Upcoming Virsliga fixtures
5 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 21 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tukums vs RigaVirsligaC | Virsliga | RigaOur prob 59% | — | 59% | — | C | — |
| Super Nova vs GrobiņaVirsligaC | Virsliga | Super NovaOur prob 41%Best odds 2.37 | +8% | 47% | 39% | C | 2.37 |
| Ogre United vs BFC DaugavpilsVirsligaC | Virsliga | BFC DaugavpilsOur prob 48%Best odds 1.90 | -1% | 47% | 48% | C | 1.90 |
| Rīgas FS vs FS JelgavaVirsligaC | Virsliga | Rīgas FSOur prob 74%Best odds 1.13 | -23% | 57% | 80% | C | 1.13 |
| FK Liepaja vs AudaVirsligaC | Virsliga | AudaOur prob 37%Best odds 2.35 | -7% | 32% | 39% | C | 2.35 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Welcome offers as each operator publishes them in Kenya — the full comparison and how we read it is on its own page
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Virsliga table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rīgas FS |
30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 71 | 22 | +49 | 74 | |
| 2 |  Riga |
31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 86 | 30 | +56 | 73 | |
| 3 |  Auda |
31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 30 | +19 | 61 | |
| 4 |  FK Liepaja |
31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 | |
| 5 |  BFC Daugavpils |
31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 39 | |
| 6 |  Super Nova |
30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 35 | |
| 7 |  FS Jelgava |
31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 32 | |
| 8 |  Grobiņa |
31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 21 | 52 | -31 | 26 | |
| 9 |  Tukums |
31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 24 | |
| 10 |  Ogre United |
31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 18 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Virsliga trends
How Virsliga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 154 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (182 played matches).
Top Virsliga teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.64
- Attack
- 1.74
- Defence
- 1.10
- Net rating
- +0.58
- Attack
- 1.76
- Defence
- 1.18
- Net rating
- +0.37
- Attack
- 1.37
- Defence
- 1.01
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Virsliga
From the Virsliga scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- PauloRiga 3 G 1 A
Recent Virsliga results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auda vs Rīgas FSOur pick Rīgas FS · 51% | Rīgas FS to win | 51% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Tukums vs GrobiņaOur pick Tukums · 39% | Tukums to win | 39% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Ogre United vs Super NovaOur pick Super Nova · 43% | Super Nova to win | 43% | 1–0 | Missed | |
| FS Jelgava vs RigaOur pick Riga · 63% | Riga to win | 63% | 0–1 | Correct | |
| FK Liepaja vs BFC DaugavpilsOur pick FK Liepaja · 44% | FK Liepaja to win | 44% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| Auda vs Ogre UnitedOur pick Auda · 72% | Auda to win | 72% | 1–0 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.