Top pick on Friday
Villarreal
vs
Espanyol
- Our pick
- Villarreal to win
- Our prob.
- 65%
- Market prob.
- 63%
- Edge
- +2%
- Best odds
- 1.57
Matches on Friday
100
across 56 competitions
Competitions
56
with fixtures on Friday
Value picks
10
edge ≥ 2% over the market
High confidence
4
both teams xG-backed
Average edge
+4.1%
across value picks
Match explorer
100 fixtures on Friday — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San PedroGuatemala Liga NacionalC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFCOur prob 65% | — | 65% | — | C | — | |
| Gremio vs Atletico ParanaenseBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | GremioOur prob 40%Best odds 2.43 | 0% | 40% | 39% | C | 2.43 | Bet Now |
| FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes UnidosPeru Primera DivisiónC | Peru Primera División | FBC MelgarOur prob 73%Best odds 1.29 | -1% | 73% | 74% | C | 1.29 | |
| Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | Mineros de ZacatecasOur prob 37%Best odds 2.37 | -2% | 37% | 39% | C | 2.37 | |
| Atletico Nacional vs Santa FePrimera AC | Primera A | Atletico NacionalOur prob 58% | — | 58% | — | C | — | |
| Marquense vs GuastatoyaGuatemala Liga NacionalC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | MarquenseOur prob 56% | — | 56% | — | C | — | |
| Brisbane Roar vs AucklandA-LeagueC | A-League | AucklandOur prob 41%Best odds 2.44 | +2% | 41% | 40% | C | 2.44 | Bet Now |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs PrykarpattiaPersha LigaC | Persha Liga | Ahrobiznes VolochyskOur prob 56% | — | 56% | — | C | — | |
| Sardarapat vs VanArmenia Premier LeagueC | Armenia Premier League | SardarapatOur prob 60% | — | 60% | — | C | — | |
| Al-Wasl FC vs Al-DhafraUnited Arab Emirates Pro LeagueC | United Arab Emirates Pro League | Al-Wasl FCOur prob 69% | — | 69% | — | C | — | |
| Dubai United vs KhorfakkanUnited Arab Emirates Pro LeagueC | United Arab Emirates Pro League | Dubai UnitedOur prob 49% | — | 49% | — | C | — | |
| Kataka vs PoliceUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | PoliceOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — | |
| Abha vs Al-Ittihad FCSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-Ittihad FCOur prob 65% | — | 65% | — | C | — | |
| Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FCNigeria Premier Football LeagueC | Nigeria Premier Football League | Niger TornadoesOur prob 51% | — | 51% | — | C | — | |
| Turan vs Sabah FAPremyer LiqaC | Premyer Liqa | Sabah FAOur prob 47% | — | 47% | — | C | — | |
| Al Diriyah vs NEOMSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | NEOMOur prob 38%Best odds 2.62 | +2% | 38% | 37% | C | 2.62 | Bet Now |
| CSKA 1948 vs Spartak VarnaBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | CSKA 1948Our prob 66%Best odds 1.43 | 0% | 66% | 66% | C | 1.43 | |
| Pyunik Yerevan vs FC UrartuArmenia Premier LeagueC | Armenia Premier League | Pyunik YerevanOur prob 69% | — | 69% | — | C | — | |
| Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FCEgypt Premier LeagueC | Egypt Premier League | El Gouna FCOur prob 38%Best odds 2.40 | -2% | 38% | 40% | C | 2.40 | |
| Swedru All Blacks vs Ashanti GoldGhana Premier LeagueC | Ghana Premier League | Swedru All BlacksOur prob 64% | — | 64% | — | C | — | |
| Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Ittihad KalbaUnited Arab Emirates Pro LeagueC | United Arab Emirates Pro League | Shabab Al Ahli DubaiOur prob 71% | — | 71% | — | C | — | |
