Upcoming I Liga fixtures
9 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 51 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń SiedlceI LigaC | I Liga | PodbeskidzieOur prob 46%Best odds 1.85 | -17% | 33% | 50% | C | 1.85 |
| Arka Gdynia vs Polonia WarszawaI LigaC | I Liga | Arka GdyniaOur prob 39%Best odds 2.27 | -7% | 34% | 41% | C | 2.27 |
| Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiI LigaC | I Liga | Chrobry GłogówOur prob 41%Best odds 2.20 | -5% | 37% | 43% | C | 2.20 |
| Unia Skierniewice vs NiecieczaI LigaC | I Liga | NiecieczaOur prob 40%Best odds 2.52 | +9% | 47% | 37% | C | 2.52 |
| Stal Mielec vs Warta PoznańI LigaC | I Liga | Warta PoznańOur prob 44%Best odds 2.32 | +12% | 53% | 41% | C | 2.32 |
| ŁKS Łódź vs Ruch ChorzówI LigaC | I Liga | ŁKS ŁódźOur prob 38%Best odds 2.44 | -2% | 37% | 39% | C | 2.44 |
| Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia BytomI LigaC | I Liga | Puszcza NiepołomiceOur prob 39%Best odds 2.49 | +4% | 42% | 37% | C | 2.49 |
| Odra Opole vs Miedz LegnicaI LigaC | I Liga | Odra OpoleOur prob 37%Best odds 2.45 | -6% | 32% | 38% | C | 2.45 |
| Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia GdanskI LigaC | I Liga | Lechia GdanskOur prob 42%Best odds 2.20 | -4% | 39% | 43% | C | 2.20 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
I Liga table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 18 | |
| 2 |  Nieciecza |
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 16 | |
| 3 |  Warta Poznań |
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 15 | |
| 4 |  ŁKS Łódź |
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 15 | |
| 5 |  Miedz Legnica |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 14 | |
| 6 |  Polonia Warszawa |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 14 | |
| 7 |  Stal Rzeszów |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 14 | |
| 8 |  Lechia Gdansk |
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 13 | |
| 9 |  Chrobry Głogów |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 12 | |
| 10 |  Pogoń Siedlce |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 12 | |
| 11 |  Ruch Chorzów |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 12 | |
| 12 |  Arka Gdynia |
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 | |
| 13 |  Unia Skierniewice |
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 | |
| 14 |  Odra Opole |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 9 | |
| 15 |  Polonia Bytom |
9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 | |
| 16 |  Stal Mielec |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 | |
| 17 |  Podbeskidzie |
9 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 | |
| 18 |  Puszcza Niepołomice |
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
I Liga trends
How I Liga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 80 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (308 played matches).
Top I Liga teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.40
- Attack
- 1.81
- Defence
- 1.41
- Net rating
- +0.36
- Attack
- 1.97
- Defence
- 1.62
- Net rating
- +0.27
- Attack
- 1.46
- Defence
- 1.19
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent I Liga results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podbeskidzie vs Unia SkierniewiceOur pick Podbeskidzie · 44% | Podbeskidzie to win | 44% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka GdyniaOur pick Arka Gdynia · 43% | Arka Gdynia to win | 43% | 2–1 | Missed | |
| Miedz Legnica vs Stal RzeszówOur pick Miedz Legnica · 53% | Miedz Legnica to win | 53% | 2–3 | Missed | |
| Nieciecza vs Odra OpoleOur pick Nieciecza · 47% | Nieciecza to win | 47% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS ŁódźOur pick ŁKS Łódź · 44% | ŁKS Łódź to win | 44% | 2–0 | Missed | |
| Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry GłogówOur pick Polonia Warszawa · 45% | Polonia Warszawa to win | 45% | 2–0 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.