Upcoming FNL fixtures
8 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 52 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vlašim vs Ústí nad LabemFNLC | FNL | VlašimOur prob 48% | — | 48% | — | C | — |
| Karviná vs Slavia Praha IIFNLC | FNL | KarvináOur prob 60% | — | 60% | — | C | — |
| Příbram vs TáborskoFNLC | FNL | PříbramOur prob 55% | — | 55% | — | C | — |
| Třinec vs Arsenal Česká LípaFNLC | FNL | TřinecOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — |
| Viktoria Žižkov vs Dukla PrahaFNLC | FNL | Dukla PrahaOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — |
| Kladno vs HanáckáFNLC | FNL | KladnoOur prob 58% | — | 58% | — | C | — |
| Prostějov vs OpavaFNLC | FNL | ProstějovOur prob 43% | — | 43% | — | C | — |
| Baník Ostrava II vs Vysočina JihlavaFNLC | FNL | Vysočina JihlavaOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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FNL table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Karviná |
12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 27 | |
| 2 |  Vysočina Jihlava |
12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 23 | |
| 3 |  Dukla Praha |
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 21 | |
| 4 |  Ústí nad Labem |
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 19 | |
| 5 |  Vlašim |
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 18 | |
| 6 |  Příbram |
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 18 | |
| 7 |  Slavia Praha II |
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 20 | +5 | 16 | |
| 8 |  Baník Ostrava II |
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 15 | |
| 9 |  Táborsko |
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 15 | |
| 10 |  Kladno |
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 14 | |
| 11 |  Opava |
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 14 | |
| 12 |  Viktoria Žižkov |
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 14 | |
| 13 |  Arsenal Česká Lípa |
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 | |
| 14 |  Třinec |
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 11 | |
| 15 |  Prostějov |
12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 10 | |
| 16 |  Hanácká |
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 9 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
FNL trends
How FNL matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 96 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (240 played matches).
Top FNL teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.74
- Attack
- 1.99
- Defence
- 1.25
- Net rating
- +0.73
- Attack
- 1.82
- Defence
- 1.08
- Net rating
- +0.29
- Attack
- 1.90
- Defence
- 1.62
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent FNL results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Praha II vs ProstějovOur pick Slavia Praha II · 48% | Slavia Praha II to win | 48% | 5–1 | Correct | |
| Hanácká vs Viktoria ŽižkovOur pick Viktoria Žižkov · 37% | Viktoria Žižkov to win | 37% | 2–1 | Missed | |
| Arsenal Česká Lípa vs PříbramOur pick Příbram · 37% | Příbram to win | 37% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Vysočina Jihlava vs VlašimOur pick Vysočina Jihlava · 49% | Vysočina Jihlava to win | 49% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| Táborsko vs TřinecOur pick Táborsko · 54% | Táborsko to win | 54% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Opava vs Baník Ostrava IIOur pick Opava · 40% | Opava to win | 40% | 1–1 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.