Upcoming Virsliga fixtures
5 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 5 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Liepaja vs Super NovaVirsligaC | Virsliga | FK LiepajaOur prob 63% | — | 63% | — | C | — |
| Auda vs FS JelgavaVirsligaC | Virsliga | AudaOur prob 68% | — | 68% | — | C | — |
| BFC Daugavpils vs TukumsVirsligaC | Virsliga | BFC DaugavpilsOur prob 66% | — | 66% | — | C | — |
| Rīgas FS vs GrobiņaVirsligaC | Virsliga | Rīgas FSOur prob 86% | — | 86% | — | C | — |
| Ogre United vs RigaVirsligaC | Virsliga | RigaOur prob 65% | — | 65% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Betting sites compared
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them in Kenya — the full comparison and how we read it is on its own page
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Virsliga table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 84 | 24 | +60 | 86 | ||
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 95 | 33 | +62 | 82 | ||
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 57 | 35 | +22 | 67 | ||
| 4 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 40 | 37 | +3 | 48 | ||
| 5 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 47 | ||
| 6 | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 38 | ||
| 7 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 32 | ||
| 8 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 27 | 61 | -34 | 29 | ||
| 9 | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 25 | ||
| 10 | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 34 | 85 | -51 | 18 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Virsliga trends
How Virsliga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 170 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (182 played matches).
Top Virsliga teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.25
- Attack
- 2.20
- Defence
- 0.96
- Net rating
- +0.65
- Attack
- 1.84
- Defence
- 1.19
- Net rating
- +0.56
- Attack
- 1.72
- Defence
- 1.16
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Virsliga
From the Virsliga scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- PauloRiga 3 G 1 A
- Ž. LipuščekRīgas FS 3 G 0 A
- A. AppiahAuda 3 G 0 A
- M. OšsSuper Nova 3 G 0 A
- J. EdeFK Liepaja 2 G 0 A
- A. TraoreBFC Daugavpils 2 G 0 A
- M. BadamosiRiga 2 G 0 A
- E. DašķevičsAuda 2 G 0 A
Recent Virsliga results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grobiņa vs RigaOur pick Riga · 70% | Riga to win | 70% | 2–5 | Correct | |
| Super Nova vs Rīgas FSOur pick Rīgas FS · 75% | Rīgas FS to win | 75% | 0–3 | Correct | |
| FS Jelgava vs BFC DaugavpilsOur pick BFC Daugavpils · 53% | BFC Daugavpils to win | 53% | 0–1 | Correct | |
| Ogre United vs AudaOur pick Auda · 61% | Auda to win | 61% | 1–4 | Correct | |
| FK Liepaja vs TukumsOur pick FK Liepaja · 66% | FK Liepaja to win | 66% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| Rīgas FS vs TukumsOur pick Rīgas FS · 86% | Rīgas FS to win | 86% | 2–0 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.