Upcoming Primera A fixtures
14 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 23 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cucuta vs Águilas DoradasPrimera AC | Primera A | CucutaOur prob 40%Best odds 2.64 | +3% | 40% | 37% | C | 2.64 |
| Chico vs JuniorPrimera AC | Primera A | JuniorOur prob 41%Best odds 2.20 | -2% | 41% | 43% | C | 2.20 |
| Once Caldas vs Alianza ValleduparPrimera AC | Primera A | Once CaldasOur prob 61%Best odds 1.50 | -3% | 61% | 64% | C | 1.50 |
| Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente MedellinPrimera AC | Primera A | Internacional de BogotaOur prob 38%Best odds 2.79 | +4% | 38% | 34% | C | 2.79 |
| America de Cali vs Fortaleza FCPrimera AC | Primera A | America de CaliOur prob 71% | — | 71% | — | C | — |
| Atletico Nacional vs Santa FePrimera AC | Primera A | Atletico NacionalOur prob 58% | — | 58% | — | C | — |
| Deportivo Pereira vs JaguaresPrimera AC | Primera A | Deportivo PereiraOur prob 51% | — | 51% | — | C | — |
| Bucaramanga vs Deportivo PastoPrimera AC | Primera A | BucaramangaOur prob 68% | — | 68% | — | C | — |
| Llaneros vs JuniorPrimera AC | Primera A | LlanerosOur prob 37% | — | 37% | — | C | — |
| Independiente Medellin vs Alianza ValleduparPrimera AC | Primera A | Independiente MedellinOur prob 50% | — | 50% | — | C | — |
| Deportivo Cali vs ChicoPrimera AC | Primera A | Deportivo CaliOur prob 73% | — | 73% | — | C | — |
| Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FCPrimera AC | Primera A | Águilas DoradasOur prob 52% | — | 52% | — | C | — |
| Cucuta vs Santa FePrimera AC | Primera A | CucutaOur prob 38% | — | 38% | — | C | — |
| Bucaramanga vs Atletico NacionalPrimera AC | Primera A | BucaramangaOur prob 37% | — | 37% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Primera A table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional |
40 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 79 | 34 | +45 | 87 | |
| 2 |  America de Cali |
36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 55 | 31 | +24 | 65 | |
| 3 |  Santa Fe |
38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58 | 39 | +19 | 63 | |
| 4 |  Junior |
40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 58 | 51 | +7 | 59 | |
| 5 |  Deportivo Cali |
35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 44 | 26 | +18 | 57 | |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima |
39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 40 | +9 | 57 | |
| 7 |  Once Caldas |
37 | 13 | 16 | 8 | 53 | 43 | +10 | 55 | |
| 8 |  Millonarios |
35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 55 | 37 | +18 | 52 | |
| 9 |  Independiente Medellin |
34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 45 | +3 | 49 | |
| 10 |  Bucaramanga |
34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 49 | 35 | +14 | 48 | |
| 11 |  Deportivo Pasto |
36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 46 | |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas |
34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 45 | |
| 13 |  Internacional de Bogota |
37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 45 | |
| 14 |  Llaneros |
35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 39 | |
| 15 |  Cucuta |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 37 | |
| 16 |  Alianza Valledupar |
34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 35 | |
| 17 |  Fortaleza FC |
34 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 34 | |
| 18 |  Chico |
34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 32 | |
| 19 |  Jaguares |
34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 31 | |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira |
34 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 24 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Primera A trends
How Primera A matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 357 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (450 played matches).
Top Primera A teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.84
- Attack
- 1.77
- Defence
- 0.93
- Net rating
- +0.71
- Attack
- 1.41
- Defence
- 0.70
- Net rating
- +0.67
- Attack
- 1.63
- Defence
- 0.96
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Primera A
From the Primera A scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- Y. GuzmánAmerica de Cali 19 G 6 A
- A. EstupiñánMillonarios 19 G 4 A
- L. MurielJunior 16 G 2 A
- D. MorenoOnce Caldas 16 G 1 A
- A. MorelosAtletico Nacional 14 G 6 A
- H. RodallegaSanta Fe 14 G 3 A
- L. CastroMillonarios 12 G 6 A
- L. PonsBucaramanga 12 G 5 A
Recent Primera A results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe vs BucaramangaOur pick Santa Fe · 47% | Santa Fe to win | 47% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| Jaguares vs LlanerosOur pick Jaguares · 38% | Jaguares to win | 38% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo PastoOur pick Deportes Tolima · 64% | Deportes Tolima to win | 64% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| Atletico Nacional vs Independiente MedellinOur pick Atletico Nacional · 58% | Atletico Nacional to win | 58% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de BogotaOur pick Alianza Valledupar · 40% | Alianza Valledupar to win | 40% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo CaliOur pick Deportivo Cali · 45% | Deportivo Cali to win | 45% | 1–1 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.