Upcoming Eerste Divisie fixtures
6 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 54 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmen vs Den BoschEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | EmmenOur prob 58% | — | 58% | — | C | — |
| Roda vs Jong AZEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | RodaOur prob 53%Best odds 1.70 | -2% | 53% | 55% | C | 1.70 |
| FC Volendam vs De GraafschapEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | FC VolendamOur prob 52%Best odds 2.09 | +6% | 52% | 46% | C | 2.09 |
| Waalwijk vs Almere City FCEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | WaalwijkOur prob 41%Best odds 2.16 | -2% | 41% | 44% | C | 2.16 |
| Helmond Sport vs FC EindhovenEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | Helmond SportOur prob 46%Best odds 2.14 | +2% | 46% | 44% | C | 2.14 |
| MVV vs VVV VenloEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | VVV VenloOur prob 51%Best odds 2.07 | +6% | 51% | 45% | C | 2.07 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Eerste Divisie table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles |
12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 14 | +23 | 29 | |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo |
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 20 | +14 | 25 | |
| 3 |  Emmen |
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 19 | +7 | 25 | |
| 4 |  Almere City FC |
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 12 | +13 | 22 | |
| 5 |  Roda |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 22 | |
| 6 |  NAC Breda |
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 21 | |
| 7 |  FC Volendam |
12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 20 | +9 | 19 | |
| 8 |  Jong AZ |
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 26 | +5 | 17 | |
| 9 |  Vitesse |
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 17 | |
| 10 |  MVV |
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 | |
| 11 |  Waalwijk |
12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 17 | +4 | 16 | |
| 12 |  Jong PSV U21 |
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 | |
| 13 |  Den Bosch |
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 15 | |
| 14 |  FC OSS |
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 13 | |
| 15 |  Jong Ajax |
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 12 | |
| 16 |  De Graafschap |
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 | |
| 17 |  FC Eindhoven |
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 11 | |
| 18 |  Dordrecht |
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 | |
| 19 |  Helmond Sport |
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 9 | |
| 20 |  Jong Utrecht |
12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 7 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Eerste Divisie trends
How Eerste Divisie matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 120 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (392 played matches).
Top Eerste Divisie teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.12
- Attack
- 2.38
- Defence
- 1.26
- Net rating
- +0.86
- Attack
- 2.56
- Defence
- 1.71
- Net rating
- +0.58
- Attack
- 2.19
- Defence
- 1.61
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Eerste Divisie
From the Eerste Divisie scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- H. VeermanFC Volendam 13 G 2 A
- J. N'djoliHeracles 12 G 2 A
- N. BannisVitesse 10 G 3 A
- J. CooperEmmen 9 G 3 A
- T. van GilstHeracles 8 G 2 A
- F. DruijfAlmere City FC 7 G 3 A
- F. QuispelEmmen 7 G 2 A
- C. BrymNAC Breda 7 G 0 A
Recent Eerste Divisie results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dordrecht vs VVV VenloOur pick VVV Venlo · 45% | VVV Venlo to win | 45% | 2–4 | Correct | |
| FC OSS vs Jong AjaxOur pick FC OSS · 51% | FC OSS to win | 51% | 3–3 | Missed | |
| FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21Our pick FC Eindhoven · 39% | FC Eindhoven to win | 39% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Den Bosch vs MVVOur pick Den Bosch · 56% | Den Bosch to win | 56% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Almere City FC vs RodaOur pick Almere City FC · 49% | Almere City FC to win | 49% | 2–3 | Missed | |
| Jong AZ vs Helmond SportOur pick Jong AZ · 52% | Jong AZ to win | 52% | 5–4 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.