Upcoming National Division fixtures
8 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 52 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F91 Dudelange vs Victoria RosportNational DivisionC | National Division | F91 DudelangeOur prob 52% | — | 52% | — | C | — |
| AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03National DivisionC | National Division | FC Differdange 03Our prob 65% | — | 65% | — | C | — |
| Progres Niederkorn vs Swift HesperangeNational DivisionC | National Division | Progres NiederkornOur prob 84% | — | 84% | — | C | — |
| US Rumelange vs Racing FC Union LuxembourgNational DivisionC | National Division | Racing FC Union LuxembourgOur prob 81% | — | 81% | — | C | — |
| UNA Strassen vs UN Kaerjeng 97National DivisionC | National Division | UNA StrassenOur prob 55% | — | 55% | — | C | — |
| US Mondorf-les-bains vs US HostertNational DivisionC | National Division | US Mondorf-les-bainsOur prob 51% | — | 51% | — | C | — |
| Atert Bissen vs Etzella EttelbruckNational DivisionC | National Division | Atert BissenOur prob 68% | — | 68% | — | C | — |
| Résidence Walferdange vs WiltzNational DivisionC | National Division | Résidence WalferdangeOur prob 57% | — | 57% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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National Division table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UNA Strassen |
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 3 | +19 | 31 | |
| 2 |  FC Differdange 03 |
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 9 | +23 | 30 | |
| 3 |  US Mondorf-les-bains |
11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 24 | |
| 4 |  Racing FC Union Luxembourg |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 11 | +19 | 22 | |
| 5 |  Atert Bissen |
11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 15 | +12 | 22 | |
| 6 |  UN Kaerjeng 97 |
11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 21 | |
| 7 |  Progres Niederkorn |
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 19 | |
| 8 |  Résidence Walferdange |
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 16 | |
| 9 |  F91 Dudelange |
11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 | |
| 10 |  AS Jeunesse Esch |
11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 13 | |
| 11 |  Victoria Rosport |
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 11 | |
| 12 |  US Hostert |
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 | |
| 13 |  Etzella Ettelbruck |
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 8 | |
| 14 |  US Rumelange |
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 8 | |
| 15 |  Wiltz |
11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 5 | |
| 16 |  Swift Hesperange |
11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 41 | -39 | 0 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
National Division trends
How National Division matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 88 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (242 played matches).
Top National Division teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.44
- Attack
- 2.47
- Defence
- 1.04
- Net rating
- +1.20
- Attack
- 2.42
- Defence
- 1.21
- Net rating
- +0.98
- Attack
- 1.70
- Defence
- 0.71
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent National Division results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swift Hesperange vs AS Jeunesse EschOur pick AS Jeunesse Esch · 78% | AS Jeunesse Esch to win | 78% | 0–3 | Correct | |
| Wiltz vs US RumelangeOur pick Wiltz · 45% | Wiltz to win | 45% | 3–3 | Missed | |
| US Hostert vs UNA StrassenOur pick UNA Strassen · 68% | UNA Strassen to win | 68% | 0–2 | Correct | |
| Victoria Rosport vs Résidence WalferdangeOur pick Victoria Rosport · 41% | Victoria Rosport to win | 41% | 4–1 | Correct | |
| UN Kaerjeng 97 vs Atert BissenOur pick UN Kaerjeng 97 · 48% | UN Kaerjeng 97 to win | 48% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bainsOur pick Racing FC Union Luxembourg · 41% | Racing FC Union Luxembourg to win | 41% | 6–0 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.