Top pick on Monday
Levante
vs
Sevilla
- Our pick
- Levante to win
- Model prob.
- 55%
- Market prob.
- 36%
- Edge
- +20%
- Best odds
- 2.71
12 October 2026
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover on Monday — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Top pick on Monday
53 fixtures on Monday — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talleres Cordoba vs IndependienteLiga Profesional ArgentinaC | Liga Profesional Argentina | Talleres CordobaOur prob 39%Best odds 2.52 | -2% | 38% | 40% | C | 2.52 | |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz AzulLiga MXC | Liga MX | Cruz AzulOur prob 44%Best odds 2.09 | -5% | 40% | 45% | C | 2.09 | |
| Antigua GFC vs Cobán ImperialGuatemala Liga NacionalC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFCOur prob 60% | — | 60% | — | C | — | |
| America de Cali vs Independiente MedellinPrimera AC | Primera A | America de CaliOur prob 55%Best odds 1.87 | +14% | 65% | 51% | C | 1.87 | Bet Now |
| Livyi Bereh vs Zorya LuhanskUkraine Premier LeagueC | Ukraine Premier League | Livyi BerehOur prob 38%Best odds 3.07 | +27% | 58% | 31% | C | 3.07 | Bet Now |
| Polissya II vs KulykivPersha LigaC | Persha Liga | KulykivOur prob 57% | — | 57% | — | C | — | |
| Syunik vs ShirakArmenia Premier LeagueC | Armenia Premier League | ShirakOur prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — | |
| Real Valladolid vs AlbaceteSegunda DivisiónC | Segunda División | Real ValladolidOur prob 48%Best odds 2.00 | 0% | 48% | 48% | C | 2.00 | Bet Now |
| El Mokawloon vs MasrEgypt Premier LeagueC | Egypt Premier League | MasrOur prob 35%Best odds 2.68 | -3% | 33% | 36% | C | 2.68 | |
| Future FC vs EnppiEgypt Premier LeagueC | Egypt Premier League | Future FCOur prob 44%Best odds 2.20 | +6% | 49% | 43% | C | 2.20 | Bet Now |
| Khenchela vs CS ConstantineAlgeria Ligue 1C | Algeria Ligue 1 | KhenchelaOur prob 60% | — | 60% | — | C | — | |
| JS El Biar vs CR BelouizdadAlgeria Ligue 1C | Algeria Ligue 1 | CR BelouizdadOur prob 36% | — | 36% | — | C | — | |
| Burgos vs GranadaSegunda DivisiónC | Segunda División | BurgosOur prob 44%Best odds 2.49 | +19% | 58% | 39% | C | 2.49 | Bet Now |
| FK Liepaja vs AudaVirsligaC | Virsliga | AudaOur prob 37%Best odds 2.35 | -7% | 32% | 39% | C | 2.35 | |
| Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMAArmenia Premier LeagueC | Armenia Premier League | Pyunik YerevanOur prob 58% | — | 58% | — | C | — | |
| Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava IIFNLC | FNL | Dukla PrahaOur prob 49%Best odds 1.76 | -10% | 41% | 51% | C | 1.76 | |
| VPS vs GnistanVeikkausliigaC | Veikkausliiga | VPSOur prob 42%Best odds 1.95 | -19% | 29% | 47% | C | 1.95 | |
| Coastal Union vs Singida Black StarsTanzania Premier LeagueC | Tanzania Premier League | Singida Black StarsOur prob 50% | — | 50% | — | C | — | |
| Radomiak Radom vs Motor LublinEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Motor LublinOur prob 37%Best odds 2.85 | +7% | 42% | 35% | C | 2.85 | Bet Now |
| AEK Larnaca vs Omonia AradippouCyprus 1. DivisionC | Cyprus 1. Division | AEK LarnacaOur prob 66%Best odds 1.34 | -20% | 51% | 71% | C | 1.34 | |
| Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia GdanskI LigaC | I Liga | Lechia GdanskOur prob 42%Best odds 2.20 | -4% | 39% | 43% | C | 2.20 | |
| AC Oulu vs HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliigaC | Veikkausliiga | HJK HelsinkiOur prob 47%Best odds 1.96 | +2% | 49% | 47% | C | 1.96 | Bet Now |
| Real Oviedo vs EibarSegunda DivisiónC | Segunda División | EibarOur prob 36%Best odds 3.35 | +30% | 59% | 29% | C | 3.35 | Bet Now |
| Eyüpspor vs GöztepeSüper LigC | Süper Lig | GöztepeOur prob 49%Best odds 1.98 | +1% | 50% | 49% | C | 1.98 | Bet Now |
| Aarhus vs SonderjyskeDenmark SuperligaC | Denmark Superliga | AarhusOur prob 56%Best odds 1.65 | -8% | 51% | 58% | C | 1.65 | |
| KFUM Oslo vs ValerengaEliteserienC | Eliteserien | KFUM OsloOur prob 39%Best odds 2.82 | +19% | 53% | 34% | C | 2.82 | Bet Now |
| IF Elfsborg vs HalmstadAllsvenskanC | Allsvenskan | IF ElfsborgOur prob 68%Best odds 1.36 | -7% | 62% | 69% | C | 1.36 | |
