9 October 2026

Friday Football Predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover on Friday — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Top pick on Friday

Malaga vs Espanyol

La Liga ·

Our pick
Malaga to win
Model prob.
41%
Market prob.
34%
Edge
+7%
Best odds
2.82
Matches on Friday 124 across 56 competitions
Competitions 56 with fixtures on Friday
Value picks 37 model edge ≥ 2%
High confidence 1 both teams xG-backed
Average edge +8.4% across value picks

Match explorer

124 fixtures on Friday — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures on Friday with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best oddsBet
Palmeiras vs BahiaBrazil Serie AC Brazil Serie A PalmeirasOur prob 60%Best odds 1.58 -4% 57% 61% C 1.58
Fluminense vs CoritibaBrazil Serie AC Brazil Serie A FluminenseOur prob 66%Best odds 1.53 +8% 72% 64% C 1.53 Bet Now
Antigua GFC vs MunicipalGuatemala Liga NacionalC Guatemala Liga Nacional MunicipalOur prob 45% — 45% — C —
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos UatLiga de Expansión MXC Liga de Expansión MX Correcaminos UatOur prob 38%Best odds 2.53 +3% 40% 38% C 2.53 Bet Now
Fortaleza FC vs MillonariosPrimera AC Primera A MillonariosOur prob 42% — 42% — C —
Inter San Carlos vs Perez ZeledonCosta Rica Primera DivisiónC Costa Rica Primera División Inter San CarlosOur prob 53%Best odds 1.66 -10% 46% 56% C 1.66
Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1C K League 1 Daejeon CitizenOur prob 43%Best odds 2.25 +6% 48% 42% C 2.25 Bet Now
Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995K League 1C K League 1 Gangwon FCOur prob 51%Best odds 1.78 -8% 45% 53% C 1.78
Incheon United vs Pohang SteelersK League 1C K League 1 Incheon UnitedOur prob 41%Best odds 2.31 -2% 39% 41% C 2.31
Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya MykolaivkaPersha LigaC Persha Liga DrawOur prob 36% — 36% — C —
Kashima vs Gamba OsakaJ1 LeagueC J1 League KashimaOur prob 49%Best odds 1.86 -8% 43% 51% C 1.86
Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel KobeJ1 LeagueC J1 League Kashiwa ReysolOur prob 41%Best odds 2.17 -10% 34% 44% C 2.17
Fountain Gate vs JKT TanzaniaTanzania Premier LeagueC Tanzania Premier League Fountain GateOur prob 38% — 38% — C —
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan JianyeChina Super LeagueC China Super League Henan JianyeOur prob 40%Best odds 2.24 -9% 33% 42% C 2.24
Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing GuoanChina Super LeagueC China Super League Beijing GuoanOur prob 66%Best odds 1.47 +5% 70% 65% C 1.47 Bet Now
Araz vs KapazPremyer LiqaC Premyer Liqa ArazOur prob 38% — 38% — C —
Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPGChina Super LeagueC China Super League Hangzhou GreentownOur prob 39%Best odds 2.68 +12% 48% 36% C 2.68 Bet Now
Llapi vs BallkaniKosovo SuperligaC Kosovo Superliga BallkaniOur prob 46% — 46% — C —
Bandari vs TuskerKenyan Premier League Kenyan Premier League — — — — —
Homeboyz vs PoliceKenyan Premier League Kenyan Premier League — — — — —
Mathare United vs Posta Rangers FCKenyan Premier League Kenyan Premier League — — — — —
GOR Mahia vs Nairobi UnitedKenyan Premier League Kenyan Premier League — — — — —
KCB vs APS BometKenyan Premier League Kenyan Premier League — — — — —
Mara Sugar vs Migori YouthKenyan Premier League Kenyan Premier League — — — — —
Mombasa Elite vs ShabanaKenyan Premier League Kenyan Premier League — — — — —
Murang'a SEAL vs Ulinzi StarsKenyan Premier League Kenyan Premier League — — — — —
3K vs AFC LeopardsKenyan Premier League Kenyan Premier League — — — — —
Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar DonetskUkraine Premier LeagueC Ukraine Premier League Shakhtar DonetskOur prob 69%Best odds 1.30 -15% 58% 73% C 1.30
Mbeya City vs Kagera SugarTanzania Premier LeagueC Tanzania Premier League Mbeya CityOur prob 67% — 67% — C —
Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FCSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC Saudi Arabia Pro League Al-Qadisiyah FCOur prob 61%Best odds 1.57 -3% 58% 61% C 1.57
