Updated

Moldova · 2026/27 season

Moldova Super Liga Football Predictions

Sheriff Tiraspol currently has 37 points in the Moldova Super Liga after 64 matches played in the 2026/27 season. The average goals per match is 2.94, with 61% of matches going over 2.5 goals and 50% seeing both teams score. Predictions could be affected if teams underperform or if there are unexpected player absences.

Teams 8 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 64 of 84 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 4 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 40 so far this season

Upcoming Moldova Super Liga fixtures

4 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 16 more scheduled later this season.

Moldova Super Liga fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
CSF Bălți vs PetrocubMoldova Super LigaC Moldova Super Liga PetrocubOur prob 83% — 83% — C —
Sheriff Tiraspol vs ZimbruMoldova Super LigaC Moldova Super Liga Sheriff TiraspolOur prob 45% — 45% — C —
Sireți vs Politehnica UTMMoldova Super LigaC Moldova Super Liga Politehnica UTMOur prob 43% — 43% — C —
Milsami Orhei vs Dacia-BuiucaniMoldova Super LigaC Moldova Super Liga Milsami OrheiOur prob 38% — 38% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Moldova Super Liga table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Moldova Super Liga table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 16 1141 4112 +29 37
2 Zimbru 16 943 3314 +19 31
3 Petrocub 16 853 2715 +12 29
4 Dacia-Buiucani 16 736 2222 0 24
5 Politehnica UTM 16 547 2525 0 19
6 Milsami Orhei 16 475 1823 -5 19
7 Sireți 16 178 1224 -12 10
8 CSF Bălți 16 1213 1053 -43 5

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Moldova Super Liga trends

How Moldova Super Liga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 64 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 41% 26 of 64 matches -5 pts vs 2025/26 (153)
Away wins 31% 20 of 64 matches -3 pts vs 2025/26 (153)
Over 2.5 goals 61% 39 of 64 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (153)
Both teams scored 50% 32 of 64 matches +1 pts vs 2025/26 (153)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (153 played matches).

Top Moldova Super Liga teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent Moldova Super Liga results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Moldova Super Liga results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Zimbru vs CSF BălțiOur pick Zimbru · 92% Zimbru to win 92% 4–0 Correct
Petrocub vs Milsami OrheiOur pick Petrocub · 45% Petrocub to win 45% 2–1 Correct
Dacia-Buiucani vs SirețiOur pick Dacia-Buiucani · 42% Dacia-Buiucani to win 42% 3–1 Correct
Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff TiraspolOur pick Sheriff Tiraspol · 64% Sheriff Tiraspol to win 64% 0–2 Correct
Milsami Orhei vs ZimbruOur pick Zimbru · 47% Zimbru to win 47% 1–1 Missed
CSF Bălți vs Politehnica UTMOur pick Politehnica UTM · 77% Politehnica UTM to win 77% 1–4 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.