Upcoming Liga Pro fixtures
8 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 33 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfin SC vs Deportivo CuencaLiga ProC | Liga Pro | Delfin SCOur prob 41%Best odds 2.25 | -2% | 41% | 43% | C | 2.25 |
| Emelec vs Leones del NorteLiga ProC | Liga Pro | EmelecOur prob 44%Best odds 2.25 | -1% | 44% | 44% | C | 2.25 |
| Macara vs Barcelona SCLiga ProC | Liga Pro | MacaraOur prob 47%Best odds 1.97 | -1% | 47% | 49% | C | 1.97 |
| Universidad Catolica vs AucasLiga ProC | Liga Pro | Universidad CatolicaOur prob 53%Best odds 1.82 | +2% | 53% | 52% | C | 1.82 |
| Independiente del Valle vs LDU de QuitoLiga ProC | Liga Pro | Independiente del ValleOur prob 50%Best odds 1.91 | -2% | 50% | 52% | C | 1.91 |
| Guayaquil City FC vs LibertadLiga ProC | Liga Pro | Guayaquil City FCOur prob 44%Best odds 2.00 | -4% | 44% | 48% | C | 2.00 |
| Orense SC vs Tecnico UniversitarioLiga ProC | Liga Pro | Orense SCOur prob 53%Best odds 1.85 | +3% | 53% | 51% | C | 1.85 |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FCLiga ProC | Liga Pro | Mushuc Runa SCOur prob 57%Best odds 1.64 | -2% | 57% | 59% | C | 1.64 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Liga Pro table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle |
33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 35 | +40 | 78 | |
| 2 |  Macara |
34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 35 | +12 | 63 | |
| 3 |  Universidad Catolica |
34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 53 | 31 | +22 | 53 | |
| 4 |  LDU de Quito |
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 29 | +8 | 53 | |
| 5 |  Aucas |
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 51 | |
| 6 |  Libertad |
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43 | 39 | +4 | 50 | |
| 7 |  Barcelona SC |
33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 38 | 28 | +10 | 48 | |
| 8 |  Guayaquil City FC |
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 46 | |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cuenca |
34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 44 | |
| 10 |  Leones del Norte |
34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 43 | |
| 11 |  Emelec |
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 42 | |
| 12 |  Mushuc Runa SC |
34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 40 | |
| 13 |  Orense SC |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 38 | |
| 14 |  Tecnico Universitario |
34 | 11 | 3 | 20 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 36 | |
| 15 |  Delfin SC |
34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 35 | |
| 16 |  Manta FC |
34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 27 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Liga Pro trends
How Liga Pro matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 271 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (311 played matches).
Top Liga Pro teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.52
- Attack
- 1.68
- Defence
- 1.16
- Net rating
- +0.42
- Attack
- 1.45
- Defence
- 1.04
- Net rating
- +0.32
- Attack
- 1.36
- Defence
- 1.04
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Liga Pro
From the Liga Pro scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- F. PosseMacara 14 G 5 A
- E. MeroGuayaquil City FC 13 G 5 A
- R. CarrilloEmelec 13 G 3 A
- Vilinton Germán Branda MerlínLibertad 13 G 2 A
- A. CampanaMacara 11 G 3 A
- J. FajardoUniversidad Catolica 11 G 3 A
- A. HerreraOrense SC 11 G 3 A
- F. AyuntaDelfin SC 11 G 1 A
Recent Liga Pro results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SCOur pick Mushuc Runa SC · 36% | Mushuc Runa SC to win | 36% | 3–0 | Missed | |
| Aucas vs Barcelona SCOur pick Aucas · 47% | Aucas to win | 47% | 0–4 | Missed | |
| Emelec vs Guayaquil City FCOur pick Emelec · 50% | Emelec to win | 50% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| Leones del Norte vs LibertadOur pick Leones del Norte · 38% | Leones del Norte to win | 38% | 4–1 | Correct | |
| LDU de Quito vs MacaraOur pick LDU de Quito · 56% | LDU de Quito to win | 56% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Orense SC vs Delfin SCOur pick Orense SC · 44% | Orense SC to win | 44% | 4–0 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.