Upcoming Eerste Divisie fixtures
10 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 50 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Graafschap vs Jong UtrechtEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | De GraafschapOur prob 53%Best odds 1.65 | -21% | 37% | 59% | C | 1.65 |
| NAC Breda vs MVVEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | NAC BredaOur prob 68%Best odds 1.37 | -3% | 66% | 69% | C | 1.37 |
| Heracles vs WaalwijkEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | HeraclesOur prob 57%Best odds 1.57 | -13% | 47% | 61% | C | 1.57 |
| Dordrecht vs EmmenEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | EmmenOur prob 44%Best odds 2.25 | +6% | 48% | 42% | C | 2.25 |
| Roda vs Jong PSV U21Eerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | RodaOur prob 54%Best odds 1.72 | -8% | 47% | 56% | C | 1.72 |
| FC Volendam vs VitesseEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | FC VolendamOur prob 40%Best odds 2.40 | -1% | 39% | 40% | C | 2.40 |
| Jong AZ vs Den BoschEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | Jong AZOur prob 54%Best odds 1.91 | +16% | 66% | 50% | C | 1.91 |
| Almere City FC vs FC EindhovenEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | Almere City FCOur prob 69%Best odds 1.40 | +2% | 70% | 68% | C | 1.40 |
| FC OSS vs Helmond SportEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | FC OSSOur prob 45%Best odds 2.20 | +9% | 52% | 43% | C | 2.20 |
| Jong Ajax vs VVV VenloEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | VVV VenloOur prob 49%Best odds 2.20 | +22% | 65% | 43% | C | 2.20 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Eerste Divisie table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles |
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 12 | +16 | 22 | |
| 2 |  Almere City FC |
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 19 | |
| 3 |  VVV Venlo |
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 18 | |
| 4 |  Emmen |
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 16 | |
| 5 |  MVV |
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 16 | |
| 6 |  Roda |
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 15 | |
| 7 |  Waalwijk |
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 14 | |
| 8 |  Vitesse |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 14 | |
| 9 |  NAC Breda |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 14 | |
| 10 |  Jong AZ |
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | +5 | 13 | |
| 11 |  FC Volendam |
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 12 | |
| 12 |  Jong PSV U21 |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 | |
| 13 |  FC Eindhoven |
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 11 | |
| 14 |  Helmond Sport |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 9 | |
| 15 |  FC OSS |
9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 | |
| 16 |  Den Bosch |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 8 | |
| 17 |  Jong Ajax |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 | |
| 18 |  Dordrecht |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 | |
| 19 |  De Graafschap |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 8 | |
| 20 |  Jong Utrecht |
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 7 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Eerste Divisie trends
How Eerste Divisie matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 90 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (392 played matches).
Top Eerste Divisie teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.75
- Attack
- 1.85
- Defence
- 1.10
- Net rating
- +0.65
- Attack
- 2.18
- Defence
- 1.53
- Net rating
- +0.57
- Attack
- 2.11
- Defence
- 1.54
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Eerste Divisie
From the Eerste Divisie scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- J. N'djoliHeracles 11 G 1 A
- N. BannisVitesse 9 G 3 A
- H. VeermanFC Volendam 9 G 2 A
- F. DruijfAlmere City FC 6 G 3 A
- T. van GilstHeracles 6 G 2 A
- F. QuispelEmmen 6 G 0 A
- J. CooperEmmen 5 G 2 A
- D. PugnoJong Ajax 5 G 2 A
Recent Eerste Divisie results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV Venlo vs RodaOur pick VVV Venlo · 39% | VVV Venlo to win | 39% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| Waalwijk vs EmmenOur pick Waalwijk · 49% | Waalwijk to win | 49% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Almere City FC vs FC VolendamOur pick Almere City FC · 52% | Almere City FC to win | 52% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Den Bosch vs DordrechtOur pick Den Bosch · 49% | Den Bosch to win | 49% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| FC Eindhoven vs De GraafschapOur pick De Graafschap · 39% | De Graafschap to win | 39% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Vitesse vs NAC BredaOur pick NAC Breda · 40% | NAC Breda to win | 40% | 2–2 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.