Lithuania · 2026/27 season

A Lyga Football Predictions

Kauno Žalgiris leads the A Lyga with 57 points after 143 matches this season, averaging 2.64 goals per match. With 52% of matches going over 2.5 goals and 48% seeing both teams score, predictions could vary if teams underperform offensively or if defenses tighten up.

Teams 10 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 143 of 180 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 1 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 28 so far this season

Upcoming A Lyga fixtures

1 fixture in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 20 more scheduled later this season.

A Lyga fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva MarijampoleA LygaC A Lyga FK Zalgiris VilniusOur prob 38%Best odds 2.18 -16% 26% 42% C 2.18

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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A Lyga table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

A Lyga table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Kauno Žalgiris 30 1695 6221 +41 57
2 Suduva Marijampole 30 15114 4725 +22 56
3 TransINVEST Vilnius 30 1569 5135 +16 51
4 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 30 14610 4436 +8 48
5 Banga 30 1389 4128 +13 47
6 Džiugas Telšiai 30 12810 3940 -1 44
7 Panevėžys 29 10514 3144 -13 35
8 Hegelmann Litauen 30 41511 3148 -17 27
9 Šiauliai 31 4918 2759 -32 21
10 FK Trakai 16 0313 542 -37 3

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

A Lyga trends

How A Lyga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 143 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 40% 57 of 143 matches -1 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Away wins 32% 46 of 143 matches -2 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Over 2.5 goals 52% 75 of 143 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Both teams scored 48% 68 of 143 matches -4 pts vs 2025/26 (182)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (182 played matches).

Top A Lyga teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+0.67
Attack
1.73
Defence
1.05
Form NextSuduva Marijampole (A) · 19 Oct
Net rating
+0.49
Attack
1.64
Defence
1.15
Form NextDžiugas Telšiai (A) · 17 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent A Lyga results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent A Lyga results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Šiauliai vs Kauno ŽalgirisOur pick Kauno Žalgiris · 71% Kauno Žalgiris to win 71% 0–2 Correct
Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva MarijampoleOur pick Suduva Marijampole · 56% Suduva Marijampole to win 56% 1–1 Missed
TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Zalgiris VilniusOur pick FK Zalgiris Vilnius · 38% FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win 38% 3–0 Missed
Banga vs Džiugas TelšiaiOur pick Banga · 46% Banga to win 46% 2–0 Correct
FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno ŽalgirisOur pick Kauno Žalgiris · 44% Kauno Žalgiris to win 44% 3–2 Missed
Banga vs TransINVEST VilniusOur pick Banga · 38% Banga to win 38% 1–3 Missed

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.