Top pick on Thursday
Atletico Tucuman
vs
Platense
- Our pick
- Atletico Tucuman to win
- Our prob.
- 37%
- Market prob.
- 32%
- Edge
- +5%
- Best odds
- 3.13
Matches on Thursday
82
across 27 competitions
Competitions
27
with fixtures on Thursday
Value picks
10
edge ≥ 2% over the market
High confidence
3
both teams xG-backed
Average edge
+3.2%
across value picks
Match explorer
82 fixtures on Thursday — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cienciano vs Atletico GrauPeru Primera DivisiónC | Peru Primera División | CiencianoOur prob 67%Best odds 1.42 | -5% | 67% | 71% | C | 1.42 | |
| Malacateco vs AuroraGuatemala Liga NacionalC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | MalacatecoOur prob 53% | — | 53% | — | C | — | |
| Atletico Tucuman vs PlatenseCopa ArgentinaC | Copa Argentina | Atletico TucumanOur prob 37%Best odds 3.13 | +5% | 37% | 32% | C | 3.13 | Bet Now |
| Bahia vs Sao PauloBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | BahiaOur prob 46%Best odds 2.06 | -1% | 46% | 47% | C | 2.06 | |
| Remo vs BotafogoBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | RemoOur prob 37%Best odds 2.88 | +3% | 37% | 34% | C | 2.88 | Bet Now |
| FC Dallas vs Columbus CrewMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | FC DallasOur prob 46%Best odds 2.00 | -2% | 46% | 48% | C | 2.00 | |
| Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SCMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Chicago FireOur prob 53%Best odds 1.72 | -4% | 53% | 56% | C | 1.72 | |
| Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas CityMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Minnesota United FCOur prob 66%Best odds 1.44 | 0% | 66% | 67% | C | 1.44 | |
| Nashville SC vs Philadelphia UnionMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Nashville SCOur prob 52%Best odds 1.96 | +3% | 52% | 49% | C | 1.96 | Bet Now |
| Austin vs Real Salt LakeMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | AustinOur prob 37%Best odds 2.55 | 0% | 37% | 37% | C | 2.55 | |
| St. Louis City vs Portland TimbersMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | St. Louis CityOur prob 56%Best odds 1.85 | +3% | 56% | 53% | C | 1.85 | Bet Now |
| Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente MedellinPrimera AC | Primera A | Internacional de BogotaOur prob 38%Best odds 2.79 | +4% | 38% | 34% | C | 2.79 | Bet Now |
| Municipal vs ComunicacionesGuatemala Liga NacionalC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | MunicipalOur prob 58% | — | 58% | — | C | — | |
| Seattle Sounders vs Houston DynamoMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Seattle SoundersOur prob 50%Best odds 1.92 | 0% | 50% | 51% | C | 1.92 | |
| San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado RapidsMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | San Jose EarthquakesOur prob 43%Best odds 2.18 | -2% | 43% | 44% | C | 2.18 | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps vs San DiegoMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Vancouver WhitecapsOur prob 65%Best odds 1.47 | -1% | 65% | 66% | C | 1.47 | |
| Club America vs Club TijuanaLiga MXC | Liga MX | Club AmericaOur prob 67%Best odds 1.61 | -2% | 67% | 69% | C | 1.61 | |
| Mathare United vs TuskerKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | DrawOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — | |
| Pamba Jiji vs Singida Black StarsTanzania Premier LeagueC | Tanzania Premier League | Singida Black StarsOur prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — | |
| Avia Świdnik vs Radomiak RadomPoland CupC | Poland Cup | Avia ŚwidnikOur prob 75% | — | 75% | — | C | — | |
| Aarhus Fremad vs FC CopenhagenDBU PokalenC | DBU Pokalen | FC CopenhagenOur prob 70% | — | 70% | — | C | — | |
| Sutjeska vs JezeroMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | SutjeskaOur prob 67% | — | 67% | — | C | — | |
| Tabora United vs Geita GoldTanzania Premier LeagueC | Tanzania Premier League | Tabora UnitedOur prob 55% | — | 55% | — | C | — | |
| Police vs Ulinzi StarsKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | DrawOur prob 38% | — | 38% | — | C | — | |
| CS Sfaxien vs ES TunisTunisia Ligue 1C | Tunisia Ligue 1 | CS SfaxienOur prob 53% | — | 53% | — | C | — | |
| Club Africain vs CA BizertinTunisia Ligue 1C | Tunisia Ligue 1 | Club AfricainOur prob 55% | — | 55% | — | C | — | |
