Upcoming La Liga fixtures
11 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 49 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal vs EspanyolLa LigaA | La Liga | VillarrealOur prob 65%Best odds 1.57 | +2% | 65% | 63% | A | 1.57 |
| Levante vs Atletico MadridLa LigaA | La Liga | Atletico MadridOur prob 56%Best odds 1.65 | -3% | 56% | 59% | A | 1.65 |
| Rayo Vallecano vs Celta VigoLa LigaA | La Liga | Rayo VallecanoOur prob 43%Best odds 2.41 | +1% | 43% | 41% | A | 2.41 |
| Real Betis vs MalagaLa LigaA | La Liga | Real BetisOur prob 68%Best odds 1.46 | 0% | 68% | 68% | A | 1.46 |
| Barcelona vs AlavesLa LigaA | La Liga | BarcelonaOur prob 82%Best odds 1.14 | -3% | 82% | 85% | A | 1.14 |
| Deportivo La Coruna vs OsasunaLa LigaA | La Liga | Deportivo La CorunaOur prob 47%Best odds 2.28 | +3% | 47% | 44% | A | 2.28 |
| Elche vs ValenciaLa LigaA | La Liga | ElcheOur prob 40%Best odds 2.59 | +2% | 40% | 38% | A | 2.59 |
| Getafe vs SevillaLa LigaA | La Liga | SevillaOur prob 37%Best odds 2.67 | -1% | 37% | 37% | A | 2.67 |
| Racing Santander vs Real MadridLa LigaA | La Liga | Real MadridOur prob 69%Best odds 1.29 | -6% | 69% | 75% | A | 1.29 |
| Athletic Club vs Real SociedadLa LigaA | La Liga | Athletic ClubOur prob 45%Best odds 2.12 | 0% | 45% | 45% | A | 2.12 |
| Deportivo La Coruna vs OsasunaLa LigaA | La Liga | Deportivo La CorunaOur prob 47%Best odds 2.03 | +3% | 47% | 44% | A | 2.03 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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La Liga table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona |
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | +29 | 27 | |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid |
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 25 | |
| 3 |  Real Madrid |
10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | +15 | 24 | |
| 4 |  Real Betis |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 20 | |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad |
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 19 | |
| 6 |  Sevilla |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 | |
| 7 |  Alaves |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 12 | |
| 8 |  Athletic Club |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 12 | |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo |
10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 12 | |
| 10 |  Villarreal |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 12 | |
| 11 |  Deportivo La Coruna |
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 |  Osasuna |
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 | |
| 13 |  Racing Santander |
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 11 | |
| 14 |  Levante |
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 |  Elche |
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 | |
| 16 |  Rayo Vallecano |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 | |
| 17 |  Getafe |
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 9 | |
| 18 |  Espanyol |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 | |
| 19 |  Valencia |
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 | |
| 20 |  Malaga |
10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 5 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
La Liga trends
How La Liga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 99 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (380 played matches).
Top La Liga teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.34
- Attack
- 2.83
- Defence
- 1.48
- Net rating
- +0.94
- Attack
- 2.30
- Defence
- 1.35
- Net rating
- +0.55
- Attack
- 1.78
- Defence
- 1.23
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in La Liga
From the La Liga scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
-
RaphinhaBarcelona
13 G 3 A
-
Kylian MbappéReal Madrid
11 G 2 A
-
Lamine YamalBarcelona
8 G 6 A
-
M. ZabiriRacing Santander
8 G 0 A
-
Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano
7 G 1 A
-
A. BudimirOsasuna
7 G 0 A
-
Fer NiñoElche
6 G 0 A
-
Roberto FernándezEspanyol
6 G 0 A
Recent La Liga results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla vs OsasunaOur pick Sevilla · 50% | Sevilla to win | 50% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| Barcelona vs Real MadridOur pick Barcelona · 61% | Barcelona to win | 61% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Real Sociedad vs LevanteOur pick Real Sociedad · 62% | Real Sociedad to win | 62% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| Celta Vigo vs Real BetisOur pick Real Betis · 40% | Real Betis to win | 40% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| Athletic Club vs GetafeOur pick Athletic Club · 63% | Athletic Club to win | 63% | 4–0 | Correct | |
| Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La CorunaOur pick Atletico Madrid · 70% | Atletico Madrid to win | 70% | 1–0 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.