Upcoming I Liga fixtures
7 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 53 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal MielecI LigaC | I Liga | Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiOur prob 48%Best odds 2.15 | +4% | 48% | 44% | C | 2.15 |
| Miedz Legnica vs NiecieczaI LigaC | I Liga | Miedz LegnicaOur prob 41%Best odds 2.26 | 0% | 41% | 41% | C | 2.26 |
| Lechia Gdansk vs Unia SkierniewiceI LigaC | I Liga | Lechia GdanskOur prob 55%Best odds 1.75 | +2% | 55% | 53% | C | 1.75 |
| Podbeskidzie vs Warta PoznańI LigaC | I Liga | Warta PoznańOur prob 37% | — | 37% | — | C | — |
| Polonia Bytom vs Odra OpoleI LigaC | I Liga | Polonia BytomOur prob 49% | — | 49% | — | C | — |
| ŁKS Łódź vs Polonia WarszawaI LigaC | I Liga | Polonia WarszawaOur prob 35% | — | 35% | — | C | — |
| Stal Rzeszów vs Puszcza NiepołomiceI LigaC | I Liga | Stal RzeszówOur prob 43% | — | 43% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Welcome offers as each operator publishes them in Kenya — the full comparison and how we read it is on its own page
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
I Liga table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 11 | +8 | 21 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 21 | ||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 21 | ||
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 21 | ||
| 5 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 20 | ||
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 19 | ||
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 18 | ||
| 8 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 18 | ||
| 9 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 18 | ||
| 10 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 17 | ||
| 11 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 15 | ||
| 12 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 14 | ||
| 13 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 | ||
| 14 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 13 | ||
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 | ||
| 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 | ||
| 17 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 12 | ||
| 18 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
I Liga trends
How I Liga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 108 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (308 played matches).
Top I Liga teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.68
- Attack
- 1.62
- Defence
- 0.93
- Net rating
- +0.42
- Attack
- 1.90
- Defence
- 1.48
- Net rating
- +0.35
- Attack
- 1.79
- Defence
- 1.44
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent I Liga results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Poznań vs ŁKS ŁódźOur pick Warta Poznań · 38% | Warta Poznań to win | 38% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| Podbeskidzie vs Stal RzeszówOur pick Podbeskidzie · 44% | Podbeskidzie to win | 44% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiOur pick Ruch Chorzów · 54% | Ruch Chorzów to win | 54% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| Odra Opole vs Pogoń SiedlceOur pick Odra Opole · 44% | Odra Opole to win | 44% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia GdanskOur pick Lechia Gdansk · 42% | Lechia Gdansk to win | 42% | 2–1 | Missed | |
| Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia BytomOur pick Polonia Bytom · 38% | Polonia Bytom to win | 38% | 1–2 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.