Updated

Latvia · 2026/27 season

Virsliga Football Predictions

In the Virsliga, Rīgas FS has a total of 86 points this season. With an average of 2.90 goals per match, 55% of games have gone over 2.5 goals and 54% have seen both teams score. These trends could change based on team form or injuries.

Teams 10 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 170 of 180 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 5 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 52 so far this season

Upcoming Virsliga fixtures

5 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 5 more scheduled later this season.

Virsliga fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
FK Liepaja vs Super NovaVirsligaC Virsliga FK LiepajaOur prob 63% — 63% — C —
Auda vs FS JelgavaVirsligaC Virsliga AudaOur prob 68% — 68% — C —
BFC Daugavpils vs TukumsVirsligaC Virsliga BFC DaugavpilsOur prob 66% — 66% — C —
Rīgas FS vs GrobiņaVirsligaC Virsliga Rīgas FSOur prob 86% — 86% — C —
Ogre United vs RigaVirsligaC Virsliga RigaOur prob 65% — 65% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Virsliga table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Virsliga table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Rīgas FS 34 2752 8424 +60 86
2 Riga 34 2572 9533 +62 82
3 Auda 34 2077 5735 +22 67
4 BFC Daugavpils 34 13912 4037 +3 48
5 FK Liepaja 34 13813 4646 0 47
6 Super Nova 34 11518 3250 -18 38
7 FS Jelgava 34 8818 3457 -23 32
8 Grobiņa 34 61117 2761 -34 29
9 Tukums 34 51019 4465 -21 25
10 Ogre United 34 4624 3485 -51 18

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Virsliga trends

How Virsliga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 170 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 42% 72 of 170 matches -3 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Away wins 35% 60 of 170 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Over 2.5 goals 55% 93 of 170 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Both teams scored 54% 92 of 170 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (182)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (182 played matches).

Top Virsliga teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+1.25
Attack
2.20
Defence
0.96
Form NextGrobiņa (H) · 1 Nov
#2
Net rating
+0.65
Attack
1.84
Defence
1.19
Form NextOgre United (A) · 1 Nov
#3
Net rating
+0.56
Attack
1.72
Defence
1.16
Form NextFS Jelgava (H) · 1 Nov

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in Virsliga

From the Virsliga scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • PauloRiga 3 G 1 A
  • Ž. LipuščekRīgas FS 3 G 0 A
  • A. AppiahAuda 3 G 0 A
  • M. OšsSuper Nova 3 G 0 A
  • J. EdeFK Liepaja 2 G 0 A
  • A. TraoreBFC Daugavpils 2 G 0 A
  • M. BadamosiRiga 2 G 0 A
  • E. DašķevičsAuda 2 G 0 A

Recent Virsliga results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Virsliga results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Grobiņa vs RigaOur pick Riga · 70% Riga to win 70% 2–5 Correct
Super Nova vs Rīgas FSOur pick Rīgas FS · 75% Rīgas FS to win 75% 0–3 Correct
FS Jelgava vs BFC DaugavpilsOur pick BFC Daugavpils · 53% BFC Daugavpils to win 53% 0–1 Correct
Ogre United vs AudaOur pick Auda · 61% Auda to win 61% 1–4 Correct
FK Liepaja vs TukumsOur pick FK Liepaja · 66% FK Liepaja to win 66% 0–0 Missed
Rīgas FS vs TukumsOur pick Rīgas FS · 86% Rīgas FS to win 86% 2–0 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.