Upcoming Liga de Expansión MX fixtures
8 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | Mineros de ZacatecasOur prob 37%Best odds 2.41 | -2% | 37% | 39% | C | 2.41 |
| Correcaminos Uat vs Venados FCLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | Correcaminos UatOur prob 43%Best odds 2.05 | -3% | 43% | 46% | C | 2.05 |
| CA La Paz vs DoradosLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | CA La PazOur prob 70%Best odds 1.42 | +4% | 70% | 66% | C | 1.42 |
| Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs TlaxcalaLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | Cruz Azul HidalgoOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — |
| Cancún vs CDS Tampico MaderoLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | CancúnOur prob 72% | — | 72% | — | C | — |
| Durango vs MonarcasLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | DurangoOur prob 49% | — | 49% | — | C | — |
| Piratas vs TapatíoLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | PiratasOur prob 80% | — | 80% | — | C | — |
| Leones Negros UDG vs TepatitlánLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | Leones Negros UDGOur prob 77%Best odds 1.30 | +5% | 77% | 73% | C | 1.30 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Welcome offers as each operator publishes them in Kenya — the full comparison and how we read it is on its own page
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Liga de Expansión MX table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CA La Paz |
14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 18 | +15 | 27 | |
| 2 |  Leones Negros UDG |
14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 19 | +12 | 27 | |
| 3 |  Monarcas |
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 16 | +9 | 26 | |
| 4 |  Piratas |
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 14 | +12 | 24 | |
| 5 |  Venados FC |
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 25 | +6 | 24 | |
| 6 |  Cancún |
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 22 | |
| 7 |  Durango |
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 21 | |
| 8 |  Tlaxcala |
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 19 | |
| 9 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca |
14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 19 | |
| 10 |  Mineros de Zacatecas |
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 25 | +1 | 18 | |
| 11 |  Tapatío |
14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 | |
| 12 |  Correcaminos Uat |
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 16 | |
| 13 |  Dorados |
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 16 | |
| 14 |  CDS Tampico Madero |
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 | |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo |
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 14 | |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán |
14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 41 | -31 | 7 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Liga de Expansión MX trends
How Liga de Expansión MX matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 112 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (240 played matches).
Top Liga de Expansión MX teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.88
- Attack
- 2.07
- Defence
- 1.19
- Net rating
- +0.80
- Attack
- 2.19
- Defence
- 1.39
- Net rating
- +0.60
- Attack
- 1.85
- Defence
- 1.25
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Liga de Expansión MX results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tapatío vs MonarcasOur pick Monarcas · 42% | Monarcas to win | 42% | 1–2 | Correct | |
| Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos UatOur pick Tlaxcala · 52% | Tlaxcala to win | 52% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La PazOur pick CA La Paz · 39% | CA La Paz to win | 39% | 1–3 | Correct | |
| Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDGOur pick Mineros de Zacatecas · 47% | Mineros de Zacatecas to win | 47% | 0–2 | Missed | |
| Dorados vs PiratasOur pick Piratas · 50% | Piratas to win | 50% | 0–5 | Correct | |
| Venados FC vs DurangoOur pick Venados FC · 42% | Venados FC to win | 42% | 3–2 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.