Upcoming Premier Division fixtures
5 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 15 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda UnitedPremier DivisionC | Premier Division | Shamrock RoversOur prob 61%Best odds 1.42 | -22% | 45% | 67% | C | 1.42 |
| Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.Premier DivisionC | Premier Division | St Patrick's Athl.Our prob 43%Best odds 2.31 | +11% | 51% | 40% | C | 2.31 |
| Waterford vs Galway UnitedPremier DivisionC | Premier Division | WaterfordOur prob 47%Best odds 2.08 | +6% | 52% | 46% | C | 2.08 |
| Shelbourne vs Sligo RoversPremier DivisionC | Premier Division | ShelbourneOur prob 67%Best odds 1.39 | -5% | 63% | 68% | C | 1.39 |
| Shamrock Rovers vs BohemiansPostponedPremier DivisionC | Premier Division | Shamrock RoversOur prob 43%Best odds 2.30 | +8% | 49% | 41% | C | 2.30 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Premier Division table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  St Patrick's Athl. |
32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 25 | +27 | 59 | |
| 2 |  Bohemians |
32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 38 | +19 | 59 | |
| 3 |  Shamrock Rovers |
31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49 | 31 | +18 | 59 | |
| 4 |  Derry City |
32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 42 | +3 | 41 | |
| 5 |  Dundalk |
33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 41 | |
| 6 |  Shelbourne |
32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 40 | |
| 7 |  Galway United |
32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 38 | |
| 8 |  Waterford |
32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 34 | |
| 9 |  Drogheda United |
32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 34 | |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers |
32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Premier Division trends
How Premier Division matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 160 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (181 played matches).
Top Premier Division teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.76
- Attack
- 1.51
- Defence
- 0.74
- Net rating
- +0.48
- Attack
- 1.91
- Defence
- 1.43
- Net rating
- +0.34
- Attack
- 1.60
- Defence
- 1.26
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Premier Division
From the Premier Division scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- T. LonerganWaterford 14 G 4 A
- C. WhelanBohemians 13 G 6 A
- D. HorganDundalk 11 G 10 A
- M. DuffyDerry City 10 G 5 A
- A. KeenaSt Patrick's Athl. 10 G 4 A
- R. TierneyBohemians 10 G 3 A
- R. EdmondsonSt Patrick's Athl. 10 G 1 A
- P. AmondWaterford 9 G 1 A
Recent Premier Division results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk vs BohemiansOur pick Bohemians · 53% | Bohemians to win | 53% | 1–2 | Correct | |
| Galway United vs ShelbourneOur pick Galway United · 38% | Galway United to win | 38% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.Our pick St Patrick's Athl. · 67% | St Patrick's Athl. to win | 67% | 0–1 | Correct | |
| Bohemians vs Drogheda UnitedOur pick Bohemians · 65% | Bohemians to win | 65% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| Shamrock Rovers vs WaterfordOur pick Shamrock Rovers · 54% | Shamrock Rovers to win | 54% | 3–2 | Correct | |
| Dundalk vs ShelbourneOur pick Dundalk · 39% | Dundalk to win | 39% | 2–3 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.