Updated
UEFA Champions League · Austria · 2026/27
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every Sturm Graz fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Current rank4th 18 pts · full tableForm · last 5
Next fixture · Austria Cup
Sturm Graz
at
Austria Lustenau
Away
2026/27 league season, 10 matches played. Straight tallies of Sturm Graz results, three points for a win.
Month · matches played that month. Both charts share one scale.
Month · matches played that month. Both charts share one scale.
Place in the 2026/27 table after each of 10 league matches, recomputed from results.
Ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored — from played results, not an imported table. Every point is the table as it stood on that date, when other clubs may have played fewer matches, so the last point can read differently from the current table at the top of this page. Hover a point for the match.
Next 8 scheduled — a prediction page appears once a fixture enters our publication window.
| Date | Match | Competition | Our pick | Our prob | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Austria Lustenau (A)Austria Cup | Austria Cup | Sturm GrazOur prob 80% | 80% | — | |
| at Wolfsberger AC (A)Austria Bundesliga | Austria Bundesliga | Sturm GrazOur prob 56%Best odds 1.72 | 56% | 1.72 | |
| vs Celje (H)UEFA Europa League | UEFA Europa League | Sturm GrazOur prob 57% | 57% | — | |
| vs Red Bull Salzburg (H)Austria Bundesliga | Austria Bundesliga | Red Bull SalzburgOur prob 43% | 43% | — | |
| at SCR Altach (A)Austria Bundesliga | Austria Bundesliga | not yet published | — | — | |
| at Hoffenheim (A)UEFA Europa League | UEFA Europa League | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs WSG Wattens (H)Austria Bundesliga | Austria Bundesliga | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs Austria Vienna (H)Austria Bundesliga | Austria Bundesliga | not yet published | — | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded). Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update. 10 more fixtures scheduled later this season.
| Date · round | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 21 July 2026 2nd Qualifying Round |
vs Heart Of Midlothian | 4–0 win |
| 28 July 2026 2nd Qualifying Round |
at Heart Of Midlothian | 2–0 win |
| 5 August 2026 3rd Qualifying Round |
at Fenerbahçe | 0–2 loss |
| 11 August 2026 3rd Qualifying Round |
vs Fenerbahçe | 0–1 loss |
| Date · round | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 16 September 2026 League Stage - 1 |
vs Rennes | 0–0 draw |
| 15 October 2026 League Stage - 2 |
at Bournemouth | 0–3 loss |
| 22 October 2026 League Stage - 3 |
vs Marseille | 1–0 win |
| 5 November 2026 League Stage - 4 |
vs Celje | upcoming |
| 26 November 2026 League Stage - 5 |
at Hoffenheim | upcoming |
| 10 December 2026 League Stage - 6 |
at AZ Alkmaar | upcoming |
| 21 January 2027 League Stage - 7 |
vs OFI | upcoming |
| 28 January 2027 League Stage - 8 |
at Dinamo Zagreb | upcoming |
| Date · round | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 24 July 2026 Round of 64 |
at Seekirchen | 3–0 win |
| 5 September 2026 Round of 32 |
at Voitsberg | 4–1 win |
| 29 October 2026 Round of 16 |
at Austria Lustenau | upcoming |
Last 4 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Ried (H)Our pick Sturm Graz · 53% | Sturm Graz to win | 53% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| vs Marseille (H)Our pick Marseille · 43% | Marseille to win | 43% | 1–0 | Missed | |
| vs Grazer AK (H)Our pick Sturm Graz · 48% | Sturm Graz to win | 48% | 6–1 | Correct | |
| at Bournemouth (A)Our pick Bournemouth · 73% | Bournemouth to win | 73% | 0–3 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result. Scores are Sturm Graz’s goals first; H/A = home/away.
Sturm Graz at home Sturm Graz awayLeague matches this season only: Sturm Graz at home in the left column, away in the right.
O. DiakitéAttacker
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