| Vlašim vs Ústí nad LabemFNLC | FNL | VlašimOur prob 48% | — | 48% | — | C | — | |
| CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs CS Dinamo BucureștiLiga IIC | Liga II | CSA Steaua BucureştiOur prob 61% | — | 61% | — | C | — | |
| ASO Chlef vs ES SetifAlgeria Ligue 1C | Algeria Ligue 1 | ES SetifOur prob 37% | — | 37% | — | C | — | |
| Konyaspor vs GalatasaraySüper LigC | Süper Lig | GalatasarayOur prob 52%Best odds 1.68 | -6% | 52% | 58% | C | 1.68 | |
| Cracovia Krakow vs Motor LublinEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Cracovia KrakowOur prob 45%Best odds 2.09 | -1% | 45% | 45% | C | 2.09 | |
| NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961HNLC | HNL | Istra 1961Our prob 41% | — | 41% | — | C | — | |
| Karmiotissa vs OlympiakosCyprus 1. DivisionC | Cyprus 1. Division | OlympiakosOur prob 57% | — | 57% | — | C | — | |
| Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü1. LigC | 1. Lig | Esenler EroksporOur prob 42%Best odds 2.01 | -4% | 42% | 46% | C | 2.01 | |
| Karviná vs Slavia Praha IIFNLC | FNL | KarvináOur prob 60% | — | 60% | — | C | — | |
| Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev PlovdivBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Botev PlovdivOur prob 37%Best odds 2.58 | +1% | 37% | 37% | C | 2.58 | Bet Now |
| Marumo Gallants vs SiwelelePremier Soccer LeagueC | Premier Soccer League | SiweleleOur prob 38% | — | 38% | — | C | — | |
| Stellenbosch vs Chippa UnitedPremier Soccer LeagueC | Premier Soccer League | StellenboschOur prob 49% | — | 49% | — | C | — | |
| Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig2. BundesligaC | 2. Bundesliga | Arminia BielefeldOur prob 53%Best odds 1.76 | -1% | 53% | 54% | C | 1.76 | |
| Energie Cottbus vs Bochum2. BundesligaC | 2. Bundesliga | BochumOur prob 39%Best odds 2.18 | -5% | 39% | 44% | C | 2.18 | |
| SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels2. LigaC | 2. Liga | SKN ST. PoltenOur prob 51% | — | 51% | — | C | — | |
| Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten2. LigaC | 2. Liga | Austria SalzburgOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — | |
| Le Havre vs Paris Saint GermainLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | Paris Saint GermainOur prob 72%Best odds 1.27 | -4% | 72% | 76% | A | 1.27 | |
| Lyngby vs Randers FCDenmark SuperligaC | Denmark Superliga | LyngbyOur prob 43%Best odds 2.17 | -1% | 43% | 44% | C | 2.17 | |
| Bodo/Glimt vs VikingEliteserienC | Eliteserien | Bodo/GlimtOur prob 54%Best odds 1.68 | -3% | 54% | 57% | C | 1.68 | |
| Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli JeddahSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-Ahli JeddahOur prob 53%Best odds 1.93 | +3% | 53% | 49% | C | 1.93 | Bet Now |
| Al Ittihad vs El GeishEgypt Premier LeagueC | Egypt Premier League | Al IttihadOur prob 41%Best odds 2.90 | +7% | 41% | 34% | C | 2.90 | Bet Now |
| Olympic El Qanah vs EnppiEgypt Premier LeagueC | Egypt Premier League | Olympic El QanahOur prob 41%Best odds 2.61 | +4% | 41% | 36% | C | 2.61 | Bet Now |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen3. LigaC | 3. Liga | Fortuna DüsseldorfOur prob 47%Best odds 1.79 | -5% | 47% | 52% | C | 1.79 | |
| Aalborg vs HobroDenmark 1. DivisionC | Denmark 1. Division | AalborgOur prob 53%Best odds 1.78 | 0% | 53% | 53% | C | 1.78 | |
