreußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf3. LigaC | 3. Liga | Fortuna DüsseldorfOur prob 38%Best odds 2.38 | -9% | 31% | 41% | C | 2.38 |
| 3-0 FTSV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen3. LigaC | 3. Liga | Alemannia AachenOur prob 38%Best odds 2.84 | +16% | 50% | 34% | C | 2.84 |
| 2-2 FTFC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. LigaC | 3. Liga | FC Viktoria KölnOur prob 66%Best odds 1.53 | +16% | 78% | 62% | C | 1.53 |
| 2-2 FTVerl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg3. LigaC | 3. Liga | VerlOur prob 42%Best odds 2.25 | -2% | 40% | 42% | C | 2.25 |
| 0-3 FTWaldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 043. LigaC | 3. Liga | Waldhof MannheimOur prob 50%Best odds 2.00 | +9% | 57% | 47% | C | 2.00 |
| 0-4 FTAntalyaspor vs Kayserispor1. LigC | 1. Lig | KayserisporOur prob 41%Best odds 2.43 | +1% | 42% | 41% | C | 2.43 |
| 0-0 FTKeçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK1. LigC | 1. Lig | KeçiörengücüOur prob 46%Best odds 2.19 | +7% | 51% | 44% | C | 2.19 |
| 4-1 FTStabaek vs Sandnes ULFNorway 1. DivisionC | Norway 1. Division | StabaekOur prob 63%Best odds 1.45 | -9% | 56% | 65% | C | 1.45 |
| 5-1 FTStromsgodset vs KongsvingerNorway 1. DivisionC | Norway 1. Division | StromsgodsetOur prob 51%Best odds 1.83 | -7% | 45% | 52% | C | 1.83 |
| 3-0 FTHaugesund vs LynNorway 1. DivisionC | Norway 1. Division | HaugesundOur prob 75%Best odds 1.27 | 0% | 76% | 75% | C | 1.27 |
| 0-1 FTSogndal vs ODD BallklubbNorway 1. DivisionC | Norway 1. Division | ODD BallklubbOur prob 50%Best odds 1.93 | +2% | 51% | 50% | C | 1.93 |
| 1-1 FTBryne vs RaufossNorway 1. DivisionC | Norway 1. Division | BryneOur prob 75%Best odds 1.27 | +2% | 76% | 74% | C | 1.27 |
| 1-1 FThodd vs RanheimNorway 1. DivisionC | Norway 1. Division | RanheimOur prob 47%Best odds 2.11 | +5% | 50% | 46% | C | 2.11 |
| 0-0 FTMoss vs EgersundNorway 1. DivisionC | Norway 1. Division | MossOur prob 45%Best odds 2.17 | +4% | 48% | 44% | C | 2.17 |
| 1-1 FTES Setif vs JS KabylieAlgeria Ligue 1C | Algeria Ligue 1 | ES SetifOur prob 46%Best odds 2.15 | -1% | 45% | 47% | C | 2.15 |
| 0-2 FTTémouchent vs MB RouissetAlgeria Ligue 1C | Algeria Ligue 1 | TémouchentOur prob 44%Best odds 2.10 | -8% | 38% | 46% | C | 2.10 |
| 2-3 FTUnião Santarém vs GIL VicenteTaça de PortugalC | Taça de Portugal | GIL VicenteOur prob 55%Best odds 1.44 | -45% | 21% | 66% | C | 1.44 |
| 0-1 FTSporting JAX vs Birmingham LegionUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Birmingham LegionOur prob 51%Best odds 1.92 | +8% | 58% | 49% | C | 1.92 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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26 upcoming fixtures across 10 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
What happened next to what we predicted