Abha vs Al Kholood preview
In the upcoming match between Abha and Al Kholood, the 1X2 probabilities show Al Kholood at 39%, while Abha sits at 34%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with an 8% chance. Both teams to score has a 55% likelihood, indicating a competitive match.
Abha's recent form is poor, with 4 losses and only 2 draws in their last 6 matches. In contrast, Al Kholood has shown improvement, winning 2 of their last 3 games. This disparity in form could influence the outcome, but the close expected goals of 1.30 for Abha and 1.36 for Al Kholood suggests it could be a tight contest.
Abha vs Al Kholood: model vs market
| Source | Abha | Draw | Al Kholood |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 29% | 37% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 39% |
| Published | 34% | 28% | 38% |
| Edge | +1% | +1% | -2% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.38, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
Abha vs Al Kholood odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Al Kholood, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-16.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abha | 2.76 | 2.69 | -0.07 |
| Draw | 3.34 | 3.28 | -0.06 |
| Al Kholood | 2.33 | 2.35 | +0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Abha and Al Kholood expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.66
- Attack rating (Abha / Al Kholood)
- 0.69 / 0.86
- Defence rating (Abha / Al Kholood)
- 1.11 / 1.21
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Abha vs Al Kholood score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Abha goals. Columns: Al Kholood goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Abha vs Al Kholood goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Abha vs Al Kholood
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Abha | 34% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.59 | |
| Al Kholood | 38% | 2.62 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| No | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Abha or draw) | 62% | 1.62 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Al Kholood) | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Kholood win by 2+ | 17% | 5.73 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Abha and Al Kholood recent form
Abha
0W 2D 4L
Al Kholood
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Abha at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al Kholood away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Abha at home only, Al Kholood away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Al-Fateh v Al Khaleej Saihat — match page 2026-10-18
- Al-Fayha v Al-Ahli Jeddah — match page 2026-10-19
- Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm — team news & stats 2026-10-19
- Al Shabab vs Al-Faisaly FC 2026-10-19
- Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh 2026-10-20
- Al Taawon v Al-Qadisiyah FC — match page 2026-10-20
- Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC 2026-10-20
- Al-Nassr vs NEOM — team news & stats 2026-10-20
Before and after this match
- Abha, previous: Al-Qadisiyah FC – Abha, 2026-10-16
- Abha, next: NEOM vs Abha prediction
- Al Kholood, previous: Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Kholood prediction
- Al Kholood, next: Al Kholood v Al-Ettifaq analysis