Al Hilal Omdurman vs Sidama Bunna preview
Al Hilal Omdurman faces Sidama Bunna with a 44% chance of winning compared to Sidama's 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 18% of the time according to our model. Al Hilal has an expected goals figure of 1.08, while Sidama's is lower at 0.66.
However, the match could see more action than expected. With only a 25% chance for Over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, the game might not deliver many goals. Al Hilal's recent form shows two wins and a loss in their last three matches, while Sidama has won once and drawn once. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Al Hilal Omdurman vs Sidama Bunna: model vs market
| Source | Al Hilal Omdurman | Draw | Sidama Bunna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 35% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 44% | 35% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.08 vs 0.66.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Al Hilal Omdurman and Sidama Bunna expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.74
- Attack rating (Al Hilal Omdurman / Sidama Bunna)
- 1.18 / 1.16
- Defence rating (Al Hilal Omdurman / Sidama Bunna)
- 0.77 / 0.71
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al Hilal Omdurman vs Sidama Bunna score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al Hilal Omdurman goals. Columns: Sidama Bunna goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al Hilal Omdurman vs Sidama Bunna goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 33%
- No goals (0–0)
- 19%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al Hilal Omdurman vs Sidama Bunna
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 44% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.85 | |
| Sidama Bunna | 21% | 4.76 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25% | 3.96 |
| Under 2.5 | 75% | 1.34 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33% | 3.02 |
| No | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al Hilal Omdurman or draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 65% | 1.54 | |
| X2 (draw or Sidama Bunna) | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Hilal Omdurman win by 2+ | 19% | 5.37 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Al Hilal Omdurman and Sidama Bunna recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al Hilal Omdurman at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
Sidama Bunna away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Al Hilal Omdurman at home only, Sidama Bunna away only.
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- Pyramids FC vs EL Merriekh Bentiu 2026-10-24
- Zamalek SC v APR — match page 2026-10-24
- Renaissance Berkane vs Star Sport Academy 2026-10-24
- Simba v 15 de Agosto — match page 2026-10-25
- Colombe vs Teungueth — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- ASEC Mimosas vs Maghreb Fès 2026-10-25
- Club Africain vs TP Mazembe — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Nouadhibou vs San-Pédro 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Al Hilal Omdurman, previous: Sidama Bunna v Al Hilal Omdurman analysis
- Sidama Bunna, previous: Sidama Bunna v Al Hilal Omdurman analysis