Upcoming Eliteserien fixtures
8 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 40 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt vs VikingEliteserienC | Eliteserien | Bodo/GlimtOur prob 54%Best odds 1.68 | -3% | 54% | 57% | C | 1.68 |
| Fredrikstad vs RosenborgEliteserienC | Eliteserien | RosenborgOur prob 55%Best odds 1.89 | +4% | 55% | 51% | C | 1.89 |
| Aalesund vs SandefjordEliteserienC | Eliteserien | AalesundOur prob 47%Best odds 1.97 | -1% | 47% | 48% | C | 1.97 |
| Brann vs MoldeEliteserienC | Eliteserien | MoldeOur prob 47%Best odds 2.21 | +4% | 47% | 44% | C | 2.21 |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BKEliteserienC | Eliteserien | Sarpsborg 08 FFOur prob 62%Best odds 1.55 | 0% | 62% | 62% | C | 1.55 |
| Start vs LillestromEliteserienC | Eliteserien | LillestromOur prob 38%Best odds 2.42 | -1% | 38% | 39% | C | 2.42 |
| KFUM Oslo vs Ham-KamEliteserienC | Eliteserien | KFUM OsloOur prob 52%Best odds 2.01 | +5% | 52% | 48% | C | 2.01 |
| Valerenga vs TromsoEliteserienC | Eliteserien | ValerengaOur prob 43%Best odds 2.52 | +5% | 43% | 38% | C | 2.52 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Eliteserien table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking |
24 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 62 | 23 | +39 | 59 | |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt |
24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 58 | 21 | +37 | 56 | |
| 3 |  Molde |
24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 36 | +21 | 43 | |
| 4 |  Rosenborg |
24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 46 | 31 | +15 | 40 | |
| 5 |  Tromso |
24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 34 | +9 | 40 | |
| 6 |  Lillestrom |
24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 33 | +2 | 39 | |
| 7 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF |
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 31 | |
| 8 |  KFUM Oslo |
24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 30 | |
| 9 |  Brann |
24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 29 | |
| 10 |  Valerenga |
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 29 | |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad |
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 | |
| 12 |  Ham-Kam |
24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 26 | |
| 13 |  Sandefjord |
24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 24 | |
| 14 |  Aalesund |
24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 24 | |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK |
24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 20 | |
| 16 |  Start |
24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 19 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Eliteserien trends
How Eliteserien matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 192 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (241 played matches).
Top Eliteserien teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.89
- Attack
- 3.33
- Defence
- 1.43
- Net rating
- +1.77
- Attack
- 2.85
- Defence
- 1.08
- Net rating
- +0.90
- Attack
- 2.39
- Defence
- 1.49
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Eliteserien
From the Eliteserien scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- P. ChristiansenViking 15 G 7 A
- Amin ChiakhaRosenborg 15 G 4 A
- K. LonebuMolde 12 G 2 A
- A. HelmersenBodo/Glimt 12 G 1 A
- L. AlvheimKristiansund BK 12 G 0 A
- L. HarenValerenga 11 G 2 A
- E. BreivikMolde 10 G 10 A
- M. ChristensenAalesund 10 G 4 A
Recent Eliteserien results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde vs FredrikstadOur pick Molde · 68% | Molde to win | 68% | 5–1 | Correct | |
| Start vs SandefjordOur pick Start · 38% | Start to win | 38% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF vs AalesundOur pick Sarpsborg 08 FF · 48% | Sarpsborg 08 FF to win | 48% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| Lillestrom vs BrannOur pick Lillestrom · 40% | Lillestrom to win | 40% | 3–2 | Correct | |
| Kristiansund BK vs KFUM OsloOur pick KFUM Oslo · 38% | KFUM Oslo to win | 38% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Viking vs TromsoOur pick Viking · 63% | Viking to win | 63% | 3–1 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.