Updated

15 October 2026

Football predictions today

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Top pick today

Celta Vigo vs Juventus

UEFA Europa League ·

Our pick
Juventus to win
Model prob.
60%
Market prob.
44%
Edge
+16%
Best odds
2.20
Matches today 22 across 6 competitions
Competitions 6 with fixtures today
Value picks 4 model edge ≥ 2%
High confidence 1 both teams xG-backed
Average edge +15.5% across value picks

Top opportunities

Largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live

All value bets
High edgeC

FC Copenhagen to win

FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga · UEFA Europa Conference League ·

Edge+26% Our prob44% Best odds2.62
Full prediction
High edgeC

Ferencvarosi TC to win

Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen · UEFA Europa League ·

Edge+14% Our prob53% Best odds2.00
Full prediction
High edgeC

Huracan to win

Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P. · Liga Profesional Argentina ·

Edge+6% Our prob38% Best odds2.75
Full prediction

Match explorer

67 fixtures today, 45 already played — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures today with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Mansfield Town vs Oxford UnitedLeague OneC League One Mansfield TownOur prob 39%Best odds 2.32 -10% 32% 41% C 2.32
Bournemouth vs Sturm GrazUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League BournemouthOur prob 73%Best odds 1.20 -33% 48% 81% B 1.20
Marseille vs Olympiakos PiraeusUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League MarseilleOur prob 37%Best odds 2.39 -15% 26% 41% B 2.39
Rennes vs OFIUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League RennesOur prob 69%Best odds 1.24 -41% 38% 79% B 1.24
Hoffenheim vs BeşiktaşUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League HoffenheimOur prob 44%Best odds 2.00 -21% 28% 49% B 2.00
Benfica vs CelticUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League BenficaOur prob 76%Best odds 1.26 -14% 65% 79% C 1.26
Jagiellonia vs Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League JagielloniaOur prob 60%Best odds 1.45 -31% 37% 68% C 1.45
NEC Nijmegen vs Levski SofiaUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League NEC NijmegenOur prob 42%Best odds 1.93 -34% 16% 50% C 1.93
Celta Vigo vs JuventusUEFA Europa LeagueA UEFA Europa League JuventusOur prob 48%Best odds 2.20 +16% 60% 44% A 2.20
Dinamo Zagreb vs AnderlechtUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League Dinamo ZagrebOur prob 44%Best odds 2.07 -12% 36% 47% C 2.07
Ferencvarosi TC vs PlzenUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League Ferencvarosi TCOur prob 53%Best odds 2.00 +14% 63% 50% C 2.00
Brighton vs Kauno ŽalgirisUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB UEFA Europa Conference League BrightonOur prob 81%Best odds 1.03 -48% 45% 94% B 1.03
Freiburg vs FK JablonecUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB UEFA Europa Conference League FreiburgOur prob 73%Best odds 1.22 -27% 53% 80% B 1.22
Heart Of Midlothian vs FC NordsjaellandUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League FC NordsjaellandOur prob 41%Best odds 2.32 -8% 34% 43% C 2.32
Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FCUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League BrannOur prob 77%Best odds 1.17 -23% 60% 83% C 1.17
FC Copenhagen vs SC BragaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League FC CopenhagenOur prob 44%Best odds 2.62 +26% 64% 38% C 2.62
Twente vs FC ThunUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League TwenteOur prob 79%Best odds 1.23 +2% 81% 79% C 1.23
Atalanta vs PafosUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB UEFA Europa Conference League AtalantaOur prob 61%Best odds 1.35 -44% 28% 72% B 1.35
