Updated

Kazakhstan · 2026/27 season

Kazakhstan Premier League Football Predictions

In the Kazakhstan Premier League, Ordabasy leads with 68 points after 232 matches this season. With an average of 2.54 goals per match, 50% of games have gone over 2.5 goals, and 55% have seen both teams score. Predictions could be affected by any changes in team form or injuries.

Teams 16 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 232 of 240 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 8 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 68 so far this season

Upcoming Kazakhstan Premier League fixtures

8 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction.

Kazakhstan Premier League fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Kairat Almaty vs AltayKazakhstan Premier LeagueC Kazakhstan Premier League Kairat AlmatyOur prob 55% — 55% — C —
FK Tobol Kostanay vs AktobeKazakhstan Premier LeagueC Kazakhstan Premier League FK Tobol KostanayOur prob 54% — 54% — C —
Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-ZharKazakhstan Premier LeagueC Kazakhstan Premier League KaspiyOur prob 43% — 43% — C —
Zhetysu vs FC AstanaKazakhstan Premier LeagueC Kazakhstan Premier League FC AstanaOur prob 52% — 52% — C —
Irtysh vs OrdabasyKazakhstan Premier LeagueC Kazakhstan Premier League OrdabasyOur prob 69% — 69% — C —
Zhenys vs KaisarKazakhstan Premier LeagueC Kazakhstan Premier League ZhenysOur prob 50% — 50% — C —
Ulytau vs AtyrauKazakhstan Premier LeagueC Kazakhstan Premier League UlytauOur prob 47% — 47% — C —
Yelimay Semey vs OkzhetpesKazakhstan Premier LeagueC Kazakhstan Premier League OkzhetpesOur prob 39% — 39% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Kazakhstan Premier League table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Kazakhstan Premier League table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Ordabasy 29 2153 5921 +38 68
2 Kairat Almaty 29 1973 5922 +37 64
3 FC Astana 29 1586 4629 +17 53
4 Okzhetpes 29 1568 4537 +8 51
5 Aktobe 29 1379 4437 +7 46
6 Yelimay Semey 29 1298 4240 +2 45
7 FK Tobol Kostanay 29 12512 4039 +1 41
8 Ulytau 29 9812 2735 -8 35
9 Zhenys 29 8912 3039 -9 33
10 Kaspiy 29 9614 3142 -11 33
11 Kyzyl-Zhar 29 8714 3140 -9 31
12 Irtysh 29 7814 2944 -15 29
13 Atyrau 29 51212 2435 -11 27
14 Zhetysu 29 6815 2947 -18 26
15 Altay 29 51014 2943 -14 25
16 Kaisar 29 41312 2439 -15 25

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Kazakhstan Premier League trends

How Kazakhstan Premier League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 232 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 47% 108 of 232 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Away wins 26% 60 of 232 matches -4 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Over 2.5 goals 50% 115 of 232 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Both teams scored 55% 128 of 232 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (182)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (182 played matches).

Top Kazakhstan Premier League teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+1.13
Attack
2.05
Defence
0.92
Form NextIrtysh (A) · 31 Oct
Net rating
+0.42
Attack
1.46
Defence
1.04
Form NextZhetysu (A) · 31 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in Kazakhstan Premier League

From the Kazakhstan Premier League scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • Marc GualKairat Almaty 4 G 2 A
  • Léo NatelOrdabasy 3 G 0 A
  • N. JamborAltay 3 G 0 A
  • Gian MartinsZhenys 2 G 2 A
  • Adílio SantosZhenys 2 G 1 A
  • NaniAktobe 1 G 3 A
  • M. VukčevićFK Tobol Kostanay 1 G 1 A
  • Lucas ÁfricoKairat Almaty 1 G 0 A

Recent Kazakhstan Premier League results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Kazakhstan Premier League results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
FC Astana vs KaisarOur pick FC Astana · 65% FC Astana to win 65% 0–0 Missed
Aktobe vs Kairat AlmatyOur pick Kairat Almaty · 40% Kairat Almaty to win 40% 2–2 Missed
Atyrau vs IrtyshOur pick Atyrau · 42% Atyrau to win 42% 2–3 Missed
Altay vs Yelimay SemeyOur pick Altay · 41% Altay to win 41% 2–2 Missed
Ordabasy vs ZhenysOur pick Ordabasy · 79% Ordabasy to win 79% 1–1 Missed
Kyzyl-Zhar vs UlytauOur pick Kyzyl-Zhar · 54% Kyzyl-Zhar to win 54% 1–0 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.