Upcoming Montenegro First League fixtures
10 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 25 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buducnost Podgorica vs MornarMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | Buducnost PodgoricaOur prob 47% | — | 47% | — | C | — |
| Arsenal Tivat vs BokeljMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | BokeljOur prob 41% | — | 41% | — | C | — |
| Petrovac vs Mladost DGMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | PetrovacOur prob 55% | — | 55% | — | C | — |
| Sutjeska vs JezeroMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | SutjeskaOur prob 67% | — | 67% | — | C | — |
| Dečić vs Otrant-OlympicMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | Otrant-OlympicOur prob 44% | — | 44% | — | C | — |
| Mornar vs PetrovacMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | MornarOur prob 65% | — | 65% | — | C | — |
| Bokelj vs Buducnost PodgoricaMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | BokeljOur prob 34% | — | 34% | — | C | — |
| Jezero vs DečićMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | JezeroOur prob 48% | — | 48% | — | C | — |
| Otrant-Olympic vs Arsenal TivatMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | Otrant-OlympicOur prob 73% | — | 73% | — | C | — |
| Mladost DG vs SutjeskaMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | SutjeskaOur prob 54% | — | 54% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Montenegro First League table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Otrant-Olympic |
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 15 | +6 | 21 | |
| 2 |  Mornar |
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 20 | |
| 3 |  Sutjeska |
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 19 | |
| 4 |  Buducnost Podgorica |
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 19 | |
| 5 |  Bokelj |
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 18 | |
| 6 |  Dečić |
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 | |
| 7 |  Mladost DG |
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 12 | |
| 8 |  Petrovac |
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 | |
| 9 |  Jezero |
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 | |
| 10 |  Arsenal Tivat |
11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Montenegro First League trends
How Montenegro First League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 58 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (184 played matches).
Top Montenegro First League teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.52
- Attack
- 1.34
- Defence
- 0.81
- Net rating
- +0.43
- Attack
- 1.37
- Defence
- 0.95
- Net rating
- +0.42
- Attack
- 1.57
- Defence
- 1.15
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Montenegro First League results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otrant-Olympic vs SutjeskaOur pick Sutjeska · 37% | Sutjeska to win | 37% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Jezero vs PetrovacOur pick Jezero · 37% | Jezero to win | 37% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Bokelj vs DečićOur pick Bokelj · 37% | Bokelj to win | 37% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal TivatOur pick Buducnost Podgorica · 65% | Buducnost Podgorica to win | 65% | 3–3 | Missed | |
| Mornar vs Mladost DGOur pick Mornar · 57% | Mornar to win | 57% | 4–1 | Correct | |
| Sutjeska vs BokeljOur pick Sutjeska · 48% | Sutjeska to win | 48% | 4–0 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.