Upcoming Ekstraklasa fixtures
9 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 51 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cracovia Krakow vs Motor LublinEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Cracovia KrakowOur prob 45%Best odds 2.09 | -1% | 45% | 45% | C | 2.09 |
| Gornik Zabrze vs Legia WarszawaEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Gornik ZabrzeOur prob 44%Best odds 2.38 | -1% | 44% | 45% | C | 2.38 |
| Wisla Plock vs Piast GliwiceEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Wisla PlockOur prob 41%Best odds 2.20 | -5% | 41% | 45% | C | 2.20 |
| Wieczysta Kraków vs JagielloniaEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Wieczysta KrakówOur prob 43%Best odds 2.20 | 0% | 43% | 43% | C | 2.20 |
| Lech Poznan vs Wisla KrakowEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Lech PoznanOur prob 55%Best odds 1.76 | +1% | 55% | 54% | C | 1.76 |
| GKS Katowice vs Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | GKS KatowiceOur prob 47%Best odds 2.12 | +2% | 47% | 44% | C | 2.12 |
| Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona KielceEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Zaglebie LubinOur prob 49% | — | 49% | — | C | — |
| Radomiak Radom vs Slask WroclawEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Slask WroclawOur prob 44% | — | 44% | — | C | — |
| Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Pogon SzczecinOur prob 55% | — | 55% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Ekstraklasa table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lech Poznan |
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 10 | +19 | 28 | |
| 2 |  Gornik Zabrze |
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 27 | |
| 3 |  Pogon Szczecin |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 24 | |
| 4 |  Legia Warszawa |
12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 11 | +12 | 23 | |
| 5 |  Wisla Krakow |
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 21 | |
| 6 |  Piast Gliwice |
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 20 | |
| 7 |  Zaglebie Lubin |
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 | |
| 8 |  GKS Katowice |
12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 17 | +5 | 18 | |
| 9 |  Korona Kielce |
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 18 | |
| 10 |  Jagiellonia |
11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 | |
| 11 |  Wisla Plock |
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 | |
| 12 |  Motor Lublin |
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 13 | |
| 13 |  Cracovia Krakow |
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 12 | |
| 14 |  Widzew Łódź |
12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 11 | |
| 15 |  Slask Wroclaw |
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 9 | |
| 16 |  Wieczysta Kraków |
12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 8 | |
| 17 |  Radomiak Radom |
12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 | |
| 18 |  Raków Częstochowa |
12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 6 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Ekstraklasa trends
How Ekstraklasa matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 106 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (306 played matches).
Top Ekstraklasa teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.85
- Attack
- 2.30
- Defence
- 1.45
- Net rating
- +0.59
- Attack
- 1.68
- Defence
- 1.10
- Net rating
- +0.50
- Attack
- 1.79
- Defence
- 1.28
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Ekstraklasa
From the Ekstraklasa scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- Jordi SánchezPogon Szczecin 9 G 1 A
- I. ShkurinGKS Katowice 8 G 1 A
- Pablo RodríguezLech Poznan 6 G 6 A
- P. MakuchRaków Częstochowa 6 G 1 A
- K. CzubakMotor Lublin 6 G 0 A
- M. StępińskiKorona Kielce 6 G 0 A
- P. WålemarkLech Poznan 5 G 3 A
- A. HasićCracovia Krakow 5 G 2 A
Recent Ekstraklasa results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warszawa vs Lech PoznanOur pick Legia Warszawa · 40% | Legia Warszawa to win | 40% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Jagiellonia vs Wisla PlockOur pick Jagiellonia · 48% | Jagiellonia to win | 48% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Slask Wroclaw vs Wieczysta KrakówOur pick Wieczysta Kraków · 40% | Wieczysta Kraków to win | 40% | 2–0 | Missed | |
| Wisla Krakow vs Raków CzęstochowaOur pick Wisla Krakow · 54% | Wisla Krakow to win | 54% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak RadomOur pick Pogon Szczecin · 60% | Pogon Szczecin to win | 60% | 4–3 | Correct | |
| Korona Kielce vs GKS KatowiceOur pick Korona Kielce · 40% | Korona Kielce to win | 40% | 1–0 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.