Top pick today
Celta Vigo
vs
Juventus
- Our pick
- Juventus to win
- Model prob.
- 60%
- Market prob.
- 44%
- Edge
- +16%
- Best odds
- 2.20
Updated
15 October 2026
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Top pick today
Largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
FC Copenhagen to win
Ferencvarosi TC to win
Huracan to win
67 fixtures today, 45 already played — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town vs Oxford UnitedLeague OneC | League One | Mansfield TownOur prob 39%Best odds 2.32 | -10% | 32% | 41% | C | 2.32 |
| Bournemouth vs Sturm GrazUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | BournemouthOur prob 73%Best odds 1.20 | -33% | 48% | 81% | B | 1.20 |
| Marseille vs Olympiakos PiraeusUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | MarseilleOur prob 37%Best odds 2.39 | -15% | 26% | 41% | B | 2.39 |
| Rennes vs OFIUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | RennesOur prob 69%Best odds 1.24 | -41% | 38% | 79% | B | 1.24 |
| Hoffenheim vs BeşiktaşUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | HoffenheimOur prob 44%Best odds 2.00 | -21% | 28% | 49% | B | 2.00 |
| Benfica vs CelticUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | BenficaOur prob 76%Best odds 1.26 | -14% | 65% | 79% | C | 1.26 |
| Jagiellonia vs Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | JagielloniaOur prob 60%Best odds 1.45 | -31% | 37% | 68% | C | 1.45 |
| NEC Nijmegen vs Levski SofiaUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | NEC NijmegenOur prob 42%Best odds 1.93 | -34% | 16% | 50% | C | 1.93 |
| Celta Vigo vs JuventusUEFA Europa LeagueA | UEFA Europa League | JuventusOur prob 48%Best odds 2.20 | +16% | 60% | 44% | A | 2.20 |
| Dinamo Zagreb vs AnderlechtUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | Dinamo ZagrebOur prob 44%Best odds 2.07 | -12% | 36% | 47% | C | 2.07 |
| Ferencvarosi TC vs PlzenUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | Ferencvarosi TCOur prob 53%Best odds 2.00 | +14% | 63% | 50% | C | 2.00 |
| Brighton vs Kauno ŽalgirisUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB | UEFA Europa Conference League | BrightonOur prob 81%Best odds 1.03 | -48% | 45% | 94% | B | 1.03 |
| Freiburg vs FK JablonecUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB | UEFA Europa Conference League | FreiburgOur prob 73%Best odds 1.22 | -27% | 53% | 80% | B | 1.22 |
| Heart Of Midlothian vs FC NordsjaellandUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | FC NordsjaellandOur prob 41%Best odds 2.32 | -8% | 34% | 43% | C | 2.32 |
| Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FCUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | BrannOur prob 77%Best odds 1.17 | -23% | 60% | 83% | C | 1.17 |
| FC Copenhagen vs SC BragaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | FC CopenhagenOur prob 44%Best odds 2.62 | +26% | 64% | 38% | C | 2.62 |
| Twente vs FC ThunUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | TwenteOur prob 79%Best odds 1.23 | +2% | 81% | 79% | C | 1.23 |
| Atalanta vs PafosUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB | UEFA Europa Conference League | AtalantaOur prob 61%Best odds 1.35 | -44% | 28% | 72% | B | 1.35 |
| St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999UEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | St. TruidenOur prob 73%Best odds 1.26 | -16% | 61% | 77% | C | 1.26 |
| Cobán Imperial vs MunicipalGuatemala Liga NacionalC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | MunicipalOur prob 36%Best odds 2.60 | 0% | 37% | 36% | C | 2.60 |
| Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional ArgentinaC | Liga Profesional Argentina | HuracanOur prob 38%Best odds 2.75 | +6% | 43% | 36% | C | 2.75 |
