Colombe vs Teungueth Prediction & Betting Tips 25/10/2026

Colombe vs Teungueth preview

In the CAF Champions League match between Colombe and Teungueth, the 1X2 probabilities show Colombe at 31%, a draw at 49%, and Teungueth at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 39%, indicating a low-scoring match is expected.

Both teams have struggled to find the net, with Colombe's expected goals at 0.56 and Teungueth's at 0.39. The chances of Over 2.5 goals are just 7%, while both teams to score sits at 15%. This suggests that a draw is a strong possibility, but if either team finds their scoring touch, it could change the outcome.

Colombe vs Teungueth: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Colombe	Draw	Teungueth
Model	31%	49%	20%
Market	—	—	—
Published	31%	49%	20%
Edge	—	—	—

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Colombe and Teungueth expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.56Colombe

0.39Teungueth

Total expected goals: 0.96
Attack rating (Colombe / Teungueth): 0.62 / 1.00
Defence rating (Colombe / Teungueth): 0.54 / 0.71

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Colombe vs Teungueth score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 39.3% 14.3% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 1 20.7% 9.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 2 6.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 3 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 4+ 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Colombe goals. Columns: Teungueth goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Colombe vs Teungueth goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 61%

Over 1.5 26%

Over 2.5 7%

Over 3.5 2%

Both teams to score: 15%
No goals (0–0): 39%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Colombe vs Teungueth

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Colombe	31%	3.22
	Draw	49%	2.03
	Teungueth	20%	5.07
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	7%	13.84
	Under 2.5	93%	1.08
Both teams to score	Yes	15%	6.74
	No	85%	1.17
Double chance	1X (Colombe or draw)	80%	1.25
	12 (either side)	51%	1.97
	X2 (draw or Teungueth)	69%	1.45
Handicap -1	Colombe win by 2+	8%	12.67
	Push (exactly one goal)	23%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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