| Stade Tunisien vs ES ZarzisTunisia Ligue 1C | Tunisia Ligue 1 | Stade TunisienOur prob 47% | — | 47% | — | C | — | |
| Future FC vs Al AhlyEgypt Premier LeagueC | Egypt Premier League | Al AhlyOur prob 60%Best odds 1.57 | 0% | 60% | 60% | C | 1.57 | Bet Now |
| Al Ain vs AjmanUnited Arab Emirates Pro LeagueC | United Arab Emirates Pro League | Al AinOur prob 73%Best odds 1.30 | 0% | 73% | 73% | C | 1.30 | Bet Now |
| Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-HazmSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Khaleej SaihatOur prob 41%Best odds 2.17 | -3% | 41% | 45% | C | 2.17 | |
| Dečić vs Otrant-OlympicMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | Otrant-OlympicOur prob 44% | — | 44% | — | C | — | |
| Volos NFC vs AtromitosGreece CupC | Greece Cup | AtromitosOur prob 40% | — | 40% | — | C | — | |
| Inter Turku vs HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliigaC | Veikkausliiga | Inter TurkuOur prob 38%Best odds 2.27 | -4% | 38% | 42% | C | 2.27 | |
| Namungo vs Polisi TanzaniaTanzania Premier LeagueC | Tanzania Premier League | NamungoOur prob 37% | — | 37% | — | C | — | |
| Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo1. SNLC | 1. SNL | BravoOur prob 42%Best odds 2.41 | +2% | 42% | 40% | C | 2.41 | Bet Now |
| Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia BytomPoland CupC | Poland Cup | Polonia BytomOur prob 47% | — | 47% | — | C | — | |
| Polonia Warszawa vs Korona KielcePoland CupC | Poland Cup | Polonia WarszawaOur prob 49% | — | 49% | — | C | — | |
| Pyramids FC vs Wadi DeglaEgypt Premier LeagueC | Egypt Premier League | Pyramids FCOur prob 68%Best odds 1.44 | +3% | 68% | 65% | C | 1.44 | Bet Now |
| Mixco vs XelajúGuatemala Liga NacionalC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | MixcoOur prob 62% | — | 62% | — | C | — | |
| KuPS vs GnistanVeikkausliigaC | Veikkausliiga | KuPSOur prob 58%Best odds 1.50 | -6% | 58% | 64% | C | 1.50 | |
| Austria Lustenau vs Sturm GrazAustria CupC | Austria Cup | Sturm GrazOur prob 80% | — | 80% | — | C | — | |
| Frosinone vs LecceSerie AA | Serie A | FrosinoneOur prob 55%Best odds 1.92 | -1% | 55% | 56% | A | 1.92 | |
| Hammarby FF vs SiriusAllsvenskanC | Allsvenskan | Hammarby FFOur prob 59%Best odds 1.53 | -3% | 59% | 62% | C | 1.53 | |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta DurrësAlbania SuperligaC | Albania Superliga | Teuta DurrësOur prob 40% | — | 40% | — | C | — | |
| Kozakken Boys vs UtrechtKNVB BekerC | KNVB Beker | Kozakken BoysOur prob 61% | — | 61% | — | C | — | |
| Kalmar FF vs GaisAllsvenskanC | Allsvenskan | GaisOur prob 38%Best odds 2.80 | +4% | 38% | 34% | C | 2.80 | Bet Now |
| Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIFAllsvenskanC | Allsvenskan | Mjallby AIFOur prob 42%Best odds 1.93 | -7% | 42% | 49% | C | 1.93 | |
| Al-Nassr vs Al KholoodSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-NassrOur prob 78%Best odds 1.24 | 0% | 78% | 78% | C | 1.24 | Bet Now |
| Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FCSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-Qadisiyah FCOur prob 70%Best odds 1.33 | -2% | 70% | 72% | C | 1.33 | |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs CuscoPeru Primera DivisiónC | Peru Primera División | CuscoOur prob 41%Best odds 2.47 | +2% | 41% | 39% | C | 2.47 | Bet Now |
| Arka Gdynia vs Stal RzeszówPoland CupC | Poland Cup | Stal RzeszówOur prob 38% | — | 38% | — | C | — | |
| Atlético Baleares vs EldenseCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | EldenseOur prob 44% | — | 44% | — | C | — | |
| SS Reyes vs CD CoriaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | CD CoriaOur prob 43% | — | 43% | — | C | — | |
| Lebrijana vs GetafeCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | LebrijanaOur prob 56% | — | 56% | — | B | — | |
| Atletico Calatayud vs OsasunaCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | OsasunaOur prob 54% | — | 54% | — | B | — | |
| FC Midtjylland vs OdenseDBU PokalenC | DBU Pokalen | OdenseOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — | |
| RKAV Volendam vs ROHDA RaalteKNVB BekerC | KNVB Beker | ROHDA RaalteOur prob 56% | — | 56% | — | C | — | |
| GVVV Veenendaal vs NoordwijkKNVB BekerC | KNVB Beker | GVVV VeenendaalOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — | |
