Kenya · 2026/27 season

Kenyan Premier League Football Predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every Kenyan Premier League fixture — 18 clubs, 0 of 306 matches played, 9 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Teams 18 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 0 of 306 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 9 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 9 so far this season

Upcoming Kenyan Premier League fixtures

9 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 51 more scheduled later this season.

Kenyan Premier League fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Bandari vs TuskerPostponedKenyan Premier League Kenyan Premier League — — — — —
Homeboyz vs PolicePostponedKenyan Premier League Kenyan Premier League — — — — —
Mathare United vs Posta Rangers FCPostponedKenyan Premier League Kenyan Premier League — — — — —
GOR Mahia vs Nairobi UnitedPostponedKenyan Premier League Kenyan Premier League — — — — —
KCB vs APS BometPostponedKenyan Premier League Kenyan Premier League — — — — —
Mara Sugar vs Migori YouthPostponedKenyan Premier League Kenyan Premier League — — — — —
Mombasa Elite vs ShabanaPostponedKenyan Premier League Kenyan Premier League — — — — —
Murang'a SEAL vs Ulinzi StarsPostponedKenyan Premier League Kenyan Premier League — — — — —
3K vs AFC LeopardsPostponedKenyan Premier League Kenyan Premier League — — — — —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Kenyan Premier League table

2025/26 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Kenyan Premier League table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 GOR Mahia 34 2095 5022 +28 69
2 AFC Leopards 34 1978 4428 +16 64
3 Police 34 13165 3121 +10 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14119 4434 +10 53
5 Shabana 34 141010 3534 +1 52
6 Homeboyz 34 12139 4737 +10 49
7 KCB 34 13912 3637 -1 48
8 Tusker 34 13615 2732 -5 45
9 APS Bomet 34 111112 3735 +2 44
10 Mara Sugar 34 101410 3030 0 44
11 Bandari 34 9178 2626 0 44
12 Murang'a SEAL 33 12813 4041 -1 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 33 11814 3435 -1 41
14 Mathare United 34 11815 3135 -4 41
15 Posta Rangers FC 34 91312 3140 -9 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 35 81413 3135 -4 38
17 Bidco United 34 51217 1940 -21 27
18 Sofapaka 34 31021 1951 -32 19
19 Mombasa Elite 1 100 21 +1 3

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Kenyan Premier League trends

How Kenyan Premier League matches actually ended in the 2025/26: 306 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 33% 102 of 306 matches
Away wins 35% 106 of 306 matches
Over 2.5 goals 33% 102 of 306 matches
Both teams scored 43% 131 of 306 matches

No season-on-season change shown: the previous season’s results are not in our database.

Top Kenyan Premier League teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+0.61
Attack
1.20
Defence
0.59
Form NextKCB (A) · 9 Oct
#2
Net rating
+0.34
Attack
1.02
Defence
0.69
Form NextHomeboyz (A) · 9 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.