Upcoming La Liga fixtures
15 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 45 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga vs EspanyolLa LigaA | La Liga | MalagaOur prob 36%Best odds 2.82 | +7% | 41% | 34% | A | 2.82 |
| Alaves vs Atletico MadridLa LigaA | La Liga | Atletico MadridOur prob 46%Best odds 1.88 | -23% | 28% | 51% | A | 1.88 |
| Barcelona vs GetafeLa LigaA | La Liga | BarcelonaOur prob 90%Best odds 1.06 | -4% | 86% | 91% | A | 1.06 |
| Real Madrid vs VillarrealLa LigaA | La Liga | Real MadridOur prob 69%Best odds 1.34 | -10% | 62% | 72% | A | 1.34 |
| Alaves vs Atletico MadridLa LigaA | La Liga | Atletico MadridOur prob 45%Best odds 1.91 | -23% | 28% | 51% | A | 1.91 |
| Real Betis vs OsasunaLa LigaA | La Liga | Real BetisOur prob 60%Best odds 1.64 | +3% | 62% | 59% | A | 1.64 |
| Elche vs Celta VigoLa LigaA | La Liga | ElcheOur prob 37%Best odds 2.93 | +10% | 44% | 34% | A | 2.93 |
| Barcelona vs GetafeLa LigaA | La Liga | BarcelonaOur prob 89%Best odds 1.08 | -4% | 86% | 90% | A | 1.08 |
| Levante vs SevillaLa LigaA | La Liga | LevanteOur prob 41%Best odds 2.74 | +19% | 55% | 36% | A | 2.74 |
| Malaga vs EspanyolLa LigaA | La Liga | MalagaOur prob 37%Best odds 2.80 | +6% | 41% | 35% | A | 2.80 |
| Racing Santander vs ValenciaLa LigaA | La Liga | Racing SantanderOur prob 48%Best odds 2.30 | +19% | 62% | 43% | A | 2.30 |
| Real Madrid vs VillarrealLa LigaA | La Liga | Real MadridOur prob 69%Best odds 1.37 | -9% | 62% | 71% | A | 1.37 |
| Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La CorunaLa LigaA | La Liga | Real SociedadOur prob 52%Best odds 1.74 | -19% | 38% | 56% | A | 1.74 |
| Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic ClubLa LigaA | La Liga | Athletic ClubOur prob 39%Best odds 2.42 | -6% | 34% | 40% | A | 2.42 |
| Levante vs SevillaLa LigaA | La Liga | LevanteOur prob 40%Best odds 2.71 | +20% | 55% | 36% | A | 2.71 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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La Liga table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona |
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 | |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 | |
| 3 |  Real Betis |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 | |
| 4 |  Real Madrid |
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 | |
| 5 |  Sevilla |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 | |
| 6 |  Alaves |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 | |
| 7 |  Deportivo La Coruna |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 | |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 | |
| 9 |  Villarreal |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 | |
| 10 |  Athletic Club |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 | |
| 11 |  Getafe |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 | |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 | |
| 13 |  Osasuna |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 | |
| 14 |  Celta Vigo |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 | |
| 15 |  Espanyol |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | |
| 16 |  Racing Santander |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 | |
| 17 |  Levante |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 | |
| 18 |  Elche |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 | |
| 19 |  Valencia |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 | |
| 20 |  Malaga |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
La Liga trends
How La Liga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 69 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (380 played matches).
Top La Liga teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.80
- Attack
- 3.00
- Defence
- 1.19
- Net rating
- +0.79
- Attack
- 2.04
- Defence
- 1.25
- Net rating
- +0.64
- Attack
- 2.29
- Defence
- 1.65
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in La Liga
From the La Liga scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
-
RaphinhaBarcelona
12 G 3 A
-
Lamine YamalBarcelona
7 G 4 A
-
Kylian MbappéReal Madrid
7 G 2 A
-
Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano
7 G 1 A
-
Roberto FernándezEspanyol
6 G 0 A
-
M. ZabiriRacing Santander
6 G 0 A
-
P. AubameyangDeportivo La Coruna
5 G 2 A
-
A. BudimirOsasuna
5 G 0 A
Recent La Liga results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia vs Real SociedadOur pick Valencia · 38% | Valencia to win | 38% | 2–3 | Missed | |
| Deportivo La Coruna vs Real BetisOur pick Real Betis · 41% | Real Betis to win | 41% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Villarreal vs LevanteOur pick Villarreal · 62% | Villarreal to win | 62% | 3–1 | Correct | |
| Atletico Madrid vs Real MadridOur pick Real Madrid · 46% | Real Madrid to win | 46% | 2–1 | Missed | |
| Getafe vs MalagaOur pick Getafe · 46% | Getafe to win | 46% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Sevilla vs BarcelonaOur pick Barcelona · 71% | Barcelona to win | 71% | 1–3 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.