Upcoming Meistriliiga fixtures
7 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 28 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalju Nomme vs LaagriMeistriliigaC | Meistriliiga | Kalju NommeOur prob 59%Best odds 1.57 | -4% | 56% | 60% | C | 1.57 |
| Vaprus vs Trans NarvaMeistriliigaC | Meistriliiga | VaprusOur prob 45%Best odds 2.20 | +10% | 52% | 42% | C | 2.20 |
| Tammeka vs Nõmme UnitedMeistriliigaC | Meistriliiga | TammekaOur prob 47%Best odds 2.00 | +6% | 52% | 46% | C | 2.00 |
| FC Levadia Tallinn vs PaideMeistriliigaC | Meistriliiga | FC Levadia TallinnOur prob 68%Best odds 1.39 | +10% | 75% | 65% | C | 1.39 |
| Kuressaare vs Flora TallinnMeistriliigaC | Meistriliiga | Flora TallinnOur prob 56%Best odds 1.50 | -22% | 40% | 61% | C | 1.50 |
| Vaprus vs Kalju NommeMeistriliigaC | Meistriliiga | Kalju NommeOur prob 52% | — | 52% | — | C | — |
| Laagri vs Nõmme UnitedMeistriliigaC | Meistriliiga | LaagriOur prob 59% | — | 59% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Meistriliiga table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Levadia Tallinn |
29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 81 | 21 | +60 | 72 | |
| 2 |  Flora Tallinn |
29 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 59 | 39 | +20 | 55 | |
| 3 |  Paide |
29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 48 | 36 | +12 | 51 | |
| 4 |  Kalju Nomme |
29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 27 | +25 | 50 | |
| 5 |  Tammeka |
29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 44 | |
| 6 |  Laagri |
29 | 11 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 35 | |
| 7 |  Vaprus |
29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 34 | |
| 8 |  Kuressaare |
29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 | |
| 9 |  Nõmme United |
29 | 9 | 1 | 19 | 47 | 68 | -21 | 28 | |
| 10 |  Trans Narva |
29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 22 | 65 | -43 | 19 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Meistriliiga trends
How Meistriliiga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 145 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (182 played matches).
Top Meistriliiga teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.98
- Attack
- 2.81
- Defence
- 0.83
- Net rating
- +0.45
- Attack
- 1.84
- Defence
- 1.39
- Net rating
- +0.36
- Attack
- 1.66
- Defence
- 1.29
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Meistriliiga
From the Meistriliiga scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- Daniel CabralPaide 5 G 0 A
Recent Meistriliiga results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flora Tallinn vs VaprusOur pick Flora Tallinn · 60% | Flora Tallinn to win | 60% | 3–2 | Correct | |
| Trans Narva vs FC Levadia TallinnOur pick FC Levadia Tallinn · 79% | FC Levadia Tallinn to win | 79% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Tammeka vs Kalju NommeOur pick Kalju Nomme · 48% | Kalju Nomme to win | 48% | 1–3 | Correct | |
| Nõmme United vs PaideOur pick Paide · 56% | Paide to win | 56% | 1–3 | Correct | |
| Laagri vs KuressaareOur pick Laagri · 48% | Laagri to win | 48% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| FC Levadia Tallinn vs TammekaOur pick FC Levadia Tallinn · 76% | FC Levadia Tallinn to win | 76% | 6–0 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.