| Oddevold vs IK brageSuperettanC | Superettan | OddevoldOur prob 59%Best odds 1.73 | +5% | 59% | 54% | C | 1.73 | Bet Now |
| Grazer AK vs TSV HartbergAustria BundesligaC | Austria Bundesliga | Grazer AKOur prob 43%Best odds 2.16 | -3% | 43% | 46% | C | 2.16 | |
| Rapid vs CsikszeredaLiga IC | Liga I | RapidOur prob 75%Best odds 1.30 | 0% | 75% | 75% | C | 1.30 | |
| Rapperswil vs Stade NyonnaisChallenge LeagueC | Challenge League | RapperswilOur prob 64%Best odds 1.55 | +3% | 64% | 60% | C | 1.55 | Bet Now |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Yverdon SportChallenge LeagueC | Challenge League | Stade Lausanne-OuchyOur prob 46%Best odds 2.18 | +3% | 46% | 43% | C | 2.18 | Bet Now |
| Nantes vs Clermont FootLigue 2C | Ligue 2 | NantesOur prob 57%Best odds 1.46 | -7% | 57% | 64% | C | 1.46 | |
| Grenoble vs DijonLigue 2C | Ligue 2 | DijonOur prob 44%Best odds 2.24 | +2% | 44% | 42% | C | 2.24 | Bet Now |
| Metz vs PAULigue 2C | Ligue 2 | MetzOur prob 42%Best odds 2.11 | -2% | 42% | 45% | C | 2.11 | |
| Laval vs BoulogneLigue 2C | Ligue 2 | LavalOur prob 36%Best odds 2.57 | -2% | 36% | 38% | C | 2.57 | |
| Rodez vs DunkerqueLigue 2C | Ligue 2 | RodezOur prob 43%Best odds 2.32 | -3% | 43% | 46% | C | 2.32 | |
| Emmen vs Den BoschEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | EmmenOur prob 58% | — | 58% | — | C | — | |
| Roda vs Jong AZEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | RodaOur prob 53%Best odds 1.70 | -2% | 53% | 55% | C | 1.70 | |
| FC Volendam vs De GraafschapEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | FC VolendamOur prob 52%Best odds 2.09 | +6% | 52% | 46% | C | 2.09 | Bet Now |
| Waalwijk vs Almere City FCEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | WaalwijkOur prob 41%Best odds 2.16 | -2% | 41% | 44% | C | 2.16 | |
| Helmond Sport vs FC EindhovenEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | Helmond SportOur prob 46%Best odds 2.14 | +2% | 46% | 44% | C | 2.14 | Bet Now |
| Seraing United vs LiègeChallenger Pro LeagueC | Challenger Pro League | Seraing UnitedOur prob 55% | — | 55% | — | C | — | |
| KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K.Challenger Pro LeagueC | Challenger Pro League | K. Lierse S.K.Our prob 44% | — | 44% | — | C | — | |
| MC Oran vs Olympique AkbouAlgeria Ligue 1C | Algeria Ligue 1 | MC OranOur prob 45% | — | 45% | — | C | — | |
| Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC AarauChallenge LeagueC | Challenge League | FC AarauOur prob 38%Best odds 2.24 | -3% | 38% | 41% | C | 2.24 | |
| Étoile Carouge vs SC KriensChallenge LeagueC | Challenge League | Étoile CarougeOur prob 40%Best odds 2.15 | -4% | 40% | 44% | C | 2.15 | |
| SV Elversberg vs Mainz 05BundesligaA | Bundesliga | Mainz 05Our prob 47%Best odds 2.13 | +1% | 47% | 46% | A | 2.13 | Bet Now |
| Gornik Zabrze vs Legia WarszawaEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Gornik ZabrzeOur prob 44%Best odds 2.38 | -1% | 44% | 45% | C | 2.38 | |
| Stenhousemuir vs LivingstonScotland ChampionshipC | Scotland Championship | LivingstonOur prob 46%Best odds 1.78 | -6% | 46% | 52% | C | 1.78 | |
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal MielecI LigaC | I Liga | Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiOur prob 48%Best odds 2.15 | +4% | 48% | 44% | C | 2.15 | Bet Now |
| Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueC | Jupiler Pro League | Club Brugge KVOur prob 60%Best odds 1.55 | -2% | 60% | 62% | C | 1.55 | |
| Dundalk vs Shamrock RoversPremier DivisionC | Premier Division | Shamrock RoversOur prob 47%Best odds 2.07 | +1% | 47% | 45% | C | 2.07 | Bet Now |
| Sligo Rovers vs Derry CityPremier DivisionC | Premier Division | Derry CityOur prob 58%Best odds 1.63 | +1% | 58% | 58% | C | 1.63 | Bet Now |
| St Patrick's Athl. vs BohemiansPremier DivisionC | Premier Division | St Patrick's Athl.Our prob 46%Best odds 2.12 | +1% | 46% | 45% | C | 2.12 | Bet Now |
| Drogheda United vs Galway UnitedPremier DivisionC | Premier Division | Drogheda UnitedOur prob 41%Best odds 2.23 | -2% | 41% | 42% | C | 2.23 | |
| Shelbourne vs WaterfordPremier DivisionC | Premier Division | ShelbourneOur prob 49%Best odds 1.91 | -1% | 49% | 50% | C | 1.91 | |
| Barry Town vs TrefelinWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Barry TownOur prob 66% | — | 66% | — | C | — | |
| Ammanford AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFCWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Haverfordwest County AFCOur prob 60% | — | 60% | — | C | — | |
| Briton Ferry vs LlandudnoWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Briton FerryOur prob 37% | — | 37% | — | C | — | |
| Airbus UK vs Caernarfon TownWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Caernarfon TownOur prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — | |
| Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & ClydachWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Colwyn BayOur prob 74% | — | 74% | — | C | — | |
| Flint Town United vs HolywellWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Flint Town UnitedOur prob 63% | — | 63% | — | C | — | |
| Coleraine FC vs GlentoranNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | Coleraine FCOur prob 52%Best odds 1.78 | -1% | 52% | 52% | C | 1.78 | |
| Larne vs PortadownNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | LarneOur prob 60% | — | 60% | — | C | — | |
| Newport County vs ChesterfieldLeague TwoC | League Two | ChesterfieldOur prob 45%Best odds 2.07 | -2% | 45% | 47% | C | 2.07 | |
| Villarreal vs EspanyolLa LigaA | La Liga | VillarrealOur prob 65%Best odds 1.57 | +2% | 65% | 63% | A | 1.57 | Bet Now |
| Sheffield Utd vs WrexhamEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | Sheffield UtdOur prob 41%Best odds 2.60 | +3% | 41% | 38% | C | 2.60 | Bet Now |
| Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS RabatBotola ProC | Botola Pro | UTS RabatOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — | |
| Lille vs LensLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | LilleOur prob 39%Best odds 2.45 | -1% | 39% | 40% | A | 2.45 | |
| Casa Pia vs Sporting CPPrimeira LigaC | Primeira Liga | Sporting CPOur prob 70%Best odds 1.29 | -6% | 70% | 76% | C | 1.29 | |
| Deportivo Pereira vs JaguaresPrimera AC | Primera A | Deportivo PereiraOur prob 51% | — | 51% | — | C | — | |
| Huracan vs TigreLiga Profesional ArgentinaC | Liga Profesional Argentina | HuracanOur prob 43%Best odds 2.25 | 0% | 43% | 43% | C | 2.25 | |
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional ArgentinaC | Liga Profesional Argentina | Gimnasia L.P.Our prob 51%Best odds 2.00 | 0% | 51% | 51% | C | 2.00 | Bet Now |
| Colo Colo vs Universidad de ConcepcionChile Primera DivisiónC | Chile Primera División | Colo ColoOur prob 74%Best odds 1.33 | +1% | 74% | 73% | C | 1.33 | Bet Now |
