Updated

France · 2026/27 season

Ligue 2 Football Predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every Ligue 2 fixture — 18 clubs, 90 of 306 matches played, 85 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Teams 18 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 90 of 306 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 9 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 85 so far this season

Upcoming Ligue 2 fixtures

9 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 51 more scheduled later this season.

Ligue 2 fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Nantes vs Clermont FootLigue 2C Ligue 2 NantesOur prob 57%Best odds 1.46 -7% 57% 64% C 1.46
Grenoble vs DijonLigue 2C Ligue 2 DijonOur prob 44%Best odds 2.24 +2% 44% 42% C 2.24
Metz vs PAULigue 2C Ligue 2 MetzOur prob 42%Best odds 2.11 -2% 42% 45% C 2.11
Laval vs BoulogneLigue 2C Ligue 2 LavalOur prob 36%Best odds 2.57 -2% 36% 38% C 2.57
Rodez vs DunkerqueLigue 2C Ligue 2 RodezOur prob 43%Best odds 2.32 -3% 43% 46% C 2.32
Reims vs SochauxLigue 2C Ligue 2 ReimsOur prob 58% — 58% — C —
Annecy vs MontpellierLigue 2C Ligue 2 MontpellierOur prob 41% — 41% — C —
Guingamp vs Saint-EtienneLigue 2C Ligue 2 Saint-EtienneOur prob 52%Best odds 1.91 +2% 52% 50% C 1.91
RED Star FC 93 vs NancyLigue 2C Ligue 2 NancyOur prob 38% — 38% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Ligue 2 table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Ligue 2 table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Saint-Etienne 10 811 238 +15 25
2 Montpellier 10 631 136 +7 21
3 Nancy 10 613 128 +4 19
4 Reims 10 460 2012 +8 18
5 PAU 10 523 1310 +3 17
6 RED Star FC 93 10 523 1312 +1 17
7 Annecy 10 514 1412 +2 16
8 Metz 10 352 1614 +2 14
9 Dijon 10 334 1718 -1 12
10 Dunkerque 10 334 1416 -2 12
11 Guingamp 10 325 1315 -2 11
12 Sochaux 10 253 812 -4 11
13 Boulogne 10 172 77 0 10
14 Rodez 10 316 1622 -6 10
15 Nantes 10 226 1117 -6 8
16 Grenoble 10 226 917 -8 8
17 Clermont Foot 10 073 914 -5 7
18 Laval 10 136 1321 -8 6

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Ligue 2 trends

How Ligue 2 matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 90 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 36% 32 of 90 matches -2 pts vs 2025/26 (309)
Away wins 33% 30 of 90 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (309)
Over 2.5 goals 48% 43 of 90 matches +1 pts vs 2025/26 (309)
Both teams scored 59% 53 of 90 matches +7 pts vs 2025/26 (309)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (309 played matches).

Top Ligue 2 teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+0.59
Attack
1.39
Defence
0.80
Form NextAnnecy (A) · 31 Oct
#3
Net rating
+0.56
Attack
1.85
Defence
1.29
Form NextSochaux (H) · 31 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in Ligue 2

From the Ligue 2 scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • P. FallMetz 8 G 0 A
  • Y. FofanaReims 7 G 1 A
  • A. BoakyeSaint-Etienne 6 G 3 A
  • I. CardonaSaint-Etienne 5 G 4 A
  • T. BalloSaint-Etienne 5 G 2 A
  • I. BaldéRodez 5 G 0 A
  • D. DurandRED Star FC 93 5 G 0 A
  • M. SahiAnnecy 5 G 0 A

Recent Ligue 2 results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Ligue 2 results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Boulogne vs ReimsOur pick Reims · 47% Reims to win 47% 1–1 Missed
Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93Our pick Montpellier · 43% Montpellier to win 43% 2–1 Correct
Saint-Etienne vs NantesOur pick Saint-Etienne · 57% Saint-Etienne to win 57% 1–0 Correct
Dijon vs RodezOur pick Dijon · 50% Dijon to win 50% 1–2 Missed
Dunkerque vs MetzOur pick Metz · 40% Metz to win 40% 1–1 Missed
PAU vs GrenobleOur pick PAU · 50% PAU to win 50% 2–1 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.