Upcoming A Lyga fixtures
5 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 5 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panevėžys vs TransINVEST VilniusA LygaC | A Lyga | TransINVEST VilniusOur prob 44%Best odds 1.95 | -2% | 44% | 47% | C | 1.95 |
| Šiauliai vs Džiugas TelšiaiA LygaC | A Lyga | Džiugas TelšiaiOur prob 43%Best odds 2.09 | 0% | 43% | 44% | C | 2.09 |
| Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno ŽalgirisA LygaC | A Lyga | Kauno ŽalgirisOur prob 51% | — | 51% | — | C | — |
| Suduva Marijampole vs BangaA LygaC | A Lyga | Suduva MarijampoleOur prob 40% | — | 40% | — | C | — |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK TrakaiCancelledA Lyga | A Lyga | — | — | — | — | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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A Lyga table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kauno Žalgiris |
32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 63 | 21 | +42 | 61 | |
| 2 |  Suduva Marijampole |
32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 47 | 30 | +17 | 56 | |
| 3 |  TransINVEST Vilnius |
32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56 | 38 | +18 | 55 | |
| 4 |  FK Zalgiris Vilnius |
33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 37 | +15 | 55 | |
| 5 |  Banga |
32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42 | 30 | +12 | 48 | |
| 6 |  Džiugas Telšiai |
32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 48 | |
| 7 |  Panevėžys |
31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 38 | |
| 8 |  Hegelmann Litauen |
32 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 27 | |
| 9 |  Šiauliai |
32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 59 | -32 | 22 | |
| 10 |  FK Trakai |
16 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 42 | -37 | 3 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
A Lyga trends
How A Lyga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 152 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (182 played matches).
Top A Lyga teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.55
- Attack
- 1.76
- Defence
- 1.21
- Net rating
- +0.29
- Attack
- 1.69
- Defence
- 1.39
- Net rating
- +0.18
- Attack
- 1.33
- Defence
- 1.14
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent A Lyga results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris VilniusOur pick Kauno Žalgiris · 45% | Kauno Žalgiris to win | 45% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| Džiugas Telšiai vs PanevėžysOur pick Panevėžys · 40% | Panevėžys to win | 40% | 2–1 | Missed | |
| Banga vs ŠiauliaiOur pick Banga · 64% | Banga to win | 64% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| TransINVEST Vilnius vs Hegelmann LitauenOur pick TransINVEST Vilnius · 70% | TransINVEST Vilnius to win | 70% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno ŽalgirisOur pick Kauno Žalgiris · 44% | Kauno Žalgiris to win | 44% | 0–1 | Correct | |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann LitauenOur pick FK Zalgiris Vilnius · 65% | FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win | 65% | 4–1 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.