Upcoming Bulgaria First League fixtures
7 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 53 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Vratsa vs Spartak VarnaBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Botev VratsaOur prob 45%Best odds 2.05 | -7% | 40% | 47% | C | 2.05 |
| Lokomotiv Sofia vs Lokomotiv PlovdivBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Lokomotiv SofiaOur prob 48%Best odds 2.05 | -1% | 47% | 48% | C | 2.05 |
| Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia SofiaBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Botev PlovdivOur prob 53%Best odds 1.70 | -8% | 47% | 55% | C | 1.70 |
| Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav RuseBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Septemvri SofiaOur prob 40%Best odds 2.39 | 0% | 40% | 40% | C | 2.39 |
| Cherno More Varna vs Levski SofiaBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Levski SofiaOur prob 56%Best odds 1.67 | +1% | 57% | 56% | C | 1.67 |
| CSKA 1948 vs CSKA SofiaBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | CSKA SofiaOur prob 45%Best odds 1.90 | -16% | 33% | 49% | C | 1.90 |
| Ludogorets vs Arda KardzhaliBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | LudogoretsOur prob 56%Best odds 1.65 | -7% | 50% | 57% | C | 1.65 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Bulgaria First League table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Levski Sofia |
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | +17 | 25 | |
| 2 |  CSKA Sofia |
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 24 | |
| 3 |  Ludogorets |
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 23 | |
| 4 |  CSKA 1948 |
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 22 | |
| 5 |  Arda Kardzhali |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 17 | |
| 6 |  Botev Plovdiv |
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 16 | |
| 7 |  Slavia Sofia |
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 11 | |
| 8 |  Spartak Varna |
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 | |
| 9 |  Botev Vratsa |
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 | |
| 10 |  Septemvri Sofia |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 | |
| 11 |  Lokomotiv Sofia |
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 | |
| 12 |  Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 7 | |
| 13 |  Cherno More Varna |
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 6 | |
| 14 |  Dunav Ruse |
10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Bulgaria First League trends
How Bulgaria First League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 69 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (293 played matches).
Top Bulgaria First League teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.67
- Attack
- 1.73
- Defence
- 1.06
- Net rating
- +0.53
- Attack
- 1.36
- Defence
- 0.82
- Net rating
- +0.45
- Attack
- 1.44
- Defence
- 0.99
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Bulgaria First League results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA SofiaOur pick CSKA Sofia · 61% | CSKA Sofia to win | 61% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv SofiaOur pick Spartak Varna · 39% | Spartak Varna to win | 39% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More VarnaOur pick Arda Kardzhali · 56% | Arda Kardzhali to win | 56% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Septemvri Sofia vs Botev PlovdivOur pick Botev Plovdiv · 49% | Botev Plovdiv to win | 49% | 0–3 | Correct | |
| Dunav Ruse vs Botev VratsaOur pick Botev Vratsa · 36% | Botev Vratsa to win | 36% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948Our pick CSKA 1948 · 48% | CSKA 1948 to win | 48% | 1–2 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.