Top pick on Tuesday
Estonia
vs
Iceland
- Our pick
- Iceland to win
- Model prob.
- 75%
- Market prob.
- 60%
- Edge
- +15%
- Best odds
- 1.62
6 October 2026
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover on Tuesday — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Top pick on Tuesday
12 fixtures on Tuesday — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia vs SpainUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | SpainOur prob 76%Best odds 1.31 | +7% | 82% | 74% | C | 1.31 | Bet Now |
| England vs CzechiaUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | EnglandOur prob 84%Best odds 1.12 | -6% | 80% | 86% | C | 1.12 | |
| Switzerland vs FYR MacedoniaUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | SwitzerlandOur prob 87%Best odds 1.10 | -6% | 83% | 88% | C | 1.10 | |
| Albania vs San MarinoUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | AlbaniaOur prob 93%Best odds 1.04 | +1% | 94% | 93% | C | 1.04 | Bet Now |
| Belarus vs FinlandUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | FinlandOur prob 49%Best odds 2.02 | +5% | 53% | 48% | C | 2.02 | Bet Now |
| Estonia vs IcelandUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | IcelandOur prob 64%Best odds 1.62 | +15% | 75% | 60% | C | 1.62 | Bet Now |
| Luxembourg vs BulgariaUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | LuxembourgOur prob 40%Best odds 2.32 | -8% | 34% | 42% | C | 2.32 | |
| Scotland vs SloveniaUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | ScotlandOur prob 47%Best odds 1.84 | -18% | 34% | 52% | C | 1.84 | |
| Moldova vs SlovakiaUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | SlovakiaOur prob 69%Best odds 1.41 | +2% | 70% | 69% | C | 1.41 | Bet Now |
| Angola vs MalawiAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | AngolaOur prob 60%Best odds 1.39 | -27% | 40% | 67% | C | 1.39 | |
| Sport Recife vs São BernardoBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | Sport RecifeOur prob 49%Best odds 1.93 | -14% | 39% | 53% | C | 1.93 | |
| Goias vs Athletic ClubBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | GoiasOur prob 48%Best odds 1.88 | -16% | 35% | 52% | C | 1.88 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them in Kenya — the full comparison and how we read it is on its own page
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 2 | First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 | 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
3 competitions with fixtures on Tuesday — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above
Already played — what happened next to what we predicted