| Hoek vs Sparta NijkerkKNVB BekerC | KNVB Beker | Sparta NijkerkOur prob 49% | — | 49% | — | C | — | |
| De Treffers vs HeraclesKNVB BekerC | KNVB Beker | HeraclesOur prob 53% | — | 53% | — | C | — | |
| ACV vs AFC AmsterdamKNVB BekerC | KNVB Beker | AFC AmsterdamOur prob 45% | — | 45% | — | C | — | |
| Purmersteijn vs GemertKNVB BekerC | KNVB Beker | GemertOur prob 47% | — | 47% | — | C | — | |
| Conquense vs CastellónCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | CastellónOur prob 70% | — | 70% | — | C | — | |
| Guijuelo vs Sporting GijonCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Sporting GijonOur prob 50% | — | 50% | — | C | — | |
| Laredo vs BurgosCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | BurgosOur prob 72% | — | 72% | — | C | — | |
| Real Ávila vs Unionistas de SalamancaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Unionistas de SalamancaOur prob 65% | — | 65% | — | C | — | |
| Antequera vs ÁguilasCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | ÁguilasOur prob 45% | — | 45% | — | C | — | |
| Varea vs FC AndorraCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | FC AndorraOur prob 41% | — | 41% | — | C | — | |
| Odra Opole vs Slask WroclawPoland CupC | Poland Cup | Slask WroclawOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — | |
| Fiorentina vs AtalantaSerie AA | Serie A | FiorentinaOur prob 42%Best odds 2.30 | 0% | 42% | 43% | A | 2.30 | |
| Everton vs Newcastle UnitedLeague CupA | League Cup | EvertonOur prob 42%Best odds 2.31 | 0% | 42% | 42% | A | 2.31 | |
| Groningen vs EmmenKNVB BekerC | KNVB Beker | EmmenOur prob 47% | — | 47% | — | C | — | |
| Prat vs Athletic ClubCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | PratOur prob 43% | — | 43% | — | B | — | |
| Auriense vs Deportivo La CorunaCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | Deportivo La CorunaOur prob 48% | — | 48% | — | B | — | |
| Hortaleza vs SevillaCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | SevillaOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | B | — | |
| Ribadesella CF vs Racing SantanderCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | Racing SantanderOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | B | — | |
| Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance BerkaneBotola ProC | Botola Pro | Renaissance BerkaneOur prob 35% | — | 35% | — | C | — | |
| Sporting Cristal vs Alianza LimaPeru Primera DivisiónC | Peru Primera División | Sporting CristalOur prob 41%Best odds 2.41 | +2% | 41% | 39% | C | 2.41 | Bet Now |
| Coritiba vs VitoriaBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | CoritibaOur prob 39%Best odds 2.32 | -2% | 39% | 41% | C | 2.32 | |
| Atletico-MG vs CruzeiroBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | Atletico-MGOur prob 42%Best odds 2.48 | +3% | 42% | 39% | C | 2.48 | Bet Now |
| Vasco DA Gama vs FlamengoBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | FlamengoOur prob 43%Best odds 2.10 | -3% | 43% | 46% | C | 2.10 | |
| America de Cali vs Fortaleza FCPrimera AC | Primera A | America de CaliOur prob 71% | — | 71% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Competitions on Thursday
27 competitions with fixtures on Thursday — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above
- Peru Primera División Peru 3 fixtures
- Guatemala Liga Nacional Guatemala 3 fixtures
- Copa Argentina Argentina 1 fixture
- Brazil Serie A Brazil 5 fixtures
- Major League Soccer USA 9 fixtures
- Primera A Colombia 2 fixtures
- Liga MX Mexico 1 fixture
- Kenyan Premier League Kenya 2 fixtures
- Tanzania Premier League Tanzania 3 fixtures
- Poland Cup Poland 5 fixtures
- DBU Pokalen Denmark 2 fixtures
- Montenegro First League Montenegro 2 fixtures
- Tunisia Ligue 1 Tunisia 3 fixtures
- Egypt Premier League Egypt 2 fixtures
- United Arab Emirates Pro League United Arab Emirates 1 fixture
- Saudi Arabia Pro League Saudi Arabia 3 fixtures
- Greece Cup Greece 1 fixture
- Veikkausliiga Finland 2 fixtures
- 1. SNL Slovenia 1 fixture
- Austria Cup Austria 1 fixture
- Serie A Italy 2 fixtures
- Allsvenskan Sweden 3 fixtures
- Albania Superliga Albania 1 fixture
- KNVB Beker Netherlands 8 fixtures
- Copa del Rey Spain 14 fixtures
- League Cup England 1 fixture
- Botola Pro Morocco 1 fixture