Sivasspor vs Pendikspor1. LigC 1. Lig SivassporOur prob 40%Best odds 2.47 +4% 42% 39% C 2.47 Bet Now
Bodrum FK vs Keçiörengücü1. LigC 1. Lig KeçiörengücüOur prob 36%Best odds 2.48 -7% 31% 37% C 2.48
Entebbe UPPC vs PoliceUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League Entebbe UPPCOur prob 45% — 45% — C —
Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SCStars LeagueC Stars League Al-Rayyan SCOur prob 62% — 62% — C —
Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli JeddahSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC Saudi Arabia Pro League Al-Ahli JeddahOur prob 65%Best odds 1.47 -2% 64% 66% C 1.47
Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC VoluntariLiga IC Liga I Corvinul HunedoaraOur prob 49%Best odds 2.12 +18% 63% 45% C 2.12 Bet Now
Slavia Praha II vs VlašimFNLC FNL Slavia Praha IIOur prob 44%Best odds 2.12 0% 44% 44% C 2.12 Bet Now
SJK vs LahtiVeikkausliigaC Veikkausliiga LahtiOur prob 36%Best odds 2.61 -2% 35% 37% C 2.61
Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FAPremyer LiqaC Premyer Liqa Neftchi BakuOur prob 42% — 42% — C —
Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla PlockEkstraklasaC Ekstraklasa Wieczysta KrakówOur prob 44%Best odds 2.16 +3% 46% 43% C 2.16 Bet Now
Zlin vs Slavia PrahaCzech LigaC Czech Liga Slavia PrahaOur prob 75%Best odds 1.29 +3% 77% 74% C 1.29 Bet Now
HNK Gorica vs RudesHNLC HNL HNK GoricaOur prob 56%Best odds 1.62 -8% 50% 58% C 1.62
Karmiotissa vs Omonia NicosiaCyprus 1. DivisionC Cyprus 1. Division Omonia NicosiaOur prob 74%Best odds 1.18 -24% 56% 80% C 1.18
Vejle vs HvidovreDenmark 1. DivisionC Denmark 1. Division VejleOur prob 52%Best odds 1.76 -7% 47% 54% C 1.76
Táborsko vs KarvináFNLC FNL KarvináOur prob 43%Best odds 2.15 -1% 42% 43% C 2.15
Vysočina Jihlava vs ProstějovFNLC FNL Vysočina JihlavaOur prob 55%Best odds 1.73 +2% 57% 54% C 1.73 Bet Now
Ústí nad Labem vs OpavaFNLC FNL Ústí nad LabemOur prob 51%Best odds 1.93 +12% 60% 48% C 1.93 Bet Now
Drita vs MalishevaKosovo SuperligaC Kosovo Superliga MalishevaOur prob 39% — 39% — C —
Dodoma Jiji vs Singida Black StarsTanzania Premier LeagueC Tanzania Premier League Singida Black StarsOur prob 53% — 53% — C —
FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. BundesligaC 2. Bundesliga FC HeidenheimOur prob 47%Best odds 1.90 -12% 38% 50% C 1.90
Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel2. BundesligaC 2. Bundesliga Holstein KielOur prob 39%Best odds 2.47 0% 39% 39% C 2.47 Bet Now
SV Kapfenberg vs Austria Vienna (Am)2. LigaC 2. Liga Austria Vienna (Am)Our prob 45% — 45% — C —
SKU Amstetten vs FC BW Linz2. LigaC 2. Liga FC BW LinzOur prob 51%Best odds 1.86 +4% 53% 50% C 1.86 Bet Now
Galatasaray vs KasımpaşaSüper LigC Süper Lig GalatasarayOur prob 67%Best odds 1.26 -34% 41% 75% C 1.26
FC Nordsjaelland vs OdenseDenmark SuperligaC Denmark Superliga FC NordsjaellandOur prob 62%Best odds 1.54 -1% 62% 63% C 1.54
Brann vs VikingEliteserienC Eliteserien VikingOur prob 43%Best odds 2.28 +2% 44% 42% C 2.28 Bet Now
IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskanC Allsvenskan IFK GoteborgOur prob 54%Best odds 1.70 -8% 48% 56% C 1.70
Al Sadd vs Al-Arabi SCStars LeagueC Stars League Al SaddOur prob 61% — 61% — C —
Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen3. LigaC 3. Liga Rot-Weiß EssenOur prob 47%Best odds 2.01 0% 47% 47% C 2.01 Bet Now
Penafiel vs AVSSegunda LigaC Segunda Liga PenafielOur prob 48%Best odds 2.00 -2% 46% 49% C 2.00
Ümraniyespor vs Sarıyer1. LigC 1. Lig ÜmraniyesporOur prob 35%Best odds 2.60 -8% 29% 37% C 2.60
Vanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor1. LigC 1. Lig BandırmasporOur prob 46%Best odds 2.15 +11% 54% 43% C 2.15 Bet Now
AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus FremadDenmark 1. DivisionC Denmark 1. Division AB CopenhagenOur prob 43%Best odds 2.15 -5% 39% 44% C 2.15
