Upcoming NB I fixtures
6 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 54 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FCNB IC | NB I | Budapest HonvedOur prob 42%Best odds 2.12 | -2% | 42% | 44% | C | 2.12 |
| Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK BudapestNB IC | NB I | Zalaegerszegi TEOur prob 44% | — | 44% | — | C | — |
| Gyori ETO FC vs VasasNB IC | NB I | Gyori ETO FCOur prob 47%Best odds 2.05 | 0% | 47% | 46% | C | 2.05 |
| Puskas Academy vs Debreceni VSCNB IC | NB I | Puskas AcademyOur prob 43%Best odds 2.22 | 0% | 43% | 43% | C | 2.22 |
| Ferencvarosi TC vs PaksNB IC | NB I | Ferencvarosi TCOur prob 64%Best odds 1.47 | 0% | 64% | 64% | C | 1.47 |
| Ujpest vs NyiregyhazaNB IC | NB I | UjpestOur prob 49%Best odds 1.98 | +1% | 49% | 48% | C | 1.98 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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NB I table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gyori ETO FC |
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 21 | |
| 2 |  Puskas Academy |
11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 21 | |
| 3 |  Ferencvarosi TC |
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 17 | |
| 4 |  Paks |
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 17 | |
| 5 |  Debreceni VSC |
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 16 | |
| 6 |  Vasas |
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 15 | |
| 7 |  Ujpest |
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 15 | |
| 8 |  Kisvarda FC |
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 | |
| 9 |  MTK Budapest |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 | |
| 10 |  Nyiregyhaza |
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 11 | |
| 11 |  Budapest Honved |
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 10 | |
| 12 |  Zalaegerszegi TE |
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
NB I trends
How NB I matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 65 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (198 played matches).
Top NB I teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.26
- Attack
- 2.19
- Defence
- 0.92
- Net rating
- +0.37
- Attack
- 1.55
- Defence
- 1.17
- Net rating
- +0.37
- Attack
- 1.86
- Defence
- 1.49
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in NB I
From the NB I scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- J. SzalaiPaks 6 G 1 A
- A. MatkoUjpest 5 G 3 A
- Á. SzendreiDebreceni VSC 5 G 2 A
- G. JurekMTK Budapest 5 G 1 A
- Zalán Márk KerezsiMTK Budapest 4 G 3 A
- A. NémethPuskas Academy 4 G 2 A
- B. DzsudzsákDebreceni VSC 4 G 1 A
- M. PetőPaks 4 G 1 A
Recent NB I results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK BudapestOur pick Ferencvarosi TC · 65% | Ferencvarosi TC to win | 65% | 5–0 | Correct | |
| Puskas Academy vs NyiregyhazaOur pick Puskas Academy · 51% | Puskas Academy to win | 51% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Vasas vs PaksOur pick Vasas · 42% | Vasas to win | 42% | 0–2 | Missed | |
| Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kisvarda FCOur pick Zalaegerszegi TE · 49% | Zalaegerszegi TE to win | 49% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Gyori ETO FC vs UjpestOur pick Gyori ETO FC · 41% | Gyori ETO FC to win | 41% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Budapest Honved vs Debreceni VSCOur pick Budapest Honved · 38% | Budapest Honved to win | 38% | 0–2 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.