| CD Marathon vs OlanchoHonduras Liga NacionalC | Honduras Liga Nacional | CD MarathonOur prob 53%Best odds 1.70 | -7% | 48% | 55% | C | 1.70 |
| 1-0 FTFC Dallas vs Seattle SoundersMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | FC DallasOur prob 47%Best odds 1.90 | -18% | 34% | 52% | C | 1.90 |
| 1-3 FTChicago Fire vs Philadelphia UnionMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia UnionOur prob 42%Best odds 2.49 | +11% | 50% | 39% | C | 2.49 |
| 4-0 FTNashville SC vs Sporting Kansas CityMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Nashville SCOur prob 78%Best odds 1.25 | +1% | 78% | 78% | C | 1.25 |
| 0-0 FTSt. Louis City vs Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | St. Louis CityOur prob 48%Best odds 2.25 | +17% | 60% | 44% | C | 2.25 |
| 1-2 FTFluminense vs PalmeirasCONMEBOL LibertadoresC | CONMEBOL Libertadores | FluminenseOur prob 34%Best odds 2.92 | +1% | 35% | 34% | C | 2.92 |
| 1-1 FTGuastatoya vs Antigua GFCGuatemala Liga NacionalC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | GuastatoyaOur prob 46%Best odds 2.27 | +20% | 61% | 41% | C | 2.27 |
| 1-1 FTReal Salt Lake vs San Jose EarthquakesMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Real Salt LakeOur prob 46%Best odds 2.00 | -11% | 38% | 49% | C | 2.00 |
| 2-2 FTColorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FCMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Colorado RapidsOur prob 48%Best odds 2.09 | +9% | 55% | 46% | C | 2.09 |
| 1-1 FTLD Alajuelense vs CS HeredianoCosta Rica Primera DivisiónC | Costa Rica Primera División | LD AlajuelenseOur prob 52%Best odds 1.93 | +18% | 66% | 48% | C | 1.93 |
| 2-0 FTLos Angeles Galaxy vs Portland TimbersMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Los Angeles GalaxyOur prob 45%Best odds 2.11 | -8% | 39% | 46% | C | 2.11 |
| 3-1 FTLos Angeles FC vs AustinMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Los Angeles FCOur prob 60%Best odds 1.47 | -23% | 43% | 66% | C | 1.47 |
| 3-3 FTSan Diego vs Houston DynamoMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | San DiegoOur prob 41%Best odds 2.25 | -11% | 33% | 44% | C | 2.25 |
| 1-1 FTMarquense vs MixcoGuatemala Liga NacionalC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | MarquenseOur prob 55%Best odds 1.74 | +7% | 60% | 53% | C | 1.74 |
| 1-1 FTMalisheva vs PrishtinaKosovo SuperligaC | Kosovo Superliga | MalishevaOur prob 49%Best odds 1.88 | -5% | 45% | 50% | C | 1.88 |
| 0-5 FTKataka vs VipersUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | VipersOur prob 60% | — | 60% | — | C | — |
| 1-2 FTExpress vs UPDFUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | ExpressOur prob 46%Best odds 2.00 | -4% | 43% | 47% | C | 2.00 |
| 3-2 FTAl-Faisaly FC vs Al KholoodSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-Faisaly FCOur prob 36% | — | 36% | — | C | — |
| 4-0 FTRīgas FS vs Super NovaVirsligaC | Virsliga | Rīgas FSOur prob 77%Best odds 1.14 | -24% | 59% | 83% | C | 1.14 |
| 1-0 FTMardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük1. LigC | 1. Lig | Mardin 1969Our prob 45%Best odds 2.12 | -1% | 45% | 46% | C | 2.12 |
| 2-0 FTAl Khaleej Saihat vs Al-FayhaSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Khaleej SaihatOur prob 40%Best odds 2.16 | -17% | 28% | 45% | C | 2.16 |
| 2-3 FTAl-Hazm vs Al-FatehSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-HazmOur prob 41%Best odds 2.55 | +13% | 50% | 38% | C | 2.55 |
| 1-3 FTFlora Tallinn vs FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliigaC | Meistriliiga | FC Levadia TallinnOur prob 66%Best odds 1.50 | +12% | 75% | 63% | C | 1.50 |
| 0-0 FTURA vs Entebbe UPPCUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | Entebbe UPPCOur prob 39%Best odds 2.55 | +9% | 45% | 37% | C | 2.55 |