URA vs KCCAUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League KCCAOur prob 35% — 35% — C —
JS Kabylie vs ASO ChlefAlgeria Ligue 1C Algeria Ligue 1 JS KabylieOur prob 70% — 70% — C —
Aldosivi vs Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional ArgentinaC Liga Profesional Argentina AldosiviOur prob 39%Best odds 2.57 +6% 43% 37% C 2.57 Bet Now
Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC WinterthurChallenge LeagueC Challenge League FC WinterthurOur prob 48%Best odds 2.05 +10% 56% 46% C 2.05 Bet Now
Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge LeagueC Challenge League Stade Lausanne-OuchyOur prob 54%Best odds 1.80 +5% 57% 52% C 1.80 Bet Now
SC Kriens vs FC WIL 1900Challenge LeagueC Challenge League SC KriensOur prob 46%Best odds 2.11 +8% 53% 44% C 2.11 Bet Now
Moreirense vs GIL VicentePrimeira LigaC Primeira Liga GIL VicenteOur prob 40%Best odds 2.31 -9% 34% 42% C 2.31
PSV Eindhoven vs HeerenveenEredivisieC Eredivisie PSV EindhovenOur prob 73%Best odds 1.27 -11% 65% 76% C 1.27
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo BucurestiLiga IC Liga I Dinamo BucurestiOur prob 52% — 52% — C —
Al-Nassr vs Al DiriyahSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC Saudi Arabia Pro League Al-NassrOur prob 60%Best odds 1.50 -14% 49% 64% C 1.50
Mosta vs BirzebbugaMalta Premier LeagueC Malta Premier League MostaOur prob 70% — 70% — C —
Montpellier vs GrenobleLigue 2C Ligue 2 MontpellierOur prob 54%Best odds 1.65 -17% 41% 58% C 1.65
Nancy vs GuingampLigue 2C Ligue 2 NancyOur prob 46%Best odds 2.15 +5% 50% 45% C 2.15 Bet Now
Sochaux vs BoulogneLigue 2C Ligue 2 SochauxOur prob 44%Best odds 2.31 +7% 49% 42% C 2.31 Bet Now
PAU vs LavalLigue 2C Ligue 2 PAUOur prob 44%Best odds 2.15 -5% 40% 45% C 2.15
Dunkerque vs AnnecyLigue 2C Ligue 2 DunkerqueOur prob 39%Best odds 2.30 -13% 29% 42% C 2.30
De Graafschap vs Jong UtrechtEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie De GraafschapOur prob 53%Best odds 1.65 -21% 37% 59% C 1.65
NAC Breda vs MVVEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie NAC BredaOur prob 68%Best odds 1.37 -3% 66% 69% C 1.37
Heracles vs WaalwijkEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie HeraclesOur prob 57%Best odds 1.57 -13% 47% 61% C 1.57
Dordrecht vs EmmenEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie EmmenOur prob 44%Best odds 2.25 +6% 48% 42% C 2.25 Bet Now
Roda vs Jong PSV U21Eerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie RodaOur prob 54%Best odds 1.72 -8% 47% 56% C 1.72
FC Volendam vs VitesseEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie FC VolendamOur prob 40%Best odds 2.40 -1% 39% 40% C 2.40
Jong AZ vs Den BoschEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie Jong AZOur prob 54%Best odds 1.91 +16% 66% 50% C 1.91 Bet Now
Almere City FC vs FC EindhovenEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie Almere City FCOur prob 69%Best odds 1.40 +2% 70% 68% C 1.40 Bet Now
FC OSS vs Helmond SportEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie FC OSSOur prob 45%Best odds 2.20 +9% 52% 43% C 2.20 Bet Now
Jong Ajax vs VVV VenloEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie VVV VenloOur prob 49%Best odds 2.20 +22% 65% 43% C 2.20 Bet Now
Dender vs Club Brugge IIChallenger Pro LeagueC Challenger Pro League DenderOur prob 60%Best odds 1.50 -12% 51% 63% C 1.50
RSC Anderlecht II vs AS EupenChallenger Pro LeagueC Challenger Pro League AS EupenOur prob 54%Best odds 1.88 +13% 64% 51% C 1.88 Bet Now
Libertad vs Leones del NorteLiga ProC Liga Pro LibertadOur prob 40%Best odds 2.51 +11% 49% 38% C 2.51 Bet Now
Stade Nyonnais vs FC AarauChallenge LeagueC Challenge League FC AarauOur prob 64%Best odds 1.47 -1% 63% 64% C 1.47
Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon SportChallenge LeagueC Challenge League Yverdon SportOur prob 46%Best odds 2.20 +11% 54% 43% C 2.20 Bet Now
Raków Częstochowa vs GKS KatowiceEkstraklasaC Ekstraklasa Raków CzęstochowaOur prob 42%Best odds 2.17 -5% 38% 43% C 2.17
