Upcoming Liga Pro fixtures
8 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 52 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad vs Leones del NorteLiga ProC | Liga Pro | LibertadOur prob 40%Best odds 2.51 | +11% | 49% | 38% | C | 2.51 |
| Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SCLiga ProC | Liga Pro | Delfin SCOur prob 37%Best odds 2.40 | -6% | 33% | 39% | C | 2.40 |
| Independiente del Valle vs AucasLiga ProC | Liga Pro | Independiente del ValleOur prob 59%Best odds 1.53 | -9% | 53% | 61% | C | 1.53 |
| Universidad Catolica vs MacaraLiga ProC | Liga Pro | Universidad CatolicaOur prob 55%Best odds 1.68 | -6% | 51% | 57% | C | 1.68 |
| LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SCLiga ProC | Liga Pro | LDU de QuitoOur prob 53%Best odds 1.64 | -16% | 41% | 57% | C | 1.64 |
| Guayaquil City FC vs EmelecLiga ProC | Liga Pro | Guayaquil City FCOur prob 39%Best odds 2.72 | +21% | 55% | 34% | C | 2.72 |
| Manta FC vs Tecnico UniversitarioLiga ProC | Liga Pro | Manta FCOur prob 42%Best odds 2.44 | +7% | 47% | 40% | C | 2.44 |
| Orense SC vs Deportivo CuencaLiga ProC | Liga Pro | Orense SCOur prob 45%Best odds 2.19 | +1% | 46% | 45% | C | 2.19 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Liga Pro table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle |
30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73 | 33 | +40 | 74 | |
| 2 |  Macara |
31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 34 | +9 | 54 | |
| 3 |  Universidad Catolica |
31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 29 | +23 | 51 | |
| 4 |  Aucas |
31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 30 | +4 | 50 | |
| 5 |  LDU de Quito |
31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 25 | +8 | 49 | |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC |
30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | +7 | 44 | |
| 7 |  Libertad |
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 44 | |
| 8 |  Leones del Norte |
31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 40 | |
| 9 |  Guayaquil City FC |
31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 40 | |
| 10 |  Mushuc Runa SC |
31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 39 | |
| 11 |  Emelec |
31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 39 | |
| 12 |  Deportivo Cuenca |
31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 37 | |
| 13 |  Orense SC |
31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 33 | |
| 14 |  Tecnico Universitario |
31 | 10 | 3 | 18 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 33 | |
| 15 |  Delfin SC |
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 29 | |
| 16 |  Manta FC |
31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 24 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Liga Pro trends
How Liga Pro matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 247 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (311 played matches).
Top Liga Pro teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.53
- Attack
- 1.85
- Defence
- 1.31
- Net rating
- +0.52
- Attack
- 1.61
- Defence
- 1.09
- Net rating
- +0.31
- Attack
- 1.33
- Defence
- 1.02
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Liga Pro
From the Liga Pro scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- E. MeroGuayaquil City FC 13 G 4 A
- F. PosseMacara 12 G 5 A
- J. FajardoUniversidad Catolica 10 G 3 A
- R. CarrilloEmelec 10 G 3 A
- A. CampanaMacara 10 G 2 A
- Juan Luis Anangonó LeónLeones del Norte 10 G 0 A
- D. ReascoIndependiente del Valle 9 G 4 A
- Vilinton Germán Branda MerlínLibertad 9 G 1 A
Recent Liga Pro results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manta FC vs Orense SCOur pick Orense SC · 36% | Orense SC to win | 36% | 2–1 | Missed | |
| LDU de Quito vs Universidad CatolicaOur pick LDU de Quito · 39% | LDU de Quito to win | 39% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SCOur pick Deportivo Cuenca · 36% | Deportivo Cuenca to win | 36% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Tecnico Universitario vs Delfin SCOur pick Tecnico Universitario · 44% | Tecnico Universitario to win | 44% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Emelec vs LibertadOur pick Emelec · 49% | Emelec to win | 49% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del NorteOur pick Guayaquil City FC · 43% | Guayaquil City FC to win | 43% | 1–1 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.