Upcoming Eredivisie fixtures
9 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 51 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord vs Fortuna SittardEredivisieC | Eredivisie | FeyenoordOur prob 78%Best odds 1.16 | -5% | 78% | 83% | C | 1.16 |
| PSV Eindhoven vs Willem IIEredivisieC | Eredivisie | PSV EindhovenOur prob 88%Best odds 1.08 | -1% | 88% | 89% | C | 1.08 |
| Heerenveen vs NEC NijmegenEredivisieC | Eredivisie | HeerenveenOur prob 51%Best odds 1.98 | +3% | 51% | 49% | C | 1.98 |
| Ajax vs AZ AlkmaarEredivisieC | Eredivisie | AjaxOur prob 51%Best odds 1.89 | +1% | 51% | 51% | C | 1.89 |
| Cambuur vs GO Ahead EaglesEredivisieC | Eredivisie | GO Ahead EaglesOur prob 39%Best odds 2.20 | -4% | 39% | 44% | C | 2.20 |
| PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den HaagEredivisieC | Eredivisie | PEC ZwolleOur prob 39%Best odds 2.31 | -3% | 39% | 42% | C | 2.31 |
| Excelsior vs TwenteEredivisieC | Eredivisie | TwenteOur prob 60%Best odds 1.60 | -1% | 60% | 60% | C | 1.60 |
| Telstar vs UtrechtEredivisieC | Eredivisie | UtrechtOur prob 39%Best odds 2.38 | -1% | 39% | 41% | C | 2.38 |
| Groningen vs Sparta RotterdamEredivisieC | Eredivisie | GroningenOur prob 57%Best odds 1.78 | +3% | 57% | 55% | C | 1.78 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Eredivisie table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord |
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 11 | +21 | 24 | |
| 2 |  Ajax |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 13 | +16 | 21 | |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 13 | +15 | 20 | |
| 4 |  Twente |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 20 | |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 12 | +8 | 20 | |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard |
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 | |
| 7 |  Heerenveen |
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 15 | |
| 8 |  Groningen |
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 21 | +3 | 15 | |
| 9 |  GO Ahead Eagles |
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 14 | |
| 10 |  Cambuur |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 12 | |
| 11 |  Utrecht |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 | |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen |
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 11 | |
| 13 |  Excelsior |
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 11 | |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 9 | |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 8 | |
| 16 |  Telstar |
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 6 | |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag |
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 6 | |
| 18 |  Willem II |
10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 2 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Eredivisie trends
How Eredivisie matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 90 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (309 played matches).
Top Eredivisie teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.04
- Attack
- 2.49
- Defence
- 1.45
- Net rating
- +0.89
- Attack
- 2.34
- Defence
- 1.45
- Net rating
- +0.85
- Attack
- 1.97
- Defence
- 1.13
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Eredivisie
From the Eredivisie scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles 8 G 2 A
- B. WillumssonGroningen 8 G 0 A
- T. van BergenGroningen 6 G 3 A
- J. TrenskowHeerenveen 6 G 2 A
- J. BrandtAjax 6 G 2 A
- A. Hadj-MoussaFeyenoord 6 G 1 A
- M. ZonneveldSparta Rotterdam 6 G 1 A
- G. TilPSV Eindhoven 6 G 1 A
Recent Eredivisie results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar vs TwenteOur pick AZ Alkmaar · 43% | AZ Alkmaar to win | 43% | 0–2 | Missed | |
| Sparta Rotterdam vs AjaxOur pick Ajax · 67% | Ajax to win | 67% | 1–2 | Correct | |
| NEC Nijmegen vs GroningenOur pick NEC Nijmegen · 41% | NEC Nijmegen to win | 41% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| PSV Eindhoven vs FeyenoordOur pick PSV Eindhoven · 46% | PSV Eindhoven to win | 46% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Fortuna Sittard vs ExcelsiorOur pick Fortuna Sittard · 42% | Fortuna Sittard to win | 42% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| ADO Den Haag vs HeerenveenOur pick Heerenveen · 46% | Heerenveen to win | 46% | 2–3 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.