Updated

Finland · 2026/27 season

Veikkausliiga Football Predictions

Inter Turku leads the Veikkausliiga with 55 points after 170 matches in the 2026/27 season, where the average goals per match is 2.53. With 44% of matches going over 2.5 goals and 48% seeing both teams score, outcomes could vary based on team form and injuries.

Teams 13 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 170 of 179 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 6 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 58 so far this season

Upcoming Veikkausliiga fixtures

6 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 3 more scheduled later this season.

Veikkausliiga fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
AC Oulu vs VPSVeikkausliigaC Veikkausliiga AC OuluOur prob 44%Best odds 2.39 +5% 44% 40% C 2.39
Inter Turku vs HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliigaC Veikkausliiga Inter TurkuOur prob 37%Best odds 2.33 -4% 37% 41% C 2.33
KuPS vs GnistanVeikkausliigaC Veikkausliiga KuPSOur prob 58%Best odds 1.45 -6% 58% 64% C 1.45
AC Oulu vs KuPSVeikkausliigaC Veikkausliiga KuPSOur prob 43%Best odds 1.93 -5% 43% 48% C 1.93
VPS vs HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliigaC Veikkausliiga HJK HelsinkiOur prob 54%Best odds 1.90 +6% 54% 48% C 1.90
Inter Turku vs GnistanVeikkausliigaC Veikkausliiga Inter TurkuOur prob 61%Best odds 1.40 -5% 61% 66% C 1.40

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Veikkausliiga table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Veikkausliiga table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter Turku 29 15104 3520 +15 55
2 HJK Helsinki 29 1577 5534 +21 52
3 KuPS 29 14105 4528 +17 52
4 AC Oulu 29 13412 3637 -1 43
5 Gnistan 29 1199 4341 +2 42
6 Lahti 27 11610 3526 +9 39
7 VPS 29 11612 3134 -3 39
8 Ilves 27 11511 4539 +6 38
9 Turku PS 27 8811 2933 -4 32
10 SJK 27 6912 2937 -8 27
11 FF Jaro 29 51014 2450 -26 25
12 Mariehamn 27 4716 2249 -27 19
13 PK-35 2 011 12 -1 1

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Veikkausliiga trends

How Veikkausliiga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 170 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 45% 77 of 170 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (179)
Away wins 28% 47 of 170 matches -9 pts vs 2025/26 (179)
Over 2.5 goals 44% 74 of 170 matches -24 pts vs 2025/26 (179)
Both teams scored 48% 82 of 170 matches -17 pts vs 2025/26 (179)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (179 played matches).

Top Veikkausliiga teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#2
Net rating
+0.57
Attack
1.51
Defence
0.94
Form
#3
Net rating
+0.45
Attack
1.54
Defence
1.09
Form

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in Veikkausliiga

From the Veikkausliiga scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • M. BorchersHJK Helsinki 13 G 1 A
  • T. HytönenIlves 9 G 1 A
  • H. SjögrellInter Turku 7 G 2 A
  • J. MorenoKuPS 7 G 1 A
  • Martim FerreiraLahti 5 G 1 A
  • A. AkinyemiGnistan 5 G 0 A
  • L. SmythVPS 5 G 0 A
  • J. KangaIlves 4 G 3 A

Recent Veikkausliiga results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Veikkausliiga results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
HJK Helsinki vs KuPSOur pick HJK Helsinki · 58% HJK Helsinki to win 58% 2–2 Missed
FF Jaro vs PK-35Our pick FF Jaro · 47% FF Jaro to win 47% 1–0 Correct
Gnistan vs AC OuluOur pick Gnistan · 46% Gnistan to win 46% 3–4 Missed
VPS vs Inter TurkuOur pick Inter Turku · 52% Inter Turku to win 52% 0–1 Correct
PK-35 vs FF JaroOur pick PK-35 · 36% PK-35 to win 36% 1–1 Missed
KuPS vs VPSOur pick KuPS · 55% KuPS to win 55% 2–0 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.