Upcoming Montenegro First League fixtures
5 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 45 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Tivat vs DečićMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | DečićOur prob 36% | — | 36% | — | C | — |
| Otrant-Olympic vs Mladost DGMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | Otrant-OlympicOur prob 70% | — | 70% | — | C | — |
| Mornar vs JezeroMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | MornarOur prob 56% | — | 56% | — | C | — |
| Bokelj vs PetrovacMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | BokeljOur prob 59% | — | 59% | — | C | — |
| Buducnost Podgorica vs SutjeskaMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | Buducnost PodgoricaOur prob 48% | — | 48% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Montenegro First League table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Otrant-Olympic |
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 16 | |
| 2 |  Dečić |
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 15 | |
| 3 |  Bokelj |
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 15 | |
| 4 |  Sutjeska |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 14 | |
| 5 |  Buducnost Podgorica |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 |  Mornar |
9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 13 | |
| 7 |  Mladost DG |
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 | |
| 8 |  Jezero |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 | |
| 9 |  Petrovac |
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | |
| 10 |  Arsenal Tivat |
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Montenegro First League trends
How Montenegro First League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 45 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (184 played matches).
Top Montenegro First League teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.48
- Attack
- 1.57
- Defence
- 1.09
- Net rating
- +0.45
- Attack
- 1.27
- Defence
- 0.82
- Net rating
- +0.41
- Attack
- 1.10
- Defence
- 0.69
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Montenegro First League results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bokelj vs Mladost DGOur pick Bokelj · 42% | Bokelj to win | 42% | 3–0 | Correct | |
| Dečić vs MornarOur pick Dečić · 38% | Dečić to win | 38% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Otrant-Olympic vs JezeroOur pick Otrant-Olympic · 55% | Otrant-Olympic to win | 55% | 4–1 | Correct | |
| Arsenal Tivat vs SutjeskaOur pick Sutjeska · 46% | Sutjeska to win | 46% | 0–2 | Correct | |
| Buducnost Podgorica vs PetrovacOur pick Buducnost Podgorica · 42% | Buducnost Podgorica to win | 42% | 4–1 | Correct | |
| Jezero vs BokeljOur pick Jezero · 34% | Jezero to win | 34% | 1–1 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.