Upcoming J1 League fixtures
10 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 50 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashima vs Gamba OsakaJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | KashimaOur prob 49%Best odds 1.86 | -8% | 43% | 51% | C | 1.86 |
| Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel KobeJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | Kashiwa ReysolOur prob 41%Best odds 2.17 | -10% | 34% | 44% | C | 2.17 |
| Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | Cerezo OsakaOur prob 38%Best odds 2.22 | -19% | 24% | 43% | C | 2.22 |
| Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano OkayamaJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | Fagiano OkayamaOur prob 41%Best odds 2.50 | +9% | 47% | 38% | C | 2.50 |
| FC Tokyo vs UrawaJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | FC TokyoOur prob 56%Best odds 1.71 | 0% | 55% | 56% | C | 1.71 |
| Kyoto Sanga vs Machida ZelviaJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | Machida ZelviaOur prob 51%Best odds 1.95 | +7% | 56% | 49% | C | 1.95 |
| JEF United Chiba vs V-varen NagasakiJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | V-varen NagasakiOur prob 39%Best odds 2.55 | +8% | 45% | 37% | C | 2.55 |
| Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulseJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | Shimizu S-pulseOur prob 36%Best odds 2.64 | 0% | 36% | 36% | C | 2.64 |
| Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | Sanfrecce HiroshimaOur prob 68%Best odds 1.46 | +11% | 76% | 66% | C | 1.46 |
| Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya GrampusJ1 LeagueC | J1 League | Kawasaki FrontaleOur prob 56%Best odds 1.85 | +18% | 69% | 52% | C | 1.85 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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J1 League table
2027/28 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vissel Kobe |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 19 | |
| 2 |  Kashiwa Reysol |
8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 18 | |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 6 | +14 | 17 | |
| 4 |  Machida Zelvia |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 17 | |
| 5 |  FC Tokyo |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 17 | |
| 6 |  Yokohama F. Marinos |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 14 | |
| 7 |  Kawasaki Frontale |
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 13 | |
| 8 |  Kashima |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 13 | |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 13 | |
| 10 |  Urawa |
8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 | |
| 11 |  Cerezo Osaka |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 11 | |
| 12 |  Shimizu S-pulse |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 10 | |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 | |
| 14 |  Kyoto Sanga |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 | |
| 15 |  V-varen Nagasaki |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 | |
| 16 |  Gamba Osaka |
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 6 | |
| 17 |  Nagoya Grampus |
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 | |
| 18 |  Avispa Fukuoka |
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 4 | |
| 19 |  Tokyo Verdy |
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 | |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba |
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 4 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
J1 League trends
How J1 League matches actually ended in the 2027/28: 80 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2026/27 season (200 played matches).
Top J1 League teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.33
- Attack
- 2.26
- Defence
- 0.92
- Net rating
- +0.86
- Attack
- 2.15
- Defence
- 1.29
- Net rating
- +0.75
- Attack
- 1.52
- Defence
- 0.78
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in J1 League
From the J1 League scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- Léo CearáKashima 10 G 0 A
- Y. SegawaKashiwa Reysol 6 G 2 A
- A. SuzukiSanfrecce Hiroshima 6 G 2 A
- MarcinhoKawasaki Frontale 6 G 1 A
- K. TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos 6 G 1 A
- Rafael EliasKyoto Sanga 5 G 3 A
- M. NagakuraFC Tokyo 5 G 2 A
- A. WatanabeMito Hollyhock 5 G 0 A
Recent J1 League results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka vs Vissel KobeOur pick Vissel Kobe · 46% | Vissel Kobe to win | 46% | 0–1 | Correct | |
| Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa ReysolOur pick Machida Zelvia · 43% | Machida Zelvia to win | 43% | 2–4 | Missed | |
| Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito HollyhockOur pick Yokohama F. Marinos · 49% | Yokohama F. Marinos to win | 49% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| FC Tokyo vs Nagoya GrampusOur pick FC Tokyo · 63% | FC Tokyo to win | 63% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto SangaOur pick Fagiano Okayama · 55% | Fagiano Okayama to win | 55% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United ChibaOur pick Shimizu S-pulse · 49% | Shimizu S-pulse to win | 49% | 2–1 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.