Upcoming Malta Premier League fixtures
6 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 25 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mosta vs BirzebbugaMalta Premier LeagueC | Malta Premier League | MostaOur prob 70% | — | 70% | — | C | — |
| Birkirkara vs Valletta FCMalta Premier LeagueC | Malta Premier League | Valletta FCOur prob 40% | — | 40% | — | C | — |
| Zabbar St. Patrick vs MarsaxlokkMalta Premier LeagueC | Malta Premier League | Zabbar St. PatrickOur prob 49% | — | 49% | — | C | — |
| Balzan FC vs FlorianaMalta Premier LeagueC | Malta Premier League | Balzan FCOur prob 45% | — | 45% | — | C | — |
| Hibernians vs Hamrun SpartansMalta Premier LeagueC | Malta Premier League | HiberniansOur prob 53% | — | 53% | — | C | — |
| Gzira United vs Sliema WanderersMalta Premier LeagueC | Malta Premier League | Sliema WanderersOur prob 45% | — | 45% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Malta Premier League table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Valletta FC |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 13 | |
| 2 |  Floriana |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 | |
| 3 |  Mosta |
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 13 | |
| 4 |  Marsaxlokk |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 11 | |
| 5 |  Balzan FC |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 9 | |
| 6 |  Hibernians |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 8 | |
| 7 |  Zabbar St. Patrick |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 | |
| 8 |  Birkirkara |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 | |
| 9 |  Sliema Wanderers |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 | |
| 10 |  Hamrun Spartans |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 | |
| 11 |  Birzebbuga |
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 | |
| 12 |  Gzira United |
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Malta Premier League trends
How Malta Premier League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 35 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (199 played matches).
Top Malta Premier League teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.39
- Attack
- 1.51
- Defence
- 1.12
- Net rating
- +0.29
- Attack
- 1.38
- Defence
- 1.09
- Net rating
- +0.29
- Attack
- 1.78
- Defence
- 1.49
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Malta Premier League results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sliema Wanderers vs Balzan FCOur pick Balzan FC · 44% | Balzan FC to win | 44% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| Floriana vs HiberniansOur pick Hibernians · 43% | Hibernians to win | 43% | 0–4 | Correct | |
| Birzebbuga vs Valletta FCOur pick Valletta FC · 59% | Valletta FC to win | 59% | 0–3 | Correct | |
| Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun SpartansOur pick Marsaxlokk · 48% | Marsaxlokk to win | 48% | 4–1 | Correct | |
| Birkirkara vs Zabbar St. PatrickOur pick Zabbar St. Patrick · 48% | Zabbar St. Patrick to win | 48% | 0–2 | Correct | |
| Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira UnitedOur pick Zabbar St. Patrick · 44% | Zabbar St. Patrick to win | 44% | 0–0 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.