Upcoming 3. Liga fixtures
15 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 45 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen3. LigaC | 3. Liga | Rot-Weiß EssenOur prob 47%Best odds 2.01 | 0% | 47% | 47% | C | 2.01 |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse3. LigaC | 3. Liga | SSV Jahn RegensburgOur prob 57%Best odds 1.62 | -5% | 53% | 58% | C | 1.62 |
| Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock3. LigaC | 3. Liga | Hansa RostockOur prob 46%Best odds 1.94 | -6% | 41% | 48% | C | 1.94 |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Waldhof Mannheim3. LigaC | 3. Liga | SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachOur prob 40%Best odds 2.30 | -5% | 36% | 41% | C | 2.30 |
| SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II3. LigaC | 3. Liga | SV MeppenOur prob 42%Best odds 2.12 | -10% | 34% | 44% | C | 2.12 |
| Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken3. LigaC | 3. Liga | FC SaarbrückenOur prob 43%Best odds 2.18 | -7% | 38% | 45% | C | 2.18 |
| MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II3. LigaC | 3. Liga | MSV DuisburgOur prob 54%Best odds 1.78 | +1% | 55% | 54% | C | 1.78 |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen3. LigaC | 3. Liga | FC Ingolstadt 04Our prob 42%Best odds 2.56 | +15% | 53% | 38% | C | 2.56 |
| Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln3. LigaC | 3. Liga | Alemannia AachenOur prob 44%Best odds 2.12 | 0% | 44% | 44% | C | 2.12 |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl3. LigaC | 3. Liga | Fortuna DüsseldorfOur prob 47%Best odds 1.80 | -21% | 31% | 52% | C | 1.80 |
| Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen3. LigaC | 3. Liga | Hansa RostockOur prob 59% | — | 59% | — | C | — |
| Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln3. LigaC | 3. Liga | Rot-Weiß EssenOur prob 47% | — | 47% | — | C | — |
| FC Saarbrücken vs MSV Duisburg3. LigaC | 3. Liga | MSV DuisburgOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — |
| Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers3. LigaC | 3. Liga | HavelseOur prob 43% | — | 43% | — | C | — |
| Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II3. LigaC | 3. Liga | Hoffenheim IIOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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3. Liga table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  MSV Duisburg |
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 18 | |
| 2 |  FC Viktoria Köln |
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 15 | |
| 3 |  Rot-Weiß Essen |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 14 | |
| 4 |  FC Saarbrücken |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 13 | |
| 5 |  Hoffenheim II |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 13 | |
| 6 |  Hansa Rostock |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 | |
| 7 |  Alemannia Aachen |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 11 | |
| 8 |  Preußen Münster |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 11 | |
| 9 |  Waldhof Mannheim |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 10 | |
| 10 |  Fortuna Düsseldorf |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 | |
| 11 |  Verl |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 | |
| 12 |  Fortuna Köln |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 | |
| 13 |  SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 | |
| 14 |  FC Ingolstadt 04 |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 | |
| 15 |  Stuttgart II |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 7 | |
| 16 |  Würzburger Kickers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 7 | |
| 17 |  SV Meppen |
7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 | |
| 18 |  SSV Jahn Regensburg |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 5 | |
| 19 |  SV Wehen |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 | |
| 20 |  Havelse |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 4 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
3. Liga trends
How 3. Liga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 70 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (380 played matches).
Top 3. Liga teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.79
- Attack
- 2.08
- Defence
- 1.28
- Net rating
- +0.77
- Attack
- 1.90
- Defence
- 1.13
- Net rating
- +0.73
- Attack
- 1.99
- Defence
- 1.26
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in 3. Liga
From the 3. Liga scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- V. ThillWaldhof Mannheim 1 G 0 A
Recent 3. Liga results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havelse vs Fortuna KölnOur pick Fortuna Köln · 38% | Fortuna Köln to win | 38% | 1–3 | Correct | |
| SV Wehen vs MSV DuisburgOur pick MSV Duisburg · 46% | MSV Duisburg to win | 46% | 1–4 | Correct | |
| Waldhof Mannheim vs Preußen MünsterOur pick Waldhof Mannheim · 44% | Waldhof Mannheim to win | 44% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| Rot-Weiß Essen vs Hansa RostockOur pick Rot-Weiß Essen · 48% | Rot-Weiß Essen to win | 48% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| FC Saarbrücken vs SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachOur pick FC Saarbrücken · 52% | FC Saarbrücken to win | 52% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04Our pick FC Viktoria Köln · 49% | FC Viktoria Köln to win | 49% | 3–0 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.