Upcoming Kazakhstan Premier League fixtures
8 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 26 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irtysh vs Kyzyl-ZharKazakhstan Premier LeagueC | Kazakhstan Premier League | IrtyshOur prob 55% | — | 55% | — | C | — |
| Yelimay Semey vs AktobeKazakhstan Premier LeagueC | Kazakhstan Premier League | Yelimay SemeyOur prob 45%Best odds 1.96 | -11% | 37% | 48% | C | 1.96 |
| Kairat Almaty vs ZhetysuKazakhstan Premier LeagueC | Kazakhstan Premier League | Kairat AlmatyOur prob 79%Best odds 1.13 | -17% | 67% | 84% | C | 1.13 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay vs FC AstanaKazakhstan Premier LeagueC | Kazakhstan Premier League | FC AstanaOur prob 43%Best odds 2.11 | -3% | 40% | 44% | C | 2.11 |
| Zhenys vs AtyrauKazakhstan Premier LeagueC | Kazakhstan Premier League | ZhenysOur prob 56%Best odds 1.68 | +1% | 57% | 56% | C | 1.68 |
| Ulytau vs OkzhetpesKazakhstan Premier LeagueC | Kazakhstan Premier League | OkzhetpesOur prob 43%Best odds 2.18 | +3% | 46% | 43% | C | 2.18 |
| Kaspiy vs AltayKazakhstan Premier LeagueC | Kazakhstan Premier League | KaspiyOur prob 50% | — | 50% | — | C | — |
| Kaisar vs OrdabasyKazakhstan Premier LeagueC | Kazakhstan Premier League | OrdabasyOur prob 64%Best odds 1.45 | -6% | 60% | 65% | C | 1.45 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Kazakhstan Premier League table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ordabasy |
26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51 | 18 | +33 | 61 | |
| 2 |  Kairat Almaty |
26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 20 | +31 | 57 | |
| 3 |  FC Astana |
25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 25 | +17 | 48 | |
| 4 |  Okzhetpes |
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 35 | +6 | 45 | |
| 5 |  Aktobe |
26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 31 | +7 | 42 | |
| 6 |  Yelimay Semey |
25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 33 | +2 | 38 | |
| 7 |  FK Tobol Kostanay |
26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 34 | |
| 8 |  Zhenys |
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 32 | |
| 9 |  Ulytau |
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 32 | |
| 10 |  Kaspiy |
26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 29 | |
| 11 |  Irtysh |
25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 26 | |
| 12 |  Kyzyl-Zhar |
26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 25 | |
| 13 |  Kaisar |
26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 24 | |
| 14 |  Atyrau |
25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 23 | |
| 15 |  Altay |
26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 23 | |
| 16 |  Zhetysu |
26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 22 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Kazakhstan Premier League trends
How Kazakhstan Premier League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 206 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (182 played matches).
Top Kazakhstan Premier League teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.13
- Attack
- 1.96
- Defence
- 0.83
- Net rating
- +0.65
- Attack
- 1.70
- Defence
- 1.05
- Net rating
- +0.25
- Attack
- 1.60
- Defence
- 1.35
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Kazakhstan Premier League
From the Kazakhstan Premier League scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- Marc GualKairat Almaty 4 G 2 A
- Léo NatelOrdabasy 3 G 0 A
- N. JamborAltay 3 G 0 A
- Gian MartinsZhenys 2 G 2 A
- Adílio SantosZhenys 2 G 1 A
- NaniAktobe 1 G 3 A
- M. VukčevićFK Tobol Kostanay 1 G 1 A
- Lucas ÁfricoKairat Almaty 1 G 0 A
Recent Kazakhstan Premier League results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aktobe vs UlytauOur pick Aktobe · 63% | Aktobe to win | 63% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Kyzyl-Zhar vs KaisarOur pick Kyzyl-Zhar · 43% | Kyzyl-Zhar to win | 43% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Altay vs IrtyshOur pick Altay · 46% | Altay to win | 46% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Zhetysu vs KaspiyOur pick Zhetysu · 38% | Zhetysu to win | 38% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| Okzhetpes vs ZhenysOur pick Okzhetpes · 39% | Okzhetpes to win | 39% | 3–1 | Correct | |
| Atyrau vs OrdabasyOur pick Ordabasy · 62% | Ordabasy to win | 62% | 0–3 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.