Top pick today
Celta Vigo
vs
Union St. Gilloise
- Our pick
- Union St. Gilloise to win
- Our prob.
- 39%
- Market prob.
- 32%
- Edge
- +8%
- Best odds
- 3.14
Updated
5 November 2026
Today's fixture between Celta Vigo and Union St. Gilloise features a notable edge, with our model giving Union St. Gilloise a probability of 39% compared to the market's 32%, resulting in an edge of +7.9 percentage points. This analysis is based on xG-based team ratings blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds. Factors such as player injuries or unexpected performances could influence the outcome and make this prediction less reliable.
Top pick today
Largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
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69 fixtures today, 11 already played — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ntugasaze vs Entebbe UPPCUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | Entebbe UPPCOur prob 66%Best odds 1.38 | -1% | 66% | 67% | C | 1.38 |
| NAPSA Stars vs Power DynamosZambia Super LeagueC | Zambia Super League | Power DynamosOur prob 40%Best odds 2.45 | -4% | 40% | 44% | C | 2.45 |
| Konkola Blades vs TridentZambia Super LeagueC | Zambia Super League | Konkola BladesOur prob 58% | — | 58% | — | C | — |
| Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO UnitedZambia Super LeagueC | Zambia Super League | ZESCO UnitedOur prob 38%Best odds 2.38 | -1% | 38% | 39% | C | 2.38 |
| Nchanga Rangers vs Makeni All StarsZambia Super LeagueC | Zambia Super League | Nchanga RangersOur prob 54% | — | 54% | — | C | — |
| Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira WanderersZambia Super LeagueC | Zambia Super League | Mufulira WanderersOur prob 35%Best odds 2.26 | -5% | 35% | 40% | C | 2.26 |
| Chirundu Utd vs Green EaglesZambia Super LeagueC | Zambia Super League | DrawOur prob 44% | — | 44% | — | C | — |
| Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej SaihatPostponedSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al KholoodOur prob 40%Best odds 2.65 | -3% | 40% | 43% | C | 2.65 |
| Chindia Targoviste vs Popești-LeordeniLiga IIC | Liga II | Chindia TargovisteOur prob 59%Best odds 1.56 | -1% | 59% | 60% | C | 1.56 |
| Abha vs Al ShababPostponedSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al ShababOur prob 58%Best odds 2.03 | +1% | 58% | 57% | C | 2.03 |
| Express vs Blacks PowerUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | ExpressOur prob 45% | — | 45% | — | C | — |
| Vipers vs LugaziUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | VipersOur prob 77%Best odds 1.17 | -2% | 77% | 79% | C | 1.17 |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-FayhaPostponedSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-Qadisiyah FCOur prob 80%Best odds 1.47 | -2% | 80% | 82% | C | 1.47 |
| Crystal Palace vs HoffenheimUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | Crystal PalaceOur prob 45%Best odds 1.91 | -6% | 45% | 51% | B | 1.91 |
| Lillestrom vs PlzenUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | PlzenOur prob 41%Best odds 2.25 | -2% | 41% | 43% | C | 2.25 |
| NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | NEC NijmegenOur prob 47%Best odds 1.83 | -7% | 47% | 54% | C | 1.83 |
| AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TCUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | AC MilanOur prob 58%Best odds 1.37 | -13% | 58% | 71% | B | 1.37 |
| Real Sociedad vs LyonUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | Real SociedadOur prob 54%Best odds 1.85 | -2% | 54% | 56% | B | 1.85 |
| Anderlecht vs Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | AnderlechtOur prob 44%Best odds 2.02 | -5% | 44% | 48% | C | 2.02 |
| Sparta Praha vs BournemouthUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | BournemouthOur prob 57%Best odds 1.52 | -6% | 57% | 63% | B | 1.52 |
