Upcoming Bulgaria First League fixtures
16 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 44 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri SofiaBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Cherno More VarnaOur prob 52%Best odds 1.70 | -3% | 52% | 55% | C | 1.70 |
| Arda Kardzhali vs Levski SofiaBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Levski SofiaOur prob 54%Best odds 1.75 | 0% | 54% | 54% | C | 1.75 |
| CSKA 1948 vs Spartak VarnaBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | CSKA 1948Our prob 66%Best odds 1.43 | 0% | 66% | 66% | C | 1.43 |
| Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev PlovdivBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Botev PlovdivOur prob 37%Best odds 2.58 | +1% | 37% | 37% | C | 2.58 |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs LudogoretsBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | LudogoretsOur prob 62%Best odds 1.50 | 0% | 62% | 62% | C | 1.50 |
| Dunav Ruse vs Levski SofiaBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Levski SofiaOur prob 66%Best odds 1.29 | -6% | 66% | 72% | C | 1.29 |
| CSKA Sofia vs Slavia SofiaBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | CSKA SofiaOur prob 71%Best odds 1.21 | -5% | 71% | 76% | C | 1.21 |
| Cherno More Varna vs Botev VratsaBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Cherno More VarnaOur prob 37% | — | 37% | — | C | — |
| Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri SofiaBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Arda KardzhaliOur prob 55% | — | 55% | — | C | — |
| Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv SofiaBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Septemvri SofiaOur prob 37% | — | 37% | — | C | — |
| Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav RuseBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Botev PlovdivOur prob 49% | — | 49% | — | C | — |
| Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv PlovdivBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Botev VratsaOur prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — |
| Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More VarnaBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Slavia SofiaOur prob 50% | — | 50% | — | C | — |
| Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948Bulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | LudogoretsOur prob 50% | — | 50% | — | C | — |
| Spartak Varna vs Arda KardzhaliBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Spartak VarnaOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — |
| Levski Sofia vs CSKA SofiaBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Levski SofiaOur prob 51% | — | 51% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Bulgaria First League table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Sofia |
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 30 | |
| 2 |  Levski Sofia |
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 4 | +19 | 28 | |
| 3 |  Ludogorets |
11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 26 | |
| 4 |  CSKA 1948 |
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 13 | +12 | 25 | |
| 5 |  Botev Plovdiv |
12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 | |
| 6 |  Arda Kardzhali |
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 | |
| 7 |  Spartak Varna |
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 13 | |
| 8 |  Slavia Sofia |
12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 |  Dunav Ruse |
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 11 | |
| 10 |  Botev Vratsa |
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 10 | |
| 11 |  Lokomotiv Sofia |
12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 | |
| 12 |  Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 9 | |
| 13 |  Septemvri Sofia |
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 8 | |
| 14 |  Cherno More Varna |
11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 6 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Bulgaria First League trends
How Bulgaria First League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 81 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (293 played matches).
Top Bulgaria First League teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.66
- Attack
- 1.72
- Defence
- 1.06
- Net rating
- +0.62
- Attack
- 1.63
- Defence
- 1.01
- Net rating
- +0.60
- Attack
- 1.41
- Defence
- 0.80
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Bulgaria First League results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia vs LudogoretsOur pick CSKA Sofia · 40% | CSKA Sofia to win | 40% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia SofiaOur pick Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 36% | Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win | 36% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev VratsaOur pick Lokomotiv Sofia · 48% | Lokomotiv Sofia to win | 48% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Dunav Ruse vs Spartak VarnaOur pick Dunav Ruse · 39% | Dunav Ruse to win | 39% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| CSKA 1948 vs Botev PlovdivOur pick CSKA 1948 · 45% | CSKA 1948 to win | 45% | 4–0 | Correct | |
| Ludogorets vs Arda KardzhaliOur pick Ludogorets · 60% | Ludogorets to win | 60% | 5–0 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.