Updated

Argentina · 2026/27 season

Primera Nacional Football Predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every Primera Nacional fixture — 36 clubs, 630 of 648 matches played, 201 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Teams 36 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 630 of 648 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 18 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 201 so far this season

Upcoming Primera Nacional fixtures

18 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction.

Primera Nacional fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Godoy Cruz vs Almirante BrownPrimera NacionalC Primera Nacional Godoy CruzOur prob 70% — 70% — C —
Chacarita Juniors vs Nueva ChicagoPrimera NacionalC Primera Nacional Chacarita JuniorsOur prob 55% — 55% — C —
Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De BelgranoPrimera NacionalC Primera Nacional Colon Santa FeOur prob 61% — 61% — C —
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia JujuyPrimera NacionalC Primera Nacional San Martin S.J.Our prob 51% — 51% — C —
Agropecuario vs AlmagroPrimera NacionalC Primera Nacional AgropecuarioOur prob 52% — 52% — C —
All Boys vs CA EstudiantesPrimera NacionalC Primera Nacional All BoysOur prob 46% — 46% — C —
Atletico DE Rafaela vs PatronatoPrimera NacionalC Primera Nacional Atletico DE RafaelaOur prob 42% — 42% — C —
Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de BolívarPrimera NacionalC Primera Nacional Deportivo MoronOur prob 47% — 47% — C —
Los Andes vs Atletico MitrePrimera NacionalC Primera Nacional Los AndesOur prob 39% — 39% — C —
San Martin Tucuman vs ColegialesPrimera NacionalC Primera Nacional San Martin TucumanOur prob 36% — 36% — C —
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs QuilmesPrimera NacionalC Primera Nacional Gimnasia Y TiroOur prob 49% — 49% — C —
San Telmo vs Central NortePrimera NacionalC Primera Nacional DrawOur prob 38% — 38% — C —
Chaco For Ever vs Racing CordobaPrimera NacionalC Primera Nacional Chaco For EverOur prob 58%Best odds 1.75 +4% 58% 53% C 1.75
Atlanta vs MidlandPrimera NacionalC Primera Nacional AtlantaOur prob 39% — 39% — C —
Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo MaipuPrimera NacionalC Primera Nacional Tristan SuarezOur prob 49% — 49% — C —
Acassuso vs Ferro Carril OestePrimera NacionalC Primera Nacional Ferro Carril OesteOur prob 45%Best odds 1.75 -10% 45% 54% C 1.75
Club Atlético Güemes vs TemperleyPrimera NacionalC Primera Nacional TemperleyOur prob 57% — 57% — C —
San Miguel vs Deportivo MadrynPrimera NacionalC Primera Nacional Deportivo MadrynOur prob 58% — 58% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Primera Nacional table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Primera Nacional table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Ferro Carril Oeste 35 1988 3831 +7 65
2 Godoy Cruz 35 1898 5132 +19 63
3 Tristan Suarez 35 16154 3416 +18 63
4 Atlanta 35 19412 4234 +8 61
5 Temperley 35 16127 4129 +12 60
6 Deportivo Moron 35 17711 5137 +14 58
7 Gimnasia Jujuy 35 16109 5244 +8 58
8 Deportivo Madryn 35 15128 5131 +20 57
9 Colon Santa Fe 35 15128 4327 +16 57
10 Midland 35 15911 4329 +14 54
11 Gimnasia Y Tiro 35 141011 3734 +3 52
12 Deportivo Maipu 35 14912 4334 +9 51
13 Almirante Brown 35 131210 2924 +5 51
14 Colegiales 35 14912 3632 +4 51
15 Ciudad de Bolívar 35 131210 3031 -1 51
16 CA Estudiantes 35 131012 3534 +1 49
17 San Martin S.J. 35 121211 3735 +2 48
18 San Martin Tucuman 35 111311 3937 +2 46
19 Atletico DE Rafaela 35 121013 2935 -6 46
20 Chaco For Ever 35 111014 3636 0 43
21 Agropecuario 35 111014 2938 -9 43
22 Quilmes 35 11915 3230 +2 42
23 Los Andes 35 91511 2726 +1 42
24 Almagro 35 11915 3242 -10 42
25 Racing Cordoba 35 101015 3142 -11 40
26 Defensores De Belgrano 35 81512 2532 -7 39
27 Chacarita Juniors 35 11618 2735 -8 39
28 Atletico Mitre 35 81512 3142 -11 39
29 Central Norte 35 71711 2331 -8 38
30 All Boys 35 71711 2130 -9 38
31 San Telmo 35 91115 2941 -12 38
32 Patronato 35 71612 2935 -6 37
33 Nueva Chicago 35 91016 2534 -9 37
34 Acassuso 35 81017 2535 -10 34
35 San Miguel 35 61514 2741 -14 33
36 Club Atlético Güemes 35 6821 2660 -34 26

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Primera Nacional trends

How Primera Nacional matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 630 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 47% 293 of 630 matches +1 pts vs 2025/26 (633)
Away wins 22% 138 of 630 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (633)
Over 2.5 goals 33% 210 of 630 matches +7 pts vs 2025/26 (633)
Both teams scored 40% 251 of 630 matches +4 pts vs 2025/26 (633)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (633 played matches).

Top Primera Nacional teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#3
Net rating
+0.53
Attack
1.51
Defence
0.98
Form NextAtlanta (A) · 31 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in Primera Nacional

From the Primera Nacional scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • A. RuizNueva Chicago 2 G 0 A
  • M. MeliDeportivo Madryn 1 G 1 A
  • J. CorreaCA Estudiantes 0 G 1 A
  • B. GómezDefensores De Belgrano 0 G 1 A

Recent Primera Nacional results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Primera Nacional results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Defensores De Belgrano vs San MiguelOur pick Defensores De Belgrano · 54% Defensores De Belgrano to win 54% 0–0 Missed
Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.Our pick Nueva Chicago · 35% Nueva Chicago to win 35% 1–1 Missed
Midland vs Gimnasia Y TiroOur pick Midland · 52% Midland to win 52% 3–0 Correct
Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético GüemesOur pick Deportivo Maipu · 74% Deportivo Maipu to win 74% 3–1 Correct
Central Norte vs AcassusoOur pick Draw · 40% Draw 40% 0–0 Correct
Atletico Mitre vs Godoy CruzOur pick Godoy Cruz · 46% Godoy Cruz to win 46% 0–3 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.