Upcoming Primera Nacional fixtures
18 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 42 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colegiales vs Tristan SuarezPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | DrawOur prob 38%Best odds 2.63 | +5% | 42% | 36% | C | 2.63 |
| Almagro vs Chacarita JuniorsPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | AlmagroOur prob 39%Best odds 2.75 | +5% | 42% | 38% | C | 2.75 |
| Quilmes vs AgropecuarioPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | QuilmesOur prob 53%Best odds 1.68 | -9% | 46% | 55% | C | 1.68 |
| Midland vs Atletico DE RafaelaPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | MidlandOur prob 52%Best odds 1.90 | +8% | 58% | 50% | C | 1.90 |
| Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For EverPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Deportivo MadrynOur prob 53%Best odds 1.83 | +3% | 55% | 52% | C | 1.83 |
| Defensores De Belgrano vs AcassusoPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Defensores De BelgranoOur prob 54%Best odds 1.72 | -1% | 53% | 54% | C | 1.72 |
| CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo MoronPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | CA EstudiantesOur prob 39%Best odds 2.61 | +11% | 48% | 36% | C | 2.61 |
| Atlanta vs San Martin TucumanPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | AtlantaOur prob 45%Best odds 2.19 | +8% | 51% | 43% | C | 2.19 |
| Almirante Brown vs San MiguelPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Almirante BrownOur prob 62% | — | 62% | — | C | — |
| Patronato vs Club Atlético GüemesPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | PatronatoOur prob 63%Best odds 1.62 | +17% | 76% | 59% | C | 1.62 |
| Temperley vs Nueva ChicagoPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | TemperleyOur prob 56%Best odds 1.78 | +15% | 68% | 52% | C | 1.78 |
| Gimnasia Jujuy vs Gimnasia Y TiroPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Gimnasia JujuyOur prob 47%Best odds 1.85 | -11% | 39% | 50% | C | 1.85 |
| Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa FePrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Colon Santa FeOur prob 34%Best odds 3.00 | +5% | 37% | 32% | C | 3.00 |
| Central Norte vs Ferro Carril OestePrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | DrawOur prob 40% | — | 40% | — | C | — |
| Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.Primera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Deportivo MaipuOur prob 44%Best odds 2.50 | +15% | 55% | 41% | C | 2.50 |
| Ciudad de Bolívar vs San TelmoPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Ciudad de BolívarOur prob 49%Best odds 1.88 | -6% | 44% | 50% | C | 1.88 |
| Racing Cordoba vs Los AndesPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | Racing CordobaOur prob 43%Best odds 2.40 | +11% | 51% | 40% | C | 2.40 |
| All Boys vs Godoy CruzPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | DrawOur prob 35%Best odds 2.75 | +1% | 35% | 34% | C | 2.75 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Primera Nacional table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ferro Carril Oeste |
32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 27 | +9 | 61 | |
| 2 |  Deportivo Moron |
32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 32 | +19 | 58 | |
| 3 |  Tristan Suarez |
32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 15 | +17 | 58 | |
| 4 |  Godoy Cruz |
32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 29 | +13 | 56 | |
| 5 |  Temperley |
32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38 | 26 | +12 | 56 | |
| 6 |  Atlanta |
32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 30 | +8 | 55 | |
| 7 |  Gimnasia Jujuy |
32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 40 | +8 | 54 | |
| 8 |  Deportivo Madryn |
32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46 | 28 | +18 | 53 | |
| 9 |  Colon Santa Fe |
32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 25 | +14 | 52 | |
| 10 |  Midland |
32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 26 | +8 | 48 | |
| 11 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro |
32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 28 | +4 | 48 | |
| 12 |  Deportivo Maipu |
32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 31 | +8 | 47 | |
| 13 |  Almirante Brown |
32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 21 | +4 | 46 | |
| 14 |  Colegiales |
32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 31 | +1 | 46 | |
| 15 |  San Martin S.J. |
32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 45 | |
| 16 |  CA Estudiantes |
32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 27 | +2 | 45 | |
| 17 |  Ciudad de Bolívar |
32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 45 | |
| 18 |  San Martin Tucuman |
32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35 | 32 | +3 | 43 | |
| 19 |  Atletico DE Rafaela |
32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 42 | |
| 20 |  Los Andes |
32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 25 | 23 | +2 | 40 | |
| 21 |  Quilmes |
32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 27 | +3 | 39 | |
| 22 |  Almagro |
32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 38 | |
| 23 |  Chaco For Ever |
32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 37 | |
| 24 |  Defensores De Belgrano |
32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 37 | |
| 25 |  San Telmo |
32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 37 | |
| 26 |  Agropecuario |
32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 37 | |
| 27 |  Racing Cordoba |
32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 37 | |
| 28 |  Nueva Chicago |
32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 36 | |
| 29 |  Atletico Mitre |
32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 35 | |
| 30 |  Patronato |
32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 34 | |
| 31 |  Chacarita Juniors |
32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 33 | |
| 32 |  Central Norte |
32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 33 | |
| 33 |  All Boys |
32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 33 | |
| 34 |  San Miguel |
32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 31 | |
| 35 |  Acassuso |
32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 29 | |
| 36 |  Club Atlético Güemes |
32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 54 | -31 | 23 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Primera Nacional trends
How Primera Nacional matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 576 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (633 played matches).
Top Primera Nacional teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.72
- Attack
- 1.41
- Defence
- 0.69
- Net rating
- +0.57
- Attack
- 1.34
- Defence
- 0.77
- Net rating
- +0.53
- Attack
- 1.54
- Defence
- 1.01
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Primera Nacional
From the Primera Nacional scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- A. RuizNueva Chicago 2 G 0 A
- M. MeliDeportivo Madryn 1 G 1 A
- J. CorreaCA Estudiantes 0 G 1 A
- B. GómezDefensores De Belgrano 0 G 1 A
Recent Primera Nacional results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo MaipuOur pick Nueva Chicago · 35% | Nueva Chicago to win | 35% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y TiroOur pick San Martin Tucuman · 49% | San Martin Tucuman to win | 49% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Godoy Cruz vs Los AndesOur pick Godoy Cruz · 60% | Godoy Cruz to win | 60% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| Atletico DE Rafaela vs AtlantaOur pick Atletico DE Rafaela · 37% | Atletico DE Rafaela to win | 37% | 2–3 | Missed | |
| Chaco For Ever vs Defensores De BelgranoOur pick Chaco For Ever · 47% | Chaco For Ever to win | 47% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| San Martin S.J. vs AlmagroOur pick San Martin S.J. · 58% | San Martin S.J. to win | 58% | 1–2 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.