Upcoming Eredivisie fixtures
9 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 51 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven vs HeerenveenEredivisieC | Eredivisie | PSV EindhovenOur prob 73%Best odds 1.27 | -11% | 65% | 76% | C | 1.27 |
| GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta RotterdamEredivisieC | Eredivisie | GO Ahead EaglesOur prob 58%Best odds 1.81 | +17% | 71% | 54% | C | 1.81 |
| Feyenoord vs AZ AlkmaarEredivisieC | Eredivisie | FeyenoordOur prob 51%Best odds 1.85 | -1% | 50% | 52% | C | 1.85 |
| Fortuna Sittard vs TwenteEredivisieC | Eredivisie | TwenteOur prob 64%Best odds 1.45 | -10% | 56% | 66% | C | 1.45 |
| Ajax vs NEC NijmegenEredivisieC | Eredivisie | AjaxOur prob 75%Best odds 1.34 | +13% | 85% | 72% | C | 1.34 |
| Utrecht vs Willem IIEredivisieC | Eredivisie | UtrechtOur prob 60%Best odds 1.53 | -15% | 49% | 63% | C | 1.53 |
| PEC Zwolle vs CambuurEredivisieC | Eredivisie | PEC ZwolleOur prob 43%Best odds 1.94 | -23% | 25% | 49% | C | 1.94 |
| Telstar vs ADO Den HaagEredivisieC | Eredivisie | TelstarOur prob 44%Best odds 2.06 | -11% | 36% | 47% | C | 2.06 |
| Excelsior vs GroningenEredivisieC | Eredivisie | ExcelsiorOur prob 41%Best odds 2.61 | +14% | 52% | 37% | C | 2.61 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Eredivisie table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar |
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 19 | |
| 2 |  Feyenoord |
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 7 | +18 | 17 | |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 16 | |
| 4 |  Twente |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 16 | |
| 5 |  Ajax |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 14 | |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 | |
| 7 |  Excelsior |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 11 | |
| 8 |  Groningen |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 11 | |
| 9 |  GO Ahead Eagles |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 10 | |
| 10 |  Heerenveen |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 9 | |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 | |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 | |
| 13 |  Telstar |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 | |
| 14 |  Cambuur |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 | |
| 15 |  Utrecht |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 5 | |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 4 | |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag |
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 2 | |
| 18 |  Willem II |
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 2 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Eredivisie trends
How Eredivisie matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 63 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (309 played matches).
Top Eredivisie teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.34
- Attack
- 2.83
- Defence
- 1.49
- Net rating
- +1.32
- Attack
- 2.84
- Defence
- 1.52
- Net rating
- +1.28
- Attack
- 2.63
- Defence
- 1.34
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Eredivisie
From the Eredivisie scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- G. ZechiëlFeyenoord 5 G 4 A
- S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles 5 G 2 A
- A. Hadj-MoussaFeyenoord 5 G 1 A
- Artem StepanovUtrecht 5 G 0 A
- T. van BergenGroningen 4 G 2 A
- L. ValenteFeyenoord 4 G 1 A
- M. ZonneveldSparta Rotterdam 4 G 1 A
- S. MijnansPSV Eindhoven 4 G 1 A
Recent Eredivisie results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead EaglesOur pick NEC Nijmegen · 43% | NEC Nijmegen to win | 43% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| AZ Alkmaar vs TelstarOur pick AZ Alkmaar · 73% | AZ Alkmaar to win | 73% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Twente vs PSV EindhovenOur pick PSV Eindhoven · 43% | PSV Eindhoven to win | 43% | 3–2 | Missed | |
| Feyenoord vs UtrechtOur pick Feyenoord · 74% | Feyenoord to win | 74% | 5–0 | Correct | |
| Willem II vs Fortuna SittardOur pick Willem II · 38% | Willem II to win | 38% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| Ajax vs ExcelsiorOur pick Ajax · 74% | Ajax to win | 74% | 2–2 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.