Upcoming Premier Division fixtures
5 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk vs Shamrock RoversPremier DivisionC | Premier Division | Shamrock RoversOur prob 47%Best odds 2.07 | +1% | 47% | 45% | C | 2.07 |
| Sligo Rovers vs Derry CityPremier DivisionC | Premier Division | Derry CityOur prob 58%Best odds 1.63 | +1% | 58% | 58% | C | 1.63 |
| St Patrick's Athl. vs BohemiansPremier DivisionC | Premier Division | St Patrick's Athl.Our prob 46%Best odds 2.12 | +1% | 46% | 45% | C | 2.12 |
| Drogheda United vs Galway UnitedPremier DivisionC | Premier Division | Drogheda UnitedOur prob 41%Best odds 2.23 | -2% | 41% | 42% | C | 2.23 |
| Shelbourne vs WaterfordPremier DivisionC | Premier Division | ShelbourneOur prob 49%Best odds 1.91 | -1% | 49% | 50% | C | 1.91 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Premier Division table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shamrock Rovers |
35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 58 | 35 | +23 | 68 | |
| 2 |  Bohemians |
35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 42 | +18 | 62 | |
| 3 |  St Patrick's Athl. |
35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 53 | 28 | +25 | 60 | |
| 4 |  Shelbourne |
35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 47 | +3 | 49 | |
| 5 |  Derry City |
35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 45 | +3 | 47 | |
| 6 |  Galway United |
35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 42 | |
| 7 |  Dundalk |
35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 42 | |
| 8 |  Waterford |
35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 40 | |
| 9 |  Drogheda United |
35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 37 | |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers |
35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 64 | -38 | 24 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Premier Division trends
How Premier Division matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 175 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (181 played matches).
Top Premier Division teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.38
- Attack
- 1.72
- Defence
- 1.34
- Net rating
- +0.37
- Attack
- 1.22
- Defence
- 0.85
- Net rating
- +0.36
- Attack
- 1.59
- Defence
- 1.23
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Premier Division
From the Premier Division scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- T. LonerganWaterford 15 G 6 A
- C. WhelanBohemians 13 G 6 A
- P. AmondWaterford 13 G 1 A
- D. HorganDundalk 11 G 10 A
- M. DuffyDerry City 11 G 5 A
- R. TierneyBohemians 11 G 3 A
- J. McGovernShamrock Rovers 10 G 7 A
- A. KeenaSt Patrick's Athl. 10 G 4 A
Recent Premier Division results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo RoversOur pick Shamrock Rovers · 79% | Shamrock Rovers to win | 79% | 4–0 | Correct | |
| Galway United vs St Patrick's Athl.Our pick St Patrick's Athl. · 53% | St Patrick's Athl. to win | 53% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| Waterford vs Drogheda UnitedOur pick Waterford · 55% | Waterford to win | 55% | 3–1 | Correct | |
| Bohemians vs ShelbourneOur pick Bohemians · 55% | Bohemians to win | 55% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| Derry City vs DundalkOur pick Derry City · 53% | Derry City to win | 53% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.Our pick St Patrick's Athl. · 45% | St Patrick's Athl. to win | 45% | 1–0 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.