Avellino vs SampdoriaItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B AvellinoOur prob 38%Best odds 2.85 +16% 51% 34% C 2.85 Bet Now
First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten2. LigaC 2. Liga First ViennaOur prob 51%Best odds 1.95 +10% 58% 48% C 1.95 Bet Now
Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń SiedlceI LigaC I Liga PodbeskidzieOur prob 46%Best odds 1.85 -17% 33% 50% C 1.85
SK Beveren vs Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro LeagueC Jupiler Pro League SK BeverenOur prob 50%Best odds 1.82 -5% 47% 52% C 1.82
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.Premier DivisionC Premier Division St Patrick's Athl.Our prob 43%Best odds 2.31 +11% 51% 40% C 2.31 Bet Now
Waterford vs Galway UnitedPremier DivisionC Premier Division WaterfordOur prob 47%Best odds 2.08 +6% 52% 46% C 2.08 Bet Now
Shelbourne vs Sligo RoversPremier DivisionC Premier Division ShelbourneOur prob 67%Best odds 1.39 -5% 63% 68% C 1.39
Cardiff MET vs TrefelinWales Premier LeagueC Wales Premier League Cardiff METOur prob 72%Best odds 1.30 +9% 79% 70% C 1.30 Bet Now
Llandudno vs Airbus UKWales Premier LeagueC Wales Premier League LlandudnoOur prob 41%Best odds 2.10 -13% 32% 44% C 2.10
Penybont vs Barry TownWales Premier LeagueC Wales Premier League PenybontOur prob 49%Best odds 1.95 +6% 54% 48% C 1.95 Bet Now
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Caernarfon TownWales Premier LeagueC Wales Premier League Caernarfon TownOur prob 58%Best odds 1.61 +3% 60% 57% C 1.61 Bet Now
Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FCWales Premier LeagueC Wales Premier League GAP Connah S Quay FCOur prob 67%Best odds 1.34 -4% 64% 68% C 1.34
Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford AFCWales Premier LeagueC Wales Premier League Cambrian & ClydachOur prob 68%Best odds 1.32 -8% 61% 70% C 1.32
Holywell vs The New SaintsWales Premier LeagueC Wales Premier League The New SaintsOur prob 93%Best odds 1.03 +2% 94% 92% C 1.03 Bet Now
Portadown vs GlentoranNorthern Ireland PremiershipC Northern Ireland Premiership GlentoranOur prob 57%Best odds 1.57 -6% 53% 59% C 1.57
San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real TomayapoBolivia Primera DivisiónC Bolivia Primera División San Antonio Bulo BuloOur prob 52%Best odds 1.72 -10% 44% 54% C 1.72
West Ham vs QPREngland ChampionshipC England Championship West HamOur prob 61%Best odds 1.55 +1% 63% 61% C 1.55 Bet Now
Malaga vs EspanyolLa LigaA La Liga MalagaOur prob 36%Best odds 2.82 +7% 41% 34% A 2.82 Bet Now
MC Alger vs TémouchentAlgeria Ligue 1C Algeria Ligue 1 MC AlgerOur prob 70% — 70% — C —
SC Braga vs Sporting CPPrimeira LigaC Primeira Liga Sporting CPOur prob 44%Best odds 2.11 -11% 35% 46% C 2.11
Atletico Torque vs DanubioUruguay Primera DivisiónC Uruguay Primera División Atletico TorqueOur prob 50%Best odds 1.95 +8% 56% 48% C 1.95 Bet Now
Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SCLiga ProC Liga Pro Delfin SCOur prob 37%Best odds 2.40 -6% 33% 39% C 2.40
Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional ArgentinaC Liga Profesional Argentina Gimnasia L.P.Our prob 45%Best odds 2.10 -6% 40% 46% C 2.10
Platense FC vs JuticalpaHonduras Liga NacionalC Honduras Liga Nacional Platense FCOur prob 39% — 39% — C —
Instituto Cordoba vs Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional ArgentinaC Liga Profesional Argentina Boca JuniorsOur prob 36%Best odds 2.60 -3% 34% 37% C 2.60
Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas DoradasPrimera AC Primera A Alianza ValleduparOur prob 36%Best odds 2.75 +1% 37% 35% C 2.75 Bet Now
Tapatío vs CA La PazLiga de Expansión MXC Liga de Expansión MX TapatíoOur prob 37%Best odds 2.67 +5% 41% 36% C 2.67 Bet Now
Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool MontevideoUruguay Primera DivisiónC Uruguay Primera División Deportivo MaldonadoOur prob 40%Best odds 2.48 +7% 45% 38% C 2.48 Bet Now
Lexington vs FC TulsaUSL ChampionshipC USL Championship LexingtonOur prob 54%Best odds 1.70 0% 54% 54% C 1.70

