Top pick today
Celtic
vs
Celta Vigo
- Our pick
- Celtic to win
- Model prob.
- 69%
- Market prob.
- 35%
- Edge
- +34%
- Best odds
- 2.74
Matches today
58
across 13 competitions
Competitions
13
with fixtures today
Value picks
14
model edge ≥ 2%
High confidence
4
both teams xG-backed
Average edge
+17.7%
across value picks
Top opportunities
Largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
High edgeB
Ajax to win
Edge+34%
Our prob53%
Best odds2.21
Full prediction High edgeB
Beşiktaş to win
Edge+23%
Our prob51%
Best odds2.17
Full prediction High edgeA
Bournemouth to win
Edge+18%
Our prob50%
Best odds2.15
Full prediction Match explorer
59 fixtures today, 1 already played — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras vs FluminenseCONMEBOL LibertadoresC | CONMEBOL Libertadores | PalmeirasOur prob 57%Best odds 2.01 | +14% | 68% | 54% | C | 2.01 |
| Toluca vs Club TijuanaLiga MXC | Liga MX | TolucaOur prob 69%Best odds 1.36 | -5% | 65% | 70% | C | 1.36 |
| Atlas vs Club AmericaLiga MXC | Liga MX | Club AmericaOur prob 45%Best odds 2.10 | -4% | 42% | 46% | C | 2.10 |
| Puebla vs MonterreyLiga MXC | Liga MX | MonterreyOur prob 47%Best odds 1.85 | -17% | 35% | 52% | C | 1.85 |
| Santa Fe vs JaguaresPrimera AC | Primera A | Santa FeOur prob 70%Best odds 1.35 | -6% | 65% | 72% | C | 1.35 |
| FAS vs Isidro MetapánPrimera DivisionC | Primera Division | FASOur prob 43%Best odds 2.20 | +5% | 47% | 42% | C | 2.20 |
| Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MXC | Liga MX | Santos LagunaOur prob 47%Best odds 2.30 | +21% | 63% | 42% | C | 2.30 |
| CF Pachuca vs Cruz AzulLiga MXC | Liga MX | Cruz AzulOur prob 40%Best odds 2.31 | -4% | 38% | 41% | C | 2.31 |
| Mornar vs Mladost DGMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | MornarOur prob 62%Best odds 1.47 | -6% | 58% | 64% | C | 1.47 |
| Bihor Oradea vs CSM ReşiţaLiga IIC | Liga II | Bihor OradeaOur prob 45%Best odds 2.21 | +15% | 57% | 41% | C | 2.21 |
| SC Villa vs Mbarara CityUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | SC VillaOur prob 79% | — | 79% | — | C | — |
| Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Entebbe UPPCUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | Entebbe UPPCOur prob 56% | — | 56% | — | C | — |
| Al-Hazm vs Al-FayhaSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-HazmOur prob 41%Best odds 2.31 | -1% | 40% | 42% | C | 2.31 |
| Al Shahaniya vs Al SaddStars LeagueC | Stars League | Al SaddOur prob 70%Best odds 1.37 | 0% | 70% | 70% | C | 1.37 |
| Kairat Almaty vs PanathinaikosUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | PanathinaikosOur prob 53%Best odds 1.69 | -20% | 37% | 58% | C | 1.69 |
| Al-Fateh vs Al ShababSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al ShababOur prob 44%Best odds 2.18 | 0% | 44% | 44% | C | 2.18 |
| Sardarapat vs FC UrartuArmenia Premier LeagueC | Armenia Premier League | FC UrartuOur prob 48%Best odds 1.85 | -10% | 41% | 51% | C | 1.85 |
| Birkirkara vs FlorianaMalta Premier LeagueC | Malta Premier League | FlorianaOur prob 43%Best odds 2.15 | +1% | 44% | 43% | C | 2.15 |
| Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal TivatMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | Buducnost PodgoricaOur prob 62%Best odds 1.57 | +9% | 69% | 60% | C | 1.57 |
| KCCA vs UPDFUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | KCCAOur prob 57% | — | 57% | — | C | — |
| Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli DohaStars LeagueC | Stars League | Al-GharafaOur prob 38%Best odds 2.18 | -19% | 24% | 43% | C | 2.18 |
| Lech Poznan vs SunderlandUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | SunderlandOur prob 45%Best odds 1.70 | -45% | 11% | 56% | B | 1.70 |
| Juventus vs RennesUEFA Europa LeagueA | UEFA Europa League | JuventusOur prob 64%Best odds 1.61 | +15% | 76% | 60% | A | 1.61 |
| Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | Dinamo ZagrebOur prob 63%Best odds 1.69 | +19% | 77% | 58% | C | 1.69 |
| Sturm Graz vs MarseilleUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | MarseilleOur prob 39%Best odds 2.11 | -29% | 17% | 46% | B | 2.11 |
| Ferencvarosi TC vs TorreenseUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | Ferencvarosi TCOur prob 68%Best odds 1.37 | -10% | 61% | 71% | C | 1.37 |
| OFI vs Bayer LeverkusenUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | Bayer LeverkusenOur prob 70%Best odds 1.25 | -30% | 47% | 77% | B | 1.25 |
| Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | Union St. GilloiseOur prob 71%Best odds 1.34 | -2% | 69% | 72% | C | 1.34 |
| Ararat-Armenia vs AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | AZ AlkmaarOur prob 55%Best odds 1.55 | -30% | 32% | 62% | C | 1.55 |
| FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA SofiaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | FC NordsjaellandOur prob 63%Best odds 1.43 | -20% | 48% | 68% | C | 1.43 |
| Getafe vs FC LuganoUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB | UEFA Europa Conference League | GetafeOur prob 42%Best odds 1.85 | -44% | 9% | 53% | B | 1.85 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC CopenhagenUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | FK Crvena ZvezdaOur prob 41%Best odds 2.33 | -3% | 39% | 42% | C | 2.33 |