| Levski Sofia vs JagielloniaUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | Levski SofiaOur prob 47%Best odds 2.08 | 0% | 47% | 47% | C | 2.08 |
| FC Midtjylland vs AjaxUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | FC MidtjyllandOur prob 39%Best odds 2.78 | +3% | 39% | 36% | C | 2.78 |
| Aarhus vs SC BragaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | SC BragaOur prob 43%Best odds 2.03 | -5% | 43% | 48% | C | 2.03 |
| Atalanta vs Kairat AlmatyUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB | UEFA Europa Conference League | AtalantaOur prob 71%Best odds 1.17 | -11% | 71% | 82% | B | 1.17 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'EscaldesUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | FK Crvena ZvezdaOur prob 86%Best odds 1.08 | -4% | 86% | 89% | C | 1.08 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | HNK Hajduk SplitOur prob 68%Best odds 1.40 | -2% | 68% | 69% | C | 1.40 |
| Trabzonspor vs FreiburgUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | TrabzonsporOur prob 46%Best odds 2.48 | +7% | 46% | 39% | C | 2.48 |
| FC Thun vs Heart Of MidlothianUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | FC ThunOur prob 42%Best odds 2.33 | +1% | 42% | 42% | C | 2.33 |
| KuPS vs GentUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | GentOur prob 54%Best odds 1.70 | -3% | 54% | 57% | C | 1.70 |
| Mjallby AIF vs Borac Banja LukaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | Borac Banja LukaOur prob 36%Best odds 3.40 | +6% | 36% | 30% | C | 3.40 |
| Aldosivi vs River PlateLiga Profesional ArgentinaC | Liga Profesional Argentina | River PlateOur prob 63%Best odds 1.45 | -4% | 63% | 67% | C | 1.45 |
| Tarancón vs LevantePostponedCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | LevanteOur prob 73%Best odds 1.17 | -8% | 73% | 81% | B | 1.17 |
| Bayer Leverkusen vs MarseilleUEFA Europa LeagueA | UEFA Europa League | Bayer LeverkusenOur prob 73%Best odds 1.34 | 0% | 73% | 73% | A | 1.34 |
| AZ Alkmaar vs JuventusUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | JuventusOur prob 46%Best odds 2.04 | -2% | 46% | 48% | B | 2.04 |
| Benfica vs Lech PoznanUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | BenficaOur prob 80%Best odds 1.17 | -4% | 80% | 83% | C | 1.17 |
| Celtic vs BeşiktaşUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | BeşiktaşOur prob 42%Best odds 2.23 | -1% | 42% | 43% | C | 2.23 |
| Celta Vigo vs Union St. GilloiseUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | Union St. GilloiseOur prob 39%Best odds 3.14 | +8% | 39% | 32% | B | 3.14 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFIUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | Hapoel Beer ShevaOur prob 48%Best odds 2.16 | +3% | 48% | 45% | C | 2.16 |
| Sturm Graz vs CeljeUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | Sturm GrazOur prob 58%Best odds 1.55 | -4% | 58% | 63% | C | 1.55 |
| Sunderland vs Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | SunderlandOur prob 59%Best odds 1.52 | -5% | 59% | 65% | B | 1.52 |
| Torreense vs Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | TorreenseOur prob 48%Best odds 1.83 | -6% | 48% | 53% | C | 1.83 |
| Monaco vs FC NordsjaellandUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB | UEFA Europa Conference League | MonacoOur prob 63%Best odds 1.47 | -4% | 63% | 67% | B | 1.47 |
| FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999UEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | FC CopenhagenOur prob 81%Best odds 1.19 | 0% | 81% | 81% | C | 1.19 |
| Twente vs PafosUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | TwenteOur prob 74%Best odds 1.32 | 0% | 74% | 73% | C | 1.32 |
| Getafe vs BrightonUEFA Europa Conference LeagueA | UEFA Europa Conference League | BrightonOur prob 57%Best odds 1.62 | -3% | 57% | 61% | A | 1.62 |