St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999UEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League St. TruidenOur prob 73%Best odds 1.26 -16% 61% 77% C 1.26
Cobán Imperial vs MunicipalGuatemala Liga NacionalC Guatemala Liga Nacional MunicipalOur prob 36%Best odds 2.60 0% 37% 36% C 2.60
Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional ArgentinaC Liga Profesional Argentina HuracanOur prob 38%Best odds 2.75 +6% 43% 36% C 2.75
CD Marathon vs OlanchoHonduras Liga NacionalC Honduras Liga Nacional CD MarathonOur prob 53%Best odds 1.70 -7% 48% 55% C 1.70
1-0 FTFC Dallas vs Seattle SoundersMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer FC DallasOur prob 47%Best odds 1.90 -18% 34% 52% C 1.90
1-3 FTChicago Fire vs Philadelphia UnionMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Philadelphia UnionOur prob 42%Best odds 2.49 +11% 50% 39% C 2.49
4-0 FTNashville SC vs Sporting Kansas CityMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Nashville SCOur prob 78%Best odds 1.25 +1% 78% 78% C 1.25
0-0 FTSt. Louis City vs Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer St. Louis CityOur prob 48%Best odds 2.25 +17% 60% 44% C 2.25
1-2 FTFluminense vs PalmeirasCONMEBOL LibertadoresC CONMEBOL Libertadores FluminenseOur prob 34%Best odds 2.92 +1% 35% 34% C 2.92
1-1 FTGuastatoya vs Antigua GFCGuatemala Liga NacionalC Guatemala Liga Nacional GuastatoyaOur prob 46%Best odds 2.27 +20% 61% 41% C 2.27
1-1 FTReal Salt Lake vs San Jose EarthquakesMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Real Salt LakeOur prob 46%Best odds 2.00 -11% 38% 49% C 2.00
2-2 FTColorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FCMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Colorado RapidsOur prob 48%Best odds 2.09 +9% 55% 46% C 2.09
1-1 FTLD Alajuelense vs CS HeredianoCosta Rica Primera DivisiónC Costa Rica Primera División LD AlajuelenseOur prob 52%Best odds 1.93 +18% 66% 48% C 1.93
2-0 FTLos Angeles Galaxy vs Portland TimbersMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Los Angeles GalaxyOur prob 45%Best odds 2.11 -8% 39% 46% C 2.11
3-1 FTLos Angeles FC vs AustinMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Los Angeles FCOur prob 60%Best odds 1.47 -23% 43% 66% C 1.47
3-3 FTSan Diego vs Houston DynamoMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer San DiegoOur prob 41%Best odds 2.25 -11% 33% 44% C 2.25
1-1 FTMarquense vs MixcoGuatemala Liga NacionalC Guatemala Liga Nacional MarquenseOur prob 55%Best odds 1.74 +7% 60% 53% C 1.74
1-1 FTMalisheva vs PrishtinaKosovo SuperligaC Kosovo Superliga MalishevaOur prob 49%Best odds 1.88 -5% 45% 50% C 1.88
0-5 FTKataka vs VipersUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League VipersOur prob 60% — 60% — C —
1-2 FTExpress vs UPDFUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League ExpressOur prob 46%Best odds 2.00 -4% 43% 47% C 2.00
3-2 FTAl-Faisaly FC vs Al KholoodSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC Saudi Arabia Pro League Al-Faisaly FCOur prob 36% — 36% — C —
4-0 FTRīgas FS vs Super NovaVirsligaC Virsliga Rīgas FSOur prob 77%Best odds 1.14 -24% 59% 83% C 1.14
1-0 FTMardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük1. LigC 1. Lig Mardin 1969Our prob 45%Best odds 2.12 -1% 45% 46% C 2.12
2-0 FTAl Khaleej Saihat vs Al-FayhaSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC Saudi Arabia Pro League Al Khaleej SaihatOur prob 40%Best odds 2.16 -17% 28% 45% C 2.16
2-3 FTAl-Hazm vs Al-FatehSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC Saudi Arabia Pro League Al-HazmOur prob 41%Best odds 2.55 +13% 50% 38% C 2.55
1-3 FTFlora Tallinn vs FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliigaC Meistriliiga FC Levadia TallinnOur prob 66%Best odds 1.50 +12% 75% 63% C 1.50
0-0 FTURA vs Entebbe UPPCUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League Entebbe UPPCOur prob 39%Best odds 2.55 +9% 45% 37% C 2.55
