Upcoming Segunda Liga fixtures
9 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 51 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel vs AVSSegunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | PenafielOur prob 48%Best odds 2.00 | -2% | 46% | 49% | C | 2.00 |
| Tondela vs TorreenseSegunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | TondelaOur prob 40%Best odds 2.35 | +2% | 42% | 40% | C | 2.35 |
| Amarante vs PortimonenseSegunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | AmaranteOur prob 37%Best odds 2.65 | +3% | 39% | 36% | C | 2.65 |
| Leixoes vs FC Porto BSegunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | LeixoesOur prob 63%Best odds 1.60 | +14% | 74% | 60% | C | 1.60 |
| Vizela vs Sporting CP BSegunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | VizelaOur prob 42%Best odds 2.19 | -4% | 39% | 43% | C | 2.19 |
| Lusitânia Lourosa vs ChavesSegunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | Lusitânia LourosaOur prob 44%Best odds 2.64 | +32% | 68% | 36% | C | 2.64 |
| Farense vs FeirenseSegunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | FarenseOur prob 54%Best odds 1.90 | +18% | 68% | 50% | C | 1.90 |
| União de Leiria vs AcademicaSegunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | União de LeiriaOur prob 49%Best odds 2.02 | +3% | 51% | 48% | C | 2.02 |
| Benfica B vs Felgueiras 1932Segunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | Felgueiras 1932Our prob 40% | — | 40% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Segunda Liga table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lusitânia Lourosa |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 16 | |
| 2 |  Penafiel |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 13 | |
| 3 |  Sporting CP B |
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 12 | |
| 4 |  Farense |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 11 | |
| 5 |  Vizela |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 11 | |
| 6 |  União de Leiria |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 10 | |
| 7 |  Leixoes |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 10 | |
| 8 |  Benfica B |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 | |
| 9 |  Tondela |
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 9 | |
| 10 |  Academica |
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 | |
| 11 |  Portimonense |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 | |
| 12 |  AVS |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| 13 |  Felgueiras 1932 |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | |
| 14 |  Torreense |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | |
| 15 |  Amarante |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 | |
| 16 |  Chaves |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 | |
| 17 |  FC Porto B |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 | |
| 18 |  Feirense |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Segunda Liga trends
How Segunda Liga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 54 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (308 played matches).
Top Segunda Liga teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.83
- Attack
- 1.77
- Defence
- 0.94
- Net rating
- +0.72
- Attack
- 1.42
- Defence
- 0.70
- Net rating
- +0.72
- Attack
- 1.88
- Defence
- 1.16
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Segunda Liga
From the Segunda Liga scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- Mauro CoutoSporting CP B 0 G 1 A
- DuduPortimonense 0 G 0 A
- Luís GomesFC Porto B 0 G 0 A
- Tiago AndradeFC Porto B 0 G 0 A
- Diogo FerreiraBenfica B 0 G 0 A
- Gonçalo Carvalho MoreiraBenfica B 0 G 0 A
- G. SousaFC Porto B 0 G 0 A
- Gabriel SilvaSporting CP B 0 G 0 A
Recent Segunda Liga results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farense vs ChavesOur pick Farense · 45% | Farense to win | 45% | 4–0 | Correct | |
| FC Porto B vs VizelaOur pick Vizela · 47% | Vizela to win | 47% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia LourosaOur pick Sporting CP B · 39% | Sporting CP B to win | 39% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Amarante vs União de LeiriaOur pick União de Leiria · 39% | União de Leiria to win | 39% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Chaves vs FeirenseOur pick Chaves · 46% | Chaves to win | 46% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| AVS vs FarenseOur pick Farense · 39% | Farense to win | 39% | 0–0 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.