Upcoming Segunda Liga fixtures
9 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 51 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarante vs FC Porto BSegunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | AmaranteOur prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — |
| Portimonense vs TorreenseSegunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | PortimonenseOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — |
| Leixoes vs Sporting CP BSegunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | LeixoesOur prob 42%Best odds 2.05 | -5% | 42% | 47% | C | 2.05 |
| Benfica B vs ChavesSegunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | Benfica BOur prob 40%Best odds 2.39 | 0% | 40% | 40% | C | 2.39 |
| União de Leiria vs AVSSegunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | União de LeiriaOur prob 49%Best odds 1.70 | -7% | 49% | 56% | C | 1.70 |
| Vizela vs AcademicaSegunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | VizelaOur prob 37%Best odds 2.22 | -5% | 37% | 42% | C | 2.22 |
| Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932Segunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | TondelaOur prob 47%Best odds 1.95 | -1% | 47% | 48% | C | 1.95 |
| Lusitânia Lourosa vs FarenseSegunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | FarenseOur prob 36%Best odds 2.60 | 0% | 36% | 36% | C | 2.60 |
| Penafiel vs FeirenseSegunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | PenafielOur prob 69% | — | 69% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Segunda Liga table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lusitânia Lourosa |
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 18 | |
| 2 |  Sporting CP B |
8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 18 | |
| 3 |  Penafiel |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 16 | |
| 4 |  Academica |
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 15 | |
| 5 |  Farense |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 |  Benfica B |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 14 | |
| 7 |  AVS |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 12 | |
| 8 |  Tondela |
8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 12 | |
| 9 |  União de Leiria |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 11 | |
| 10 |  Vizela |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 | |
| 11 |  Leixoes |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | |
| 12 |  Portimonense |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 10 | |
| 13 |  Torreense |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 | |
| 14 |  Chaves |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 | |
| 15 |  FC Porto B |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 8 | |
| 16 |  Felgueiras 1932 |
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 | |
| 17 |  Amarante |
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 | |
| 18 |  Feirense |
8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 2 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Segunda Liga trends
How Segunda Liga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 72 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (308 played matches).
Top Segunda Liga teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.62
- Attack
- 1.80
- Defence
- 1.17
- Net rating
- +0.61
- Attack
- 1.86
- Defence
- 1.25
- Net rating
- +0.52
- Attack
- 1.55
- Defence
- 1.03
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Segunda Liga
From the Segunda Liga scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- Mauro CoutoSporting CP B 0 G 1 A
- DuduPortimonense 0 G 0 A
- Luís GomesFC Porto B 0 G 0 A
- Tiago AndradeFC Porto B 0 G 0 A
- Diogo FerreiraBenfica B 0 G 0 A
- Gonçalo Carvalho MoreiraBenfica B 0 G 0 A
- G. SousaFC Porto B 0 G 0 A
- Gabriel SilvaSporting CP B 0 G 0 A
Recent Segunda Liga results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torreense vs AmaranteOur pick Torreense · 47% | Torreense to win | 47% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| FC Porto B vs União de LeiriaOur pick União de Leiria · 49% | União de Leiria to win | 49% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia LourosaOur pick Felgueiras 1932 · 36% | Felgueiras 1932 to win | 36% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| AVS vs TondelaOur pick Tondela · 42% | Tondela to win | 42% | 2–1 | Missed | |
| Farense vs PenafielOur pick Farense · 49% | Farense to win | 49% | 1–4 | Missed | |
| Feirense vs Benfica BOur pick Benfica B · 38% | Benfica B to win | 38% | 0–0 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.