Upcoming Primera Division fixtures
6 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 42 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inca Aruba vs PlatensePrimera DivisionC | Primera Division | Inca ArubaOur prob 37% | — | 37% | — | C | — |
| Fuerte San Francisco vs CacahuatiquePrimera DivisionC | Primera Division | CacahuatiqueOur prob 50% | — | 50% | — | C | — |
| Alianza vs InterPrimera DivisionC | Primera Division | InterOur prob 38% | — | 38% | — | C | — |
| Águila vs Isidro MetapánPrimera DivisionC | Primera Division | Isidro MetapánOur prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — |
| Atletico Balboa vs FASPrimera DivisionC | Primera Division | FASOur prob 63% | — | 63% | — | C | — |
| Municipal Limeño vs FirpoPrimera DivisionC | Primera Division | FirpoOur prob 59% | — | 59% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Primera Division table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Firpo |
13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 8 | +16 | 28 | |
| 2 |  FAS |
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 24 | |
| 3 |  Isidro Metapán |
13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 23 | |
| 4 |  Inter |
14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 22 | |
| 5 |  Alianza |
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 18 | |
| 6 |  Municipal Limeño |
14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 | |
| 7 |  Águila |
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 | |
| 8 |  Platense |
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 | |
| 9 |  Inca Aruba |
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 16 | |
| 10 |  Cacahuatique |
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 14 | |
| 11 |  Atletico Balboa |
14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 | |
| 12 |  Fuerte San Francisco |
14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 9 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Primera Division trends
How Primera Division matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 81 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (290 played matches).
Top Primera Division teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.87
- Attack
- 1.71
- Defence
- 0.84
- Net rating
- +0.75
- Attack
- 1.70
- Defence
- 0.95
- Net rating
- +0.28
- Attack
- 1.40
- Defence
- 1.12
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Primera Division results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAS vs Inca ArubaOur pick FAS · 65% | FAS to win | 65% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Inter vs Fuerte San FranciscoOur pick Inter · 60% | Inter to win | 60% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Platense vs Municipal LimeñoOur pick Municipal Limeño · 41% | Municipal Limeño to win | 41% | 2–1 | Missed | |
| Alianza vs FirpoOur pick Firpo · 41% | Firpo to win | 41% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Isidro Metapán vs Atletico BalboaOur pick Isidro Metapán · 59% | Isidro Metapán to win | 59% | 3–2 | Correct | |
| Cacahuatique vs ÁguilaOur pick Cacahuatique · 51% | Cacahuatique to win | 51% | 4–1 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.