Upcoming Malta Premier League fixtures
6 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birkirkara vs BirzebbugaMalta Premier LeagueC | Malta Premier League | BirkirkaraOur prob 54% | — | 54% | — | C | — |
| Zabbar St. Patrick vs MostaMalta Premier LeagueC | Malta Premier League | Zabbar St. PatrickOur prob 41% | — | 41% | — | C | — |
| Balzan FC vs HiberniansMalta Premier LeagueC | Malta Premier League | Balzan FCOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — |
| Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun SpartansMalta Premier LeagueC | Malta Premier League | Sliema WanderersOur prob 38% | — | 38% | — | C | — |
| Floriana vs Valletta FCMalta Premier LeagueC | Malta Premier League | FlorianaOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — |
| Gzira United vs MarsaxlokkMalta Premier LeagueC | Malta Premier League | MarsaxlokkOur prob 45% | — | 45% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Malta Premier League table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Valletta FC |
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | +13 | 22 | |
| 2 |  Marsaxlokk |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 17 | |
| 3 |  Sliema Wanderers |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 17 | |
| 4 |  Floriana |
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 14 | +8 | 16 | |
| 5 |  Hamrun Spartans |
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 16 | |
| 6 |  Birkirkara |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 14 | |
| 7 |  Mosta |
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 | |
| 8 |  Hibernians |
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 13 | |
| 9 |  Balzan FC |
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 |  Zabbar St. Patrick |
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 | |
| 11 |  Gzira United |
10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 5 | |
| 12 |  Birzebbuga |
10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 5 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Malta Premier League trends
How Malta Premier League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 60 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (199 played matches).
Top Malta Premier League teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.50
- Attack
- 1.66
- Defence
- 1.16
- Net rating
- +0.30
- Attack
- 1.55
- Defence
- 1.25
- Net rating
- +0.26
- Attack
- 1.78
- Defence
- 1.52
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Malta Premier League results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mosta vs HiberniansOur pick Hibernians · 39% | Hibernians to win | 39% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Floriana vs Zabbar St. PatrickOur pick Floriana · 62% | Floriana to win | 62% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Gzira United vs BirzebbugaOur pick Gzira United · 37% | Gzira United to win | 37% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Balzan FC vs BirkirkaraOur pick Birkirkara · 37% | Birkirkara to win | 37% | 0–2 | Correct | |
| Valletta FC vs Hamrun SpartansOur pick Valletta FC · 41% | Valletta FC to win | 41% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Sliema Wanderers vs MarsaxlokkOur pick Sliema Wanderers · 40% | Sliema Wanderers to win | 40% | 2–1 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.