Upcoming FNL fixtures
8 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 52 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Praha II vs VlašimFNLC | FNL | Slavia Praha IIOur prob 44%Best odds 2.12 | 0% | 44% | 44% | C | 2.12 |
| Táborsko vs KarvináFNLC | FNL | KarvináOur prob 43%Best odds 2.15 | -1% | 42% | 43% | C | 2.15 |
| Vysočina Jihlava vs ProstějovFNLC | FNL | Vysočina JihlavaOur prob 55%Best odds 1.73 | +2% | 57% | 54% | C | 1.73 |
| Ústí nad Labem vs OpavaFNLC | FNL | Ústí nad LabemOur prob 51%Best odds 1.93 | +12% | 60% | 48% | C | 1.93 |
| Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria ŽižkovFNLC | FNL | Arsenal Česká LípaOur prob 41%Best odds 2.40 | +12% | 50% | 38% | C | 2.40 |
| Hanácká vs PříbramFNLC | FNL | PříbramOur prob 40%Best odds 2.45 | -3% | 38% | 41% | C | 2.45 |
| Třinec vs KladnoFNLC | FNL | TřinecOur prob 38%Best odds 2.40 | -5% | 34% | 39% | C | 2.40 |
| Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava IIFNLC | FNL | Dukla PrahaOur prob 49%Best odds 1.76 | -10% | 41% | 51% | C | 1.76 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Betting sites compared
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them in Kenya — the full comparison and how we read it is on its own page
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FNL table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 18 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 18 | ||
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 17 | ||
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 16 | ||
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 14 | ||
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 13 | ||
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 13 | ||
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | +3 | 12 | ||
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 11 | ||
| 10 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 10 | ||
| 11 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 | ||
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 | ||
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 | ||
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 8 | ||
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 7 | ||
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 6 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
FNL trends
How FNL matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 72 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (240 played matches).
Top FNL teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.44
- Attack
- 1.61
- Defence
- 1.17
- Net rating
- +0.44
- Attack
- 1.55
- Defence
- 1.12
- Net rating
- +0.33
- Attack
- 1.55
- Defence
- 1.22
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent FNL results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vlašim vs TáborskoOur pick Vlašim · 39% | Vlašim to win | 39% | 4–1 | Correct | |
| Baník Ostrava II vs Ústí nad LabemOur pick Baník Ostrava II · 45% | Baník Ostrava II to win | 45% | 0–2 | Missed | |
| Kladno vs PříbramOur pick Kladno · 42% | Kladno to win | 42% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Viktoria Žižkov vs TřinecOur pick Viktoria Žižkov · 47% | Viktoria Žižkov to win | 47% | 3–0 | Correct | |
| Karviná vs HanáckáOur pick Karviná · 68% | Karviná to win | 68% | 3–2 | Correct | |
| Prostějov vs Dukla PrahaOur pick Dukla Praha · 43% | Dukla Praha to win | 43% | 2–2 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.