| Coquimbo Unido vs Union La CaleraChile Primera DivisiónC | Chile Primera División | Coquimbo UnidoOur prob 55%Best odds 1.70 | -2% | 55% | 57% | C | 1.70 | |
| Real Potosí vs Independiente PetroleroBolivia Primera DivisiónC | Bolivia Primera División | Real PotosíOur prob 66% | — | 66% | — | C | — | |
| Criciuma vs Ponte PretaBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | CriciumaOur prob 85%Best odds 1.08 | -4% | 85% | 89% | C | 1.08 | |
| Louisville City vs Pittsburgh RiverhoundsUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Louisville CityOur prob 47% | — | 47% | — | C | — | |
| Corinthians vs MirassolBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | CorinthiansOur prob 51%Best odds 1.70 | -6% | 51% | 57% | C | 1.70 | |
| Charleston Battery vs Rhode IslandUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Charleston BatteryOur prob 50% | — | 50% | — | C | — | |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FCUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Tampa Bay RowdiesOur prob 65% | — | 65% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Competitions on Friday
56 competitions with fixtures on Friday — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above
- Guatemala Liga Nacional Guatemala 2 fixtures
- Brazil Serie A Brazil 2 fixtures
- Peru Primera División Peru 1 fixture
- Liga de Expansión MX Mexico 1 fixture
- Primera A Colombia 2 fixtures
- A-League Australia 1 fixture
- Persha Liga Ukraine 1 fixture
- Armenia Premier League Armenia 2 fixtures
- United Arab Emirates Pro League United Arab Emirates 3 fixtures
- Uganda Premier League Uganda 1 fixture
- Saudi Arabia Pro League Saudi Arabia 3 fixtures
- Nigeria Premier Football League Nigeria 1 fixture
- Premyer Liqa Azerbaijan 1 fixture
- Bulgaria First League Bulgaria 2 fixtures
- Egypt Premier League Egypt 3 fixtures
- Ghana Premier League Ghana 1 fixture
- FNL Czech Republic 2 fixtures
- Liga II Romania 1 fixture
- Algeria Ligue 1 Algeria 2 fixtures
- Süper Lig Turkey 1 fixture
- Ekstraklasa Poland 2 fixtures
- HNL Croatia 1 fixture
- Cyprus 1. Division Cyprus 1 fixture
- 1. Lig Turkey 1 fixture
- Premier Soccer League South Africa 2 fixtures
- 2. Bundesliga Germany 2 fixtures
- 2. Liga Austria 2 fixtures
- Ligue 1 France 2 fixtures
- Denmark Superliga Denmark 1 fixture
- Eliteserien Norway 1 fixture
- 3. Liga Germany 1 fixture
- Denmark 1. Division Denmark 1 fixture
- Superettan Sweden 1 fixture
- Austria Bundesliga Austria 1 fixture
- Liga I Romania 1 fixture
- Challenge League Switzerland 4 fixtures
- Ligue 2 France 5 fixtures
- Eerste Divisie Netherlands 5 fixtures
- Challenger Pro League Belgium 2 fixtures
- Bundesliga Germany 1 fixture
- Scotland Championship Scotland 1 fixture
- I Liga Poland 1 fixture
- Jupiler Pro League Belgium 1 fixture
- Premier Division Ireland 5 fixtures
- Wales Premier League Wales 6 fixtures
- Northern Ireland Premiership Northern Ireland 2 fixtures
- League Two England 1 fixture
- La Liga Spain 1 fixture
- England Championship England 1 fixture
- Botola Pro Morocco 1 fixture
- Primeira Liga Portugal 1 fixture
- Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina 2 fixtures
- Chile Primera División Chile 2 fixtures
- Bolivia Primera División Bolivia 1 fixture
- Brazil Serie B Brazil 1 fixture
- USL Championship USA 3 fixtures