Upcoming Premier League fixtures
10 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 50 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal vs LeedsPremier LeagueA | Premier League | ArsenalOur prob 68%Best odds 1.44 | -3% | 66% | 68% | A | 1.44 |
| Chelsea vs BournemouthPremier LeagueA | Premier League | ChelseaOur prob 50%Best odds 1.79 | -20% | 36% | 55% | A | 1.79 |
| Ipswich vs FulhamPremier LeagueB | Premier League | IpswichOur prob 37%Best odds 2.79 | +9% | 44% | 35% | B | 2.79 |
| Aston Villa vs BrentfordPremier LeagueA | Premier League | Aston VillaOur prob 38%Best odds 2.73 | +9% | 44% | 36% | A | 2.73 |
| Sunderland vs BrightonPremier LeagueA | Premier League | BrightonOur prob 39%Best odds 2.49 | -4% | 36% | 40% | A | 2.49 |
| Manchester United vs TottenhamPremier LeagueA | Premier League | Manchester UnitedOur prob 57%Best odds 1.76 | +6% | 61% | 56% | A | 1.76 |
| Crystal Palace vs Nottingham ForestPremier LeagueA | Premier League | Crystal PalaceOur prob 40%Best odds 2.74 | +18% | 54% | 36% | A | 2.74 |
| Hull City vs EvertonPremier LeagueB | Premier League | EvertonOur prob 42%Best odds 2.12 | -15% | 31% | 46% | B | 2.12 |
| Liverpool vs Manchester CityPremier LeagueA | Premier League | Manchester CityOur prob 39%Best odds 2.67 | +6% | 44% | 37% | A | 2.67 |
| Coventry vs Newcastle UnitedPremier LeagueB | Premier League | Newcastle UnitedOur prob 40%Best odds 2.18 | -18% | 27% | 45% | B | 2.18 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Premier League table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City |
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 | |
| 2 |  Arsenal |
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 | |
| 3 |  Brighton |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 | |
| 4 |  Brentford |
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 | |
| 5 |  Leeds |
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 | |
| 6 |  Liverpool |
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 | |
| 7 |  Everton |
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 | |
| 8 |  Hull City |
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 | |
| 9 |  Newcastle United |
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | |
| 10 |  Chelsea |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | |
| 11 |  Ipswich |
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | |
| 12 |  Manchester United |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 | |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | |
| 14 |  Sunderland |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | |
| 16 |  Aston Villa |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | |
| 17 |  Bournemouth |
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | |
| 18 |  Coventry |
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | |
| 19 |  Fulham |
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 | |
| 20 |  Tottenham |
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Premier League trends
How Premier League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 50 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (380 played matches).
Top Premier League teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.96
- Attack
- 2.15
- Defence
- 1.19
- Net rating
- +0.71
- Attack
- 1.85
- Defence
- 1.14
- Net rating
- +0.64
- Attack
- 2.06
- Defence
- 1.41
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Premier League
From the Premier League scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
-
E. HaalandManchester City
5 G 0 A
-
A. IsakLiverpool
4 G 0 A
-
João PedroChelsea
3 G 3 A
-
P. GroßBrighton
3 G 3 A
-
R. CherkiManchester City
3 G 2 A
-
M. RogersChelsea
3 G 1 A
-
Bruno FernandesManchester United
3 G 1 A
-
M. TavernierBournemouth
3 G 0 A
Recent Premier League results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham vs Manchester UnitedOur pick Manchester United · 46% | Manchester United to win | 46% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Manchester City vs SunderlandOur pick Manchester City · 70% | Manchester City to win | 70% | 5–3 | Correct | |
| Leeds vs Crystal PalaceOur pick Leeds · 52% | Leeds to win | 52% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| Bournemouth vs LiverpoolOur pick Liverpool · 38% | Liverpool to win | 38% | 0–1 | Correct | |
| Nottingham Forest vs CoventryOur pick Nottingham Forest · 57% | Nottingham Forest to win | 57% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| Newcastle United vs Hull CityOur pick Newcastle United · 52% | Newcastle United to win | 52% | 2–1 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.