Upcoming Primera Nacional fixtures
18 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Godoy Cruz vs Almirante BrownPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Godoy CruzOur prob 70% | — | 70% | — | C | — |
| Chacarita Juniors vs Nueva ChicagoPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Chacarita JuniorsOur prob 55% | — | 55% | — | C | — |
| Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De BelgranoPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Colon Santa FeOur prob 61% | — | 61% | — | C | — |
| San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia JujuyPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | San Martin S.J.Our prob 51% | — | 51% | — | C | — |
| Agropecuario vs AlmagroPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | AgropecuarioOur prob 52% | — | 52% | — | C | — |
| All Boys vs CA EstudiantesPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | All BoysOur prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — |
| Atletico DE Rafaela vs PatronatoPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Atletico DE RafaelaOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — |
| Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de BolívarPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Deportivo MoronOur prob 47% | — | 47% | — | C | — |
| Los Andes vs Atletico MitrePrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Los AndesOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — |
| San Martin Tucuman vs ColegialesPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | San Martin TucumanOur prob 36% | — | 36% | — | C | — |
| Gimnasia Y Tiro vs QuilmesPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Gimnasia Y TiroOur prob 49% | — | 49% | — | C | — |
| San Telmo vs Central NortePrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | DrawOur prob 38% | — | 38% | — | C | — |
| Chaco For Ever vs Racing CordobaPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Chaco For EverOur prob 58%Best odds 1.75 | +4% | 58% | 53% | C | 1.75 |
| Atlanta vs MidlandPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | AtlantaOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — |
| Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo MaipuPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Tristan SuarezOur prob 49% | — | 49% | — | C | — |
| Acassuso vs Ferro Carril OestePrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Ferro Carril OesteOur prob 45%Best odds 1.75 | -10% | 45% | 54% | C | 1.75 |
| Club Atlético Güemes vs TemperleyPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | TemperleyOur prob 57% | — | 57% | — | C | — |
| San Miguel vs Deportivo MadrynPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Deportivo MadrynOur prob 58% | — | 58% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Primera Nacional table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 31 | +7 | 65 | ||
| 2 | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 32 | +19 | 63 | ||
| 3 | 35 | 16 | 15 | 4 | 34 | 16 | +18 | 63 | ||
| 4 | 35 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 42 | 34 | +8 | 61 | ||
| 5 | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 41 | 29 | +12 | 60 | ||
| 6 | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 37 | +14 | 58 | ||
| 7 | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 52 | 44 | +8 | 58 | ||
| 8 | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 51 | 31 | +20 | 57 | ||
| 9 | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 43 | 27 | +16 | 57 | ||
| 10 | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 29 | +14 | 54 | ||
| 11 | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 37 | 34 | +3 | 52 | ||
| 12 | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 34 | +9 | 51 | ||
| 13 | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 29 | 24 | +5 | 51 | ||
| 14 | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 32 | +4 | 51 | ||
| 15 | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 51 | ||
| 16 | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 34 | +1 | 49 | ||
| 17 | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 37 | 35 | +2 | 48 | ||
| 18 | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 39 | 37 | +2 | 46 | ||
| 19 | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 46 | ||
| 20 | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 43 | ||
| 21 | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 43 | ||
| 22 | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 42 | ||
| 23 | 35 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 27 | 26 | +1 | 42 | ||
| 24 | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 42 | ||
| 25 | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 40 | ||
| 26 | 35 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 39 | ||
| 27 | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 39 | ||
| 28 | 35 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 39 | ||
| 29 | 35 | 7 | 17 | 11 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 38 | ||
| 30 | 35 | 7 | 17 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 38 | ||
| 31 | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 38 | ||
| 32 | 35 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 37 | ||
| 33 | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 37 | ||
| 34 | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 34 | ||
| 35 | 35 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 33 | ||
| 36 | 35 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 26 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Primera Nacional trends
How Primera Nacional matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 630 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (633 played matches).
Top Primera Nacional teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.96
- Attack
- 1.94
- Defence
- 0.99
- Net rating
- +0.74
- Attack
- 1.46
- Defence
- 0.73
- Net rating
- +0.53
- Attack
- 1.51
- Defence
- 0.98
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Primera Nacional
From the Primera Nacional scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- A. RuizNueva Chicago 2 G 0 A
- M. MeliDeportivo Madryn 1 G 1 A
- J. CorreaCA Estudiantes 0 G 1 A
- B. GómezDefensores De Belgrano 0 G 1 A
Recent Primera Nacional results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensores De Belgrano vs San MiguelOur pick Defensores De Belgrano · 54% | Defensores De Belgrano to win | 54% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.Our pick Nueva Chicago · 35% | Nueva Chicago to win | 35% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Midland vs Gimnasia Y TiroOur pick Midland · 52% | Midland to win | 52% | 3–0 | Correct | |
| Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético GüemesOur pick Deportivo Maipu · 74% | Deportivo Maipu to win | 74% | 3–1 | Correct | |
| Central Norte vs AcassusoOur pick Draw · 40% | Draw | 40% | 0–0 | Correct | |
| Atletico Mitre vs Godoy CruzOur pick Godoy Cruz · 46% | Godoy Cruz to win | 46% | 0–3 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.