Upcoming A Lyga fixtures
1 fixture in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 20 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva MarijampoleA LygaC | A Lyga | FK Zalgiris VilniusOur prob 38%Best odds 2.18 | -16% | 26% | 42% | C | 2.18 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Betting sites compared
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them in Kenya — the full comparison and how we read it is on its own page
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
A Lyga table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 62 | 21 | +41 | 57 | ||
| 2 | 30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 47 | 25 | +22 | 56 | ||
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 35 | +16 | 51 | ||
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 48 | ||
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 28 | +13 | 47 | ||
| 6 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 44 | ||
| 7 | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 35 | ||
| 8 | 30 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 | ||
| 9 | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 27 | 59 | -32 | 21 | ||
| 10 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 42 | -37 | 3 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
A Lyga trends
How A Lyga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 143 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (182 played matches).
Top A Lyga teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.67
- Attack
- 1.73
- Defence
- 1.05
- Net rating
- +0.49
- Attack
- 1.64
- Defence
- 1.15
- Net rating
- +0.49
- Attack
- 1.56
- Defence
- 1.07
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent A Lyga results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Šiauliai vs Kauno ŽalgirisOur pick Kauno Žalgiris · 71% | Kauno Žalgiris to win | 71% | 0–2 | Correct | |
| Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva MarijampoleOur pick Suduva Marijampole · 56% | Suduva Marijampole to win | 56% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Zalgiris VilniusOur pick FK Zalgiris Vilnius · 38% | FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win | 38% | 3–0 | Missed | |
| Banga vs Džiugas TelšiaiOur pick Banga · 46% | Banga to win | 46% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno ŽalgirisOur pick Kauno Žalgiris · 44% | Kauno Žalgiris to win | 44% | 3–2 | Missed | |
| Banga vs TransINVEST VilniusOur pick Banga · 38% | Banga to win | 38% | 1–3 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.