Upcoming NB I fixtures
6 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 54 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasas vs Kisvarda FCNB IC | NB I | VasasOur prob 53%Best odds 1.80 | +3% | 55% | 52% | C | 1.80 |
| Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSCNB IC | NB I | Ferencvarosi TCOur prob 71%Best odds 1.33 | 0% | 71% | 71% | C | 1.33 |
| Paks vs MTK BudapestNB IC | NB I | PaksOur prob 45%Best odds 2.00 | -6% | 41% | 47% | C | 2.00 |
| Zalaegerszegi TE vs NyiregyhazaNB IC | NB I | NyiregyhazaOur prob 40%Best odds 2.45 | +3% | 42% | 39% | C | 2.45 |
| Budapest Honved vs UjpestNB IC | NB I | UjpestOur prob 39%Best odds 2.60 | +9% | 46% | 37% | C | 2.60 |
| Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas AcademyNB IC | NB I | Gyori ETO FCOur prob 42%Best odds 2.27 | +1% | 43% | 42% | C | 2.27 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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NB I table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gyori ETO FC |
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 15 | |
| 2 |  Puskas Academy |
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 15 | |
| 3 |  Vasas |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 14 | |
| 4 |  Ujpest |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 14 | |
| 5 |  Ferencvarosi TC |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 12 | |
| 6 |  Paks |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 11 | |
| 7 |  MTK Budapest |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 9 | |
| 8 |  Kisvarda FC |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 9 | |
| 9 |  Debreceni VSC |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 9 | |
| 10 |  Nyiregyhaza |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 | |
| 11 |  Budapest Honved |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 6 | |
| 12 |  Zalaegerszegi TE |
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
NB I trends
How NB I matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 47 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (198 played matches).
Top NB I teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.83
- Attack
- 1.84
- Defence
- 1.01
- Net rating
- +0.45
- Attack
- 1.96
- Defence
- 1.51
- Net rating
- +0.37
- Attack
- 1.70
- Defence
- 1.33
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in NB I
From the NB I scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- J. SzalaiPaks 6 G 1 A
- A. MatkoUjpest 5 G 3 A
- G. JurekMTK Budapest 5 G 1 A
- Zalán Márk KerezsiMTK Budapest 4 G 3 A
- Á. SzendreiDebreceni VSC 4 G 2 A
- E. AmenyidoUjpest 3 G 3 A
- A. NémethPuskas Academy 3 G 1 A
- M. PetőPaks 3 G 0 A
Recent NB I results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyiregyhaza vs Ferencvarosi TCOur pick Ferencvarosi TC · 55% | Ferencvarosi TC to win | 55% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TEOur pick Ujpest · 53% | Ujpest to win | 53% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| MTK Budapest vs Gyori ETO FCOur pick MTK Budapest · 41% | MTK Budapest to win | 41% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Debreceni VSC vs VasasOur pick Debreceni VSC · 37% | Debreceni VSC to win | 37% | 2–4 | Missed | |
| Kisvarda FC vs PaksOur pick Paks · 42% | Paks to win | 42% | 0–1 | Correct | |
| Puskas Academy vs Budapest HonvedOur pick Puskas Academy · 45% | Puskas Academy to win | 45% | 3–1 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.