Updated

Italy · 2026/27 season

Italy Serie B Football Predictions

In the Italy Serie B, Palermo currently has 22 points after 80 matches played in the 2026/27 season. With an average of 2.70 goals per match, 54% of games have gone over 2.5 goals and 61% have seen both teams score. These trends could change based on team form or injuries.

Teams 20 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 80 of 380 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 20 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 108 so far this season

Upcoming Italy Serie B fixtures

20 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 40 more scheduled later this season.

Italy Serie B fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Benevento vs CatanzaroItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B BeneventoOur prob 61%Best odds 1.73 +6% 61% 55% C 1.73
Ascoli vs SampdoriaItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B AscoliOur prob 51%Best odds 2.25 +8% 51% 43% C 2.25
Cesena vs EmpoliItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B CesenaOur prob 45%Best odds 2.10 -2% 45% 46% C 2.10
Virtus Entella vs AvellinoItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B Virtus EntellaOur prob 45%Best odds 2.12 -1% 45% 45% C 2.12
Padova vs SudtirolItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B PadovaOur prob 39%Best odds 2.49 -1% 39% 39% C 2.49
Vicenza Virtus vs ModenaItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B ModenaOur prob 45%Best odds 2.10 -1% 45% 46% C 2.10
Mantova vs CremoneseItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B MantovaOur prob 46%Best odds 2.28 +3% 46% 42% C 2.28
Pisa vs PalermoItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B PalermoOur prob 38%Best odds 2.84 +4% 38% 34% C 2.84
Juve Stabia vs VeronaItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B VeronaOur prob 37%Best odds 2.37 -3% 37% 40% C 2.37
Carrarese vs ArezzoItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B CarrareseOur prob 44%Best odds 2.27 +2% 44% 42% C 2.27
Cremonese vs BeneventoItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B BeneventoOur prob 45% — 45% — C —
Modena vs MantovaItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B ModenaOur prob 53%Best odds 1.73 -1% 53% 54% C 1.73
Sudtirol vs CesenaItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B SudtirolOur prob 46%Best odds 2.17 +3% 46% 43% C 2.17
Catanzaro vs PadovaItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B CatanzaroOur prob 43%Best odds 2.05 -2% 43% 45% C 2.05
Sampdoria vs Virtus EntellaItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B SampdoriaOur prob 40%Best odds 2.10 -4% 40% 44% C 2.10
Empoli vs Juve StabiaItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B EmpoliOur prob 37%Best odds 2.36 -3% 37% 39% C 2.36
Avellino vs PisaItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B PisaOur prob 37%Best odds 2.29 -4% 37% 41% C 2.29
Arezzo vs AscoliItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B AscoliOur prob 42%Best odds 2.55 +6% 42% 36% C 2.55
Verona vs CarrareseItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B VeronaOur prob 59%Best odds 1.51 -2% 59% 62% C 1.51
Palermo vs Vicenza VirtusItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B PalermoOur prob 74% — 74% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Italy Serie B table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Italy Serie B table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Palermo 8 710 188 +10 22
2 Mantova 8 521 148 +6 17
3 Modena 8 512 158 +7 16
4 Ascoli 8 431 146 +8 15
5 Benevento 8 422 137 +6 14
6 Pisa 8 422 1510 +5 14
7 Sudtirol 8 341 107 +3 13
8 Juve Stabia 8 332 98 +1 12
9 Avellino 8 323 129 +3 11
10 Padova 8 314 710 -3 10
11 Arezzo 8 314 817 -9 10
12 Verona 8 233 1513 +2 9
13 Virtus Entella 8 233 109 +1 9
14 Vicenza Virtus 8 233 1115 -4 9
15 Cesena 8 152 812 -4 8
16 Carrarese 8 215 79 -2 7
17 Empoli 8 215 713 -6 7
18 Cremonese 8 134 611 -5 6
19 Sampdoria 8 125 816 -8 5
20 Catanzaro 8 116 920 -11 4

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Italy Serie B trends

How Italy Serie B matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 80 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 36% 29 of 80 matches -9 pts vs 2025/26 (390)
Away wins 36% 29 of 80 matches +12 pts vs 2025/26 (390)
Over 2.5 goals 54% 43 of 80 matches +6 pts vs 2025/26 (390)
Both teams scored 61% 49 of 80 matches +8 pts vs 2025/26 (390)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (390 played matches).

Top Italy Serie B teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#1
Net rating
+0.86
Attack
2.01
Defence
1.16
Form NextPisa (A) · 28 Oct
#2
Net rating
+0.65
Attack
1.73
Defence
1.08
Form NextSampdoria (H) · 27 Oct
Net rating
+0.52
Attack
1.71
Defence
1.19
Form NextCatanzaro (H) · 27 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in Italy Serie B

From the Italy Serie B scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • C. ShpendiCesena 6 G 1 A
  • D. MosqueraVerona 6 G 0 A
  • D. JohnsenPalermo 5 G 5 A
  • A. BelottiModena 5 G 0 A
  • F. RuoccoMantova 5 G 0 A
  • Antonio Di NardoJuve Stabia 5 G 0 A
  • R. RussoAvellino 4 G 2 A
  • G. GoriAscoli 3 G 2 A

Recent Italy Serie B results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Italy Serie B results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Verona vs PisaOur pick Verona · 44% Verona to win 44% 1–1 Missed
Palermo vs CarrareseOur pick Palermo · 65% Palermo to win 65% 2–1 Correct
Arezzo vs BeneventoOur pick Benevento · 41% Benevento to win 41% 0–3 Correct
Catanzaro vs AscoliOur pick Ascoli · 36% Ascoli to win 36% 1–6 Correct
Sudtirol vs SampdoriaOur pick Sudtirol · 38% Sudtirol to win 38% 1–1 Missed
Modena vs CesenaOur pick Modena · 60% Modena to win 60% 3–0 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.