Updated

Brazil · 2026/27 season

Brazil Serie B Football Predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every Brazil Serie B fixture — 20 clubs, 349 of 380 matches played, 140 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Teams 20 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 349 of 380 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 11 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 140 so far this season

Upcoming Brazil Serie B fixtures

11 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 20 more scheduled later this season.

Brazil Serie B fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Ceara vs GoiasBrazil Serie BC Brazil Serie B CearaOur prob 45%Best odds 2.10 0% 45% 45% C 2.10
Criciuma vs Ponte PretaBrazil Serie BC Brazil Serie B CriciumaOur prob 85%Best odds 1.08 -4% 85% 89% C 1.08
Botafogo SP vs Sport RecifeBrazil Serie BC Brazil Serie B Botafogo SPOur prob 40%Best odds 2.56 +3% 40% 38% C 2.56
Vila Nova vs JuventudeBrazil Serie BC Brazil Serie B Vila NovaOur prob 45% — 45% — C —
Nautico Recife vs AvaiBrazil Serie BC Brazil Serie B Nautico RecifeOur prob 44% — 44% — C —
Londrina vs America MineiroBrazil Serie BC Brazil Serie B LondrinaOur prob 57% — 57% — C —
Cuiaba vs São BernardoBrazil Serie BC Brazil Serie B CuiabaOur prob 41% — 41% — C —
Novorizontino vs Operario-PRBrazil Serie BC Brazil Serie B NovorizontinoOur prob 67%Best odds 1.46 +3% 67% 64% C 1.46
Fortaleza EC vs Atletico GoianienseBrazil Serie BC Brazil Serie B Fortaleza ECOur prob 48% — 48% — C —
Athletic Club vs CearaBrazil Serie BC Brazil Serie B Athletic ClubOur prob 40% — 40% — C —
Goias vs CRBBrazil Serie BC Brazil Serie B GoiasOur prob 38% — 38% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Brazil Serie B table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Brazil Serie B table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Novorizontino 35 18107 6230 +32 64
2 Juventude 35 18107 4523 +22 64
3 Vila Nova 35 1889 5036 +14 62
4 Fortaleza EC 35 16136 4331 +12 61
5 Criciuma 35 17810 3630 +6 59
6 CRB 35 16712 5349 +4 55
7 Sport Recife 35 14129 4738 +9 54
8 Atletico Goianiense 35 14129 4233 +9 54
9 Operario-PR 35 14912 4546 -1 51
10 São Bernardo 35 131012 4939 +10 49
11 Goias 34 14713 3440 -6 49
12 Cuiaba 35 111410 3228 +4 47
13 Botafogo SP 35 13814 4038 +2 47
14 Athletic Club 35 101411 4040 0 44
15 Ceara 34 111013 3742 -5 43
16 Nautico Recife 35 111014 3946 -7 43
17 Avai 35 10718 3345 -12 37
18 Londrina 35 8819 4451 -7 32
19 America Mineiro 35 6524 2354 -31 23
20 Ponte Preta 35 3626 2176 -55 15

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Brazil Serie B trends

How Brazil Serie B matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 349 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 45% 156 of 349 matches -1 pts vs 2025/26 (380)
Away wins 28% 99 of 349 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (380)
Over 2.5 goals 43% 150 of 349 matches +3 pts vs 2025/26 (380)
Both teams scored 47% 163 of 349 matches -3 pts vs 2025/26 (380)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (380 played matches).

Top Brazil Serie B teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+0.78
Attack
1.68
Defence
0.90
Form NextVila Nova (A) · 31 Oct
Net rating
+0.43
Attack
1.42
Defence
0.99
Form NextJuventude (H) · 31 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in Brazil Serie B

From the Brazil Serie B scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • RobsonNovorizontino 16 G 5 A
  • MikaelCRB 16 G 4 A
  • BoschiliaOperario-PR 13 G 4 A
  • Chrystian BarlettaSport Recife 13 G 4 A
  • Gustavo CoutinhoAtletico Goianiense 13 G 0 A
  • PerottiSport Recife 12 G 1 A
  • RomuloNovorizontino 11 G 9 A
  • Bruno SantosLondrina 11 G 3 A

Recent Brazil Serie B results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Brazil Serie B results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Juventude vs Nautico RecifeOur pick Juventude · 62% Juventude to win 62% 4–0 Correct
America Mineiro vs CuiabaOur pick Cuiaba · 45% Cuiaba to win 45% 1–0 Missed
CRB vs LondrinaOur pick CRB · 66% CRB to win 66% 2–1 Correct
Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza ECOur pick Fortaleza EC · 75% Fortaleza EC to win 75% 2–2 Missed
São Bernardo vs Vila NovaOur pick Vila Nova · 38% Vila Nova to win 38% 3–2 Missed
Atletico Goianiense vs NovorizontinoOur pick Novorizontino · 37% Novorizontino to win 37% 0–1 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.