Moldova · 2026/27 season

Moldova Super Liga Football Predictions

Sheriff Tiraspol leads the Moldova Super Liga with 28 points after 52 matches this season. The average of 2.85 goals per match suggests a strong likelihood for Over 2.5 goals, as 62% of matches have met this criterion. However, if both teams fail to score, predictions for both teams to score could be incorrect.

Teams 8 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 52 of 84 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 4 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 28 so far this season

Upcoming Moldova Super Liga fixtures

4 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 28 more scheduled later this season.

Moldova Super Liga fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
CSF Bălți vs SirețiMoldova Super LigaC Moldova Super Liga SirețiOur prob 56% — 56% — C —
Dacia-Buiucani vs Sheriff TiraspolMoldova Super LigaC Moldova Super Liga Sheriff TiraspolOur prob 39% — 39% — C —
Milsami Orhei vs Politehnica UTMMoldova Super LigaC Moldova Super Liga Milsami OrheiOur prob 40% — 40% — C —
Petrocub vs ZimbruMoldova Super LigaC Moldova Super Liga ZimbruOur prob 43% — 43% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Moldova Super Liga table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Moldova Super Liga table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 13 841 3210 +22 28
2 Zimbru 13 823 2712 +15 26
3 Petrocub 13 733 2413 +11 24
4 Dacia-Buiucani 13 625 1716 +1 20
5 Milsami Orhei 13 454 1317 -4 17
6 Politehnica UTM 13 436 1819 -1 15
7 Sireți 13 076 819 -11 7
8 CSF Bălți 13 1210 942 -33 5

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Moldova Super Liga trends

How Moldova Super Liga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 52 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 42% 22 of 52 matches -3 pts vs 2025/26 (153)
Away wins 31% 16 of 52 matches -3 pts vs 2025/26 (153)
Over 2.5 goals 62% 32 of 52 matches +6 pts vs 2025/26 (153)
Both teams scored 48% 25 of 52 matches -1 pts vs 2025/26 (153)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (153 played matches).

Top Moldova Super Liga teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#1
Net rating
+0.75
Attack
1.83
Defence
1.08
Form NextPetrocub (A) · 11 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent Moldova Super Liga results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Moldova Super Liga results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF BălțiOur pick Sheriff Tiraspol · 89% Sheriff Tiraspol to win 89% 7–0 Correct
Sireți vs Milsami OrheiOur pick Milsami Orhei · 54% Milsami Orhei to win 54% 1–2 Correct
Zimbru vs Dacia-BuiucaniOur pick Zimbru · 67% Zimbru to win 67% 0–1 Missed
Politehnica UTM vs PetrocubOur pick Petrocub · 48% Petrocub to win 48% 0–1 Correct
Milsami Orhei vs Sheriff TiraspolOur pick Sheriff Tiraspol · 49% Sheriff Tiraspol to win 49% 0–1 Correct
Dacia-Buiucani vs CSF BălțiOur pick Dacia-Buiucani · 74% Dacia-Buiucani to win 74% 3–0 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.