Upcoming UEFA Europa League fixtures
18 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 42 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace vs HoffenheimUEFA Europa LeagueA | UEFA Europa League | HoffenheimOur prob 45% | — | 45% | — | A | — |
| Rennes vs Olympiakos PiraeusUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | Olympiakos PiraeusOur prob 60% | — | 60% | — | B | — |
| Lillestrom vs PlzenUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | LillestromOur prob 49% | — | 49% | — | C | — |
| NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | Omonia NicosiaOur prob 50% | — | 50% | — | C | — |
| AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TCUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | Ferencvarosi TCOur prob 53% | — | 53% | — | B | — |
| Real Sociedad vs LyonUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | Real SociedadOur prob 54% | — | 54% | — | B | — |
| Anderlecht vs Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | Red Bull SalzburgOur prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — |
| Sparta Praha vs BournemouthUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | BournemouthOur prob 36% | — | 36% | — | B | — |
| Levski Sofia vs JagielloniaUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | Levski SofiaOur prob 64% | — | 64% | — | C | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen vs MarseilleUEFA Europa LeagueA | UEFA Europa League | Bayer LeverkusenOur prob 77% | — | 77% | — | A | — |
| AZ Alkmaar vs JuventusUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | JuventusOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | B | — |
| Benfica vs Lech PoznanUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | BenficaOur prob 70% | — | 70% | — | C | — |
| Celtic vs BeşiktaşUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | CelticOur prob 48% | — | 48% | — | C | — |
| Celta Vigo vs Union St. GilloiseUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | Union St. GilloiseOur prob 65% | — | 65% | — | B | — |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFIUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | Hapoel Beer ShevaOur prob 40% | — | 40% | — | C | — |
| Sturm Graz vs CeljeUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | Sturm GrazOur prob 57% | — | 57% | — | C | — |
| Sunderland vs Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa LeagueB | UEFA Europa League | Dinamo ZagrebOur prob 40% | — | 40% | — | B | — |
| Torreense vs Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa LeagueC | UEFA Europa League | TorreenseOur prob 41% | — | 41% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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UEFA Europa League table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ferencvarosi TC |
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 8 | +17 | 29 | |
| 2 |  Benfica |
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 8 | +21 | 22 | |
| 3 |  Beşiktaş |
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 22 | |
| 4 |  Anderlecht |
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 7 | +11 | 19 | |
| 5 |  Red Bull Salzburg |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 14 | |
| 6 |  Jagiellonia |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 13 | |
| 7 |  Omonia Nicosia |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 13 | |
| 8 |  Lech Poznan |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 11 | |
| 9 |  CSKA Sofia |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 | |
| 10 |  Bayer Leverkusen |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | +8 | 9 | |
| 11 |  Bournemouth |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 9 | |
| 12 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 9 | |
| 13 |  OFI |
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 | |
| 14 |  Olympiakos Piraeus |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 9 | |
| 15 |  Qarabag |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 8 | |
| 16 |  Union St. Gilloise |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 7 | |
| 17 |  Juventus |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 7 | |
| 18 |  Sunderland |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 | |
| 19 |  AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 6 | |
| 20 |  PAOK |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 6 | |
| 21 |  HNK Hajduk Split |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 | |
| 22 |  Hradec Králové |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 | |
| 23 |  Lyon |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | |
| 24 |  Rennes |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 5 | |
| 25 |  Universitatea Craiova |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | |
| 26 |  Lillestrom |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 | |
| 27 |  Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 4 | |
| 28 |  Crystal Palace |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 4 | |
| 29 |  Sparta Praha |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 4 | |
| 30 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 4 | |
| 31 |  Levski Sofia |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
| 32 |  Pafos |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | |
| 33 |  Dinamo Zagreb |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | |
| 34 |  Sturm Graz |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 | |
| 35 |  NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | |
| 36 |  FC Iberia 1999 |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 | |
| 37 |  FC Thun |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 | |
| 38 |  Sheriff Tiraspol |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 4 | |
| 39 |  Ararat-Armenia |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 | |
| 40 |  Hoffenheim |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | |
| 41 |  FK Crvena Zvezda |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | |
| 42 |  AC Milan |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | |
| 43 |  St. Truiden |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | |
| 44 |  Celta Vigo |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | |
| 45 |  Žilina |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | |
| 46 |  Shamrock Rovers |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | |
| 47 |  Vikingur Reykjavik |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | |
| 48 |  Kauno Žalgiris |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 | |
| 49 |  Torreense |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | |
| 50 |  Plzen |
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3 | |
| 51 |  FC ST. Gallen |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | |
| 52 |  Universitatea Cluj |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 53 |  Dynamo Kyiv |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 2 | |
| 54 |  Twente |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | |
| 55 |  KuPS |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | |
| 56 |  Rangers |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | |
| 57 |  Larne |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | |
| 58 |  Gornik Zabrze |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | |
| 59 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | |
| 60 |  Aluminij |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | |
| 61 |  Hammarby FF |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | |
| 62 |  Heart Of Midlothian |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | |
| 63 |  Celje |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | |
| 64 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 | |
| 65 |  Derry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 0 | |
| 66 |  Tromso |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | |
| 67 |  FC Midtjylland |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | |
| 68 |  Aarhus |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | |
| 69 |  Vojvodina |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | |
| 70 |  Mjallby AIF |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | |
| 71 |  Marseille |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | |
| 72 |  Trabzonspor |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | |
| 73 |  Celtic |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 0 | |
| 74 |  Vestri |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | |
| 75 |  KI Klaksvik |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | |
| 76 |  Kairat Almaty |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
UEFA Europa League trends
How UEFA Europa League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 134 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (271 played matches).
Top UEFA Europa League teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.66
- Attack
- 2.57
- Defence
- 0.91
- Net rating
- +1.62
- Attack
- 2.61
- Defence
- 0.99
- Net rating
- +1.26
- Attack
- 2.16
- Defence
- 0.89
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in UEFA Europa League
From the UEFA Europa League scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- L. DionyOmonia Nicosia 4 G 0 A
-
K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC
3 G 2 A
- N. WoltemadeJuventus 3 G 1 A
-
D. BeljoDinamo Zagreb
3 G 0 A
- Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace 3 G 0 A
- Sergio GómezReal Sociedad 3 G 0 A
-
A. CissèAC Milan
3 G 0 A
-
B. YusufFerencvarosi TC
2 G 2 A
Recent UEFA Europa League results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celje vs Red Bull SalzburgOur pick Red Bull Salzburg · 60% | Red Bull Salzburg to win | 60% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Omonia Nicosia vs BenficaOur pick Benfica · 63% | Benfica to win | 63% | 1–4 | Correct | |
| Plzen vs Levski SofiaOur pick Plzen · 49% | Plzen to win | 49% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta PrahaOur pick Olympiakos Piraeus · 59% | Olympiakos Piraeus to win | 59% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Beşiktaş vs Crystal PalaceOur pick Beşiktaş · 49% | Beşiktaş to win | 49% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Jagiellonia vs AnderlechtOur pick Anderlecht · 41% | Anderlecht to win | 41% | 0–3 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.