Top pick today
Estonia
vs
Iceland
- Our pick
- Iceland to win
- Model prob.
- 75%
- Market prob.
- 60%
- Edge
- +15%
- Best odds
- 1.62
Matches today
14
across 4 competitions
Competitions
4
with fixtures today
Value picks
3
model edge ≥ 2%
High confidence
0
both teams xG-backed
Average edge
+8.9%
across value picks
Top opportunities
Largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
High edgeC
Spain to win
Edge+7%
Our prob76%
Best odds1.31
Full prediction ValueC
Finland to win
Edge+5%
Our prob49%
Best odds2.02
Full prediction Match explorer
19 fixtures today, 5 already played — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JS Saoura vs KhenchelaAlgeria Ligue 1 | Algeria Ligue 1 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| JS Kabylie vs MC AlgerAlgeria Ligue 1 | Algeria Ligue 1 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Croatia vs SpainUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | SpainOur prob 76%Best odds 1.31 | +7% | 82% | 74% | C | 1.31 |
| England vs CzechiaUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | EnglandOur prob 84%Best odds 1.12 | -6% | 80% | 86% | C | 1.12 |
| Switzerland vs FYR MacedoniaUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | SwitzerlandOur prob 87%Best odds 1.10 | -6% | 83% | 88% | C | 1.10 |
| Albania vs San MarinoUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | AlbaniaOur prob 93%Best odds 1.04 | +1% | 94% | 93% | C | 1.04 |
| Belarus vs FinlandUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | FinlandOur prob 49%Best odds 2.02 | +5% | 53% | 48% | C | 2.02 |
| Estonia vs IcelandUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | IcelandOur prob 64%Best odds 1.62 | +15% | 75% | 60% | C | 1.62 |
| Luxembourg vs BulgariaUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | LuxembourgOur prob 40%Best odds 2.32 | -8% | 34% | 42% | C | 2.32 |
| Scotland vs SloveniaUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | ScotlandOur prob 47%Best odds 1.84 | -18% | 34% | 52% | C | 1.84 |
| Moldova vs SlovakiaUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | SlovakiaOur prob 69%Best odds 1.41 | +2% | 70% | 69% | C | 1.41 |
| Angola vs MalawiAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | AngolaOur prob 60%Best odds 1.39 | -27% | 40% | 67% | C | 1.39 |
| Sport Recife vs São BernardoBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | Sport RecifeOur prob 49%Best odds 1.93 | -14% | 39% | 53% | C | 1.93 |
| Goias vs Athletic ClubBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | GoiasOur prob 48%Best odds 1.88 | -16% | 35% | 52% | C | 1.88 |
| 0-1 FTIndependiente Medellin vs Santa FePrimera AC | Primera A | Independiente MedellinOur prob 46%Best odds 2.02 | -8% | 40% | 49% | C | 2.02 |
| 1-1 FTBanfield vs Rosario CentralLiga Profesional ArgentinaC | Liga Profesional Argentina | Rosario CentralOur prob 46%Best odds 1.95 | -12% | 37% | 49% | C | 1.95 |
| 2-2 FTKazakhstan vs Faroe IslandsUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | KazakhstanOur prob 35%Best odds 2.57 | -13% | 25% | 38% | C | 2.57 |
| 1-0 FTTrollhättan vs Mjallby AIFSvenska CupenC | Svenska Cupen | Mjallby AIFOur prob 59%Best odds 1.39 | -40% | 29% | 68% | C | 1.39 |
| 1-5 FTRaufoss vs StartNM CupenC | NM Cupen | StartOur prob 64%Best odds 1.53 | +11% | 73% | 61% | C | 1.53 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Betting sites compared
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them in Kenya — the full comparison and how we read it is on its own page
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Competitions in our window
14 upcoming fixtures across 4 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
- Algeria Ligue 1 Algeria 2 fixtures
- UEFA Nations League World 9 fixtures
- Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification World 1 fixture
- Brazil Serie B Brazil 2 fixtures
Recent results
What happened next to what we predicted
Svenska Cupen
NM Cupen
UEFA Nations League
Liga Profesional Argentina
Primera A