1-3 FTPogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza NiepołomiceI LigaC I Liga Pogoń SiedlceOur prob 36%Best odds 3.05 +5% 40% 35% C 3.05
3-2 FTLyon vs Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa LeagueA UEFA Europa League LyonOur prob 44%Best odds 2.45 +18% 58% 40% A 2.45
2-1 FTAZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League AZ AlkmaarOur prob 66%Best odds 1.37 -21% 50% 71% C 1.37
0-4 FTLech Poznan vs Bayer LeverkusenUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League Bayer LeverkusenOur prob 53%Best odds 1.60 -34% 27% 61% B 1.60
0-4 FTRed Bull Salzburg vs AC MilanUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League Red Bull SalzburgOur prob 39%Best odds 3.90 +52% 77% 26% B 3.90
1-1 FTSparta Praha vs LillestromUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League Sparta PrahaOur prob 70%Best odds 1.38 -5% 67% 72% C 1.38
1-1 FTUnion St. Gilloise vs Real SociedadUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League Union St. GilloiseOur prob 50%Best odds 2.59 +47% 86% 38% B 2.59
0-3 FTCelje vs Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League Omonia NicosiaOur prob 41%Best odds 2.60 +14% 51% 37% C 2.60
1-2 FTTorreense vs SunderlandUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League SunderlandOur prob 62%Best odds 1.33 -44% 29% 73% B 1.33
3-2 FTFC Lugano vs FK Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League FC LuganoOur prob 45%Best odds 2.39 +16% 57% 41% C 2.39
2-1 FTHNK Hajduk Split vs AjaxUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League AjaxOur prob 51%Best odds 1.70 -29% 29% 58% C 1.70
2-1 FTPanathinaikos vs Borac Banja LukaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League PanathinaikosOur prob 70%Best odds 1.24 -33% 46% 78% C 1.24
1-0 FTGent vs AarhusUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League GentOur prob 60%Best odds 1.70 +9% 66% 58% C 1.70
1-1 FTUniversitatea Craiova vs GetafeUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB UEFA Europa Conference League Universitatea CraiovaOur prob 43%Best odds 3.08 +43% 75% 32% B 3.08
1-2 FTCSKA Sofia vs MonacoUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB UEFA Europa Conference League MonacoOur prob 52%Best odds 1.55 -47% 16% 63% B 1.55
2-4 FTKuPS vs TrabzonsporUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League TrabzonsporOur prob 55%Best odds 1.62 -23% 37% 61% C 1.62
2-0 FTMjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'EscaldesUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League Mjallby AIFOur prob 58%Best odds 1.36 -53% 18% 71% C 1.36
1-1 FTEgnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC MidtjyllandUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League FC MidtjyllandOur prob 56%Best odds 1.57 -26% 36% 62% C 1.57
1-1 FTRiga vs Kairat AlmatyUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League RigaOur prob 51%Best odds 1.96 +9% 58% 49% C 1.96
1-1 FTManisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor1. LigC 1. Lig Esenler EroksporOur prob 39%Best odds 2.06 -28% 18% 46% C 2.06
0-3 FTMuğlaspor vs Bursaspor1. LigC 1. Lig BursasporOur prob 52%Best odds 1.63 -24% 34% 58% C 1.63
2-1 FTXelajú vs MalacatecoGuatemala Liga NacionalC Guatemala Liga Nacional XelajúOur prob 65%Best odds 1.48 +6% 70% 63% C 1.48

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Competitions in our window

22 upcoming fixtures across 6 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page

All competitions
  • League One England 1 fixture
  • UEFA Europa League World 10 fixtures
  • UEFA Europa Conference League World 8 fixtures
  • Guatemala Liga Nacional Guatemala 1 fixture
  • Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina 1 fixture
  • Honduras Liga Nacional Honduras 1 fixture

Recent results

What happened next to what we predicted

Guatemala Liga Nacional
1. Lig
UEFA Europa Conference League