| Trabzonspor vs Heart Of MidlothianUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | TrabzonsporOur prob 72%Best odds 1.34 | +1% | 73% | 72% | C | 1.34 |
| FK Jablonec vs BrightonUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB | UEFA Europa Conference League | BrightonOur prob 67%Best odds 1.30 | -27% | 47% | 73% | B | 1.30 |
| Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea CraiovaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | Universitatea CraiovaOur prob 56%Best odds 1.63 | -9% | 50% | 59% | C | 1.63 |
| Pafos vs RigaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | PafosOur prob 52%Best odds 1.65 | -23% | 36% | 58% | C | 1.65 |
| FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIFUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | Mjallby AIFOur prob 38%Best odds 2.27 | -19% | 24% | 42% | C | 2.27 |
| Kauno Žalgiris vs BrannUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | BrannOur prob 46%Best odds 1.81 | -31% | 22% | 54% | C | 1.81 |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej SaihatSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-Ahli JeddahOur prob 72%Best odds 1.35 | +1% | 72% | 71% | C | 1.35 |
| Hibernians vs Gzira UnitedMalta Premier LeagueC | Malta Premier League | HiberniansOur prob 47%Best odds 1.89 | -4% | 44% | 49% | C | 1.89 |
| Bournemouth vs AC MilanUEFA Europa LeagueA | UEFA Europa League | BournemouthOur prob 50%Best odds 2.15 | +18% | 63% | 45% | A | 2.15 |
| Hoffenheim vs LyonUEFA Europa LeagueA | UEFA Europa League | HoffenheimOur prob 46%Best odds 2.07 | -5% | 42% | 47% | A | 2.07 |
| Celtic vs Celta VigoUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | CelticOur prob 44%Best odds 2.74 | +34% | 69% | 35% | B | 2.74 |
| Lillestrom vs Real SociedadUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | Real SociedadOur prob 51%Best odds 1.56 | -44% | 18% | 62% | B | 1.56 |
| Jagiellonia vs AnderlechtUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | AnderlechtOur prob 41%Best odds 2.29 | -6% | 36% | 42% | C | 2.29 |
| Beşiktaş vs Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | BeşiktaşOur prob 51%Best odds 2.17 | +23% | 69% | 45% | B | 2.17 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta PrahaUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | Olympiakos PiraeusOur prob 59%Best odds 1.53 | -17% | 46% | 63% | C | 1.53 |
| Plzen vs Levski SofiaUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | PlzenOur prob 48%Best odds 1.82 | -23% | 31% | 53% | C | 1.82 |
| Omonia Nicosia vs BenficaUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | BenficaOur prob 60%Best odds 1.41 | -35% | 34% | 69% | C | 1.41 |
| Celje vs Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | Red Bull SalzburgOur prob 57%Best odds 1.65 | -4% | 54% | 58% | C | 1.65 |
| Monaco vs FreiburgUEFA Europa Conference LeagueA | UEFA Europa Conference League | MonacoOur prob 41%Best odds 2.27 | -6% | 37% | 42% | A | 2.27 |
| Ajax vs AtalantaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB | UEFA Europa Conference League | AjaxOur prob 53%Best odds 2.21 | +34% | 78% | 45% | B | 2.21 |
| SC Braga vs GentUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | SC BragaOur prob 48%Best odds 1.73 | -32% | 24% | 56% | C | 1.73 |
| FC Midtjylland vs St. TruidenUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | FC MidtjyllandOur prob 61%Best odds 1.67 | +14% | 71% | 57% | C | 1.67 |
| Aarhus vs Egnatia RrogozhinëUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | AarhusOur prob 54%Best odds 1.57 | -30% | 31% | 61% | C | 1.57 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC vs TwenteUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | TwenteOur prob 70%Best odds 1.24 | -30% | 47% | 77% | C | 1.24 |
| FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | HNK Hajduk SplitOur prob 44%Best odds 2.52 | +17% | 56% | 39% | C | 2.52 |
| Borac Banja Luka vs KuPSUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | Borac Banja LukaOur prob 53%Best odds 1.95 | +10% | 60% | 50% | C | 1.95 |
| 0-0 FTColumbus Crew vs St. Louis CityUS Open CupC | US Open Cup | Columbus CrewOur prob 40%Best odds 2.42 | -1% | 39% | 40% | C | 2.42 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Competitions in our window
58 upcoming fixtures across 13 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
- CONMEBOL Libertadores World 1 fixture
- Liga MX Mexico 5 fixtures
- Primera A Colombia 1 fixture
- Primera Division El Salvador 1 fixture
- Montenegro First League Montenegro 2 fixtures
- Liga II Romania 1 fixture
- Uganda Premier League Uganda 3 fixtures
- Saudi Arabia Pro League Saudi Arabia 3 fixtures
- Stars League Qatar 2 fixtures
- UEFA Europa Conference League World 18 fixtures
- Armenia Premier League Armenia 1 fixture
- Malta Premier League Malta 2 fixtures
- UEFA Europa League World 18 fixtures
Recent results
What happened next to what we predicted
US Open Cup