Upcoming Serie A fixtures
10 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 50 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio vs MonzaSerie AB | Serie A | LazioOur prob 54%Best odds 1.63 | -24% | 36% | 60% | B | 1.63 |
| Sassuolo vs AC MilanSerie AA | Serie A | AC MilanOur prob 46%Best odds 1.87 | -24% | 28% | 52% | A | 1.87 |
| Cagliari vs JuventusSerie AA | Serie A | JuventusOur prob 63%Best odds 1.62 | +7% | 68% | 61% | A | 1.62 |
| Napoli vs FrosinoneSerie AB | Serie A | NapoliOur prob 54%Best odds 1.49 | -45% | 20% | 65% | B | 1.49 |
| Genoa vs FiorentinaSerie AA | Serie A | FiorentinaOur prob 40%Best odds 2.39 | -3% | 38% | 41% | A | 2.39 |
| Atalanta vs VeneziaSerie AB | Serie A | AtalantaOur prob 53%Best odds 1.66 | -25% | 34% | 59% | B | 1.66 |
| Torino vs UdineseSerie AA | Serie A | TorinoOur prob 38%Best odds 2.42 | -7% | 33% | 40% | A | 2.42 |
| Inter vs Parma Calcio 1913Serie AA | Serie A | InterOur prob 81%Best odds 1.16 | -7% | 76% | 83% | A | 1.16 |
| Lecce vs BolognaSerie AA | Serie A | BolognaOur prob 49%Best odds 1.98 | +2% | 51% | 49% | A | 1.98 |
| Como vs RomaSerie AA | Serie A | RomaOur prob 38%Best odds 2.69 | +9% | 45% | 36% | A | 2.69 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Serie A table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma |
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 | |
| 2 |  Inter |
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 | |
| 3 |  Lazio |
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 | |
| 4 |  Cagliari |
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 | |
| 5 |  AC Milan |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 | |
| 6 |  Frosinone |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 | |
| 7 |  Juventus |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 | |
| 8 |  Como |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 | |
| 9 |  Napoli |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 | |
| 10 |  Sassuolo |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | |
| 11 |  Atalanta |
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | |
| 12 |  Lecce |
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 | |
| 13 |  Udinese |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 | |
| 14 |  Torino |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | |
| 15 |  Parma Calcio 1913 |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | |
| 16 |  Monza |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 | |
| 17 |  Fiorentina |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 | |
| 18 |  Bologna |
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | |
| 19 |  Genoa |
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | |
| 20 |  Venezia |
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Serie A trends
How Serie A matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 50 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (380 played matches).
Top Serie A teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.26
- Attack
- 1.98
- Defence
- 0.72
- Net rating
- +1.10
- Attack
- 2.17
- Defence
- 1.07
- Net rating
- +1.08
- Attack
- 1.91
- Defence
- 0.83
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Serie A
From the Serie A scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
-
D. MalenRoma
6 G 0 A
-
Lautaro MartínezInter
4 G 0 A
-
Gustavo VarelaMonza
4 G 0 A
-
A. RaimondoFrosinone
4 G 0 A
-
G. KvernadzeFrosinone
3 G 1 A
-
Vasilije AdžićSassuolo
3 G 1 A
-
Diego MoreiraAC Milan
3 G 0 A
-
D. FrattesiLazio
3 G 0 A
Recent Serie A results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan vs LecceOur pick AC Milan · 70% | AC Milan to win | 70% | 3–0 | Correct | |
| Juventus vs AtalantaOur pick Juventus · 60% | Juventus to win | 60% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| Frosinone vs ComoOur pick Como · 55% | Como to win | 55% | 2–0 | Missed | |
| Parma Calcio 1913 vs GenoaOur pick Genoa · 41% | Genoa to win | 41% | 2–1 | Missed | |
| Fiorentina vs NapoliOur pick Napoli · 40% | Napoli to win | 40% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Venezia vs LazioOur pick Lazio · 44% | Lazio to win | 44% | 0–2 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.