Upcoming Primera A fixtures
10 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 50 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional vs Deportes TolimaPrimera AC | Primera A | Atletico NacionalOur prob 59%Best odds 1.67 | +9% | 66% | 57% | C | 1.67 |
| Fortaleza FC vs MillonariosPrimera AC | Primera A | MillonariosOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — |
| Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas DoradasPrimera AC | Primera A | Alianza ValleduparOur prob 36%Best odds 2.75 | +1% | 37% | 35% | C | 2.75 |
| Once Caldas vs LlanerosPrimera AC | Primera A | Once CaldasOur prob 58%Best odds 1.57 | -14% | 48% | 61% | C | 1.57 |
| Junior vs Internacional de BogotaPrimera AC | Primera A | JuniorOur prob 57%Best odds 1.65 | -3% | 55% | 57% | C | 1.65 |
| Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo PastoPrimera AC | Primera A | Atletico NacionalOur prob 77%Best odds 1.24 | 0% | 77% | 77% | C | 1.24 |
| Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo CaliPrimera AC | Primera A | Deportivo CaliOur prob 55%Best odds 1.78 | +9% | 62% | 53% | C | 1.78 |
| Jaguares vs Deportes TolimaPrimera AC | Primera A | Deportes TolimaOur prob 44%Best odds 1.98 | -16% | 33% | 48% | C | 1.98 |
| America de Cali vs Independiente MedellinPrimera AC | Primera A | America de CaliOur prob 55%Best odds 1.87 | +14% | 65% | 51% | C | 1.87 |
| Chico vs CucutaPrimera AC | Primera A | ChicoOur prob 42%Best odds 2.30 | +3% | 44% | 41% | C | 2.30 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Primera A table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional |
35 | 25 | 2 | 8 | 70 | 31 | +39 | 77 | |
| 2 |  America de Cali |
33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 27 | +23 | 61 | |
| 3 |  Santa Fe |
35 | 14 | 15 | 6 | 54 | 36 | +18 | 57 | |
| 4 |  Deportes Tolima |
35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 46 | 34 | +12 | 56 | |
| 5 |  Junior |
36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 54 | 48 | +6 | 53 | |
| 6 |  Deportivo Cali |
31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 25 | +15 | 51 | |
| 7 |  Millonarios |
32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 49 | 34 | +15 | 47 | |
| 8 |  Once Caldas |
33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 41 | +7 | 47 | |
| 9 |  Bucaramanga |
30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 46 | 30 | +16 | 46 | |
| 10 |  Independiente Medellin |
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 45 | 40 | +5 | 46 | |
| 11 |  Deportivo Pasto |
33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 43 | |
| 12 |  Internacional de Bogota |
34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 41 | |
| 13 |  Águilas Doradas |
30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 40 | |
| 14 |  Llaneros |
31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 | |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC |
31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 32 | |
| 16 |  Cucuta |
31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 31 | |
| 17 |  Chico |
30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 29 | |
| 18 |  Alianza Valledupar |
31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 28 | |
| 19 |  Jaguares |
30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 25 | |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira |
30 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 18 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Primera A trends
How Primera A matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 321 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (450 played matches).
Top Primera A teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.77
- Attack
- 1.87
- Defence
- 1.10
- Net rating
- +0.76
- Attack
- 1.58
- Defence
- 0.82
- Net rating
- +0.74
- Attack
- 1.81
- Defence
- 1.06
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Primera A
From the Primera A scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- Y. GuzmánAmerica de Cali 18 G 5 A
- A. EstupiñánMillonarios 17 G 4 A
- L. MurielJunior 16 G 2 A
- D. MorenoOnce Caldas 15 G 1 A
- A. MorelosAtletico Nacional 14 G 6 A
- H. RodallegaSanta Fe 14 G 2 A
- E. BatallaBucaramanga 11 G 5 A
- L. PonsBucaramanga 11 G 5 A
Recent Primera A results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin vs Santa FeOur pick Independiente Medellin · 46% | Independiente Medellin to win | 46% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| Llaneros vs America de CaliOur pick America de Cali · 44% | America de Cali to win | 44% | 1–2 | Correct | |
| Bucaramanga vs JuniorOur pick Bucaramanga · 52% | Bucaramanga to win | 52% | 3–1 | Correct | |
| Cucuta vs Deportivo PereiraOur pick Cucuta · 51% | Cucuta to win | 51% | 4–0 | Correct | |
| Internacional de Bogota vs Once CaldasOur pick Once Caldas · 35% | Once Caldas to win | 35% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FCOur pick Deportivo Pasto · 42% | Deportivo Pasto to win | 42% | 0–0 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.