Upcoming HNL fixtures
6 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 54 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK RijekaHNLC | HNL | Dinamo ZagrebOur prob 55%Best odds 1.72 | -1% | 55% | 56% | C | 1.72 |
| NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961HNLC | HNL | Istra 1961Our prob 41% | — | 41% | — | C | — |
| HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK GoricaHNLC | HNL | HNK Hajduk SplitOur prob 68% | — | 68% | — | C | — |
| Rudes vs Dinamo ZagrebHNLC | HNL | Dinamo ZagrebOur prob 53% | — | 53% | — | C | — |
| HNK Rijeka vs NK VarazdinHNLC | HNL | HNK RijekaOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK OsijekHNLC | HNL | NK OsijekOur prob 37%Best odds 2.50 | -1% | 37% | 38% | C | 2.50 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Betting sites compared
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them in Kenya — the full comparison and how we read it is on its own page
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
HNL table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  HNK Hajduk Split |
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 23 | |
| 2 |  Dinamo Zagreb |
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 12 | +11 | 19 | |
| 3 |  NK Varazdin |
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 18 | |
| 4 |  HNK Rijeka |
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 17 | |
| 5 |  NK Osijek |
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 17 | |
| 6 |  Istra 1961 |
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 13 | |
| 7 |  NK Slaven Belupo |
11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 13 | |
| 8 |  NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 11 | |
| 9 |  Rudes |
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 | |
| 10 |  HNK Gorica |
11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 7 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
HNL trends
How HNL matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 53 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (180 played matches).
Top HNL teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.73
- Attack
- 1.76
- Defence
- 1.03
- Net rating
- +0.40
- Attack
- 1.97
- Defence
- 1.58
- Net rating
- +0.19
- Attack
- 1.25
- Defence
- 1.06
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in HNL
From the HNL scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
-
D. BeljoDinamo Zagreb
12 G 4 A
- E. FrederiksenIstra 1961 7 G 3 A
- I. NestorovskiNK Slaven Belupo 7 G 2 A
- A. LeónNK Osijek 5 G 1 A
- N. OmerovićNK Osijek 5 G 0 A
- D. Adu-AdjeiHNK Rijeka 4 G 3 A
- H. JaganjacIstra 1961 4 G 1 A
- M. ŠegoHNK Hajduk Split 4 G 1 A
Recent HNL results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk SplitOur pick HNK Hajduk Split · 53% | HNK Hajduk Split to win | 53% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| NK Osijek vs RudesOur pick NK Osijek · 64% | NK Osijek to win | 64% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven BelupoOur pick NK Varazdin · 58% | NK Varazdin to win | 58% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva ZagrebOur pick HNK Gorica · 38% | HNK Gorica to win | 38% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| NK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo ZagrebOur pick Dinamo Zagreb · 63% | Dinamo Zagreb to win | 63% | 1–5 | Correct | |
| HNK Hajduk Split vs NK VarazdinOur pick HNK Hajduk Split · 52% | HNK Hajduk Split to win | 52% | 1–0 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.