8 October 2026
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover on Thursday — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Top pick on Thursday
FC Politehnica Timisoara
vs
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
31 fixtures on Thursday — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro vs Sao PauloBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | CruzeiroOur prob 51%Best odds 1.95 | +3% | 54% | 50% | C | 1.95 | Bet Now |
| Mashujaa vs Polisi TanzaniaTanzania Premier LeagueC | Tanzania Premier League | Polisi TanzaniaOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — | |
| Arsenal Tivat vs DečićMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | DečićOur prob 36% | — | 36% | — | C | — | |
| Otrant-Olympic vs Mladost DGMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | Otrant-OlympicOur prob 70% | — | 70% | — | C | — | |
| UPDF vs BULUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | BULOur prob 35% | — | 35% | — | C | — | |
| Blacks Power vs VipersUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | VipersOur prob 37% | — | 37% | — | C | — | |
| NEC vs ExpressUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | NECOur prob 62% | — | 62% | — | C | — | |
| Pamba Jiji vs Geita GoldTanzania Premier LeagueC | Tanzania Premier League | Geita GoldOur prob 45% | — | 45% | — | C | — | |
| Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SCStars LeagueC | Stars League | Al-Duhail SCOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — | |
| Al Shahaniya vs Lusail CityStars LeagueC | Stars League | Lusail CityOur prob 47% | — | 47% | — | C | — | |
| Al Ahli Doha vs Al-SailiyaStars LeagueC | Stars League | Al Ahli DohaOur prob 56% | — | 56% | — | C | — | |
| FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSA Steaua BucureştiLiga IIC | Liga II | FC Politehnica TimisoaraOur prob 62%Best odds 1.67 | +25% | 81% | 56% | C | 1.67 | Bet Now |
| HJK Helsinki vs VPSVeikkausliigaC | Veikkausliiga | HJK HelsinkiOur prob 56%Best odds 1.60 | -13% | 46% | 59% | C | 1.60 | |
| Namungo vs Tabora UnitedTanzania Premier LeagueC | Tanzania Premier League | NamungoOur prob 35% | — | 35% | — | C | — | |
| Mornar vs JezeroMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | MornarOur prob 56% | — | 56% | — | C | — | |
| Bokelj vs PetrovacMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | BokeljOur prob 59% | — | 59% | — | C | — | |
| KuPS vs AC OuluVeikkausliigaC | Veikkausliiga | KuPSOur prob 56%Best odds 1.60 | -12% | 47% | 59% | C | 1.60 | |
| Al Wakrah vs Al-GharafaStars LeagueC | Stars League | Al WakrahOur prob 48% | — | 48% | — | C | — | |
| JS Saoura vs Olympique AkbouAlgeria Ligue 1C | Algeria Ligue 1 | JS SaouraOur prob 53%Best odds 1.70 | 0% | 53% | 53% | C | 1.70 | Bet Now |
| MB Rouisset vs USM AlgerAlgeria Ligue 1C | Algeria Ligue 1 | MB RouissetOur prob 34%Best odds 2.70 | +1% | 35% | 34% | C | 2.70 | Bet Now |
| CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea ClujLiga IC | Liga I | CFR 1907 ClujOur prob 42%Best odds 2.38 | +10% | 50% | 40% | C | 2.38 | Bet Now |
| UCV Moquegua vs CiencianoPeru Primera DivisiónC | Peru Primera División | CiencianoOur prob 45%Best odds 2.11 | +2% | 47% | 45% | C | 2.11 | Bet Now |
| Coastal Union vs AzamTanzania Premier LeagueC | Tanzania Premier League | AzamOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — | |
| Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda UnitedPremier DivisionC | Premier Division | Shamrock RoversOur prob 61%Best odds 1.42 | -22% | 45% | 67% | C | 1.42 | |
| MC Oran vs ES SetifAlgeria Ligue 1C | Algeria Ligue 1 | MC OranOur prob 51%Best odds 1.78 | -7% | 46% | 53% | C | 1.78 | |
| Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los ChankasPeru Primera DivisiónC | Peru Primera División | Atletico GrauOur prob 60%Best odds 1.68 | +17% | 73% | 56% | C | 1.68 | Bet Now |
| Santos vs FlamengoBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | FlamengoOur prob 48%Best odds 1.87 | -12% | 39% | 51% | C | 1.87 | |
| Ceara vs CriciumaBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | CearaOur prob 42%Best odds 2.40 | +8% | 48% | 40% | C | 2.40 | Bet Now |
| Nautico Recife vs NovorizontinoBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | NovorizontinoOur prob 42%Best odds 2.35 | +4% | 45% | 41% | C | 2.35 | Bet Now |
| Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MGBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | Atletico ParanaenseOur prob 45%Best odds 2.12 | 0% | 44% | 45% | C | 2.12 | |
| Atletico Nacional vs Deportes TolimaPrimera AC | Primera A | Atletico NacionalOur prob 59%Best odds 1.67 | +9% | 66% | 57% | C | 1.67 | Bet Now |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them in Kenya — the full comparison and how we read it is on its own page
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
13 competitions with fixtures on Thursday — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above