Upcoming Úrvalsdeild fixtures
6 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 12 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valur Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordurÚrvalsdeildC | Úrvalsdeild | Valur ReykjavikOur prob 39%Best odds 2.20 | -12% | 31% | 42% | C | 2.20 |
| Stjarnan vs KA AkureyriÚrvalsdeildC | Úrvalsdeild | StjarnanOur prob 52%Best odds 1.83 | +2% | 53% | 51% | C | 1.83 |
| Thor Akureyri vs IBV VestmannaeyjarÚrvalsdeildC | Úrvalsdeild | IBV VestmannaeyjarOur prob 39%Best odds 2.37 | -5% | 35% | 40% | C | 2.37 |
| Fram Reykjavik vs KR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeildC | Úrvalsdeild | KR ReykjavikOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — |
| Breidablik vs KeflavikÚrvalsdeildC | Úrvalsdeild | BreidablikOur prob 48%Best odds 1.90 | -7% | 43% | 50% | C | 1.90 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik vs IA AkranesÚrvalsdeildC | Úrvalsdeild | Vikingur ReykjavikOur prob 66%Best odds 1.38 | -17% | 53% | 70% | C | 1.38 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Úrvalsdeild table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vikingur Reykjavik |
24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 73 | 23 | +50 | 59 | |
| 2 |  KR Reykjavik |
24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 80 | 52 | +28 | 47 | |
| 3 |  Fram Reykjavik |
24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 59 | 47 | +12 | 46 | |
| 4 |  Breidablik |
24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 46 | +1 | 33 | |
| 5 |  IA Akranes |
24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 33 | |
| 6 |  Valur Reykjavik |
24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 31 | |
| 7 |  Stjarnan |
24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 31 | |
| 8 |  Keflavik |
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 29 | |
| 9 |  FH hafnarfjordur |
24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 27 | |
| 10 |  KA Akureyri |
24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 23 | |
| 11 |  Thor Akureyri |
24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 23 | 57 | -34 | 21 | |
| 12 |  IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 19 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Úrvalsdeild trends
How Úrvalsdeild matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 144 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (162 played matches).
Top Úrvalsdeild teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.70
- Attack
- 2.67
- Defence
- 1.97
- Net rating
- +0.56
- Attack
- 1.80
- Defence
- 1.24
- Net rating
- +0.33
- Attack
- 2.02
- Defence
- 1.69
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Úrvalsdeild results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur ReykjavikOur pick IBV Vestmannaeyjar · 40% | IBV Vestmannaeyjar to win | 40% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Keflavik vs Fram ReykjavikOur pick Fram Reykjavik · 47% | Fram Reykjavik to win | 47% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| FH hafnarfjordur vs StjarnanOur pick FH hafnarfjordur · 39% | FH hafnarfjordur to win | 39% | 5–2 | Correct | |
| IA Akranes vs BreidablikOur pick IA Akranes · 46% | IA Akranes to win | 46% | 4–1 | Correct | |
| KA Akureyri vs Thor AkureyriOur pick KA Akureyri · 50% | KA Akureyri to win | 50% | 3–0 | Correct | |
| KR Reykjavik vs Vikingur ReykjavikOur pick KR Reykjavik · 42% | KR Reykjavik to win | 42% | 1–2 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.