Upcoming Premier League fixtures
9 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 51 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea vs Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueA | Premier League | ChelseaOur prob 53%Best odds 1.90 | +1% | 53% | 52% | A | 1.90 |
| Bournemouth vs LeedsPremier LeagueA | Premier League | BournemouthOur prob 53%Best odds 2.24 | +8% | 53% | 44% | A | 2.24 |
| Manchester City vs BrightonPremier LeagueA | Premier League | Manchester CityOur prob 55%Best odds 1.74 | -2% | 55% | 57% | A | 1.74 |
| Brentford vs Nottingham ForestPremier LeagueA | Premier League | BrentfordOur prob 47%Best odds 2.07 | -1% | 47% | 48% | A | 2.07 |
| Hull City vs IpswichPremier LeagueA | Premier League | Hull CityOur prob 40%Best odds 2.73 | +3% | 40% | 36% | A | 2.73 |
| Coventry vs SunderlandPremier LeagueA | Premier League | SunderlandOur prob 36%Best odds 2.46 | -4% | 36% | 40% | A | 2.46 |
| Tottenham vs Crystal PalacePremier LeagueA | Premier League | TottenhamOur prob 59%Best odds 1.75 | -3% | 59% | 61% | A | 1.75 |
| Aston Villa vs FulhamPremier LeagueA | Premier League | Aston VillaOur prob 50%Best odds 2.04 | +1% | 50% | 49% | A | 2.04 |
| Liverpool vs ArsenalPremier LeagueA | Premier League | ArsenalOur prob 40%Best odds 2.35 | -1% | 40% | 41% | A | 2.35 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Premier League table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City |
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 21 | |
| 2 |  Arsenal |
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 21 | |
| 3 |  Brighton |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 7 | +16 | 16 | |
| 4 |  Liverpool |
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 15 | |
| 5 |  Chelsea |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 13 | |
| 6 |  Brentford |
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 11 | |
| 7 |  Leeds |
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 11 | |
| 8 |  Newcastle United |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 | |
| 9 |  Aston Villa |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 | |
| 10 |  Hull City |
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 10 | |
| 11 |  Everton |
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | |
| 12 |  Ipswich |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 | |
| 13 |  Bournemouth |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 | |
| 14 |  Tottenham |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 | |
| 15 |  Fulham |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 | |
| 16 |  Manchester United |
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 7 | |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace |
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 7 | |
| 18 |  Nottingham Forest |
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | |
| 19 |  Coventry |
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 | |
| 20 |  Sunderland |
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Premier League trends
How Premier League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 80 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (380 played matches).
Top Premier League teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.23
- Attack
- 2.17
- Defence
- 0.94
- Net rating
- +1.04
- Attack
- 2.39
- Defence
- 1.35
- Net rating
- +0.79
- Attack
- 1.88
- Defence
- 1.10
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Premier League
From the Premier League scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
-
E. HaalandManchester City
9 G 0 A
-
A. IsakLiverpool
6 G 0 A
-
João PedroChelsea
5 G 3 A
-
M. TavernierBournemouth
5 G 0 A
-
R. CherkiManchester City
4 G 2 A
-
M. RogersChelsea
4 G 1 A
- N. JacksonAston Villa 4 G 0 A
-
B. MbeumoManchester United
4 G 0 A
Recent Premier League results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland vs LeedsOur pick Sunderland · 36% | Sunderland to win | 36% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| Hull City vs BrentfordOur pick Brentford · 52% | Brentford to win | 52% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Crystal Palace vs Newcastle UnitedOur pick Newcastle United · 38% | Newcastle United to win | 38% | 0–2 | Correct | |
| Manchester United vs BournemouthOur pick Bournemouth · 39% | Bournemouth to win | 39% | 0–3 | Correct | |
| Liverpool vs BrightonOur pick Liverpool · 43% | Liverpool to win | 43% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| Chelsea vs TottenhamOur pick Chelsea · 50% | Chelsea to win | 50% | 0–2 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.