Finland · 2026/27 season

Veikkausliiga Football Predictions

In the Veikkausliiga, KuPS currently holds 48 points after 150 matches played this season. With an average of 2.51 goals per match, 45% of games have gone over 2.5 goals and 49% have seen both teams score. Predictions could be affected if teams perform differently than expected or if key players are missing.

Teams 12 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 150 of 177 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 9 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 44 so far this season

Upcoming Veikkausliiga fixtures

9 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 18 more scheduled later this season.

Veikkausliiga fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Gnistan vs Inter TurkuVeikkausliigaC Veikkausliiga Inter TurkuOur prob 46%Best odds 1.82 -24% 28% 52% C 1.82
HJK Helsinki vs VPSVeikkausliigaC Veikkausliiga HJK HelsinkiOur prob 56%Best odds 1.60 -13% 46% 59% C 1.60
KuPS vs AC OuluVeikkausliigaC Veikkausliiga KuPSOur prob 56%Best odds 1.60 -12% 47% 59% C 1.60
SJK vs LahtiVeikkausliigaC Veikkausliiga LahtiOur prob 36%Best odds 2.61 -2% 35% 37% C 2.61
Turku PS vs FF JaroVeikkausliigaC Veikkausliiga Turku PSOur prob 46%Best odds 2.10 +5% 50% 45% C 2.10
Mariehamn vs IlvesVeikkausliigaC Veikkausliiga IlvesOur prob 45%Best odds 2.26 +11% 54% 42% C 2.26
Inter Turku vs KuPSVeikkausliigaC Veikkausliiga DrawOur prob 37% — 37% — C —
VPS vs GnistanVeikkausliigaC Veikkausliiga VPSOur prob 42%Best odds 1.95 -19% 29% 47% C 1.95
AC Oulu vs HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliigaC Veikkausliiga HJK HelsinkiOur prob 47%Best odds 1.96 +2% 49% 47% C 1.96

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Veikkausliiga table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Veikkausliiga table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 KuPS 25 1393 4124 +17 48
2 Inter Turku 25 1393 3218 +14 48
3 HJK Helsinki 25 1267 3929 +10 42
4 Gnistan 25 1186 4032 +8 41
5 Lahti 25 1069 3024 +6 36
6 VPS 25 1069 3025 +5 36
7 Ilves 25 10411 4238 +4 34
8 AC Oulu 25 10411 2629 -3 34
9 Turku PS 25 889 2827 +1 32
10 SJK 25 5911 2835 -7 24
11 Mariehamn 25 4516 2047 -27 17
12 FF Jaro 25 3814 2048 -28 17

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Veikkausliiga trends

How Veikkausliiga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 150 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 45% 68 of 150 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (179)
Away wins 27% 41 of 150 matches -10 pts vs 2025/26 (179)
Over 2.5 goals 45% 67 of 150 matches -22 pts vs 2025/26 (179)
Both teams scored 49% 74 of 150 matches -15 pts vs 2025/26 (179)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (179 played matches).

Top Veikkausliiga teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#1
Net rating
+0.56
Attack
1.58
Defence
1.02
Form NextMariehamn (A) · 10 Oct
#2
Net rating
+0.33
Attack
1.59
Defence
1.26
Form NextInter Turku (H) · 7 Oct
Net rating
+0.33
Attack
1.44
Defence
1.11
Form NextVPS (H) · 8 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in Veikkausliiga

From the Veikkausliiga scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • T. HytönenIlves 7 G 0 A
  • H. SjögrellFF Jaro 5 G 1 A
  • J. MorenoKuPS 5 G 0 A
  • L. SmythVPS 5 G 0 A
  • J. KangaIlves 4 G 3 A
  • Martim FerreiraLahti 4 G 1 A
  • M. BorchersHJK Helsinki 4 G 0 A
  • E. TamminenIlves 3 G 2 A

Recent Veikkausliiga results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Veikkausliiga results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
VPS vs KuPSOur pick KuPS · 38% KuPS to win 38% 0–2 Correct
Turku PS vs IlvesOur pick Ilves · 36% Ilves to win 36% 0–3 Correct
AC Oulu vs Inter TurkuOur pick Inter Turku · 46% Inter Turku to win 46% 0–1 Correct
Gnistan vs HJK HelsinkiOur pick HJK Helsinki · 48% HJK Helsinki to win 48% 1–1 Missed
SJK vs MariehamnOur pick SJK · 50% SJK to win 50% 2–1 Correct
Lahti vs FF JaroOur pick Lahti · 60% Lahti to win 60% 1–1 Missed

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.