Upcoming Liga de Expansión MX fixtures
8 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 25 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos UatLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | Correcaminos UatOur prob 38%Best odds 2.53 | +3% | 40% | 38% | C | 2.53 |
| Tapatío vs CA La PazLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | TapatíoOur prob 37%Best odds 2.67 | +5% | 41% | 36% | C | 2.67 |
| Tepatitlán vs MonarcasLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | MonarcasOur prob 55%Best odds 1.70 | +2% | 56% | 55% | C | 1.70 |
| Tlaxcala vs PiratasLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | PiratasOur prob 41%Best odds 2.15 | -9% | 35% | 43% | C | 2.15 |
| Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | Venados FCOur prob 49%Best odds 1.93 | +6% | 53% | 48% | C | 1.93 |
| Dorados vs Cruz Azul HidalgoLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | DoradosOur prob 61% | — | 61% | — | C | — |
| Mineros de Zacatecas vs CancúnLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | Mineros de ZacatecasOur prob 46%Best odds 2.05 | +4% | 49% | 46% | C | 2.05 |
| CDS Tampico Madero vs DurangoLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | DurangoOur prob 36% | — | 36% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Welcome offers as each operator publishes them in Kenya — the full comparison and how we read it is on its own page
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Liga de Expansión MX table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Leones Negros UDG |
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | +11 | 23 | |
| 2 |  Monarcas |
11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 22 | |
| 3 |  CA La Paz |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 13 | +11 | 20 | |
| 4 |  Venados FC |
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 21 | +5 | 19 | |
| 5 |  Piratas |
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 18 | |
| 6 |  Mineros de Zacatecas |
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 19 | +4 | 17 | |
| 7 |  Cancún |
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 17 | |
| 8 |  Durango |
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 | |
| 9 |  Correcaminos Uat |
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 16 | |
| 10 |  Tapatío |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 14 | |
| 11 |  Dorados |
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 13 | |
| 12 |  Tlaxcala |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 12 | |
| 13 |  CDS Tampico Madero |
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 11 | |
| 14 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca |
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 10 | |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo |
11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 | |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán |
10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 29 | -21 | 6 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Liga de Expansión MX trends
How Liga de Expansión MX matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 87 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (240 played matches).
Top Liga de Expansión MX teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.62
- Attack
- 2.14
- Defence
- 1.52
- Net rating
- +0.58
- Attack
- 1.87
- Defence
- 1.29
- Net rating
- +0.43
- Attack
- 1.57
- Defence
- 1.14
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Liga de Expansión MX results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leones Negros UDG vs DoradosOur pick Leones Negros UDG · 58% | Leones Negros UDG to win | 58% | 6–3 | Correct | |
| Monarcas vs TlaxcalaOur pick Monarcas · 65% | Monarcas to win | 65% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Cancún vs TapatíoOur pick Cancún · 55% | Cancún to win | 55% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Durango vs Mineros de ZacatecasOur pick Durango · 37% | Durango to win | 37% | 4–2 | Correct | |
| Piratas vs Alebrijes de OaxacaOur pick Piratas · 71% | Piratas to win | 71% | 4–0 | Correct | |
| CA La Paz vs Venados FCOur pick CA La Paz · 61% | CA La Paz to win | 61% | 1–2 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.