Updated

Australia · 2026/27 season

A-League Football Predictions

Wellington Phoenix currently has 6 points in the A-League after 11 matches. The season has seen an average of 3.00 goals per match, with 64% going over 2.5 goals and 82% seeing both teams score. Predictions could be affected if teams struggle to maintain their scoring form or if defensive strategies change.

Teams 12 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 11 of 156 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 6 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 23 so far this season

Upcoming A-League fixtures

6 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 54 more scheduled later this season.

A-League fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Brisbane Roar vs AucklandA-LeagueC A-League AucklandOur prob 41%Best odds 2.43 +2% 41% 40% C 2.43
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington PhoenixA-LeagueC A-League Newcastle JetsOur prob 49%Best odds 2.02 +1% 49% 48% C 2.02
Melbourne City vs SydneyA-LeagueC A-League Melbourne CityOur prob 42%Best odds 2.15 -3% 42% 46% C 2.15
Macarthur vs Western Sydney WanderersA-LeagueC A-League MacarthurOur prob 41%Best odds 2.60 +3% 41% 37% C 2.60
Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast MarinersA-LeagueC A-League Melbourne VictoryOur prob 64%Best odds 1.50 -2% 64% 65% C 1.50
Perth Glory vs Adelaide UnitedA-LeagueC A-League Adelaide UnitedOur prob 40%Best odds 2.43 0% 40% 40% C 2.43

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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A-League table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

A-League table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Wellington Phoenix 2 200 41 +3 6
2 Western Sydney Wanderers 2 110 52 +3 4
3 Macarthur 2 110 32 +1 4
4 Sydney 2 110 21 +1 4
5 Brisbane Roar 1 100 21 +1 3
6 Auckland 2 101 56 -1 3
7 Newcastle Jets 2 020 33 0 2
8 Melbourne Victory 2 011 23 -1 1
9 Melbourne City 2 011 24 -2 1
10 Central Coast Mariners 2 011 24 -2 1
11 Adelaide United 1 001 12 -1 0
12 Perth Glory 2 002 24 -2 0

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

A-League trends

How A-League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 11 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 64% 7 of 11 matches
Away wins 0% 0 of 11 matches
Over 2.5 goals 64% 7 of 11 matches
Both teams scored 82% 9 of 11 matches

Season-on-season change appears once 30 matches have been played this season (11 so far) — a smaller sample is noise, not a trend.

Top A-League teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in A-League

From the A-League scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • L. BaylissAuckland 2 G 0 A
  • C. PiperWellington Phoenix 2 G 0 A
  • R. FraserMacarthur 1 G 2 A
  • C. NdukaMelbourne Victory 1 G 1 A
  • Nam Tae-HeeBrisbane Roar 1 G 0 A
  • R. BidoisWellington Phoenix 1 G 0 A
  • R. YoulleySydney 1 G 0 A
  • M. EllisPerth Glory 1 G 0 A

Recent A-League results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent A-League results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Sydney vs Adelaide UnitedOur pick Sydney · 40% Sydney to win 40% 2–1 Correct
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast MarinersOur pick Wellington Phoenix · 50% Wellington Phoenix to win 50% 2–0 Correct
Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne CityOur pick Melbourne Victory · 41% Melbourne Victory to win 41% 1–1 Missed
Western Sydney Wanderers vs AucklandOur pick Auckland · 42% Auckland to win 42% 5–2 Missed
Newcastle Jets vs MacarthurOur pick Newcastle Jets · 49% Newcastle Jets to win 49% 1–1 Missed
Brisbane Roar vs Perth GloryOur pick Brisbane Roar · 40% Brisbane Roar to win 40% 2–1 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.