Upcoming Meistriliiga fixtures
9 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 5 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Levadia Tallinn vs TammekaMeistriliigaC | Meistriliiga | FC Levadia TallinnOur prob 78%Best odds 1.21 | +1% | 78% | 77% | C | 1.21 |
| Trans Narva vs Nõmme UnitedMeistriliigaC | Meistriliiga | Nõmme UnitedOur prob 49%Best odds 1.77 | -2% | 49% | 52% | C | 1.77 |
| Vaprus vs KuressaareMeistriliigaC | Meistriliiga | VaprusOur prob 40%Best odds 2.30 | 0% | 40% | 40% | C | 2.30 |
| Paide vs Kalju NommeMeistriliigaC | Meistriliiga | PaideOur prob 47%Best odds 2.12 | +2% | 47% | 45% | C | 2.12 |
| Vaprus vs PaideMeistriliigaC | Meistriliiga | PaideOur prob 54%Best odds 1.68 | -1% | 54% | 55% | C | 1.68 |
| Tammeka vs LaagriMeistriliigaC | Meistriliiga | TammekaOur prob 41%Best odds 2.18 | -1% | 41% | 42% | C | 2.18 |
| Nõmme United vs FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliigaC | Meistriliiga | FC Levadia TallinnOur prob 75%Best odds 1.22 | 0% | 75% | 75% | C | 1.22 |
| Kalju Nomme vs KuressaareMeistriliigaC | Meistriliiga | Kalju NommeOur prob 51% | — | 51% | — | C | — |
| Flora Tallinn vs Trans NarvaMeistriliigaC | Meistriliiga | Flora TallinnOur prob 63% | — | 63% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Meistriliiga table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Levadia Tallinn |
33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 89 | 23 | +66 | 84 | |
| 2 |  Paide |
33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 39 | +14 | 60 | |
| 3 |  Flora Tallinn |
34 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 64 | 49 | +15 | 58 | |
| 4 |  Kalju Nomme |
33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 56 | 34 | +22 | 54 | |
| 5 |  Tammeka |
33 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 50 | |
| 6 |  Laagri |
34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 47 | |
| 7 |  Vaprus |
33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 | |
| 8 |  Kuressaare |
33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 | |
| 9 |  Nõmme United |
33 | 11 | 1 | 21 | 54 | 76 | -22 | 34 | |
| 10 |  Trans Narva |
33 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 75 | -49 | 20 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Meistriliiga trends
How Meistriliiga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 166 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (182 played matches).
Top Meistriliiga teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.57
- Attack
- 2.39
- Defence
- 0.82
- Net rating
- +0.41
- Attack
- 1.53
- Defence
- 1.11
- Net rating
- +0.41
- Attack
- 1.58
- Defence
- 1.18
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Meistriliiga
From the Meistriliiga scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- Daniel CabralPaide 5 G 0 A
Recent Meistriliiga results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalju Nomme vs Flora TallinnOur pick Kalju Nomme · 42% | Kalju Nomme to win | 42% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| FC Levadia Tallinn vs LaagriOur pick FC Levadia Tallinn · 71% | FC Levadia Tallinn to win | 71% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| Kuressaare vs PaideOur pick Paide · 49% | Paide to win | 49% | 0–1 | Correct | |
| Nõmme United vs VaprusOur pick Nõmme United · 44% | Nõmme United to win | 44% | 4–2 | Correct | |
| Tammeka vs Trans NarvaOur pick Tammeka · 47% | Tammeka to win | 47% | 5–1 | Correct | |
| Laagri vs Flora TallinnOur pick Flora Tallinn · 41% | Flora Tallinn to win | 41% | 3–1 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.