Upcoming Primera Division fixtures
6 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 25 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter vs PlatensePrimera DivisionC | Primera Division | InterOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — |
| Cacahuatique vs Inca ArubaPrimera DivisionC | Primera Division | CacahuatiqueOur prob 41% | — | 41% | — | C | — |
| Isidro Metapán vs Municipal LimeñoPrimera DivisionC | Primera Division | Isidro MetapánOur prob 40% | — | 40% | — | C | — |
| Fuerte San Francisco vs ÁguilaPrimera DivisionC | Primera Division | ÁguilaOur prob 65% | — | 65% | — | C | — |
| Atletico Balboa vs AlianzaPrimera DivisionC | Primera Division | AlianzaOur prob 43% | — | 43% | — | C | — |
| Firpo vs FASPrimera DivisionC | Primera Division | FirpoOur prob 51% | — | 51% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Primera Division table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Firpo |
16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 12 | +17 | 32 | |
| 2 |  FAS |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | +10 | 31 | |
| 3 |  Isidro Metapán |
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 18 | +5 | 30 | |
| 4 |  Águila |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 21 | +9 | 27 | |
| 5 |  Inter |
17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | +8 | 26 | |
| 6 |  Alianza |
16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 21 | +2 | 23 | |
| 7 |  Platense |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 | |
| 8 |  Municipal Limeño |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 21 | |
| 9 |  Atletico Balboa |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 17 | |
| 10 |  Inca Aruba |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 16 | |
| 11 |  Cacahuatique |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | |
| 12 |  Fuerte San Francisco |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Primera Division trends
How Primera Division matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 101 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (290 played matches).
Top Primera Division teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.80
- Attack
- 1.74
- Defence
- 0.94
- Net rating
- +0.71
- Attack
- 1.93
- Defence
- 1.22
- Net rating
- +0.28
- Attack
- 1.45
- Defence
- 1.18
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Primera Division results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platense vs FirpoOur pick Firpo · 51% | Firpo to win | 51% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico BalboaOur pick Fuerte San Francisco · 37% | Fuerte San Francisco to win | 37% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Municipal Limeño vs CacahuatiqueOur pick Municipal Limeño · 50% | Municipal Limeño to win | 50% | 3–3 | Missed | |
| Águila vs FASOur pick Águila · 39% | Águila to win | 39% | 3–1 | Correct | |
| Alianza vs Isidro MetapánOur pick Alianza · 37% | Alianza to win | 37% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Inca Aruba vs InterOur pick Inter · 54% | Inter to win | 54% | 0–2 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.