Romania · 2026/27 season

Liga I Football Predictions

In Liga I, Dinamo Bucuresti leads with 23 points after 79 matches this season. The average goals per match is 2.63, with 49% of matches going over 2.5 goals and 47% seeing both teams score. The predictions could change if teams have unexpected performances or if key players are missing.

Teams 16 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 79 of 240 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 9 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 56 so far this season

Upcoming Liga I fixtures

9 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 51 more scheduled later this season.

Liga I fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea ClujLiga IC Liga I CFR 1907 ClujOur prob 42%Best odds 2.38 +10% 50% 40% C 2.38
Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC VoluntariLiga IC Liga I Corvinul HunedoaraOur prob 49%Best odds 2.12 +18% 63% 45% C 2.12
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo BucurestiLiga IC Liga I Dinamo BucurestiOur prob 52% — 52% — C —
FCSB vs OţelulLiga IC Liga I FCSBOur prob 56%Best odds 1.55 -21% 40% 61% C 1.55
FC Botosani vs Uta AradLiga IC Liga I FC BotosaniOur prob 42%Best odds 2.31 +5% 45% 41% C 2.31
Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 ClujLiga IC Liga I Arges PitestiOur prob 38%Best odds 2.45 -3% 36% 38% C 2.45
Farul Constanta vs Petrolul PloiestiLiga IC Liga I Farul ConstantaOur prob 41%Best odds 2.32 +4% 44% 41% C 2.32
Universitatea Cluj vs RapidLiga IC Liga I Universitatea ClujOur prob 35%Best odds 2.55 -4% 32% 36% C 2.55
Csikszereda vs Universitatea CraiovaLiga IC Liga I Universitatea CraiovaOur prob 63%Best odds 1.55 +9% 70% 61% C 1.55

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Liga I table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Liga I table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 10 721 237 +16 23
2 Rapid 10 631 146 +8 21
3 Universitatea Craiova 10 622 249 +15 20
4 Petrolul Ploiesti 10 613 1312 +1 19
5 Universitatea Cluj 9 504 1413 +1 15
6 Farul Constanta 10 352 1414 0 14
7 Corvinul Hunedoara 10 343 119 +2 13
8 CFR 1907 Cluj 9 414 1514 +1 13
9 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 10 343 710 -3 13
10 Uta Arad 10 334 1415 -1 12
11 FCSB 10 334 1317 -4 12
12 FC Botosani 10 253 1412 +2 11
13 Arges Pitesti 10 325 610 -4 11
14 Oţelul 10 244 1115 -4 10
15 FC Voluntari 10 226 922 -13 8
16 Csikszereda 10 019 623 -17 1

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Liga I trends

How Liga I matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 79 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 56% 44 of 79 matches +11 pts vs 2025/26 (321)
Away wins 18% 14 of 79 matches -11 pts vs 2025/26 (321)
Over 2.5 goals 49% 39 of 79 matches +3 pts vs 2025/26 (321)
Both teams scored 47% 37 of 79 matches -5 pts vs 2025/26 (321)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (321 played matches).

Top Liga I teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in Liga I

From the Liga I scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • A. AlievUniversitatea Cluj 6 G 2 A
  • A. DumiterFC Botosani 6 G 0 A
  • E. RădăslăvescuFarul Constanta 5 G 2 A
  • S. DražićCFR 1907 Cluj 5 G 1 A
  • A. CordeaCFR 1907 Cluj 5 G 1 A
  • D. ArmstrongDinamo Bucuresti 4 G 8 A
  • Martín PascualDinamo Bucuresti 4 G 0 A
  • A. Al HamlawiUniversitatea Craiova 4 G 0 A

Recent Liga I results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Liga I results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Petrolul Ploiesti vs CsikszeredaOur pick Petrolul Ploiesti · 63% Petrolul Ploiesti to win 63% 2–0 Correct
Oţelul vs Corvinul HunedoaraOur pick Oţelul · 38% Oţelul to win 38% 2–3 Missed
Dinamo Bucuresti vs Farul ConstantaOur pick Dinamo Bucuresti · 55% Dinamo Bucuresti to win 55% 4–0 Correct
FC Voluntari vs Universitatea ClujOur pick Universitatea Cluj · 40% Universitatea Cluj to win 40% 0–2 Correct
Universitatea Craiova vs FCSBOur pick Universitatea Craiova · 58% Universitatea Craiova to win 58% 5–0 Correct
CFR 1907 Cluj vs FC BotosaniOur pick CFR 1907 Cluj · 42% CFR 1907 Cluj to win 42% 3–1 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.