Upcoming Kenyan Premier League fixtures
18 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 42 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bandari vs Posta Rangers FCKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | DrawOur prob 37% | — | 37% | — | C | — |
| Homeboyz vs GOR MahiaKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | HomeboyzOur prob 35% | — | 35% | — | C | — |
| KCB vs Mombasa EliteKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | KCBOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — |
| APS Bomet vs 3KKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | APS BometOur prob 44% | — | 44% | — | C | — |
| Mara Sugar vs AFC LeopardsKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | DrawOur prob 37% | — | 37% | — | C | — |
| Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi UnitedKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | Nairobi UnitedOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — |
| Shabana vs Migori YouthKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | DrawOur prob 43% | — | 43% | — | C | — |
| Mathare United vs TuskerKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | DrawOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — |
| Police vs Ulinzi StarsKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | DrawOur prob 38% | — | 38% | — | C | — |
| Bandari vs Mathare UnitedKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | DrawOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — |
| Homeboyz vs ShabanaKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | DrawOur prob 38% | — | 38% | — | C | — |
| GOR Mahia vs Mombasa EliteKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | GOR MahiaOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — |
| Ulinzi Stars vs AFC LeopardsKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | DrawOur prob 35% | — | 35% | — | C | — |
| Tusker vs Posta Rangers FCKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | TuskerOur prob 41% | — | 41% | — | C | — |
| APS Bomet vs Migori YouthKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | APS BometOur prob 41% | — | 41% | — | C | — |
| Mara Sugar vs PoliceKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | DrawOur prob 40% | — | 40% | — | C | — |
| Murang'a SEAL vs KCBKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | Murang'a SEALOur prob 38% | — | 38% | — | C | — |
| 3K vs Nairobi UnitedKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | Nairobi UnitedOur prob 36% | — | 36% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Betting sites compared
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them in Kenya — the full comparison and how we read it is on its own page
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kenyan Premier League table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 9 | |
| 2 |  3K |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 5 | |
| 3 |  Mara Sugar |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 5 | |
| 4 |  AFC Leopards |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 | |
| 5 |  Shabana |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 5 | |
| 6 |  Homeboyz |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | |
| 7 |  KCB |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
| 8 |  Tusker |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 9 |  Murang'a SEAL |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 3 | |
| 10 |  Nairobi United |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 11 |  Posta Rangers FC |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | |
| 12 |  Migori Youth |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 13 |  Police |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 | |
| 14 |  APS Bomet |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 | |
| 15 |  Bandari |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 | |
| 16 |  Mathare United |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | |
| 17 |  Ulinzi Stars |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 | |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Kenyan Premier League trends
How Kenyan Premier League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 25 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Season-on-season change appears once 30 matches have been played this season (25 so far) — a smaller sample is noise, not a trend.
Top Kenyan Premier League teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.40
- Attack
- 1.02
- Defence
- 0.63
- Net rating
- +0.19
- Attack
- 1.15
- Defence
- 0.96
- Net rating
- +0.14
- Attack
- 1.25
- Defence
- 1.11
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Kenyan Premier League results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Leopards vs ShabanaOur pick AFC Leopards · 42% | AFC Leopards to win | 42% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| Nairobi United vs APS BometOur pick Nairobi United · 40% | Nairobi United to win | 40% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Mombasa Elite vs PoliceOur pick Police · 41% | Police to win | 41% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| 3K vs Murang'a SEALOur pick Murang'a SEAL · 38% | Murang'a SEAL to win | 38% | 2–1 | Missed | |
| GOR Mahia vs BandariOur pick GOR Mahia · 39% | GOR Mahia to win | 39% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Ulinzi Stars vs Mara SugarOur pick Draw · 34% | Draw | 34% | 0–0 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.