Brazil Serie A Predictions, Betting Tips & Odds

Upcoming Brazil Serie A fixtures

20 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 40 more scheduled later this season.

Brazil Serie A fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
Match	League	Pick	Edge	Model	Market	Conf.	Best odds
7 Oct · 22:30 UTCInternacional vs CorinthiansBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	InternacionalOur prob 44%Best odds 2.27	+4%	47%	43%	C	2.27
7 Oct · 22:30 UTCRB Bragantino vs MirassolBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	RB BragantinoOur prob 49%Best odds 1.83	-13%	40%	52%	C	1.83
7 Oct · 22:30 UTCRemo vs GremioBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	RemoOur prob 40%Best odds 2.36	-3%	38%	41%	C	2.36
7 Oct · 23:00 UTCVitoria vs Chapecoense-scBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	VitoriaOur prob 53%Best odds 1.72	-14%	42%	56%	C	1.72
7 Oct · 23:30 UTCBotafogo vs Vasco DA GamaBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	Vasco DA GamaOur prob 42%Best odds 2.56	+18%	56%	38%	C	2.56
8 Oct · 00:30 UTCCruzeiro vs Sao PauloBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	CruzeiroOur prob 51%Best odds 1.95	+3%	54%	50%	C	1.95
8 Oct · 22:30 UTCSantos vs FlamengoBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	FlamengoOur prob 48%Best odds 1.87	-12%	39%	51%	C	1.87
8 Oct · 23:00 UTCAtletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MGBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	Atletico ParanaenseOur prob 45%Best odds 2.12	0%	44%	45%	C	2.12
9 Oct · 00:30 UTCPalmeiras vs BahiaBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	PalmeirasOur prob 60%Best odds 1.58	-4%	57%	61%	C	1.58
9 Oct · 00:30 UTCFluminense vs CoritibaBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	FluminenseOur prob 66%Best odds 1.53	+8%	72%	64%	C	1.53
10 Oct · 20:00 UTCVasco DA Gama vs RemoBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	Vasco DA GamaOur prob 77%	—	77%	—	C	—
11 Oct · 00:00 UTCSao Paulo vs VitoriaBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	Sao PauloOur prob 57%Best odds 1.65	-3%	55%	58%	C	1.65
11 Oct · 19:00 UTCAtletico-MG vs SantosBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	Atletico-MGOur prob 47%Best odds 2.05	0%	47%	47%	C	2.05
11 Oct · 20:30 UTCPalmeiras vs CorinthiansBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	PalmeirasOur prob 64%Best odds 1.56	+7%	69%	62%	C	1.56
11 Oct · 20:30 UTCFlamengo vs FluminenseBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	FlamengoOur prob 68%Best odds 1.38	-7%	63%	70%	C	1.38
11 Oct · 20:30 UTCGremio vs InternacionalBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	GremioOur prob 43%Best odds 2.40	+10%	51%	40%	C	2.40
11 Oct · 22:30 UTCBahia vs MirassolBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	BahiaOur prob 57%Best odds 1.70	+2%	58%	56%	C	1.70
12 Oct · 19:00 UTCCoritiba vs BotafogoBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	CoritibaOur prob 40%Best odds 2.65	+15%	51%	36%	C	2.65
12 Oct · 22:30 UTCChapecoense-sc vs Atletico ParanaenseBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	Atletico ParanaenseOur prob 44%Best odds 2.11	-5%	41%	45%	C	2.11
13 Oct · 00:00 UTCRB Bragantino vs CruzeiroBrazil Serie AC	Brazil Serie A	CruzeiroOur prob 37%	—	37%	—	C	—

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Brazil Serie A table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Brazil Serie A table from played results
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	28	12	7	9	37	32	+5	43
8	Santos	28	11	8	9	43	41	+2	41
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	28	10	6	12	33	32	+1	36
11	Sao Paulo	28	10	6	12	33	32	+1	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Brazil Serie A trends

How Brazil Serie A matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 279 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 47% 131 of 279 matches -3 pts vs 2025/26 (380)

Away wins 25% 71 of 279 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (380)

Over 2.5 goals 52% 144 of 279 matches +6 pts vs 2025/26 (380)

Both teams scored 59% 166 of 279 matches +12 pts vs 2025/26 (380)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (380 played matches).

Top Brazil Serie A teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Flamengo

Net rating: +0.92
Attack: 1.75
Defence: 0.83

Form NextSantos (A) · 8 Oct

Vasco DA Gama

Net rating: +0.85
Attack: 1.68
Defence: 0.83

Form NextBotafogo (A) · 7 Oct

Palmeiras

Net rating: +0.61
Attack: 1.39
Defence: 0.78

Form NextBahia (H) · 9 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in Brazil Serie A

From the Brazil Serie A scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense 18 G 3 A
PedroFlamengo 16 G 5 A
Gabriel BarbosaSantos 13 G 3 A
Carlos ViníciusGremio 10 G 1 A
Samuel LinoFlamengo 9 G 7 A
Matheus PereiraCruzeiro 9 G 4 A
Danilo SantosBotafogo 9 G 2 A
Luciano JubaBahia 9 G 1 A

Recent Brazil Serie A results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Brazil Serie A results with our pre-match pick
Date	Match	Our pick	Our prob	Score	Pick
3 Oct 2026	Atletico-MG vs RB BragantinoOur pick Atletico-MG · 51%	Atletico-MG to win	51%	1–0	Correct
2 Oct 2026	Sao Paulo vs SantosOur pick Sao Paulo · 45%	Sao Paulo to win	45%	1–2	Missed
20 Sep 2026	Atletico Paranaense vs BahiaOur pick Atletico Paranaense · 43%	Atletico Paranaense to win	43%	2–1	Correct
20 Sep 2026	Flamengo vs RB BragantinoOur pick Flamengo · 70%	Flamengo to win	70%	2–1	Correct
20 Sep 2026	Corinthians vs FluminenseOur pick Corinthians · 42%	Corinthians to win	42%	1–3	Missed
20 Sep 2026	Vitoria vs CruzeiroOur pick Cruzeiro · 40%	Cruzeiro to win	40%	1–3	Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.

Brazil Serie A Football Predictions