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Competitions on Friday

56 competitions with fixtures on Friday — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above

All competitions
  • Brazil Serie A Brazil 2 fixtures
  • Guatemala Liga Nacional Guatemala 1 fixture
  • Liga de Expansión MX Mexico 2 fixtures
  • Primera A Colombia 2 fixtures
  • Costa Rica Primera División Costa Rica 1 fixture
  • K League 1 South Korea 3 fixtures
  • Persha Liga Ukraine 1 fixture
  • J1 League Japan 2 fixtures
  • Tanzania Premier League Tanzania 3 fixtures
  • China Super League China 3 fixtures
  • Premyer Liqa Azerbaijan 2 fixtures
  • Kosovo Superliga Kosovo 2 fixtures
  • Kenyan Premier League Kenya 9 fixtures
  • Ukraine Premier League Ukraine 1 fixture
  • Saudi Arabia Pro League Saudi Arabia 3 fixtures
  • 1. Lig Turkey 4 fixtures
  • Uganda Premier League Uganda 2 fixtures
  • Stars League Qatar 2 fixtures
  • Liga I Romania 2 fixtures
  • FNL Czech Republic 4 fixtures
  • Veikkausliiga Finland 1 fixture
  • Ekstraklasa Poland 2 fixtures
  • Czech Liga Czech Republic 1 fixture
  • HNL Croatia 1 fixture
  • Cyprus 1. Division Cyprus 1 fixture
  • Denmark 1. Division Denmark 2 fixtures
  • 2. Bundesliga Germany 2 fixtures
  • 2. Liga Austria 3 fixtures
  • Süper Lig Turkey 1 fixture
  • Denmark Superliga Denmark 1 fixture
  • Eliteserien Norway 1 fixture
  • Allsvenskan Sweden 1 fixture
  • 3. Liga Germany 1 fixture
  • Segunda Liga Portugal 1 fixture
  • Algeria Ligue 1 Algeria 2 fixtures
  • Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina 3 fixtures
  • Challenge League Switzerland 5 fixtures
  • Primeira Liga Portugal 2 fixtures
  • Eredivisie Netherlands 1 fixture
  • Malta Premier League Malta 1 fixture
  • Ligue 2 France 5 fixtures
  • Eerste Divisie Netherlands 10 fixtures
  • Challenger Pro League Belgium 2 fixtures
  • Liga Pro Ecuador 2 fixtures
  • Italy Serie B Italy 1 fixture
  • I Liga Poland 1 fixture
  • Jupiler Pro League Belgium 1 fixture
  • Premier Division Ireland 3 fixtures
  • Wales Premier League Wales 7 fixtures
  • Northern Ireland Premiership Northern Ireland 1 fixture
  • Bolivia Primera División Bolivia 1 fixture
  • England Championship England 1 fixture
  • La Liga Spain 1 fixture
  • Uruguay Primera División Uruguay 2 fixtures
  • Honduras Liga Nacional Honduras 1 fixture
  • USL Championship USA 1 fixture