| Malmo FF vs Kalmar FFAllsvenskanC | Allsvenskan | Malmo FFOur prob 56%Best odds 1.80 | +10% | 63% | 53% | C | 1.80 | Bet Now |
| Ludogorets vs Arda KardzhaliBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | LudogoretsOur prob 56%Best odds 1.65 | -7% | 50% | 57% | C | 1.65 | |
| Pyramids FC vs Ceramica CleopatraEgypt Premier LeagueC | Egypt Premier League | Pyramids FCOur prob 57%Best odds 1.57 | -12% | 48% | 60% | C | 1.57 | |
| Smouha SC vs Ghazl El MehallaEgypt Premier LeagueC | Egypt Premier League | Smouha SCOur prob 38%Best odds 2.30 | -11% | 30% | 41% | C | 2.30 | |
| Forge vs York UnitedCanadian Premier LeagueC | Canadian Premier League | ForgeOur prob 64% | — | 64% | — | C | — | |
| Benfica B vs Felgueiras 1932Segunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | Felgueiras 1932Our prob 40% | — | 40% | — | C | — | |
| GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta KrakówEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | GKS KatowiceOur prob 47%Best odds 2.18 | +17% | 60% | 43% | C | 2.18 | Bet Now |
| Dijon vs MetzLigue 2C | Ligue 2 | DijonOur prob 37%Best odds 2.88 | +14% | 48% | 34% | C | 2.88 | Bet Now |
| Coventry vs Newcastle UnitedPremier LeagueB | Premier League | Newcastle UnitedOur prob 40%Best odds 2.18 | -18% | 27% | 45% | B | 2.18 | |
| Shamrock Rovers vs BohemiansPremier DivisionC | Premier Division | Shamrock RoversOur prob 43%Best odds 2.30 | +8% | 49% | 41% | C | 2.30 | Bet Now |
| Coritiba vs BotafogoBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | CoritibaOur prob 40%Best odds 2.65 | +15% | 51% | 36% | C | 2.65 | Bet Now |
| Lanus vs Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional ArgentinaC | Liga Profesional Argentina | LanusOur prob 42%Best odds 2.33 | -1% | 41% | 42% | C | 2.33 | |
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs GuabiráBolivia Primera DivisiónC | Bolivia Primera División | Gualberto Villarroel SJOur prob 42%Best odds 2.15 | -6% | 37% | 43% | C | 2.15 | |
| Tenerife vs GironaSegunda DivisiónC | Segunda División | GironaOur prob 39%Best odds 2.61 | +1% | 40% | 38% | C | 2.61 | Bet Now |
| Levante vs SevillaLa LigaA | La Liga | LevanteOur prob 40%Best odds 2.71 | +20% | 55% | 36% | A | 2.71 | Bet Now |
| Famalicao vs AlvercaPrimeira LigaC | Primeira Liga | FamalicaoOur prob 51%Best odds 1.87 | 0% | 51% | 51% | C | 1.87 | Bet Now |
| HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FCCanadian Premier LeagueC | Canadian Premier League | Cavalry FCOur prob 45% | — | 45% | — | C | — | |
| Racing Cordoba vs Los AndesPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Racing CordobaOur prob 43%Best odds 2.40 | +11% | 51% | 40% | C | 2.40 | Bet Now |
| Universidad de Chile vs NublenseChile Primera DivisiónC | Chile Primera División | Universidad de ChileOur prob 65%Best odds 1.55 | +12% | 73% | 62% | C | 1.55 | Bet Now |
| Always Ready vs Independiente PetroleroBolivia Primera DivisiónC | Bolivia Primera División | Always ReadyOur prob 87%Best odds 1.09 | +4% | 90% | 86% | C | 1.09 | Bet Now |
| Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional ArgentinaC | Liga Profesional Argentina | Newells Old BoysOur prob 36% | — | 36% | — | C | — | |
| Novorizontino vs Ponte PretaBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | NovorizontinoOur prob 92% | — | 92% | — | C | — | |
| All Boys vs Godoy CruzPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | DrawOur prob 35%Best odds 2.75 | +1% | 35% | 34% | C | 2.75 | Bet Now |
| Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico ParanaenseBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | Atletico ParanaenseOur prob 44%Best odds 2.11 | -5% | 41% | 45% | C | 2.11 | |
| Criciuma vs America MineiroBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | CriciumaOur prob 62% | — | 62% | — | C | — | |
| Fortaleza EC vs CRBBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | Fortaleza ECOur prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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34 competitions with fixtures on Monday — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above