| FC Lugano vs Kauno ŽalgirisUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | FC LuganoOur prob 80%Best odds 1.19 | -1% | 80% | 81% | C | 1.19 |
| Panathinaikos vs CSKA SofiaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | PanathinaikosOur prob 66%Best odds 1.48 | 0% | 66% | 66% | C | 1.48 |
| Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia RrogozhinëUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | Universitatea CraiovaOur prob 66%Best odds 1.45 | -1% | 66% | 67% | C | 1.45 |
| St. Truiden vs BrannUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | St. TruidenOur prob 54%Best odds 1.73 | -3% | 54% | 56% | C | 1.73 |
| Riga vs FK JablonecUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC | UEFA Europa Conference League | RigaOur prob 47%Best odds 2.45 | +7% | 47% | 40% | C | 2.45 |
| Alcoyano vs MallorcaPostponedCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | MallorcaOur prob 60%Best odds 1.57 | 0% | 60% | 60% | C | 1.57 |
| Génesis vs Real EspanaHonduras Liga NacionalC | Honduras Liga Nacional | Real EspanaOur prob 46%Best odds 2.08 | +2% | 46% | 44% | C | 2.08 |
| Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional ArgentinaC | Liga Profesional Argentina | Gimnasia L.P.Our prob 44%Best odds 2.33 | +3% | 44% | 42% | C | 2.33 |
| Palmeiras vs RemoBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | PalmeirasOur prob 74%Best odds 1.25 | -4% | 74% | 77% | C | 1.25 |
| Botafogo SP vs LondrinaBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | Botafogo SPOur prob 55%Best odds 1.78 | 0% | 55% | 54% | C | 1.78 |
| Universidad de Concepcion vs O'HigginsChile Primera DivisiónC | Chile Primera División | O'HigginsOur prob 39%Best odds 2.43 | 0% | 39% | 39% | C | 2.43 |
| Inter San Carlos vs CS CartaginesCosta Rica Primera DivisiónC | Costa Rica Primera División | CS CartaginesOur prob 43%Best odds 2.43 | +4% | 43% | 39% | C | 2.43 |
| Atlético Choloma vs Atletico IndependienteHonduras Liga NacionalC | Honduras Liga Nacional | Atlético CholomaOur prob 48%Best odds 2.04 | +2% | 48% | 46% | C | 2.04 |
| 0-1 FTPuntarenas FC vs San CarlosCosta Rica Primera DivisiónC | Costa Rica Primera División | Puntarenas FCOur prob 44%Best odds 2.22 | +1% | 44% | 43% | C | 2.22 |
| 0-1 FTSporting Baie-Mahault vs Siroco Les AbymesCoupe de FranceC | Coupe de France | Siroco Les AbymesOur prob 53% | — | 53% | — | C | — |
| 1-0 FTBotafogo vs Atletico-MGBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | BotafogoOur prob 51%Best odds 1.70 | -6% | 51% | 57% | C | 1.70 |
| 0-0 FTSao Paulo vs CorinthiansBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | Sao PauloOur prob 44%Best odds 2.49 | +4% | 44% | 40% | C | 2.49 |
| 2-0 FTFirpo vs AlianzaPrimera DivisionC | Primera Division | FirpoOur prob 53%Best odds 1.73 | -1% | 53% | 54% | C | 1.73 |
| 1-1 FTMunicipal Limeño vs Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera DivisionC | Primera Division | Municipal LimeñoOur prob 56%Best odds 1.65 | -1% | 56% | 57% | C | 1.65 |
| 0-1 FTTlaxcala vs CA La PazLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | CA La PazOur prob 38%Best odds 2.47 | -1% | 38% | 39% | C | 2.47 |
| 0-0 FTMillonarios vs America de CaliPrimera AC | Primera A | MillonariosOur prob 49%Best odds 1.92 | -1% | 49% | 50% | C | 1.92 |
| 2-2 FTUniversitario vs Sport BoysPeru Primera DivisiónC | Peru Primera División | UniversitarioOur prob 62%Best odds 1.53 | 0% | 62% | 62% | C | 1.53 |
| 8-0 FTCD Olimpia vs JuticalpaHonduras Liga NacionalC | Honduras Liga Nacional | CD OlimpiaOur prob 80%Best odds 1.22 | +1% | 80% | 78% | C | 1.22 |
| 1-4 FTEscorpiones Belén vs LD AlajuelenseCosta Rica Primera DivisiónC | Costa Rica Primera División | LD AlajuelenseOur prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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58 upcoming fixtures across 13 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
What happened next to what we predicted