Upcoming Honduras Liga Nacional fixtures
6 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 42 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platense FC vs JuticalpaHonduras Liga NacionalC | Honduras Liga Nacional | Platense FCOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — |
| CD Motagua vs Atlético CholomaHonduras Liga NacionalC | Honduras Liga Nacional | CD MotaguaOur prob 66%Best odds 1.30 | -26% | 46% | 72% | C | 1.30 |
| Génesis vs CD OlimpiaHonduras Liga NacionalC | Honduras Liga Nacional | CD OlimpiaOur prob 38% | — | 38% | — | C | — |
| Lobos Upnfm vs CD MarathonHonduras Liga NacionalC | Honduras Liga Nacional | CD MarathonOur prob 49% | — | 49% | — | C | — |
| Estrella Roja vs Real EspanaHonduras Liga NacionalC | Honduras Liga Nacional | Real EspanaOur prob 55% | — | 55% | — | C | — |
| Olancho vs Atletico IndependienteHonduras Liga NacionalC | Honduras Liga Nacional | OlanchoOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Honduras Liga Nacional table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Espana |
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 18 | |
| 2 |  CD Olimpia |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 17 | |
| 3 |  CD Marathon |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 17 | |
| 4 |  CD Motagua |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 13 | |
| 5 |  Génesis |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 11 | |
| 6 |  Olancho |
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 11 | |
| 7 |  Estrella Roja |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 9 | |
| 8 |  Atletico Independiente |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 | |
| 9 |  Lobos Upnfm |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 | |
| 10 |  Atlético Choloma |
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 7 | |
| 11 |  Juticalpa |
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 6 | |
| 12 |  Platense FC |
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 5 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Honduras Liga Nacional trends
How Honduras Liga Nacional matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 48 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (247 played matches).
Top Honduras Liga Nacional teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.92
- Attack
- 2.04
- Defence
- 1.13
- Net rating
- +0.65
- Attack
- 1.56
- Defence
- 0.91
- Net rating
- +0.52
- Attack
- 1.48
- Defence
- 0.96
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Honduras Liga Nacional results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juticalpa vs CD MarathonOur pick CD Marathon · 65% | CD Marathon to win | 65% | 3–2 | Missed | |
| CD Olimpia vs Atletico IndependienteOur pick CD Olimpia · 65% | CD Olimpia to win | 65% | 4–0 | Correct | |
| Real Espana vs CD MotaguaOur pick Real Espana · 41% | Real Espana to win | 41% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Génesis vs OlanchoOur pick Génesis · 39% | Génesis to win | 39% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| Atlético Choloma vs Estrella RojaOur pick Atlético Choloma · 37% | Atlético Choloma to win | 37% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| Platense FC vs Lobos UpnfmOur pick Platense FC · 40% | Platense FC to win | 40% | 0–2 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.