| 1-3 FTPogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza NiepołomiceI LigaC | I Liga | Pogoń SiedlceOur prob 36%Best odds 3.05 | +5% | 40% | 35% | C | 3.05 |
| 3-2 FTLyon vs Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa LeagueA | UEFA Europa League | LyonOur prob 44%Best odds 2.45 | +18% | 58% | 40% | A | 2.45 |
| 2-1 FTAZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | AZ AlkmaarOur prob 66%Best odds 1.37 | -21% | 50% | 71% | C | 1.37 |
| 0-4 FTLech Poznan vs Bayer LeverkusenUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | Bayer LeverkusenOur prob 53%Best odds 1.60 | -34% | 27% | 61% | B | 1.60 |
| 0-4 FTRed Bull Salzburg vs AC MilanUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | Red Bull SalzburgOur prob 39%Best odds 3.90 | +52% | 77% | 26% | B | 3.90 |
| 1-1 FTSparta Praha vs LillestromUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | Sparta PrahaOur prob 70%Best odds 1.38 | -5% | 67% | 72% | C | 1.38 |
| 1-1 FTUnion St. Gilloise vs Real SociedadUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | Union St. GilloiseOur prob 50%Best odds 2.59 | +47% | 86% | 38% | B | 2.59 |
| 0-3 FTCelje vs Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | Omonia NicosiaOur prob 41%Best odds 2.60 | +14% | 51% | 37% | C | 2.60 |
| 1-2 FTTorreense vs SunderlandUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | SunderlandOur prob 62%Best odds 1.33 | -44% | 29% | 73% | B | 1.33 |
| 3-2 FTFC Lugano vs FK Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | FC LuganoOur prob 45%Best odds 2.39 | +16% | 57% | 41% | C | 2.39 |
| 2-1 FTHNK Hajduk Split vs AjaxUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | AjaxOur prob 51%Best odds 1.70 | -29% | 29% | 58% | C | 1.70 |
| 2-1 FTPanathinaikos vs Borac Banja LukaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | PanathinaikosOur prob 70%Best odds 1.24 | -33% | 46% | 78% | C | 1.24 |
| 1-0 FTGent vs AarhusUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | GentOur prob 60%Best odds 1.70 | +9% | 66% | 58% | C | 1.70 |
| 1-1 FTUniversitatea Craiova vs GetafeUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB | UEFA Europa Conference League | Universitatea CraiovaOur prob 43%Best odds 3.08 | +43% | 75% | 32% | B | 3.08 |
| 1-2 FTCSKA Sofia vs MonacoUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB | UEFA Europa Conference League | MonacoOur prob 52%Best odds 1.55 | -47% | 16% | 63% | B | 1.55 |
| 2-4 FTKuPS vs TrabzonsporUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | TrabzonsporOur prob 55%Best odds 1.62 | -23% | 37% | 61% | C | 1.62 |
| 2-0 FTMjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'EscaldesUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | Mjallby AIFOur prob 58%Best odds 1.36 | -53% | 18% | 71% | C | 1.36 |
| 1-1 FTEgnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC MidtjyllandUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | FC MidtjyllandOur prob 56%Best odds 1.57 | -26% | 36% | 62% | C | 1.57 |
| 1-1 FTRiga vs Kairat AlmatyUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | RigaOur prob 51%Best odds 1.96 | +9% | 58% | 49% | C | 1.96 |
| 1-1 FTManisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor1. LigC | 1. Lig | Esenler EroksporOur prob 39%Best odds 2.06 | -28% | 18% | 46% | C | 2.06 |
| 0-3 FTMuğlaspor vs Bursaspor1. LigC | 1. Lig | BursasporOur prob 52%Best odds 1.63 | -24% | 34% | 58% | C | 1.63 |
| 2-1 FTXelajú vs MalacatecoGuatemala Liga NacionalC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | XelajúOur prob 65%Best odds 1.48 | +6% | 70% | 63% | C | 1.48 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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22 upcoming fixtures across 6 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
What happened next to what we predicted