Upcoming J1 League fixtures
10 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 50 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulseJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | Kyoto SangaOur prob 39%Best odds 2.70 | +4% | 39% | 36% | C | 2.70 |
| Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | Sanfrecce HiroshimaOur prob 70%Best odds 1.47 | +5% | 70% | 65% | C | 1.47 |
| Fagiano Okayama vs FC TokyoJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | FC TokyoOur prob 52%Best odds 2.09 | +7% | 52% | 46% | C | 2.09 |
| Kashima vs Cerezo OsakaJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | KashimaOur prob 55%Best odds 1.75 | 0% | 55% | 55% | C | 1.75 |
| Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya GrampusJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | Vissel KobeOur prob 52%Best odds 1.87 | 0% | 52% | 51% | C | 1.87 |
| Kashiwa Reysol vs UrawaJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | Kashiwa ReysolOur prob 47%Best odds 2.07 | +1% | 47% | 46% | C | 2.07 |
| Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | Kawasaki FrontaleOur prob 41%Best odds 2.20 | -2% | 41% | 44% | C | 2.20 |
| JEF United Chiba vs Avispa FukuokaJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | Avispa FukuokaOur prob 36%Best odds 2.46 | -3% | 36% | 39% | C | 2.46 |
| V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo VerdyJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | V-varen NagasakiOur prob 44%Best odds 2.24 | +2% | 44% | 42% | C | 2.24 |
| Machida Zelvia vs Gamba OsakaJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | Machida ZelviaOur prob 57%Best odds 1.79 | +3% | 57% | 54% | C | 1.79 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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J1 League table
2027/28 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia |
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 10 | +20 | 27 | |
| 2 |  FC Tokyo |
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 8 | +19 | 27 | |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 10 | +19 | 26 | |
| 4 |  Kashiwa Reysol |
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 19 | +6 | 25 | |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe |
12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 23 | |
| 6 |  Kawasaki Frontale |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 18 | +7 | 22 | |
| 7 |  Urawa |
12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 21 | |
| 8 |  Kashima |
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 21 | +4 | 20 | |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos |
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 18 | |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama |
12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 16 | |
| 11 |  Nagoya Grampus |
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 | |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka |
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 | |
| 13 |  Shimizu S-pulse |
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 14 | |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki |
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 12 | |
| 15 |  Gamba Osaka |
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 11 | |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga |
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 | |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock |
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 | |
| 18 |  Tokyo Verdy |
12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 8 | |
| 19 |  Avispa Fukuoka |
12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 7 | |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba |
12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 7 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
J1 League trends
How J1 League matches actually ended in the 2027/28: 120 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2026/27 season (200 played matches).
Top J1 League teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.80
- Attack
- 2.43
- Defence
- 0.63
- Net rating
- +1.31
- Attack
- 2.27
- Defence
- 0.96
- Net rating
- +1.19
- Attack
- 2.07
- Defence
- 0.88
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in J1 League
From the J1 League scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- Léo CearáKashima 12 G 0 A
- A. SuzukiSanfrecce Hiroshima 8 G 4 A
- MarcinhoKawasaki Frontale 8 G 3 A
- M. NagakuraFC Tokyo 7 G 4 A
- Y. SegawaKashiwa Reysol 7 G 2 A
- A. ČavrićKashima 6 G 1 A
- K. TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos 6 G 1 A
- Y. OsakoVissel Kobe 6 G 0 A
Recent J1 League results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano OkayamaOur pick Kawasaki Frontale · 45% | Kawasaki Frontale to win | 45% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| FC Tokyo vs Mito HollyhockOur pick FC Tokyo · 74% | FC Tokyo to win | 74% | 6–0 | Correct | |
| Urawa vs V-varen NagasakiOur pick Urawa · 54% | Urawa to win | 54% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United ChibaOur pick Cerezo Osaka · 53% | Cerezo Osaka to win | 53% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. MarinosOur pick Yokohama F. Marinos · 37% | Yokohama F. Marinos to win | 37% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto SangaOur pick Gamba Osaka · 50% | Gamba Osaka to win | 50% | 2–2 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.