8 October 2026
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Top pick today
Atletico Grau
vs
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
Ceara to win
Atletico Nacional to win
Atletico Paranaense to win
25 fixtures today, 17 already played — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda UnitedPremier DivisionC | Premier Division | Shamrock RoversOur prob 62%Best odds 1.42 | -22% | 45% | 68% | C | 1.42 |
| MC Oran vs ES SetifAlgeria Ligue 1C | Algeria Ligue 1 | MC OranOur prob 45%Best odds 2.12 | +2% | 46% | 44% | C | 2.12 |
| Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los ChankasPeru Primera DivisiónC | Peru Primera División | Atletico GrauOur prob 62%Best odds 1.70 | +15% | 73% | 58% | C | 1.70 |
| Santos vs FlamengoBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | FlamengoOur prob 50%Best odds 1.87 | -14% | 39% | 53% | C | 1.87 |
| Ceara vs CriciumaBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | CearaOur prob 40%Best odds 2.61 | +10% | 48% | 38% | C | 2.61 |
| Nautico Recife vs NovorizontinoBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | NovorizontinoOur prob 47%Best odds 2.06 | -2% | 46% | 47% | C | 2.06 |
| Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MGBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | Atletico ParanaenseOur prob 43%Best odds 2.30 | +2% | 45% | 43% | C | 2.30 |
| Atletico Nacional vs Deportes TolimaPrimera AC | Primera A | Atletico NacionalOur prob 62%Best odds 1.56 | +6% | 66% | 60% | C | 1.56 |
| 2-0 FTCruzeiro vs Sao PauloBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | CruzeiroOur prob 51%Best odds 1.96 | +4% | 54% | 50% | C | 1.96 |
| 2-1 FTMashujaa vs Polisi TanzaniaTanzania Premier LeagueC | Tanzania Premier League | Polisi TanzaniaOur prob 38%Best odds 2.34 | +1% | 39% | 38% | C | 2.34 |
| 2-2 FTOtrant-Olympic vs Mladost DGMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | Otrant-OlympicOur prob 59%Best odds 1.65 | +14% | 70% | 56% | C | 1.65 |
| 0-4 FTBlacks Power vs VipersUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | DrawOur prob 37% | — | 37% | — | C | — |
| 4-0 FTPamba Jiji vs Geita GoldTanzania Premier LeagueC | Tanzania Premier League | Geita GoldOur prob 37%Best odds 2.65 | +10% | 45% | 35% | C | 2.65 |
| 0-4 FTAl Shamal vs Al-Duhail SCStars LeagueC | Stars League | Al-Duhail SCOur prob 43%Best odds 2.20 | -1% | 42% | 43% | C | 2.20 |
| 1-1 FTFC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSA Steaua BucureştiLiga IIC | Liga II | FC Politehnica TimisoaraOur prob 65%Best odds 1.55 | +21% | 81% | 60% | C | 1.55 |
| 6-0 FTHJK Helsinki vs VPSVeikkausliigaC | Veikkausliiga | HJK HelsinkiOur prob 57%Best odds 1.57 | -14% | 46% | 61% | C | 1.57 |
| 1-0 FTNamungo vs Tabora UnitedTanzania Premier LeagueC | Tanzania Premier League | NamungoOur prob 35% | — | 35% | — | C | — |
| 3-3 FTMornar vs JezeroMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | MornarOur prob 59%Best odds 1.55 | -5% | 56% | 60% | C | 1.55 |
| 0-1 FTKuPS vs AC OuluVeikkausliigaC | Veikkausliiga | KuPSOur prob 57%Best odds 1.57 | -13% | 47% | 60% | C | 1.57 |
| 0-0 FTNEC vs ExpressUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | NECOur prob 61%Best odds 1.55 | +1% | 62% | 61% | C | 1.55 |
| 3-2 FTAl Wakrah vs Al-GharafaStars LeagueC | Stars League | Al WakrahOur prob 48% | — | 48% | — | C | — |
| 0-0 FTJS Saoura vs Olympique AkbouAlgeria Ligue 1C | Algeria Ligue 1 | JS SaouraOur prob 49%Best odds 1.92 | +6% | 54% | 48% | C | 1.92 |
| 1-0 FTMB Rouisset vs USM AlgerAlgeria Ligue 1C | Algeria Ligue 1 | USM AlgerOur prob 38%Best odds 2.37 | -6% | 33% | 40% | C | 2.37 |
| 1-3 FTCFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea ClujLiga IC | Liga I | CFR 1907 ClujOur prob 41%Best odds 2.49 | +11% | 50% | 38% | C | 2.49 |
| 0-2 FTUCV Moquegua vs CiencianoPeru Primera DivisiónC | Peru Primera División | CiencianoOur prob 44%Best odds 2.26 | +4% | 47% | 43% | C | 2.26 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them in Kenya — the full comparison and how we read it is on its own page
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
8 upcoming fixtures across 6 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
What happened next to what we predicted