Upcoming Brazil Serie A fixtures
11 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 49 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense vs InternacionalBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | FluminenseOur prob 50%Best odds 1.95 | 0% | 50% | 50% | C | 1.95 |
| Santos vs PalmeirasBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | PalmeirasOur prob 41%Best odds 2.40 | 0% | 41% | 41% | C | 2.40 |
| RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense-scBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | RB BragantinoOur prob 70%Best odds 1.31 | -4% | 70% | 73% | C | 1.31 |
| Bahia vs Sao PauloBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | BahiaOur prob 46%Best odds 2.06 | -1% | 46% | 47% | C | 2.06 |
| Remo vs BotafogoBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | RemoOur prob 37%Best odds 2.88 | +3% | 37% | 34% | C | 2.88 |
| Coritiba vs VitoriaBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | CoritibaOur prob 39%Best odds 2.32 | -2% | 39% | 41% | C | 2.32 |
| Atletico-MG vs CruzeiroBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | Atletico-MGOur prob 42%Best odds 2.48 | +3% | 42% | 39% | C | 2.48 |
| Vasco DA Gama vs FlamengoBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | FlamengoOur prob 43%Best odds 2.10 | -3% | 43% | 46% | C | 2.10 |
| Gremio vs Atletico ParanaenseBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | GremioOur prob 40%Best odds 2.43 | 0% | 40% | 39% | C | 2.43 |
| Corinthians vs MirassolBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | CorinthiansOur prob 51%Best odds 1.70 | -6% | 51% | 57% | C | 1.70 |
| RB Bragantino vs SantosBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | RB BragantinoOur prob 46%Best odds 2.00 | -3% | 46% | 49% | C | 2.00 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Brazil Serie A table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo |
32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 27 | +37 | 70 | |
| 2 |  Palmeiras |
32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 56 | 22 | +34 | 69 | |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense |
32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 38 | +12 | 54 | |
| 4 |  Cruzeiro |
32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51 | 46 | +5 | 54 | |
| 5 |  Fluminense |
32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 50 | 41 | +9 | 51 | |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG |
32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 44 | 38 | +6 | 50 | |
| 7 |  Bahia |
32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 45 | 40 | +5 | 50 | |
| 8 |  Santos |
32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 49 | 47 | +2 | 46 | |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo |
32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 36 | +1 | 43 | |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino |
32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 38 | +1 | 41 | |
| 11 |  Botafogo |
32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 39 | |
| 12 |  Coritiba |
32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 | |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama |
31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 38 | |
| 14 |  Vitoria |
32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 38 | |
| 15 |  Mirassol |
32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 37 | |
| 16 |  Internacional |
32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 35 | |
| 17 |  Gremio |
32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 34 | |
| 18 |  Corinthians |
32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 33 | |
| 19 |  Remo |
32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 26 | |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc |
31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 21 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Brazil Serie A trends
How Brazil Serie A matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 319 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (380 played matches).
Top Brazil Serie A teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.78
- Attack
- 1.50
- Defence
- 0.72
- Net rating
- +0.72
- Attack
- 1.55
- Defence
- 0.83
- Net rating
- +0.39
- Attack
- 1.48
- Defence
- 1.09
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Brazil Serie A
From the Brazil Serie A scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
-
K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense
21 G 3 A
- PedroFlamengo 16 G 6 A
-
Gabriel BarbosaSantos
15 G 3 A
- Kaio JorgeCruzeiro 11 G 2 A
- Luciano JubaBahia 11 G 1 A
- Carlos ViníciusGremio 11 G 1 A
- Danilo SantosBotafogo 10 G 2 A
- ReneVitoria 10 G 1 A
Recent Brazil Serie A results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo vs Atletico-MGOur pick Flamengo · 70% | Flamengo to win | 70% | 3–2 | Correct | |
| Coritiba vs GremioOur pick Coritiba · 41% | Coritiba to win | 41% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| Santos vs BahiaOur pick Santos · 52% | Santos to win | 52% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Chapecoense-sc vs FluminenseOur pick Fluminense · 53% | Fluminense to win | 53% | 2–1 | Missed | |
| Vasco DA Gama vs CorinthiansOur pick Vasco DA Gama · 59% | Vasco DA Gama to win | 59% | 3–2 | Correct | |
| Palmeiras vs RB BragantinoOur pick Palmeiras · 62% | Palmeiras to win | 62% | 2–0 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.