Upcoming Ekstraklasa fixtures
10 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 50 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla PlockEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Wieczysta KrakówOur prob 44%Best odds 2.16 | +3% | 46% | 43% | C | 2.16 |
| Raków Częstochowa vs GKS KatowiceEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Raków CzęstochowaOur prob 42%Best odds 2.17 | -5% | 38% | 43% | C | 2.17 |
| Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Cracovia KrakowOur prob 46%Best odds 1.91 | -12% | 37% | 49% | C | 1.91 |
| Slask Wroclaw vs Lech PoznanEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Lech PoznanOur prob 56%Best odds 1.60 | -12% | 47% | 59% | C | 1.60 |
| Jagiellonia vs Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | JagielloniaOur prob 39%Best odds 2.55 | +3% | 41% | 38% | C | 2.55 |
| Piast Gliwice vs Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Piast GliwiceOur prob 40%Best odds 2.69 | +19% | 55% | 36% | C | 2.69 |
| Pogon Szczecin vs Korona KielceEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Pogon SzczecinOur prob 44%Best odds 2.29 | +5% | 48% | 43% | C | 2.29 |
| Legia Warszawa vs Wisla KrakowEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Legia WarszawaOur prob 47%Best odds 2.10 | 0% | 47% | 47% | C | 2.10 |
| Radomiak Radom vs Motor LublinEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Motor LublinOur prob 37%Best odds 2.85 | +7% | 42% | 35% | C | 2.85 |
| GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta KrakówEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | GKS KatowiceOur prob 47%Best odds 2.18 | +17% | 60% | 43% | C | 2.18 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Ekstraklasa table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gornik Zabrze |
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 22 | |
| 2 |  Legia Warszawa |
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 19 | |
| 3 |  Lech Poznan |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 19 | |
| 4 |  Wisla Krakow |
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 17 | |
| 5 |  Pogon Szczecin |
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 15 | |
| 6 |  Korona Kielce |
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 15 | |
| 7 |  Zaglebie Lubin |
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 15 | |
| 8 |  Piast Gliwice |
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 13 | |
| 9 |  GKS Katowice |
8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 12 | |
| 10 |  Jagiellonia |
8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 | |
| 11 |  Wisla Plock |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 | |
| 12 |  Widzew Łódź |
9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | |
| 13 |  Cracovia Krakow |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 | |
| 14 |  Radomiak Radom |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 8 | |
| 15 |  Slask Wroclaw |
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 6 | |
| 16 |  Motor Lublin |
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 6 | |
| 17 |  Wieczysta Kraków |
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 | |
| 18 |  Raków Częstochowa |
9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 3 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Ekstraklasa trends
How Ekstraklasa matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 78 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (306 played matches).
Top Ekstraklasa teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.82
- Attack
- 2.16
- Defence
- 1.34
- Net rating
- +0.55
- Attack
- 1.76
- Defence
- 1.21
- Net rating
- +0.48
- Attack
- 1.66
- Defence
- 1.18
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Ekstraklasa
From the Ekstraklasa scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- Jordi SánchezPogon Szczecin 8 G 1 A
- I. ShkurinGKS Katowice 6 G 1 A
- M. StępińskiKorona Kielce 6 G 0 A
- P. MakuchRaków Częstochowa 5 G 0 A
- A. SayyadmaneshLech Poznan 5 G 0 A
- K. CzubakMotor Lublin 5 G 0 A
- P. Samiec-TalarSlask Wroclaw 4 G 3 A
- R. AugustyniakLegia Warszawa 4 G 2 A
Recent Ekstraklasa results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznan vs Radomiak RadomOur pick Lech Poznan · 70% | Lech Poznan to win | 70% | 5–1 | Correct | |
| Jagiellonia vs Legia WarszawaOur pick Legia Warszawa · 37% | Legia Warszawa to win | 37% | 1–3 | Correct | |
| Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla PlockOur pick Zaglebie Lubin · 43% | Zaglebie Lubin to win | 43% | 0–2 | Missed | |
| Piast Gliwice vs Pogon SzczecinOur pick Piast Gliwice · 42% | Piast Gliwice to win | 42% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Motor Lublin vs Gornik ZabrzeOur pick Gornik Zabrze · 44% | Gornik Zabrze to win | 44% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| GKS Katowice vs Cracovia KrakowOur pick GKS Katowice · 45% | GKS Katowice to win | 45% | 3–2 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.