Upcoming Eliteserien fixtures
8 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 52 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brann vs VikingEliteserienC | Eliteserien | VikingOur prob 43%Best odds 2.28 | +2% | 44% | 42% | C | 2.28 |
| Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BKEliteserienC | Eliteserien | Bodo/GlimtOur prob 86%Best odds 1.09 | -8% | 80% | 88% | C | 1.09 |
| Rosenborg vs SandefjordEliteserienC | Eliteserien | RosenborgOur prob 66%Best odds 1.40 | -8% | 60% | 68% | C | 1.40 |
| Fredrikstad vs TromsoEliteserienC | Eliteserien | FredrikstadOur prob 39%Best odds 2.90 | +23% | 56% | 33% | C | 2.90 |
| Start vs Ham-KamEliteserienC | Eliteserien | StartOur prob 52%Best odds 1.95 | +13% | 62% | 49% | C | 1.95 |
| Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserienC | Eliteserien | AalesundOur prob 42%Best odds 2.58 | +19% | 56% | 37% | C | 2.58 |
| Lillestrom vs MoldeEliteserienC | Eliteserien | MoldeOur prob 46%Best odds 2.13 | +8% | 52% | 44% | C | 2.13 |
| KFUM Oslo vs ValerengaEliteserienC | Eliteserien | KFUM OsloOur prob 39%Best odds 2.82 | +19% | 53% | 34% | C | 2.82 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Eliteserien table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking |
21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54 | 20 | +34 | 50 | |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt |
21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53 | 19 | +34 | 50 | |
| 3 |  Tromso |
21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | +11 | 38 | |
| 4 |  Molde |
21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 32 | +12 | 36 | |
| 5 |  Rosenborg |
21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 30 | +9 | 33 | |
| 6 |  Lillestrom |
21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 32 | |
| 7 |  Brann |
21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 32 | +7 | 29 | |
| 8 |  Fredrikstad |
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 28 | |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF |
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 | |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo |
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 | |
| 11 |  Sandefjord |
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | |
| 12 |  Valerenga |
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 23 | |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam |
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 23 | |
| 14 |  Aalesund |
21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 21 | |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK |
21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 19 | |
| 16 |  Start |
21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 16 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Eliteserien trends
How Eliteserien matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 168 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (241 played matches).
Top Eliteserien teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.61
- Attack
- 3.01
- Defence
- 1.39
- Net rating
- +1.52
- Attack
- 2.95
- Defence
- 1.43
- Net rating
- +1.32
- Attack
- 2.47
- Defence
- 1.15
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Eliteserien
From the Eliteserien scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- Amin ChiakhaRosenborg 13 G 3 A
- P. ChristiansenViking 11 G 6 A
- A. HelmersenBodo/Glimt 11 G 1 A
- H. LarsenTromso 10 G 3 A
- L. AlvheimKristiansund BK 10 G 0 A
-
E. HestadMolde
8 G 2 A
- M. ChristensenAalesund 8 G 2 A
- L. HarenValerenga 8 G 2 A
Recent Eliteserien results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brann vs Bodo/GlimtOur pick Bodo/Glimt · 54% | Bodo/Glimt to win | 54% | 2–1 | Missed | |
| Tromso vs Ham-KamOur pick Tromso · 64% | Tromso to win | 64% | 3–2 | Correct | |
| Sandefjord vs StartOur pick Sandefjord · 51% | Sandefjord to win | 51% | 3–0 | Correct | |
| Viking vs LillestromOur pick Viking · 67% | Viking to win | 67% | 3–0 | Correct | |
| Valerenga vs FredrikstadOur pick Valerenga · 45% | Valerenga to win | 45% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Molde vs AalesundOur pick Molde · 72% | Molde to win | 72% | 1–2 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.